Here is my pick.
Denver Nuggets - Los Angeles Lakers - Denver Nuggets (-6.5) @1.94
Over 220.5 @1.77 Good luck everyone.
This is like good bet but home games was likely nothing right now with most of the remaining teams, so my bet was for
L.A. Lakers (+7.5) @1.81 and
Under 223.5 @1.85. My bad for countering your picked bet though haha, I just like how it will play since this is Conference Finals and I think defense will be the key factor now for Lakers or both team.
Then we are both 1 of 2.
The Lakers did a great job at their comeback in the 2nd half. The Nuggets could've ended it with a blowout game but they got careless defensively and let the Lakers make some short run that but the lead into as low as 3 points.
Thankfully, the Nuggets played well at the last minute of the game and secured their win. But, my spread was not covered. I thought Reaves was fouling Murray at the last possession but they didn't find the energy to whistle.
Good job for the ones who didn't get greedy and took only the -5.5 Nuggets and then over 220.5. That is sure a hit for todays match. Let's see in Game 2 on how the Lakers will adjust after that bad performance in the 1st half.
In the first half, the Nuggets' three-point shooting was very efficient, and Jokic also had a great first half. However, in the second half, the Lakers had a consistent mini-run that lasted until the fourth quarter. The Nuggets almost had a big regret, but fortunately, they made some excellent decisions down the stretch.
The Lakers should have reduced that gap to 1 or tie it but Lebron forced that three point shot, I think Reaves, Schroeder, and Davis can make that shot. I really like how they position Hachimura to defend Jokic and then let Davis double team when Jokic is forcing it on the paint. Moreover, it's a risky strategy considering how good Jokic is on making some creative passes.
The current betting spread is as follows:
Celtics: -8
Heat: +8
Total: 210.5
I'd like to share some thoughts about the game. Personally, I'm considering betting on the Heat. They have a history of surprising as underdogs, so at the moment (though I haven't made a decision yet), I'm leaning towards taking the Heat +7.5 on the spread and considering the moneyline as well. What are your thoughts?
I think +8 on Heat is a good bet considering they have the same players for the past play in and two series wherein has great contribution factors especially Vincent, Strus, Kevin Love and Lowry. We can't deny the fact that Celtics are gonna take that Finals spot once again but Heat comes surprising most of the time too. Under 210 might be a good play since I'm not expecting a high scoring game unless they start strong.