Topic: NBA 2019-2020 betting - page 123. (Read 124056 times)

I'm guilty about that as well because at first, I didn't have that much confidence towards the Heat especially in the first round where they faced the New York Knicks which they eventually defeated but in the second round, it was almost impossible for me to believe that they can defeat the #1 seed in the East which they did as well. But in the conference finals, that's when I have put my faith in them and it turns out profitable because they managed to eliminate the Celtics and almost swept them after having a 3-0 advantage.

And that. Getting fouls seems to become inconsistent in this series with Jimmy Butler. Usually, he drives to the rim and takes the hit but now he became comfortable at shooting the outside shots. Worst, there is really no shot blocker in the paint. Jokic is not known as that defensive when it comes to stopping high flyers, Gordon just uses his body to prevent him from coming in. But one switch of defenders could make the difference, Jimmy against Murray is an easy deuce for him, if not, it will probably be a foul. If he could put all the stars of the Denver Nuggets in foul trouble, they can win this series. But first, he must change how his offense will be. Let the outside shooting be for the shooters, be an attacker, and kick out the ball if he is doubled because I am sure someone will be left wide open and the Nuggets are not good at going back at their position. Proven in Game 2.
That was actually the play for Max Struss in the first half of Game 2, he is always left wide open because Jimmy is attacking. He doesn't need a perfect pass, just good enough for the shooter to receive the ball.

Now, I am back to that thought of Miami Heat might not win this after what happened. Luckily the odds are not far from the last game. -4.5 only for the Nuggets to claim a 2.02 profit. as for now.

I totally agree with you guys on the Butler topic. He is really inadequate on the offensive side in this series which can lead Heat to lose easier than most of us expect. Butler needs to be more active with his steal attempts and scoring many more points than this at the same time. He has been the main factor in Heat's reaching this round in the playoff stage in the first place.

As you know Heat finished the regular season in 7th place in the Eastern Conference. As a result not many people including me were giving them a chance to have a run like this. Butler has done the biggest work in this time period by scoring a lot of points and carrying his team. He has become like Lakers' Lebron or Warriors' Curry.

Therefore Butler needs to be aware of the seriousness of the situation and do something.

The problem is significant for Butler because he has to focus not only on defense but also on scoring. In reality, Butler doesn't typically put up big numbers when we look at his regular-season stats. Therefore, the Heat won't win even if Butler scores 40 points if his teammates don't get involved. I simply want to see a performance like in Game 2, where everyone was contributing and their outside shooting was the key. If they can replicate that, they will secure a victory.

Yes, I did this at least twice and it worked, in the second game when Denver returned to the lead in points Miami got the odds on the money line quite large, and those who dared to take this opportunity to bet on Miami paid off, but in the third game the odds didn't change much because Denver took control from Q1 until Q4. A betting that in my opinion is no less safe is choosing players, especially Jokic, who appeared very consistently from the first to the third game, and in the fourth game, he remains the favorite choice for most bettors, including me, and hopefully he still doesn't disappoint.

Denver didn't dominate the last game from the  beginning of the game, but Denver Nuggets got the better edge when Kelvin Love went to the bench and was not properly introduced back into the game, and Gabe Vincent getting foul issues too, but if these factors were eliminated it would have been a much closer game than this.


Maybe Butler focused more on the defensive duties, but he sucked at that in game 3 and one could have known from the very first quarter, but being Miami Heat's most dynamic shooter, he should focus on outscoring the Denver Nuggets to win a because there is no absolutely way to stop the Jokic and Jamal Murray duo partnership on the court, but an aggressive Jimmy Butler can easily draw fouls against if not Jokic, but Jamal Murray and force the Nuggets into an unintended rotation.

If the concept of a "safe side" truly existed, sports betting would indeed be much easier. However, there are always unpredictable scenarios that can occur in sports.

Another possible scenario is if the Nuggets dominate the Heat right from the beginning of the game. In such a case, we would lose the opportunity to win because, honestly, the current spread is not difficult for the Nuggets to cover, especially if they are the ones controlling the game's tempo. What the Heat really need is for Jimmy Butler to perform at his best, just like he did when the Heat played against the Bucks. His playoff performance can significantly impact the team's chances of success.

If we want to be on the safer side and get good betting odds, I think live betting is the answer. Assuming that the game is a close contest, the Miami Heat are expected to have a strong start, which will make the Nuggets' odds quite attractive.

Currently, the Nuggets are -3.5 with 1.90 odds.

It wasn't really all that shocking to see Nuggets get a win, if Miami can win at Denver (which is a lot harder due to altitude) then it is quite possible for Denver to win at Miami as well. One thing that was an issue last time around was that they let Jokic score instead of pass, they blocked his passing lanes and just gave him the chance to score, which he took and was efficient but it disrupted the play style they have as a team.

