Pages:
Author

Topic: More Bitcoin adoption = lower Bitcoin/Usd rate! - page 4. (Read 4630 times)

hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
I got Satoshi's avatar!
If you go back and count from the beginning, you'll notice that the price has increased with adoption... how do you explain the first few years? It was worth only a fraction of a cent and now it's over $260.

Everyone seems to be using arbitrary starting points that support their ideas.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
you cannot make any assuptions on true demand or true supply. or true value...

because the indicator you all only see is the price. and this price is so fake you dont realise it.

just look at the exchanges. they are not moving 13million coins. they are not even moving 1.3 million coins. they are not even moving 130k coins...

the exchanges are moving less than 1% of the market cap. infact its less than 1 tenth of a percent. so trying to link exchange movements to proper market trends of the whole 13million coins is utterly obsurd!!

open your eyes people, the exchanges should not be the value bases of bitcoin

Hence when something with real market depth appears fake Chinese exchanges will entirely cease to have any meaningful push or pull on the exchange price.

A new liquid ETF or a regulated US exchange are my bets.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1094
Learning the troll avoidance button :)
I wrote this early 2014 and I think it is still relevant. The more adoption we see the lower Bitcoin/Usd will go!

http://razorsforex.blogspot.com/2014/02/bitcoin-adoption-bitcoin-price-stability.html

Well I was part of the camp that increasing Bitcoin adoption is a good thing in the long run but the conversions to FIAT immediately on any purchase keeps driving the price down as people do not hold Bitcoin for value
Until we switch from that turning point the price is pretty much stuck in a downtrend but as for how long that will take I expect it to end in 2015 although we haven't started off that well yet.
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
you cannot make any assuptions on true demand or true supply. or true value...

because the indicator you all only see is the price. and this price is so fake you dont realise it.

just look at the exchanges. they are not moving 13million coins. they are not even moving 1.3 million coins. they are not even moving 130k coins...

the exchanges are moving less than 1% of the market cap. infact its less than 1 tenth of a percent. so trying to link exchange movements to proper market trends of the whole 13million coins is utterly obsurd!!

open your eyes people, the exchanges should not be the value bases of bitcoin

The fact that the daily volume is a small portion of the market cap is irrelevant.  Price does reflect what people are willing to pay. 
You are off your rocker as far I'm concerned when you say the exchange price is somehow fake.

x2. Value is derived from demand. Demand for bitcoin is suggested from buy sell orders.  If the merchant adoption was on par with consumer adoption or mainstream adoption for other purposes, the price would rise.  I see a whole bunch of merchants accepting it, and a whole bunch of already bitcoin holders spending it.
member
Activity: 152
Merit: 10
https://eloncity.io/
you cannot make any assuptions on true demand or true supply. or true value...

because the indicator you all only see is the price. and this price is so fake you dont realise it.


 I agree!

Quote

just look at the exchanges. they are not moving 13million coins. they are not even moving 1.3 million coins. they are not even moving 130k coins...

the exchanges are moving less than 1% of the market cap. infact its less than 1 tenth of a percent. so trying to link exchange movements to proper market trends of the whole 13million coins is utterly obsurd!!

open your eyes people, the exchanges should not be the value bases of bitcoin

I'm glad they don't move more volume of unique coins. If there were 13 million BTC on the ask side of exchanges, the real price would be $10.  Roll Eyes
finex has around $20 million in USD swaps. That's good for $1.53/BTC. Even if they had 50 million Dollars it only brings it up to $3.84 so $10 might be a little generous.

member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
merchants dumping is good to help prevent bubbles. You greedy bastards just whine because you don't get a bubble now.
legendary
Activity: 3038
Merit: 1032
RIP Mommy
1 BTC=1 ozt 99.9% gold

That brings it back up to the ATH.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1001
Yeah LOL, when Bitcoin was going up everyone was quoting the exchange rate, now that it is down somehow it is less indicative. Haha. I wish Bitcoin was valued in terms of something other then USD, but so far I haven't thought of anything else.

you cannot make any assuptions on true demand or true supply. or true value...

because the indicator you all only see is the price. and this price is so fake you dont realise it.

just look at the exchanges. they are not moving 13million coins. they are not even moving 1.3 million coins. they are not even moving 130k coins...

the exchanges are moving less than 1% of the market cap. infact its less than 1 tenth of a percent. so trying to link exchange movements to proper market trends of the whole 13million coins is utterly obsurd!!

open your eyes people, the exchanges should not be the value bases of bitcoin

Exchange rates are currently the best indicator we have of the fiat value of BTC. During extreme bull markets people do tend to overpay (with cash) at localbitcoins.
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
I can't see a relation between that facts

indeed, in the early years it has been the opposite
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1040
A Great Time to Start Something!
you cannot make any assuptions on true demand or true supply. or true value...

because the indicator you all only see is the price. and this price is so fake you dont realise it.

just look at the exchanges. they are not moving 13million coins. they are not even moving 1.3 million coins. they are not even moving 130k coins...

