So it seems that everyone is not on the same boat, unlike game 1 wherein almost the majority went for the Nuggets to win even if the initial handicap is almost double digit.
For this game 3, I will go with the Heat at +3.5, still at 1.90 so that is good enough for me.
And with that kind of almost 50/50 bet here, it just shows that this game should be very close and could be decided again in the last couple of minutes or even less than that.
Topic: NBA 2019-2020 betting - page 111. (Read 120387 times)
so for me my pick will be the Denver Nuggets
I also have to side with the Nuggets because the last game came down to three-point shooting, and even though they're playing at Miami, they're more likely to regress after shooting that successfully behind the arc. And to get the best value possible on my Nuggets bet, i've picked the handicap because i've heard whenever the handicap is this close, it's usually one way or the other. It'll be Miami winning outright or the Nuggets winning by several points.
So the lines changed. It was a good profit at -2.5 last time I checked for the Nuggets but now it's -3.5 to have a decent amount to make. Maybe the expectation for Tyler Herro's return affected the spreads but no that it's confirmed that he won't be able to play, the lines changed again.
https://www.nba.com/news/tyler-herro-update-game-3-2023-nba-finals
Miami Heat versus Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets (-3.5) @1.90
Over 211.5 @1.75 - I can't go far, there's a chance it will end in a low-scoring game again. I don't want to risk more than that especially if the Nuggets will also focus on their defense.
Betbuilder: Nikola Jokic PRA Over 48.5 + Jamal Murray PRA Over 36.5 + Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Over 4.5 = @3.00
Michael Porter Jr.'s rebounds had soared way high ever since the playoffs, he will be the one collecting the ball while Jokic is doing the box out. His lowest was 6 in Game 2 against the Heat.
Good luck everyone and enjoy the game.
https://www.nba.com/news/tyler-herro-update-game-3-2023-nba-finals
Quote
Tyler Herro (hand) out for Game 3 of NBA Finals
That's okay for me, I will still take it. I have three bets today and I wish they will all hit. Miami Heat versus Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets (-3.5) @1.90
Over 211.5 @1.75 - I can't go far, there's a chance it will end in a low-scoring game again. I don't want to risk more than that especially if the Nuggets will also focus on their defense.
Betbuilder: Nikola Jokic PRA Over 48.5 + Jamal Murray PRA Over 36.5 + Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Over 4.5 = @3.00
Michael Porter Jr.'s rebounds had soared way high ever since the playoffs, he will be the one collecting the ball while Jokic is doing the box out. His lowest was 6 in Game 2 against the Heat.
Good luck everyone and enjoy the game.
∆ N. Jokic Over 50.5 PRA @1.90 ∆ won
Jokic had 51+ PRA in both games v. Miami and 9/L10 in the postseason. With him at least, i know what i'm getting and don't have to worry about my guy going 0/9 from 3pt or having a terrible day like with Strus or MPJ. Jokic has been Denver's best/most consistent player...so i guess i'm rolling with him today.
Jokic had 51+ PRA in both games v. Miami and 9/L10 in the postseason. With him at least, i know what i'm getting and don't have to worry about my guy going 0/9 from 3pt or having a terrible day like with Strus or MPJ. Jokic has been Denver's best/most consistent player...so i guess i'm rolling with him today.
I have skip game 2 betting on the Heat, damn, I missed those great odds. I'm thinking that I will be betting on them in game 3 since it will be in their homecourt.
So with that I will go all the way with them at ML, 2.2x is already attractive for me. I think the Heat will try to go for the lead here, it's their homecourt so they are in a advantage. And perhaps they will not admit it, but they know that getting the lead at 2-1, they will have all the momentum now in this finals.
And who can resist that dazzling 2.2x bet on the Heat? You're bang on about the home-court advantage. It's like inviting the Nuggets into the Heat's playground - they know every nook, every cranny. Those Miami boys might have poker faces on, but deep down they must be feeling like kids in a candy store! A win here could turn the tide of the series, bringing all the momentum to their doorstep. This could be as exciting as finding a forgotten $20 bill in your jeans!So with that I will go all the way with them at ML, 2.2x is already attractive for me. I think the Heat will try to go for the lead here, it's their homecourt so they are in a advantage. And perhaps they will not admit it, but they know that getting the lead at 2-1, they will have all the momentum now in this finals.
Still, we can't just disregard the Nuggets capabilities and their adjustments will likely give another heavy ending to the game. I know that it's not that sure that it will work as it will still be an experimental, but we are now in the Finals for which mistakes will not be tolerated.
