MetaWin.com | The First WEB3 Casino - page 22.

shield132

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Quote from: freedomgo on August 03, 2024, 10:59:40 PM

Quote from: Taskford on August 03, 2024, 08:32:20 AM

That poll or what you say theory determine that Trump have higher chance to win, but not necessarily to take since you are still gonna decide if you want to take a risk to bet on Harris to see if there's miracle gonna happen or if people in US realize that they need her than Trump.

But for sure majority would rather go to Trump since the provability to win is huge since he is well supported by various group and we can see that in polls. I don't know if there's a changes but it seems like this election will be one sided and victory goes to Trump. Its really hard for Harris to win knowing Trump is so strong this year.

My point here is that the survey showing Kamala Harris close to Trump might be manipulated. The reality is that Trump is really dominating, so the current odds are overvalued for Harris and undervalued for Trump, which I believe is a good deal if I were to bet on Trump. Of course, anything could happen, and our speculation could be wrong with Harris winning, but that's part of gambling—we have to accept it since we can't see the future.

Democrats hate Trump and his winning is their worst nightmare. I believe that they are manipulating the surveys because if you tell society today that Kamala Harris is very close to Trump and you manipulate the results of elections, then people won't have a sense of stealing results from them because these polls are the "proof" that Harris was very closed and surpassed in actual elections. That's an old trick that works.

Quote from: Learn Bitcoin on August 04, 2024, 01:49:16 AM

Miracle happens and an accident happens as well. Who knew that the Bangladesh U19 team will win the World Cup in 2020? Everyone predicted that India would win the match and everyone placed a bet against Bangladesh. But as you know, some crazy bangladeshi people placed bet for Bangladesh and they won the world cup which is like dream came true for them.

Who could imagine that Girona FC would rank number 3 on La Liga? And who could also imagine that there would be a time when Girona FC would be n1 in la liga and Real Madrid - number 2.
Who could imagine that Georgia would win 2:0 against Portugal in EURO 2024? No one.

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Quote from: iv4n on August 03, 2024, 07:25:57 AM

I don't have ability to predict the winner, I just feel there will be a surprise (and I would like to see a surprise), and I can be very wrong about it... Many people here are experienced gamblers, but sometimes it's all about luck and miracles. By the way, I am not from the US as well, I just follow the international news.

I don't think anyone has the full ability to predict the winner. But we all can predict according to our experience and we might be wrong. I usually do not follow the news related to politics. I do not really care who wins or who loses. But, It seems that I am growing up every day and want to choose a leader over another. We all want justice for people. I will support whoever works better regardless of his party.

Quote

Well, those who expect to win a bet usually end up disappointed... I learned that a long time ago. It's gambling, there are no 101% safe bets, we can hope to win (which is perfectly normal, we all wish to win), but with every dollar we risk on any kind of betting we should be aware that we can easily lose. People lose even when the chances of winning are high, and sometimes people win against all odds... it's gambling. So I rarely expect to win, I hope I will win and I would like to win, but after decades of gambling I had so many wins/losses so I play because I love the game, winning is just a cherry on top.

Miracle happens and an accident happens as well. Who knew that the Bangladesh U19 team will win the World Cup in 2020? Everyone predicted that India would win the match and everyone placed a bet against Bangladesh. But as you know, some crazy bangladeshi people placed bet for Bangladesh and they won the world cup which is like dream came true for them.

freedomgo

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Quote from: Taskford on August 03, 2024, 08:32:20 AM

That poll or what you say theory determine that Trump have higher chance to win, but not necessarily to take since you are still gonna decide if you want to take a risk to bet on Harris to see if there's miracle gonna happen or if people in US realize that they need her than Trump.

But for sure majority would rather go to Trump since the provability to win is huge since he is well supported by various group and we can see that in polls. I don't know if there's a changes but it seems like this election will be one sided and victory goes to Trump. Its really hard for Harris to win knowing Trump is so strong this year.

