Like under 224.5 for Jazz vs Raptors. This might become a defensive game.
This might be not, I am afraid it will be a high scoring game as the line is too high, IMO, if this would be a low scoring game, like should be set up like 215 to 219... I don't know that's just my own analysis, so I would go the opposite of yours.
He said
under so if you think the game will have a total score of 215 to 219 then that's under 224.5 and you are with him.
I think of the other way around which is Over 224.5 as Raptors and Jazz are averaging 110 points this season. Even with a good defense, expect lots of field goal attempts by these teams.
But I will not choose that line. It's worth risking some money for Raptor's Moneyline instead with a 2.9 odds. Not advisable for newbie gamblers out there but even Utah Jazz has a good Home record, Raptors on the other hand also have a good Away record. No major injuries from both teams too (VanFleet is injured but I don't think it will weaken the Raptors overall). Goodluck to us.
What I understand about Botnake said is that the line of 224 is quite high as an opening line, so most probably people will bet the under as 224 is high and they think they'll hit their bet as they think it's gonna be a low scoring game.
personally I have seen this in the past, there are lines that we can call as a trap.
For example, before, the warriors and rockets are both a high scoring game and the line opened up like 210, of course people should be pounding that over as they think it's too easy considering both teams are a high scoring team, however, after the game the result is under, so the public loses as their perception is wrong and they didn't figure out that the line is a trap.
About this game, it opened up at 224.5, now down to 221.5, so this means either the public is pounding the under or some smart money does.
Therefore, it could possibly go over opposite of what majority is expecting.