Yes, I do agree, the Nuggets is the best team in the West and we can't just discount that fact. They've won game 2 easily, they just struggled on game 2 because of coach Spo's adjustment and so they lost the game.
That said, I'll just sit up and pass for having some early predictions and will just make a bet once the game will start, to see which team really have the control.
However, I will continue to go and bet with the underdogs here. Yes, it's a big risk for us, but we've seen the Heat putting great teams behind. So just like my strategy in game 2, I will go with the Heat ML and then the handicap. ML and then +2.5, so if the Heat win, then it's another double celebration for me, hehehe.
Best of luck to those who are going to lay some lines on this game.
Hello Guys,
My picks for tonight.
Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets = Denver Nuggets Win 1,70 Odds.
Bam Adebayo Points, Assists and Rebounds = 32,5 Over 1,88 Odds.
Good luck guys.
My picks for tonight.
Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets = Denver Nuggets Win 1,70 Odds.
Bam Adebayo Points, Assists and Rebounds = 32,5 Over 1,88 Odds.
Good luck guys.
I keep going back and forth for this game. On one hand I think Denver is simply the better team, on the other the Miami Heat have been defying the odds all season long, so it's kind of scary betting against them. I still think I'm putting down a few satoshis on Denver at -3.
Some interesting parlay bets I've been considering. Wondering what you guys think about some of these parlays?
Some interesting parlay bets I've been considering. Wondering what you guys think about some of these parlays?
I have skip game 2 betting on the Heat, damn, I missed those great odds. I'm thinking that I will be betting on them in game 3 since it will be in their homecourt.
So with that I will go all the way with them at ML, 2.2x is already attractive for me. I think the Heat will try to go for the lead here, it's their homecourt so they are in a advantage. And perhaps they will not admit it, but they know that getting the lead at 2-1, they will have all the momentum now in this finals.
And who can resist that dazzling 2.2x bet on the Heat? You're bang on about the home-court advantage. It's like inviting the Nuggets into the Heat's playground - they know every nook, every cranny. Those Miami boys might have poker faces on, but deep down they must be feeling like kids in a candy store! A win here could turn the tide of the series, bringing all the momentum to their doorstep. This could be as exciting as finding a forgotten $20 bill in your jeans!So with that I will go all the way with them at ML, 2.2x is already attractive for me. I think the Heat will try to go for the lead here, it's their homecourt so they are in a advantage. And perhaps they will not admit it, but they know that getting the lead at 2-1, they will have all the momentum now in this finals.
Still, we can't just disregard the Nuggets capabilities and their adjustments will likely give another heavy ending to the game. I know that it's not that sure that it will work as it will still be an experimental, but we are now in the Finals for which mistakes will not be tolerated.
That said, I'll just sit up and pass for having some early predictions and will just make a bet once the game will start, to see which team really have the control.
Betting on this match before the match starts means taking a little too much risk. While the situation is 1-1 in the series, it is useful to watch the first period of the match. We must not rush. Miami stole the field advantage from its opponent and came to an advantageous position. I bet Miami will win this game.
I have skip game 2 betting on the Heat, damn, I missed those great odds. I'm thinking that I will be betting on them in game 3 since it will be in their homecourt.
So with that I will go all the way with them at ML, 2.2x is already attractive for me. I think the Heat will try to go for the lead here, it's their homecourt so they are in a advantage. And perhaps they will not admit it, but they know that getting the lead at 2-1, they will have all the momentum now in this finals.
And who can resist that dazzling 2.2x bet on the Heat? You're bang on about the home-court advantage. It's like inviting the Nuggets into the Heat's playground - they know every nook, every cranny. Those Miami boys might have poker faces on, but deep down they must be feeling like kids in a candy store! A win here could turn the tide of the series, bringing all the momentum to their doorstep. This could be as exciting as finding a forgotten $20 bill in your jeans!So with that I will go all the way with them at ML, 2.2x is already attractive for me. I think the Heat will try to go for the lead here, it's their homecourt so they are in a advantage. And perhaps they will not admit it, but they know that getting the lead at 2-1, they will have all the momentum now in this finals.
Still, we can't just disregard the Nuggets capabilities and their adjustments will likely give another heavy ending to the game. I know that it's not that sure that it will work as it will still be an experimental, but we are now in the Finals for which mistakes will not be tolerated.
That said, I'll just sit up and pass for having some early predictions and will just make a bet once the game will start, to see which team really have the control.
It is certain that they will make significant adjustments after the disappointing loss in game 2. Let's see what they will do to counter the strategy of the Heat, which has made Jokic more of a scorer than a passer. According to the statistics, the Nuggets have more losses in games where Jokic scores 40+ points.
Seeing how Erik Spoelstra gets through this kind of strategy is kind of a genius move, and many say that Erik Spoelstra really wants to play chess and surely the key pieces are the players which are in game 2 it is really effective but because of so many hints in the tactics of Erik Spoelstra and what many basketball analysis have seen their strategy is out of the open and the Coach of the Denver Nuggets Coach, Michael Malone could likely to see or have already come up with some plan, maybe we will see the answer on game 3,
Miami Heat VS Denver Nuggets
The stake odds for this game are 2.28 for the Heat and 1.66 for the Nuggets, Right now Tyler Herro can not play because of a hand injury, and Cody Zeller is questionable because of a Foot injury, while Denver Nuggets doesn't have any injuries, for this game the Miami Heat have a great strategy that prevented Jamal Murray from shooting those Threes and while Nikola Jokic has 41 points in game 2 he is shown not very effective when he is not the key player to make the play for the Nuggets, but I guess that strategy will be seen eventually by the Denver Nuggets so for me my pick will be the Denver Nuggets,
I have skip game 2 betting on the Heat, damn, I missed those great odds. I'm thinking that I will be betting on them in game 3 since it will be in their homecourt.
So with that I will go all the way with them at ML, 2.2x is already attractive for me. I think the Heat will try to go for the lead here, it's their homecourt so they are in a advantage. And perhaps they will not admit it, but they know that getting the lead at 2-1, they will have all the momentum now in this finals.
And who can resist that dazzling 2.2x bet on the Heat? You're bang on about the home-court advantage. It's like inviting the Nuggets into the Heat's playground - they know every nook, every cranny. Those Miami boys might have poker faces on, but deep down they must be feeling like kids in a candy store! A win here could turn the tide of the series, bringing all the momentum to their doorstep. This could be as exciting as finding a forgotten $20 bill in your jeans! So with that I will go all the way with them at ML, 2.2x is already attractive for me. I think the Heat will try to go for the lead here, it's their homecourt so they are in a advantage. And perhaps they will not admit it, but they know that getting the lead at 2-1, they will have all the momentum now in this finals.
Those who are expecting to see Herro, here's some news for ya all.
At least everything is clear now, but there haven't been any changes in the betting spread. Most popular sportsbooks still have Miami at +2.5. The spread is relatively low, which shows the respect the bookies have for the Heat. When some thought the Heat would be swept, they managed to steal a game on the road. As a result, there are now bettors who believe the Heat will surprise everyone again.
Regardless, both teams had already made history I believe.
At least everything is clear now, but there haven't been any changes in the betting spread. Most popular sportsbooks still have Miami at +2.5. The spread is relatively low, which shows the respect the bookies have for the Heat. When some thought the Heat would be swept, they managed to steal a game on the road. As a result, there are now bettors who believe the Heat will surprise everyone again.
Regardless, both teams had already made history I believe.
Even if Tyler Herro was supposedly to be cleared for the game 3, I think bringing him into the roster in such a rush would appear as desperate measure for the and would definitely alter the team's chemistry, imo Herro would fit in more like Trojan horse down the stretch of the series, he should be introduced into the series as an alternative measure that the Denver Nuggets wouldn't have accounted in their adjustments and what have you.
I want to see how the Denver Nuggets will adjust. The first lost at their home must have affected them and their confidence and now it's how they can recover from that and better it will be in a competitive environment at the Miami homecourt.
I expect Jokic to be a monster again. Adjustments will surely happen, Murray might get more aggressive, and they might go back at using Gordon under the rim to score some easy deuce.
It is certain that they will make significant adjustments after the disappointing loss in game 2. Let's see what they will do to counter the strategy of the Heat, which has made Jokic more of a scorer than a passer. According to the statistics, the Nuggets have more losses in games where Jokic scores 40+ points.
Clear it was coach Spo's intention and that is also why he took Kevin Love on the line-up so that there will be a mismatch in-terms of height and then that will give Jimmy Butler a lot more room to do his thing because he will now guard and take on Murray instead of Gordon where it was already clear that Butler is having a struggle if the situation will happen again.
What happened during the post-game conference was just a little ploy from coach Spo, so that they will remain unpredictable even if it was clear enough that they have done to Jokic.