My point here is that the survey showing Kamala Harris close to Trump might be manipulated. The reality is that Trump is really dominating, so the current odds are overvalued for Harris and undervalued for Trump, which I believe is a good deal if I were to bet on Trump. Of course, anything could happen, and our speculation could be wrong with Harris winning, but that's part of gambling—we have to accept it since we can't see the future.

shield132

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Quote from: avp2306 on August 02, 2024, 06:03:58 PM

The shooting incident gives good boost to Trumps presidency since lots of people give their sympathy in that failed assassination plot. That's why everything goes in favor for the man and provably that Trump would secure his victory this season. That's why I bet on Trump because the pace is different and provably people will not change their decision on who's candidate they are going to vote. Its not sports where underdog still have a high chance to win, but let see if some controversy will affect their candidacy.

Besides that, it's the last chance for Trump to become the president of the United States. He is in good shape, both physically and mentally, he has experience and I think there is no way he is going to lose, he has too many advantages over his opponents and that failed assassination really boosted his chances.

Quote from: Wapfika on August 03, 2024, 04:11:53 AM

America has a different election format. Trump needs to dominate most of the state and since every state has different number of voting power. It’s very hard to conduct a survey on a format like this because you literally need to circle the America just to get a decent survey result. Cheesy

I’m not really familiar on US Election but it’s always the survey top contender win the election that’s why betting on their election is always profitable. With Trump heroic shot on the ear, I doubt that he will still lose this election while people already have high hopes on him.

Who’s already made a bet here @ Metawin?

You are right, you really need to travel in all US states except Alaska. If I was living in the United States, I would really go that far Cheesy

Quote from: Wapfika on August 03, 2024, 04:11:53 AM

Who’s already made a bet here @ Metawin?

I made a bet on Trump already on Metawin but I'm going to bet more money on him.

Taskford

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Quote from: freedomgo on August 03, 2024, 07:49:03 AM

Quote from: Kemarit on August 03, 2024, 07:43:08 AM

Quote from: tranthidung on August 03, 2024, 07:34:01 AM

Quote from: freedomgo on August 02, 2024, 10:42:58 PM

Looks like Kamala Harris are getting closer to Trump's popularity as we can see on the current odds updated last august 1, 2024

Quote from: https://www.oddstrader.com/betting/analysis/us-election-odds/

2024 Presidential Candidate    Odds   Implied Win Probability
Donald Trump     -138   57.98%
Kamala Harris +110   47.62%
Michelle Obama +6600   1.49%

Somehow the Democrat Party and Kamala Harris forced or cooperated with Google to mislead search result for Donald Trump, to show results and links of Kamala Harris on top. While oppositely if we search Kamala Harris, Google doesn't show Donald Trump on top.

It is truly miracle that Google accepted to do this for Democrat Party and Kamala Harris. It is natural to see exposure of Kamala Harris increases sharply recent weeks.

Will she win the election?
I don't know but recent days many people on X already debunked these misleading information and ugly manipulation too. Only people don't have reasonable brain, can trust Kamala Harris.

Yeah, I'm not a US citizen, but from what I read in the news, somewhat some media are trying to manipulate and at least report the Kamala Harris is closing the gape in terms of her chances to win against Trump.

I haven't put my bet yet, still enjoying the live roulette games for now. Grin

So that theory suggests that we should take Trump, right?

I guess I would not doubt taking Trump when thinking of betting some serious money. -138 is not so bad after all. Besides, Trump has already proven he can win as he already became president before, while Harris is trying to defy history by becoming the first woman president, which is not easy.

That poll or what you say theory determine that Trump have higher chance to win, but not necessarily to take since you are still gonna decide if you want to take a risk to bet on Harris to see if there's miracle gonna happen or if people in US realize that they need her than Trump.

But for sure majority would rather go to Trump since the provability to win is huge since he is well supported by various group and we can see that in polls. I don't know if there's a changes but it seems like this election will be one sided and victory goes to Trump. Its really hard for Harris to win knowing Trump is so strong this year.

freedomgo

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Quote from: Kemarit on August 03, 2024, 07:43:08 AM

Quote from: tranthidung on August 03, 2024, 07:34:01 AM

Quote from: freedomgo on August 02, 2024, 10:42:58 PM

Looks like Kamala Harris are getting closer to Trump's popularity as we can see on the current odds updated last august 1, 2024

Quote from: https://www.oddstrader.com/betting/analysis/us-election-odds/

2024 Presidential Candidate    Odds   Implied Win Probability
Donald Trump     -138   57.98%
Kamala Harris +110   47.62%
Michelle Obama +6600   1.49%

Somehow the Democrat Party and Kamala Harris forced or cooperated with Google to mislead search result for Donald Trump, to show results and links of Kamala Harris on top. While oppositely if we search Kamala Harris, Google doesn't show Donald Trump on top.