the exchanges are moving less than 1% of the market cap. infact its less than 1 tenth of a percent. so trying to link exchange movements to proper market trends of the whole 13million coins is utterly obsurd!!

open your eyes people, the exchanges should not be the value bases of bitcoin

Exchange rates are currently the best indicator we have of the fiat value of BTC. During extreme bull markets people do tend to overpay (with cash) at localbitcoins.
full member
Activity: 134
Merit: 100
I think what more we see altcoin scams and altcoins what anyone no need, that more bitcoin price drop. They want only fiat and dump stealed btc away instantly.
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political
you cannot make any assuptions on true demand or true supply. or true value...

because the indicator you all only see is the price. and this price is so fake you dont realise it.

just look at the exchanges. they are not moving 13million coins. they are not even moving 1.3 million coins. they are not even moving 130k coins...

the exchanges are moving less than 1% of the market cap. infact its less than 1 tenth of a percent. so trying to link exchange movements to proper market trends of the whole 13million coins is utterly obsurd!!

open your eyes people, the exchanges should not be the value bases of bitcoin

The fact that the daily volume is a small portion of the market cap is irrelevant.  Price does reflect what people are willing to pay. 
You are off your rocker as far I'm concerned when you say the exchange price is somehow fake.
legendary
Activity: 4424
Merit: 4794
you cannot make any assuptions on true demand or true supply. or true value...

because the indicator you all only see is the price. and this price is so fake you dont realise it.

just look at the exchanges. they are not moving 13million coins. they are not even moving 1.3 million coins. they are not even moving 130k coins...

the exchanges are moving less than 1% of the market cap. infact its less than 1 tenth of a percent. so trying to link exchange movements to proper market trends of the whole 13million coins is utterly obsurd!!

open your eyes people, the exchanges should not be the value bases of bitcoin
legendary
Activity: 1568
Merit: 1001
I wrote this early 2014 and I think it is still relevant. The more adoption we see the lower Bitcoin/Usd will go!

http://razorsforex.blogspot.com/2014/02/bitcoin-adoption-bitcoin-price-stability.html

I think that the more Bitcoin will be adopted, the bigger the price should be because Demand will increase.

There is no reason for the demand to increase unless the merchants provide discount enough for the customers to try and get Bitcoins. Usually, fiat works as well for the customer to buy their products.
This is what I've been saying for quite a while now (ever since all this news about big merchants accepting bitcoin became a semi-regular thing). I would've thought that Bitpay was orchestrating their pitch to companies willing to accept bitcoin and that they'd get even more business from bitcoin users providing they allow the protocol's advantages to allow for discounts to be offered by these businesses. Then, the end result would be better for the bitcoin price as demand would be a reoccurring thing in the overall market and make bitcoin a steady and demanded payment mechanism. Even w/ ATMs popping up there's really no incentive for anyone new to want to use them unless there's a sign at the businesses' payment counter incentivizing people to pay w/ it for a ~10% discount or so.
full member
Activity: 131
Merit: 100
I wrote this article when the exchange rate was @ 800, look where we are today. Those large retailers are not holding their BTC. They are dumping it on the market!

I wrote this early 2014 and I think it is still relevant. The more adoption we see the lower Bitcoin/Usd will go!

http://razorsforex.blogspot.com/2014/02/bitcoin-adoption-bitcoin-price-stability.html

I think that the more Bitcoin will be adopted, the bigger the price should be because Demand will increase.

Which creates a surplus which creates the drop in price.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1001
Also other brokerages that allow buying and selling Bitcoin on margin are not helping either. It just creates excessive volatility that is only good for speculation.

At some point, businesses insta-dumping will drop the exchange rate so low that they should start hoarding it and setting the rate themselves by reselling their own BTC at a massive profit.
legendary
Activity: 3038
Merit: 1032
RIP Mommy
At some point, businesses insta-dumping will drop the exchange rate so low that they should start hoarding it and setting the rate themselves by reselling their own BTC at a massive profit.
hero member
Activity: 584
Merit: 500
I wrote this early 2014 and I think it is still relevant. The more adoption we see the lower Bitcoin/Usd will go!

http://razorsforex.blogspot.com/2014/02/bitcoin-adoption-bitcoin-price-stability.html

I think that the more Bitcoin will be adopted, the bigger the price should be because Demand will increase.

There is no reason for the demand to increase unless the merchants provide discount enough for the customers to try and get Bitcoins. Usually, fiat works as well for the customer to buy their products.
hero member
Activity: 605
Merit: 500
Yes, definitely...  Pretty much everything (except people who buy and hold Bitcoin) creates downward pressure on BTC value right now. Even Bitcoin debit cards have to be converted to fiat in order to be useful. This is going to be long and organic process till we no longer need to value Bitcoin in fiat, and Bitcoin will stand on it's own merit. 
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1040
A Great Time to Start Something!
It needs to be easier for people to make decent part-time income from BTC, since full-time money would (probably/mostly) get converted to fiat. If "millions" of people can make ~10% to 25% of their income from BTC, then they would be likely to save it or spend, and not convert to paper cash.
Pages:
Jump to: