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Topic: My Speculation Thread (Charts and Analysis Included ;)) - page 9. (Read 22344 times)

hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 501
WAVES/BTC:  I'm out for now.



I've been meaning to get a post about Waves the minute this sell down happened because it hit my stoploss at .00045, .00046 and .00047 BTC, but Cryptrader was down and the moment it went up a day later, I got lazy.  Tongue

Anyway, yeah, I'm out of Waves but there's one thing that perplexes me.  Where is the volume spike?  It would tend to make me think that the whales that got this pumping in the first place are still holding.  But that's a big maybe.  Let's see what developments come up in the coming weeks.

Interesting. From what I can tell is around 120-150 BTC just exited in one big swoosh. Might have been just one guy.

Since BTC price changed so much over the past months I'm talking cents here. Around 80% of all my Waves I bought in August-September for an average of 19$ cents each, so those I'm still holding.
The ones I bought in October I sold when the drop happened at a tiny win.

The bottom seems to be 25 cents right now. If it drops below that I'm very open to buy in big.


I think you bought your waves with bitcoins, thus if you are trying to rationalize your loss talking in cents, welcome to the bag holder club.

Not at all actually.
I convert crypto to fiat every 2-4 months on average. All I care about is: I go in with 10k$, I come out with say 12k$. For those 2k$ extra I buy real things. Like say a holiday, clothes or other expenses. I don't understand what sounds so irrational about it and what an outdateed Satoshi price has to do with it.

Sure if it matters to you that much I bought in between 27-34K Satoshi months ago, back then BTC was 610$, now it's 730$.

If I would sell all my Waves for fiat right now I'm at big +.

"not all actually" i've seen better lies, where did you buy waves with $??

Moreover, now that it's clear that you invested in btc, you have to compare return vs btc, what if I tell you that it could have been much better to keep your money in btc and not waves depending on when you invested? that falacy...
member
Activity: 78
Merit: 10
WAVES/BTC:  I'm out for now.



I've been meaning to get a post about Waves the minute this sell down happened because it hit my stoploss at .00045, .00046 and .00047 BTC, but Cryptrader was down and the moment it went up a day later, I got lazy.  Tongue

Anyway, yeah, I'm out of Waves but there's one thing that perplexes me.  Where is the volume spike?  It would tend to make me think that the whales that got this pumping in the first place are still holding.  But that's a big maybe.  Let's see what developments come up in the coming weeks.

Interesting. From what I can tell is around 120-150 BTC just exited in one big swoosh. Might have been just one guy.

Since BTC price changed so much over the past months I'm talking cents here. Around 80% of all my Waves I bought in August-September for an average of 19$ cents each, so those I'm still holding.
The ones I bought in October I sold when the drop happened at a tiny win.

The bottom seems to be 25 cents right now. If it drops below that I'm very open to buy in big.


I think you bought your waves with bitcoins, thus if you are trying to rationalize your loss talking in cents, welcome to the bag holder club.

Not at all actually.
I convert crypto to fiat every 2-4 months on average. All I care about is: I go in with 10k$, I come out with say 12k$. For those 2k$ extra I buy real things. Like say a holiday, clothes or other expenses. I don't understand what sounds so irrational about it and what an outdateed Satoshi price has to do with it.

Sure if it matters to you that much I bought in between 27-34K Satoshi months ago, back then BTC was 610$, now it's 730$.

If I would sell all my Waves for fiat right now I'm at big +.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 501
WAVES/BTC:  I'm out for now.



I've been meaning to get a post about Waves the minute this sell down happened because it hit my stoploss at .00045, .00046 and .00047 BTC, but Cryptrader was down and the moment it went up a day later, I got lazy.  Tongue

Anyway, yeah, I'm out of Waves but there's one thing that perplexes me.  Where is the volume spike?  It would tend to make me think that the whales that got this pumping in the first place are still holding.  But that's a big maybe.  Let's see what developments come up in the coming weeks.

Interesting. From what I can tell is around 120-150 BTC just exited in one big swoosh. Might have been just one guy.

Since BTC price changed so much over the past months I'm talking cents here. Around 80% of all my Waves I bought in August-September for an average of 19$ cents each, so those I'm still holding.
The ones I bought in October I sold when the drop happened at a tiny win.

The bottom seems to be 25 cents right now. If it drops below that I'm very open to buy in big.

I think you bought your waves with bitcoins, thus if you are trying to rationalize your loss talking in cents, welcome to the bag holder club.
member
Activity: 78
Merit: 10
WAVES/BTC:  I'm out for now.



I've been meaning to get a post about Waves the minute this sell down happened because it hit my stoploss at .00045, .00046 and .00047 BTC, but Cryptrader was down and the moment it went up a day later, I got lazy.  Tongue

Anyway, yeah, I'm out of Waves but there's one thing that perplexes me.  Where is the volume spike?  It would tend to make me think that the whales that got this pumping in the first place are still holding.  But that's a big maybe.  Let's see what developments come up in the coming weeks.

Interesting. From what I can tell is around 120-150 BTC just exited in one big swoosh. Might have been just one guy.