It is truly miracle that Google accepted to do this for Democrat Party and Kamala Harris. It is natural to see exposure of Kamala Harris increases sharply recent weeks.

Will she win the election?
I don't know but recent days many people on X already debunked these misleading information and ugly manipulation too. Only people don't have reasonable brain, can trust Kamala Harris.

Yeah, I'm not a US citizen, but from what I read in the news, somewhat some media are trying to manipulate and at least report the Kamala Harris is closing the gape in terms of her chances to win against Trump.

I haven't put my bet yet, still enjoying the live roulette games for now. Grin

So that theory suggests that we should take Trump, right?

I guess I would not doubt taking Trump when thinking of betting some serious money. -138 is not so bad after all. Besides, Trump has already proven he can win as he already became president before, while Harris is trying to defy history by becoming the first woman president, which is not easy.

tranthidung

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Quote from: Kemarit on August 03, 2024, 07:43:08 AM

Yeah, I'm not a US citizen, but from what I read in the news, somewhat some media are trying to manipulate and at least report the Kamala Harris is closing the gape in terms of her chances to win against Trump.

I haven't put my bet yet, still enjoying the live roulette games for now. Grin

It is big surprise but it mainly brings side effects to Kamala Harris when ugly activities, manipulations are debunk by community. I am not a US citizen, but assume I am, and I am also a swing citizen, voter, by knowing this fact, I will not believe in Kamala and will not vote for her.

For loyal supporters of Democrat Party, will significant people change their mind and vote for Trump, it's big question and I don't know the answer. The election in November will let us know.

Trump debunk another thing: Kamala is an Indian women, not Black one. I did not know about it because I am not the US citizen you know.

Mother of Kamala https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shyamala_Gopalan

I seems systematic lie from Democratic Party recent years.

Quote from: freedomgo on August 03, 2024, 07:49:03 AM

while Harris is trying to defy history by becoming the first woman president, which is not easy.

True. Hillary Clinton is a better woman politician than Kamala but failed against Trump.

Kemarit

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Quote from: tranthidung on August 03, 2024, 07:34:01 AM

Quote from: freedomgo on August 02, 2024, 10:42:58 PM

Looks like Kamala Harris are getting closer to Trump's popularity as we can see on the current odds updated last august 1, 2024

Quote from: https://www.oddstrader.com/betting/analysis/us-election-odds/

2024 Presidential Candidate    Odds   Implied Win Probability
Donald Trump     -138   57.98%
Kamala Harris +110   47.62%
Michelle Obama +6600   1.49%

Somehow the Democrat Party and Kamala Harris forced or cooperated with Google to mislead search result for Donald Trump, to show results and links of Kamala Harris on top. While oppositely if we search Kamala Harris, Google doesn't show Donald Trump on top.

It is truly miracle that Google accepted to do this for Democrat Party and Kamala Harris. It is natural to see exposure of Kamala Harris increases sharply recent weeks.

Will she win the election?
I don't know but recent days many people on X already debunked these misleading information and ugly manipulation too. Only people don't have reasonable brain, can trust Kamala Harris.

Yeah, I'm not a US citizen, but from what I read in the news, somewhat some media are trying to manipulate and at least report the Kamala Harris is closing the gape in terms of her chances to win against Trump.

