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Topic: Mempool Observer Topic - page 63. (Read 21831 times)

jr. member
Activity: 272
Merit: 4
February 09, 2024, 12:11:48 AM
I am surprised to see mempool.space here in bitcointalk . Anyway, welcome!

My question is : can you synchronise mempool.space to the blockchain.com Explorer?  I actually sent Bitcoin from my blockchain wallet and mempool.space was unable to detect the transaction. This is weird. The transaction ID is 42105820754888a816820be27bd8670b5789e82ffd9f88cb68446c1afe414fa9

. The link on blockchain Explorer is
blockchain.com/explorer/transactions/btc/42105820754888a816820be27bd8670b5789e82ffd9f88cb68446c1afe414fa9
. When I search for it on mempool.space, it shows transaction not found.
copper member
Activity: 350
Merit: 21
bc1qvq66kccea2fdqft6kss2zyn8y32z8xyy9rzhp0
February 09, 2024, 12:00:00 AM
     
  • fastestFee: 27 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 25 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 23 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 20 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 10 sat/vB
copper member
Activity: 350
Merit: 21
bc1qvq66kccea2fdqft6kss2zyn8y32z8xyy9rzhp0
February 08, 2024, 06:00:01 PM
     
  • fastestFee: 22 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 22 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 22 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 18 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 9 sat/vB
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 1065
Crypto Swap Exchange
February 08, 2024, 03:49:51 PM
     
  • fastestFee: 21 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 21 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 21 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 21 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 11 sat/vB


Time to consolidate if needed guys, fees are almost "normal" now!  Cool
copper member
Activity: 350
Merit: 21
bc1qvq66kccea2fdqft6kss2zyn8y32z8xyy9rzhp0
February 08, 2024, 12:00:01 PM
     
  • fastestFee: 21 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 21 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 21 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 21 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 11 sat/vB
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 6403
Blackjack.fun
February 08, 2024, 11:28:49 AM
Oh dear.
I think we have left FeeBuddy unattended for too long, and now it's made a mess.

Probably because he loses attention when fees go down?
Like chartbuddy he needs outrageous price swings to have people paying attention or he will go on rampage.

And I just love the new mempool features (and icons):


Shows a ton of consolidation happening lately, maybe 20sat/vb is for some a sweet spot and they are afraid things might get worse again. but we're just 120vMb from hitting 10sat/vb and if the hashrate keeps the  pace we're going to have extra 90 blocks till next Thursday, combined with an weekend, maybe , maybe!!!
legendary
Activity: 2352
Merit: 6089
bitcoindata.science
February 08, 2024, 09:04:04 AM
just as mysteriously as it stopped working, it came back lol. Feebuddy is back

He came back, but angry. The graph line now goes off scale! Roll Eyes

Or has it always been like this, and I'm just now noticing?  Undecided

You are right, it is off scale. I need to push the line a few more pixels.
I didn't noticed it. Thanks.
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 5154
**In BTC since 2013**
February 08, 2024, 08:34:55 AM
just as mysteriously as it stopped working, it came back lol. Feebuddy is back

He came back, but angry. The graph line now goes off scale! Roll Eyes

Or has it always been like this, and I'm just now noticing?  Undecided
legendary
Activity: 2352
Merit: 6089
bitcoindata.science
February 08, 2024, 06:47:59 AM
Oh dear.

I think we have left FeeBuddy unattended for too long, and now it's made a mess.

Something is wrong with feeBuddy.

I noticed he was down for more than 24h. He was unable to login into the server, I don't know why but the auth tokens were not working.

just as mysteriously as it stopped working, it came back lol. Feebuddy is back
legendary
Activity: 1568
Merit: 6660
bitcoincleanup.com / bitmixlist.org
February 08, 2024, 06:18:21 AM
Oh dear.

I think we have left FeeBuddy unattended for too long, and now it's made a mess.

But it DID make sense, https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.63607204

Canchain,and MoBox. Roll Eyes

Two more "projects" building on top of Bitcoin that are using their capital, both human and financial capital, very inefficiently by wasting their time and resources in developing those projects that will be hard to boot-strap with users because the network will be too expensive to use.