Since BTC price changed so much over the past months I'm talking cents here. Around 80% of all my Waves I bought in August-September for an average of 19$ cents each, so those I'm still holding.
The ones I bought in October I sold when the drop happened at a tiny win.

The bottom seems to be 25 cents right now. If it drops below that I'm very open to buy in big.
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
Yeah.  That's the smartest way to go about it.  It doesn't break the trend right away after the dump after the first spike giving the whales to slowly sell their coins to clueless, willing bagholders.  The last dump were probably the bagholders finally realizing what's really going on and then proceeded to panic sell their holdings really quick.
so with your assessment its a dump coming from the bag holders and whales who really got the price while its still cheap and now they are dumping it to make more panic and to cash out their earnings? just asking because i love when you make assessment its cool to chase the price and it will turned to profitable if placing an entry in the right timing.  

To simplify this is what usually happens in pump and dumps.  The whales and the insiders buy low and then they pump the coin selling high to the would be bagholders.  The whales and insiders leave and the bagholders realize that the coin isn't getting much higher anymore.  Some of the bagholders get lucky by selling first making them a small profit or making them break even.  But most of the bagholders sell at a loss.  While some stay in denial and don't sell, making them the real ultimate bagholders.
hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 540
Yeah.  That's the smartest way to go about it.  It doesn't break the trend right away after the dump after the first spike giving the whales to slowly sell their coins to clueless, willing bagholders.  The last dump were probably the bagholders finally realizing what's really going on and then proceeded to panic sell their holdings really quick.
so with your assessment its a dump coming from the bag holders and whales who really got the price while its still cheap and now they are dumping it to make more panic and to cash out their earnings? just asking because i love when you make assessment its cool to chase the price and it will turned to profitable if placing an entry in the right timing. 
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
Yeah.  That's the smartest way to go about it.  It doesn't break the trend right away after the dump within the first spike and the second, giving the whales to slowly sell their coins to clueless, willing bagholders.  The last dump were probably the bagholders finally realizing what's really going on and then proceeded to panic sell their holdings really quick.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 501
WAVES/BTC:  I'm out for now.



I've been meaning to get a post about Waves the minute this sell down happened because it hit my stoploss at .00045, .00046 and .00047 BTC, but Cryptrader was down and the moment it went up a day later, I got lazy.  Tongue

Anyway, yeah, I'm out of Waves but there's one thing that perplexes me.  Where is the volume spike?  It would tend to make me think that the whales that got this pumping in the first place are still holding.  But that's a big maybe.  Let's see what developments come up in the coming weeks.

maybe the whale started dumping from the first spike until the last one
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
WAVES/BTC:  I'm out for now.



I've been meaning to get a post about Waves the minute this sell down happened because it hit my stoploss at .00045, .00046 and .00047 BTC, but Cryptrader was down and the moment it went up a day later, I got lazy.  Tongue

Anyway, yeah, I'm out of Waves but there's one thing that perplexes me.  Where is the volume spike?  It would tend to make me think that the whales that got this pumping in the first place are still holding.  But that's a big maybe.  Let's see what developments come up in the coming weeks.
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
Check out REP/BTC, that could be another good short as BTC goes up and up vs fiat.  I wish Cryptrader gets back online soon so I could post the chart and my thought process.

Edit:  I had a couple PM's asking where to short REP.  Kraken is the only exchange where you can do it.  I would prefer Poloniex though becuase of the familiar interface.  But Kraken would do if you figure out their platform.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
Dapps will be the game changer
NXT/BTC:  Has the Accumulation Phase Begun?



Here's what most traders of cryptocurrencies want to keep quiet about:  When their favorite coins/tokens are in a phase of accumulation.  Cheesy

They don't want it to be prematurely pumped before they have filled their bags as they want to gain the maximum profit (in BTC) possible that they can take from the market.  As for the chart, please notice the last red spikes in volume.  Imho, that's the last of the big sell downs and it's highly possible that there will be none as large as that anymore.  So it's probably safe to start accumulating some NXT now.

Please comment below.  

Sure, I am thinking the same here. I have been accumulating NXT for sometime now. I think the worst is over for now as the charts seem to tell so. I feel if NXT can make a move above 1000 /1500 sats and if it can manage to stay above these levels, we can soon expect a pump in NXT. So anyone looking to trade or invest in to NXT should get into the ride now. Just my opinion. Please do your due diligence.
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
I can't see your post on REP/BTC, can you please paste the link. But I will like to ask where do you project that the BTC bull run would end

As I said, I'll make an analysis later if needed.  I'm still in the sidelines as far as REP/BTC is concerned.  With BTC, my answer is I don't know.  I never believed in market prediction much and have never set profit taking targets or anything of that sort.  What I do as set a trailing stoploss to protect my gains but not close enough to stop me out of the trade.

I have a BTC speculation thread if you're interested:  https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/my-bitcoin-speculation-thread-please-critique-my-analysis-1670362

And I wanted to make a Waves analysis as the current trend up seems to be waning.  Too bad Cryptrader is down so I won't be able to do that.  Please suggest me a crypto charting website and I'll do my analysis there.  Thanks.
sr. member
Activity: 588
Merit: 252
NXT/BTC:  Has the Accumulation Phase Begun?