This time around they knew what they would face, so they let Jokic score as much as he could, and also unleashed Murray alongside him, instead of team ball it was just two players that abused all of Miami when they can. This changed their style and Miami had no defensive strategy for that, nothing they had ready at that moment at least.

Yeah, that was the different, both Jokic and Murray had great games while the Miami Heat struggled on their homecourt. Although, there could be hint already as they are not good at home this playoff, but still though they could have taken a big lead in this series if they won the fight.

So good win for the Nuggets and congrats to those who back them up in game 3.

Will bet on the Nuggets again in the next game, they have the momentum and it's going to be very difficult if Jokic and Murray will combine to have another great statistical game.

Congrats to us Nuggets backers, and they made it comfortable for us when they kept building their lead in the fourth.



The Heat shooting regression came true as their percentages were below 40%. That should change heading into game four since this is a game they have to win, and if they can't, then we'll most likely see the Nuggets close this in 5.

I have the same thoughts Nuggets win but with a closer winning margin.

My take, Jimmy Butler focused too much on the offensive attack, he had not been gaining steals anymore unlike how he did it against the Celtics where his numbers on the defensive end are way high that it's unbelievable.
In the series against the Celtics, he gained a total of 18 steals and 3 blocks in 7 games. Now, it's Game 3 against the Denver Nuggets and he only gained 1 steal and 2 blocks. That's not the Jimmy Butler that I knew. Maybe all the bashing against him affected him mentally and he forgot how balanced he is on both ends of the floor. He is defending Jamal Murray all the time and yet Jamal scored 34 points and better, with 10 assists and 10 rebounds.
I don't want to put the blame on him but as I said in my previous posts, when Jimmy plays better, the whole team is sucked into that portal and everyone will do the same. But he must also do it on the defensive end.

I like the focus of Coach Malone, he said the Heat won both games 1 and 2 in the 4th quarter, it's time to beat them in game 3 and it did work. They did beat them at 27 versus 26.

It wasn't a very big bet that I made last night, but at least it got me a few satoshis to keep betting this championship series without having to reload my online gambling site with bitcoin. I didn't end up betting any props last night, but I did pick out a couple just to see how I would have done, and I would have of course killed it.  So, next game I'm definitely doing so prop bets.  Wish there wasn't so many days in between each game.

My bets won. I hope you tried.
I think the Denver Nuggets will win the next game.

Jokic and Murray were great last night.
Both players had triple doubles.

Jamal Murray ended the last game with what looks like a nasty blister on his hand from the arena floor. You can see the aftermath today of it here as it starts to heal.

https://twitter.com/thenbacentral/status/1666892204030279680

It looks to be his off hand so maybe it won’t affect him much, but it also looks like it could be pretty painful and might even need to be wrapped for the next game.

2 for 2.  Jokic over on props is as easy as it gets.  Can't believe both jokic and Murray had a triple double.  Can't say I've watched a game this important with 2 trip dubs in one game.  First time in a finals?

Think I'm gonna hit the same bet for game 4.  Can't see jokic not hitting, nobody can stop him at this point.  And if you throw bodies on him, dude will rack up 20-30 assists lol.

Whenever Murray also contributes with big numbers to the game Nuggets manage to win easier. This was the case for Game 1 and it was again for Game 3. Considering his statistics in these two games of the series Murray had better stay over 25 points.    Since the time he returned from a long-running injury he has made a really solid contribution to the team of course.

However this is the final series and he needs to help Jokic continually. Jokic has been carrying the most of the load for his team to be the champions in the playoffs. If Murray shares the load in the rest of the games I'm pretty confident about Nuggets to take their first ever NBA championship home this season. 

I was expecting Jimmy Butler to show a much better performance in the final series. However he still has a chance to do this. He has the biggest role in Miami's reaching this stage which got a play-off ticket from the 8th position. I think Butler can explode in the 4th match and have a score over 26.5 points.

The pressure is again on the Miami Heat's shoulders now because if they still lose on a back to back homecourt games, it might be hard for them to contend anymore and prevent the Nuggets from winning the Finals because that also mean that the Nuggets will have a 3-1 lead if they can win successively in Heat's homecourt.

Watch out, coach Spo might do something again and I'm pretty much excited to see if he can still make a difference and the team will execute the plan accordingly.

Even though the Miami Heat tried to push and made a slight rally, the Denver Nuggets just got the right advantage which enabled to them to effectively shoot inside and outside the paint, and even made the right adjustment so that they can avoid what happened in Game 2. Now, they are tied as both team have won in each other's homecourt but in the real standing, the Nuggets have the upper hand for leading the series.