I haven't put my bet yet, still enjoying the live roulette games for now. Grin

tranthidung

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Farewell o_e_l_e_o

Quote from: freedomgo on August 02, 2024, 10:42:58 PM

Looks like Kamala Harris are getting closer to Trump's popularity as we can see on the current odds updated last august 1, 2024

Quote from: https://www.oddstrader.com/betting/analysis/us-election-odds/

2024 Presidential Candidate    Odds   Implied Win Probability
Donald Trump     -138   57.98%
Kamala Harris +110   47.62%
Michelle Obama +6600   1.49%

Somehow the Democrat Party and Kamala Harris forced or cooperated with Google to mislead search result for Donald Trump, to show results and links of Kamala Harris on top. While oppositely if we search Kamala Harris, Google doesn't show Donald Trump on top.

It is truly miracle that Google accepted to do this for Democrat Party and Kamala Harris. It is natural to see exposure of Kamala Harris increases sharply recent weeks.

Will she win the election?
I don't know but recent days many people on X already debunked these misleading information and ugly manipulation too. Only people don't have reasonable brain, can trust Kamala Harris.

iv4n

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Activity: 3248

Merit: 1179

Quote from: Learn Bitcoin on August 03, 2024, 03:49:50 AM

Quote from: iv4n on August 02, 2024, 04:05:42 AM

...

Well, Miracle happens! But I don't think it's a wise decision to gamble hoping there will be a miracle as well. Nothing stopping you to place a bet on whoever you think are going to win, I won't suggest you anything since you are way experienced than I. So, I want to believe that you have the ability to predict who has some potential to win. I am not even from the United States. So, I barely know other candidates except for some known candidates. If you want to try your luck with just a few bucks, there is nothing wrong in it. But I hope you won't expect much from those bets. Otherwise, you may get disappointed.

I don't have ability to predict the winner, I just feel there will be a surprise (and I would like to see a surprise), and I can be very wrong about it... Many people here are experienced gamblers, but sometimes it's all about luck and miracles. By the way, I am not from the US as well, I just follow the international news.

Well, those who expect to win a bet usually end up disappointed... I learned that a long time ago. It's gambling, there are no 101% safe bets, we can hope to win (which is perfectly normal, we all wish to win), but with every dollar we risk on any kind of betting we should be aware that we can easily lose. People lose even when the chances of winning are high, and sometimes people win against all odds... it's gambling. So I rarely expect to win, I hope I will win and I would like to win, but after decades of gambling I had so many wins/losses so I play because I love the game, winning is just a cherry on top.

Wapfika

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Quote from: shield132 on August 02, 2024, 08:28:22 AM

I am so sure that Trump will win that if I were the sportsbook owner, I wouldn't accept bets on him Grin

If I was living in the United States, I would travel through the states and randomly ask 1500 people who are they going to vote in the 2024 US presidential election. As far as I remember from the university, 1500 randomly chosen people are enough to give you a very accurate estimation, a margin of error is 3% in this case.
To say shortly, I would collect the results and if Trump was significantly leading in my poll, then I would sell the house and bet on him. I would do it at the last day of the bet because no one knows what's going to happen before. A small leak is enough to totally destroy the reputation of any presidential candidate. Now they are fighting like wolves and will try to leak as much information as possible to ruin each other's reputation.

America has a different election format. Trump needs to dominate most of the state and since every state has different number of voting power. It’s very hard to conduct a survey on a format like this because you literally need to circle the America just to get a decent survey result. Cheesy

I’m not really familiar on US Election but it’s always the survey top contender win the election that’s why betting on their election is always profitable. With Trump heroic shot on the ear, I doubt that he will still lose this election while people already have high hopes on him.

Who’s already made a bet here @ Metawin?

Learn Bitcoin

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Quote from: iv4n on August 02, 2024, 04:05:42 AM

I totally agree with you, the presidential election is a completely different matter, but I think we will see some surprise, or at least I would like to. The difference between the odds speaks for themselves, and the situation seems pretty clear, but there's always some chance for the underdog to break through. I don't wish to turn this into a political discussion, but I think Kennedy is much more "normal" than other candidates. There has never been a woman president in the United States, so I guess it might be time for that to come...

I will "waste" a few dollars on a few picks, it's more for fun than for some serious profits... so it's not a big deal, if we compare this risk with risking money on slots maybe I have even higher chances. So I will risk a few $1 spins and we will see.