I want to see how the Denver Nuggets will adjust. The first lost at their home must have affected them and their confidence and now it's how they can recover from that and better it will be in a competitive environment at the Miami homecourt.
I expect Jokic to be a monster again. Adjustments will surely happen, Murray might get more aggressive, and they might go back at using Gordon under the rim to score some easy deuce.
It is certain that they will make significant adjustments after the disappointing loss in game 2. Let's see what they will do to counter the strategy of the Heat, which has made Jokic more of a scorer than a passer. According to the statistics, the Nuggets have more losses in games where Jokic scores 40+ points.
Yes, Nikola Jokic being a scorer instead of a passer which is kind of perks of being a big man is really gave an advantage towards the Heat. The latter made a big gamble on that one because it's not guaranteed that they can really hold out Jokic and prevent him from being him and make a triple double with huge assists on his stats. Without his passes, Murray's offensive will also be affected. So let's see what will happen later.
Those who are expecting to see Herro, here's some news for ya all.
Tyler Herro still not cleared yet to return to Heat lineup
At least everything is clear now, but there haven't been any changes in the betting spread. Most popular sportsbooks still have Miami at +2.5. The spread is relatively low, which shows the respect the bookies have for the Heat. When some thought the Heat would be swept, they managed to steal a game on the road. As a result, there are now bettors who believe the Heat will surprise everyone again.
Regardless, both teams had already made history I believe.
Tyler Herro still not cleared yet to return to Heat lineup
Quote
Miami Heat guard Tyler Herro has not yet been cleared to play in Wednesday’s Game 3 of the NBA Finals (8:30 p.m. ET, ABC), coach Erik Spoelstra said Tuesday.
“I don’t want to be Nostradamus right now. We’re taking it one day at a time,” Spoelstra said. “I know that sounds like a cliché. He did the practice with the group … we’ll meet with the training staff later on today and probably tomorrow, and we’ll just continue this process. He has not been cleared yet, so that’s where we are, but we’re encouraged by the work that he’s been doing.”
“I don’t want to be Nostradamus right now. We’re taking it one day at a time,” Spoelstra said. “I know that sounds like a cliché. He did the practice with the group … we’ll meet with the training staff later on today and probably tomorrow, and we’ll just continue this process. He has not been cleared yet, so that’s where we are, but we’re encouraged by the work that he’s been doing.”
At least everything is clear now, but there haven't been any changes in the betting spread. Most popular sportsbooks still have Miami at +2.5. The spread is relatively low, which shows the respect the bookies have for the Heat. When some thought the Heat would be swept, they managed to steal a game on the road. As a result, there are now bettors who believe the Heat will surprise everyone again.
Regardless, both teams had already made history I believe.
With the spread down to 2.5 and Denver possibly feeling like they could be letting this one slip away, I'm going for Denver tonight with the spread. I think they win by more than 3 to get revenge for losing on their own court in game 2. While I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Heat were able to win tonight, I feel like the spread makes this an attractive bet on the Nuggets. Especially if Tyler Herro comes back and screws up all the energy that the Heat have been running with since the start of the postseason. So tonight, I'm taking Denver -2.5 and hoping this is another W for me, although I never bet enough to really care either way.
I have skip game 2 betting on the Heat, damn, I missed those great odds. I'm thinking that I will be betting on them in game 3 since it will be in their homecourt.
So with that I will go all the way with them at ML, 2.2x is already attractive for me. I think the Heat will try to go for the lead here, it's their homecourt so they are in a advantage. And perhaps they will not admit it, but they know that getting the lead at 2-1, they will have all the momentum now in this finals.
So with that I will go all the way with them at ML, 2.2x is already attractive for me. I think the Heat will try to go for the lead here, it's their homecourt so they are in a advantage. And perhaps they will not admit it, but they know that getting the lead at 2-1, they will have all the momentum now in this finals.
Yes, Miami will be all out to win in front of their crowd.
A very tough challenge for them now since same with Nuggets, the intention is to win to gain the extra edge in this series,
Miami's adjustments in game 2 show that the aggressiveness to win is really helping them to execute the best play to
win the game,
@2.2x inside the home court and after winning game 2, seems very attracting to fans and bettors who love high-risk bet.
Those who are expecting to see Herro, here's some news for ya all.
Tyler Herro still not cleared yet to return to Heat lineup
At least everything is clear now, but there haven't been any changes in the betting spread. Most popular sportsbooks still have Miami at +2.5. The spread is relatively low, which shows the respect the bookies have for the Heat. When some thought the Heat would be swept, they managed to steal a game on the road. As a result, there are now bettors who believe the Heat will surprise everyone again.