SatoshiDice and there was an on-chain sports betting service that closed because running everything on-chain, although very ideal, was becoming impractical and too expensive.

Nowadays, the price of bitcoin makes such ventures too expensive for any practical use.
copper member
Activity: 350
Merit: 21
bc1qvq66kccea2fdqft6kss2zyn8y32z8xyy9rzhp0
February 08, 2024, 06:00:00 AM
     
  • fastestFee: 26 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 24 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 23 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 22 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 11 sat/vB
copper member
Activity: 350
Merit: 21
bc1qvq66kccea2fdqft6kss2zyn8y32z8xyy9rzhp0
February 08, 2024, 12:00:01 AM
     
  • fastestFee: 26 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 24 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 23 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 22 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 11 sat/vB
copper member
Activity: 350
Merit: 21
bc1qvq66kccea2fdqft6kss2zyn8y32z8xyy9rzhp0
February 07, 2024, 06:00:00 PM
     
  • fastestFee: 21 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 21 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 21 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 18 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 9 sat/vB
copper member
Activity: 350
Merit: 21
bc1qvq66kccea2fdqft6kss2zyn8y32z8xyy9rzhp0
February 06, 2024, 12:00:01 PM
     
  • fastestFee: 26 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 25 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 25 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 20 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 10 sat/vB
copper member
Activity: 350
Merit: 21
bc1qvq66kccea2fdqft6kss2zyn8y32z8xyy9rzhp0
February 06, 2024, 06:00:01 AM
     
  • fastestFee: 24 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 24 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 24 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 24 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 12 sat/vB
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
February 06, 2024, 03:28:35 AM
Is that a "Double Top" Pattern? Hahaha.

Someone is paying so much for transactions
 Makes no sense.

I also see lots of blocks in the mempool  and many blocks 100% filled with transactions like this, 60 inputs (legacy) and 1 output (segwit)

https://mempool.space/pt/tx/30e69caa762c832bafb0b1a95c67a0d1edb5986dfb69c983f5fba0343aa1300e

Someone is creating this transactions to flood the network?


But it DID make sense, https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.63607204

Canchain,and MoBox. Roll Eyes

Two more "projects" building on top of Bitcoin that are using their capital, both human and financial capital, very inefficiently by wasting their time and resources in developing those projects that will be hard to boot-strap with users because the network will be too expensive to use.

SatoshiDice and there was an on-chain sports betting service that closed because running everything on-chain, although very ideal, was becoming impractical and too expensive.
copper member
Activity: 350
Merit: 21
bc1qvq66kccea2fdqft6kss2zyn8y32z8xyy9rzhp0
February 06, 2024, 12:00:01 AM
     
  • fastestFee: 26 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 25 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 25 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 25 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 18 sat/vB
copper member
Activity: 350
Merit: 21
bc1qvq66kccea2fdqft6kss2zyn8y32z8xyy9rzhp0
February 05, 2024, 06:00:01 PM
     
  • fastestFee: 24 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 24 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 24 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 24 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 21 sat/vB
legendary
Activity: 3934
Merit: 11405
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
February 05, 2024, 05:03:13 PM
Maybe one thing that I might add is that if the transaction fees are currently coming back down and eating through the 20 sats per vbyte backlog, then we might be able to conclude that whatever was being done in the last 3 months or so in order to keep the fees high might not be sustainable (and maybe costing the attackers too much), and it may well be better to not change anything in any kind of substantial ways rather than to be forced (or rushed) into some kind of a change that is largely being artificially justified by the three month backlog in order to cause people to speculate that something in bitcoin is broken or some urgent change is needed (when it is not)... and so yeah, there might not be as much urgency as some complainers (cough, cough franky1) are trying to spout out about.
observing mempool you will see the fees didnt come down to allow blocks to eat through the 20sat/vb backlog

Maybe my language was not precise enough for uie-pooie..

I did not say that they ate through the 20 sats per vbyte territory.. I had meant to say that it has been in the process of eating through.. and so maybe you are getting caught up upon language in order to quibble about meaningless matters.

My subsequent chart had shown that there are ranges of backlog, and I had ONLY provided the last week which shows that largely the widdling away of backlog has been in the 20-25 sats per vbyte range, and prior to that it was in higher ranges such as 25-30 sats per vbyte, 30-40 sats per vbyte, 40-50 sats per vbyte etc etc etc...

So we can even zoom out further on that same chart that I had already provided earlier and see the backlog continuing to get widdled away, including that currently, in the past week or so, we having the 20-25 sats per vbyte backlog widdled away.

instead the 20sat/vb got purged. then some 16sat/vb added and got purged , then some 20sat/vb added and got purged because the min went upto 21 before new fresh tx added to mempool from 16sat/vb up.. and then purged again back to 20
     
  • fastestFee: 26 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 25 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 25 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 25 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 16 sat/vB
     
  • fastestFee: 26 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 25 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 25 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 25 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 20 sat/vB
     
  • fastestFee: 24 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 24 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 24 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 24 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 16 sat/vB
     
  • fastestFee: 28 sat/vB
  • halfHourFee: 26 sat/vB
  • hourFee: 25 sat/vB
  • economyFee: 25 sat/vB
  • minimumFee: 21 sat/vB
you can see that jochen-hoenicke retains tx below 20sat/vb because HIS mempool is set at 550MB instead of standard 300
but by seeing the straight line(unnatural) of the 20-21 colours they are purged by majority which means only jochen-hoenicke is retaining them hence the straight line. where most natural transactions of 300mb mempools are purging cheap fees
(if very cheap tx were being added you would see wiggly lines of tx's coming and going as they get relayed in - confirmed out)

I am not presuming that transactions are being processed for lower than the backlog amounts, so right now, if you are trying to be economical as you can, then to be safer, it would likely be better to place your transaction fees in the 25-30 sats per vbyte range rather than in the 20-25 sats per vbyte or any lower than 25-30 sats per vbyte... .so of course, as the backlog gets widdled away then we are able to put our economic transactions lower, but if want to be sure that they go through quickly we have to go a bit higher than the backlog and hope that any spike is not sustainable.. since it does seem to take a bit of time to build up the backlog in the various ranges, and I still am not even claiming to have much clues about the causes, even though as many of us here, I am not suspecting the backlog to be as organic as it might be being presented to be.. but hey I don't know enough.. so I am more than willing to wait to attempt to weigh what others think or what kinds of evidence is presented regarding plausible causes and theories of sustainability of keeping fees up like that and if shenanigans might be going on or just shenanigans that are costing the attackers a lot of money to keep up the ruse..

if you zoom right in on the jochen graph you might see the very rare one pixel change meaning maybe a little amount of cheap tx got into some lucky block. but  the overall straight line shows there is no real coming of going of tx of that fee point because they get purged.. not eaten by block

the "min" is more of a purge line.

Maybe there are better charts to show your purge theory?  I admit that I heard about some of these purging ideas but I have not really looked into it.. Also, I am not opposed to the idea that low ball transactions might sometimes get purged or some software might not allow fees to get set below certain amounts, but I just don't see how transactions would be being purged at anywhere within 30% or so of the backlog line (referring to the jochen graph).. and then also if the backlog line is continuing to go down, then there seems to be less and less reason to be engaging in any purging.. except maybe way below 5 sats per vbyte or something like that, and I had also heard that some wallets might not allow transactions to get set when they are at certain low levels..  .. but to me the backlog still seems to be going down... at least for now...and really in the last 30 days, even though the there has been a lot of transaction fee-related suffering in the last 3 months.

legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 5154
**In BTC since 2013**
February 05, 2024, 03:40:44 PM
you can see that jochen-hoenicke retains tx below 20sat/vb because HIS mempool is set at 550MB instead of standard 300
but by seeing the straight line(unnatural) of the 20-21 colours they are purged by majority which means only jochen-hoenicke is retaining them hence the straight line. where most natural transactions of 300mb mempools are purging cheap fees
(if very cheap tx were being added you would see wiggly lines of tx's coming and going as they get relayed in - confirmed out)

In another topic I'm developing, here: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/2024-difficulty-cycle-analysis-blocks-per-pool-5483213

I'm gathering some information about the blocks mined in each difficulty cycle, and that includes the average rates for each block mined.
And it is really interesting to note that in the last cycle, there was no block with an average rate below 50sat/vb.
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