Well, Miracle happens! But I don't think it's a wise decision to gamble hoping there will be a miracle as well. Nothing stopping you to place a bet on whoever you think are going to win, I won't suggest you anything since you are way experienced than I. So, I want to believe that you have the ability to predict who has some potential to win. I am not even from the United States. So, I barely know other candidates except for some known candidates. If you want to try your luck with just a few bucks, there is nothing wrong in it. But I hope you won't expect much from those bets. Otherwise, you may get disappointed.

freedomgo

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Activity: 3248

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Looks like Kamala Harris are getting closer to Trump's popularity as we can see on the current odds updated last august 1, 2024

Quote from: https://www.oddstrader.com/betting/analysis/us-election-odds/

2024 Presidential Candidate    Odds   Implied Win Probability
Donald Trump     -138   57.98%
Kamala Harris +110   47.62%
Michelle Obama +6600   1.49%

Or it could be that we are just being confused by the bookies to make us believe that Harris has a good shot of beating Trump, when in reality Trump is obviously going to win by a landslide victory. Does my speculation make sense at all?

avp2306

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Quote from: Learn Bitcoin on August 01, 2024, 11:51:42 PM

Quote from: iv4n on July 30, 2024, 08:49:38 AM

I think we will see some surprises, and maybe it would be better to place some bets on some underdogs now when the odds are higher, as election day is getting closer the odds can really change. I will probably do it like that, a few lower bets on some underdogs with higher odds sounds better option in my opinion.

I feel like you are going to waste your money bro. It's not a typical game where if a person can perform well, they may win the match. It's an election which fully depends on the people of that country and look at the difference between the odds. I don't think anyone else has any chance to win except Trump or Kamala Harris.

If it were a match between Argentina and Saudi Arabia, there is a possibility that Saudi Arabia may defeat Argentina no matter how strong Argentina is. But, as I said, it's not a typical game or sport where the result can be changed based on a player's performance or a team's performance. The candidates have nothing to do in the elections except try to convince people to vote for them.

That's what I feel for some people try to bet on other candidates since its like Trump is clear victor for this year election. Many good things happen and their camp really do a nice job for tackling critical issues and win the heart of people and we see the approach since Trump always leading in poll. Although there are times that Harris go close but I don't think that's enough for her to win against Trump.

The shooting incident gives good boost to Trumps presidency since lots of people give their sympathy in that failed assassination plot. That's why everything goes in favor for the man and provably that Trump would secure his victory this season. That's why I bet on Trump because the pace is different and provably people will not change their decision on who's candidate they are going to vote. Its not sports where underdog still have a high chance to win, but let see if some controversy will affect their candidacy.

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Quote from: shield132 on August 02, 2024, 08:28:22 AM