Regardless, both teams had already made history I believe.
Tyler Herro still not cleared yet to return to Heat lineup
Quote
Miami Heat guard Tyler Herro has not yet been cleared to play in Wednesday’s Game 3 of the NBA Finals (8:30 p.m. ET, ABC), coach Erik Spoelstra said Tuesday.
“I don’t want to be Nostradamus right now. We’re taking it one day at a time,” Spoelstra said. “I know that sounds like a cliché. He did the practice with the group … we’ll meet with the training staff later on today and probably tomorrow, and we’ll just continue this process. He has not been cleared yet, so that’s where we are, but we’re encouraged by the work that he’s been doing.”
“I don’t want to be Nostradamus right now. We’re taking it one day at a time,” Spoelstra said. “I know that sounds like a cliché. He did the practice with the group … we’ll meet with the training staff later on today and probably tomorrow, and we’ll just continue this process. He has not been cleared yet, so that’s where we are, but we’re encouraged by the work that he’s been doing.”
At least everything is clear now, but there haven't been any changes in the betting spread. Most popular sportsbooks still have Miami at +2.5. The spread is relatively low, which shows the respect the bookies have for the Heat. When some thought the Heat would be swept, they managed to steal a game on the road. As a result, there are now bettors who believe the Heat will surprise everyone again.
Regardless, both teams had already made history I believe.
I think that was Coach Spoelstra's intention to make Jokic the scorer and it was pretty evident that he did a huge score on that game 2 loss. I can't remember clearly on what was that approach by the Miami coach but it's likely to not make the other teammates score because if they're having a rhythm in scoring or Jokic setting up some plays they'll likely wins the game. If you take a look at his assists in the recent match it doesn't get to double digits. If they'll reduce his minutes, that will affect them too. It's likely the guards need to be aggressive and the one who make some plays.
I think Jokic still setup a lot of play on their previous game. The problem was his team mates is not scoring at all like MPJ, Gordon and KC. They are all useless which is why Jokic is the only one doing the scoring. Murray manage to have a minor comeback on last quarter but that’s all. It’s not about Jokic taking most of the score but his teammates is just too awful too score and defense.
Jokic is the only one who has a better accuracy among them all. I surprised how the game end up with 3 points only while Miami heat shoot a lot of 3 points without an answer. I think without Jokic scoring like that, Nuggets might be behind at least 10 points.
They were ineffective because Jokic wasn't as effective with his assists, as he only had 4 assists, which is below his average. In most of the games they won, Jokic would have at least 10 assists, indicating his ability to facilitate well to his teammates. So, if he struggles in that area, it means his teammates will also struggle. Therefore, the Heat did the right thing by limiting Jokic's ability to pass the ball.
I think that was Coach Spoelstra's intention to make Jokic the scorer and it was pretty evident that he did a huge score on that game 2 loss. I can't remember clearly on what was that approach by the Miami coach but it's likely to not make the other teammates score because if they're having a rhythm in scoring or Jokic setting up some plays they'll likely wins the game. If you take a look at his assists in the recent match it doesn't get to double digits. If they'll reduce his minutes, that will affect them too. It's likely the guards need to be aggressive and the one who make some plays.
I think Jokic still setup a lot of play on their previous game. The problem was his team mates is not scoring at all like MPJ, Gordon and KC. They are all useless which is why Jokic is the only one doing the scoring. Murray manage to have a minor comeback on last quarter but that’s all. It’s not about Jokic taking most of the score but his teammates is just too awful too score and defense.
Jokic is the only one who has a better accuracy among them all. I surprised how the game end up with 3 points only while Miami heat shoot a lot of 3 points without an answer. I think without Jokic scoring like that, Nuggets might be behind at least 10 points.
I want to see how the Denver Nuggets will adjust. The first lost at their home must have affected them and their confidence and now it's how they can recover from that and better it will be in a competitive environment at the Miami homecourt.
I expect Jokic to be a monster again. Adjustments will surely happen, Murray might get more aggressive, and they might go back at using Gordon under the rim to score some easy deuce.
It is certain that they will make significant adjustments after the disappointing loss in game 2. Let's see what they will do to counter the strategy of the Heat, which has made Jokic more of a scorer than a passer. According to the statistics, the Nuggets have more losses in games where Jokic scores 40+ points.
Jump to: