If someone wanted to move $1,000,000 using bitcoins, they would need about 1,428.57142857BTC if the exchange rate was $700 per 1BTC
Anyone with that much BTC? Let's say they'll get it from an exchange. Then that exchange would have to halt trading just to serve one order. That's just for $1M... So would moving a much larger amount be possible with bitcoins provided that the exchange rate is still pegged at $700-$800?
you don't move the bulk, you script the entire amount to move in smaller pieces. you are not paying more, the fee is a percentage, so ten 1 dollar tx's pay the same amount as one $10 tx. i used an exchange earlier as an example, but if you have $1M on an exchange, it is from trading and not dirty, or you moved it there for some stupid reason. the exchange has your private key and the only scripting you can do is possibly through an API.
$1M dirty is in a wallet that you control and you have the ability to move it in bulk if you want, but you should be scripting smaller moves simultaneously
exactly, for it all to be clean, don't move in bulk. but laundering is equated with moving large volumes of cash from one place to another. then with bitcoin, it won't be possible move really large amounts. and with billions of people all over the world wanting to move large volumes of money undetected, would bitcoin and/or other cryptos be their option?
again, you simply manually script in all the transactions, move the "bulk" as thousands of small transactions, all at the same time, to different addresses.
yes, i agree. you're all correct about covering tracks and i would do that too if i had that much supply to move. but that was not my point. my point is that there isn't much bitcoins to do that. how many people all over the world have bitcoins? who is the one person who holds the most amount of bitcoins?
in 2013(?)... was that the silk road incident, when the US seized $25 million in bitcoins? whatever happened to those bitcoins after they were seized? does anyone know? so those seized bitcoins aren't in circulation anymore, right? And as of 2014, the total amount of bitcoins in circulation was 12 million (according to reports). How much is in circulation now?
So if one person in Asia, wanted to move just a million dollars and then another in Europe wanted to move another million, where would these two get the equivalent amount of their holdings in bitcoins? To think that they aren't the only two all over the world who wants to discreetly move their funds somewhere else. There wouldn't be enough bitcoins because the coins are dispersed all over the world with only 12 million in circulation...
firstly, the $12M is an estimate and those $25M are more than half back in circulation. the same concept that the gov used to trace the coins for the bust was used by a small team of coders several months later to trace them back into the "pool", just a choice of words and obviously not a pool.
but, let's pretend that the $12 is accurate and that it is not just a basically guessed at number using a few bits of data. let's lower it to $10 even. the standard economic law of 80/20/20/80 is slightly different off with BTC, but we can use that. That means that 20% of BTC holders have 80% of the BTC, or $8M worth. and that select group, while spread throughout the world and business is still pretty tight knit and many of them know each other. it is not hard to move money within that area of business.
as for bitcoins not being used for medium scale laundering, we personally have six clients that move numbers like that over the course of six months. we do this for several people that need discreet fund movement and true anonymity. one of the things we recently added as a layer of confusion is fee randomization. using a mixer as an example again, these public joke mixers use hard fees, like exchanges, and they are just taking people's money for nothing. say you tried to use an exchange and a top out, single layer humphrey mix. the exchange fee is 3% and you are trying to clean 10 BTC. the 10 BTC are on address 14XXXXXX, that address splits out of ten new generation addresses, at the same moment 50 other tx's fire totaling 40 BTC, total output for the timestamp range is 50 BTC plus 3%, so 51.5 BTC. grab a pen and paper and you can find the answer within hours, a computer can do it within seconds, 10 of those 50 TX's, when added will equal 10.1 BTC, watch those addresses and be guaranteed that over a period of time they will filter down to a few addresses if not one, and eventually one. that is a simple hump mix, but shows that a static fee is an issue.
we randomize the fee between 1.5 and 8 percent. in the end the client will never pay more than 5% average. 10 BTC at 1.5 percent is 10.15 and at 8 it is 10.8. when the real numbers are much bigger than that, the possibility range gets very big. add to that the use of several mix systems and many other tricks, combined with the fact that we are not out there on the internet advertising the services and we are nearly impossible to trace.