Here is my pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves - Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets ML @2.09 - They broke the confidence of the Wolves, it will not be easy to recover from that. I think it will be different today, adjustments. They will try to stop Jokic but will make a big mistake in the process, Jamal Murray will come out to score for the team.
I don't think home court advantage will matter for the Wolves as you have said: Timberwolves confidence is broken.
And with that championship teams smell blood in the water and attack without mercy.
I can see Jokic going off and that is why I have him scoring a triple-double in this one in my multi-props bet.
If Anthony Edwards wants to prove he can hang to the likes of a Jordan or Lebron as one of the greats to bang in the NBA:
Tonight is the night to show us all what he is made of.