[img]https://i.imgur.com/fyKZ5cx.png[/img

Here's what most traders of cryptocurrencies want to keep quiet about:  When their favorite coins/tokens are in a phase of accumulation.  Cheesy

They don't want it to be prematurely pumped before they have filled their bags as they want to gain the maximum profit (in BTC) possible that they can take from the market.  As for the chart, please notice the last red spikes in volume.  Imho, that's the last of the big sell downs and it's highly possible that there will be none as large as that anymore.  So it's probably safe to start accumulating some NXT now.

Please comment below.  

I am personnaly in, and watching the comment below of jacafbiz makes me even more bullish. but I don't have crystal ball, only the future will tell.

EDIT: but still monitoring that closely, don't want to get affected by a bitcoin bullrun.

Yeah that's the thing.  The equation has changed because BTC is still rising to who knows how high.  So it might be better to hold everything in BTC right now or short sell some altcoins as mentioned in this thread.  REP/BTC is looking more and more ripe for the picking for shorting, I will keep monitoring it and will do an analysis if need me.  GL.

I can't see your post on REP/BTC, can you please paste the link. But I will like to ask where do you project that the BTC bull run would end
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
NXT/BTC:  Has the Accumulation Phase Begun?

[img]https://i.imgur.com/fyKZ5cx.png[/img

Here's what most traders of cryptocurrencies want to keep quiet about:  When their favorite coins/tokens are in a phase of accumulation.  Cheesy

They don't want it to be prematurely pumped before they have filled their bags as they want to gain the maximum profit (in BTC) possible that they can take from the market.  As for the chart, please notice the last red spikes in volume.  Imho, that's the last of the big sell downs and it's highly possible that there will be none as large as that anymore.  So it's probably safe to start accumulating some NXT now.

Please comment below.  

I am personnaly in, and watching the comment below of jacafbiz makes me even more bullish. but I don't have crystal ball, only the future will tell.

EDIT: but still monitoring that closely, don't want to get affected by a bitcoin bullrun.

Yeah that's the thing.  The equation has changed because BTC is still rising to who knows how high.  So it might be better to hold everything in BTC right now or short sell some altcoins as mentioned in this thread.  REP/BTC is looking more and more ripe for the picking for shorting, I will keep monitoring it and will do an analysis if need me.  GL.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 501
NXT/BTC:  Has the Accumulation Phase Begun?

[img]https://i.imgur.com/fyKZ5cx.png[/img

Here's what most traders of cryptocurrencies want to keep quiet about:  When their favorite coins/tokens are in a phase of accumulation.  Cheesy

They don't want it to be prematurely pumped before they have filled their bags as they want to gain the maximum profit (in BTC) possible that they can take from the market.  As for the chart, please notice the last red spikes in volume.  Imho, that's the last of the big sell downs and it's highly possible that there will be none as large as that anymore.  So it's probably safe to start accumulating some NXT now.

Please comment below.  

I am personnaly in, and watching the comment below of jacafbiz makes me even more bullish. but I don't have crystal ball, only the future will tell.

EDIT: but still monitoring that closely, don't want to get affected by a bitcoin bullrun.
hero member
Activity: 2114
Merit: 530
PredX - AI-Powered Prediction Market
NXT/BTC:  Has the Accumulation Phase Begun?



Here's what most traders of cryptocurrencies want to keep quiet about:  When their favorite coins/tokens are in a phase of accumulation.  Cheesy

They don't want it to be prematurely pumped before they have filled their bags as they want to gain the maximum profit (in BTC) possible that they can take from the market.  As for the chart, please notice the last red spikes in volume.  Imho, that's the last of the big sell downs and it's highly possible that there will be none as large as that anymore.  So it's probably safe to start accumulating some NXT now.

Please comment below.  

I'm not that good with technical chart analysis but I have been following you for sometime and you have been really helpful with your projection, concerning NXT, I think the price will hit around 500 - 600 sat there is nothing to drive the price up now until next snapshot.
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
NXT/BTC:  Has the Accumulation Phase Begun?



Here's what most traders of cryptocurrencies want to keep quiet about:  When their favorite coins/tokens are in a phase of accumulation.  Cheesy

They don't want it to be prematurely pumped before they have filled their bags as they want to gain the maximum profit (in BTC) possible that they can take from the market.  As for the chart, please notice the last red spikes in volume.  Imho, that's the last of the big sell downs and it's highly possible that there will be none as large as that anymore.  So it's probably safe to start accumulating some NXT now.

Please comment below.  
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
That chart is a bull trap, the coin is dumping. Its pump phase is over for now - till maybe next month or early next year.

I'm aware that the pump is over.  But the question is if it's the beginning of another accumulation phase that would be a preparation for the next pump.  The funny thing is most people would see the accumulation phase as a sign that the coin is already dead.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
That chart is a bull trap, the coin is dumping. Its pump phase is over for now - till maybe next month or early next year.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 501
you'll see those pattern in most of altcoin ... panic sell to catch an hypothetical bitcoin bull run. Moreover, I did not sell all my waves, just hedged my position.
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