Quote from: iv4n on July 30, 2024, 08:49:38 AM

~~~

I am so sure that Trump will win that if I were the sportsbook owner, I wouldn't accept bets on him Grin

Lol, got it mate. I agree that Trump probably has a higher chance of winning than the other candidates, but anything is still very possible so this bet is just worth it for fun.

Quote from: shield132 on August 02, 2024, 08:28:22 AM

If I was living in the United States, I would travel through the states and randomly ask 1500 people who are they going to vote in the 2024 US presidential election. As far as I remember from the university, 1500 randomly chosen people are enough to give you a very accurate estimation, a margin of error is 3% in this case.

Another best idea is to conduct a survey and get more respondents. The data or survey results may still be at odds with reality, that's why I really can't trust the results before the election is held. The presidential election in my country is also full of drama, I mean the favorite is different but the winner is also different.

shield132

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Quote from: iv4n on July 30, 2024, 08:49:38 AM

But somehow I doubt that Trump will win this one... I think we will see some surprises, and maybe it would be better to place some bets on some underdogs now when the odds are higher, as election day is getting closer the odds can really change. I will probably do it like that, a few lower bets on some underdogs with higher odds sounds better option in my opinion.

I am so sure that Trump will win that if I were the sportsbook owner, I wouldn't accept bets on him Grin

If I was living in the United States, I would travel through the states and randomly ask 1500 people who are they going to vote in the 2024 US presidential election. As far as I remember from the university, 1500 randomly chosen people are enough to give you a very accurate estimation, a margin of error is 3% in this case.
To say shortly, I would collect the results and if Trump was significantly leading in my poll, then I would sell the house and bet on him. I would do it at the last day of the bet because no one knows what's going to happen before. A small leak is enough to totally destroy the reputation of any presidential candidate. Now they are fighting like wolves and will try to leak as much information as possible to ruin each other's reputation.

iv4n

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Quote from: Learn Bitcoin on August 01, 2024, 11:51:42 PM

Quote from: iv4n on July 30, 2024, 08:49:38 AM

...

I feel like you are going to waste your money bro. It's not a typical game where if a person can perform well, they may win the match. It's an election which fully depends on the people of that country and look at the difference between the odds. I don't think anyone else has any chance to win except Trump or Kamala Harris.

If it were a match between Argentina and Saudi Arabia, there is a possibility that Saudi Arabia may defeat Argentina no matter how strong Argentina is. But, as I said, it's not a typical game or sport where the result can be changed based on a player's performance or a team's performance. The candidates have nothing to do in the elections except try to convince people to vote for them.

I totally agree with you, the presidential election is a completely different matter, but I think we will see some surprise, or at least I would like to. The difference between the odds speaks for themselves, and the situation seems pretty clear, but there's always some chance for the underdog to break through. I don't wish to turn this into a political discussion, but I think Kennedy is much more "normal" than other candidates. There has never been a woman president in the United States, so I guess it might be time for that to come...

I will "waste" a few dollars on a few picks, it's more for fun than for some serious profits... so it's not a big deal, if we compare this risk with risking money on slots maybe I have even higher chances. So I will risk a few $1 spins and we will see.

Learn Bitcoin

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Instant cryptocurrency exchange with own reserves!

Quote from: iv4n on July 30, 2024, 08:49:38 AM

I think we will see some surprises, and maybe it would be better to place some bets on some underdogs now when the odds are higher, as election day is getting closer the odds can really change. I will probably do it like that, a few lower bets on some underdogs with higher odds sounds better option in my opinion.

I feel like you are going to waste your money bro. It's not a typical game where if a person can perform well, they may win the match. It's an election which fully depends on the people of that country and look at the difference between the odds. I don't think anyone else has any chance to win except Trump or Kamala Harris.

If it were a match between Argentina and Saudi Arabia, there is a possibility that Saudi Arabia may defeat Argentina no matter how strong Argentina is. But, as I said, it's not a typical game or sport where the result can be changed based on a player's performance or a team's performance. The candidates have nothing to do in the elections except try to convince people to vote for them.

Potato Chips

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Quote from: Kemarit on July 31, 2024, 03:03:14 AM

Not sure though if there are streamers here, from what I observed, most of us here are pure gamblers,

.

True, most of us probably don't stream. Personally, I only know @/GxSTxV from this thread: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/day-streaming-as-gambler-experience-5497704. But they're relatively new in the game. Perhaps, there may be more folks who have not mentioned they're streaming though, I'm not expecting huge numbers, probably just a several more at best.

In any case, it's good they're expanding their promotions. Recently, accounts with good following (around 100k) have been posting about them as well.

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Quote from: seoincorporation on August 01, 2024, 08:39:57 AM

for sure that's a great promotion, this way the site attracts attention from a lot of streamers, and keeps the big ones.

But why not formalize it, the site could have a section about the streamers opportunity, with a deal like, "You get $250 with an x40 rollover and a max win of $500 for each stream" I mean, is really hard for the streamers to make money with this kind of deals, but it's how it works, in the other hand it would be hard for the casino to pay $500 daily for employees.

When you set up different rules, different award prizes, you will attract different streamers. They have different interests, hobbies and skills, hence you will get different effects from their streams for your company.

MetaWin marketing team can run different programs with different budgets too but surely they will gain very different results. I believe they know about it and perhaps will take our idea into consideration, for internal discussion, before deciding to do it or skip it in their next marketing plans.

Rules must include other things to assess or estimate effects from their streams. When money is in consideration to spend for marketing, many things need to be assessed very deeply.

Topic: MetaWin.com | The First WEB3 Casino - page 22. (Read 13342 times)