Topic: ★ NBA expert picks: New Season ★ - page 25. (Read 28772 times)

Lol, I actually took Memphis -4 but broadcasted pelicans +4 last night and forgot to change it today.  Forgot I broadcasted some picks last night.  Apologies for that, won't happen again.

Pending3 Nov 7:05pmBasketball - NBANew Orleans Pelicans v Memphis GrizzliesGame: Memphis Grizzlies -4 1.924 (-108)

Yeah NYC 12.5 was a steal, as well as ML.  Considering NYC is one of the best teams in the east this year.  They're chemistry is getting better and they are strong at every position except the PG.  But they make up for that at WF and PF... and they have some very tough wing players in Shumpert, Tim Hardaway Jr, Melo, obv.  One of their most valuable assets is having goto players in Melo and JR Smith, as well as shumpert and Tim Jr, who can create on their own.

Furthermore, they have Phil Jackson now. It isn't so much his triangle offense that is an asset, but the fact that he is very respected and that is part of what puts a team together. The pieces of the 90's Bulls fit together so well because it had very respected people a part of that team: MJ, Phil, Tex, Pip, and support role players.

CLE on the other hand has no chemistry at all.  I've yet to see a well run play put together in the half court by them, besides feeding the post or a nice kick out for a 3.  Everything has been clear outs.  Sure they have the best clear out players in the league in Kyrie, Lebron, and Waiters is up there.  But what it takes for them to be a well run team is for everyone to fill a role.  And that is tough for a team with as much one on one power as they do.

It is also very possible that the Cavs can steam roll the entire NBA without too much chemistry... just by sheer fire power and talent.  But then again, that doesn't seem to work too well in the playoffs, when everyone is playing all out.  It's kind of like a serious team playing against an all star team.  The all star team usually don't look like an all star team, because serious team is on lock down mode and the basket will seem a lot smaller vs those kinds of teams.

And one of the faults of San Antonio this year is they have no go to players that can get a critical basket with time winding down.  Ginobili is getting old, and Parker is undersized and unreliable to be a go to player.  I don't see Kawhi being that person either.  I definitely don't see San Antonio making it out the west again.  Tim Duncan in the post will not work as a go to play. Post players are tough go-to players because refs tend to lose their whistles in clutch situations.  It's something that has happened since the beginning of time and it will continue to happen.  Why?  Because in the post there is a lot of contact throughout the game and the refs don't know where to even start.  Only way for refs to start using the whistle for fouls/contact in the lane is if they start setting that precedent early in the game (ie not let it get out of hand).  But in crucial / playoff games, refs tend to let them play a bit, and the fans want them to play.  Refs are influenced by the fans and the atmosphere for sure.  It's human nature.

Everybody thought Cleveland will win their first game of the season . LOL

Thanks.  I'm a bit worried about the rockets game right now.  They're obviously going to win, but they're kind of coasting through this game and not taking it seriously.  Hopefully Philly self destructs towards end of the game.  Harden is just treating this game like a summer league shoot out (which is big part of his game anyway), but there is no player movement at all in their offense.  Diamond offense everytime with harden up top.  This pace favors Philly because they have some young athletic players that play the open court well and have nothing going in the half court game.

Nice Picks for the Rockets and the Mavericks. The last pick (Kings) did surprise me, nice odds though. We will see what will happen. Keep up the good work!

11/3

3 Nov 6:05pmBasketball - NBAHouston Rockets v Philadelphia 76ersGame: Houston Rockets -10.5 1.897 (-111)

3 Nov 7:35pmBasketball - NBABoston Celtics v Dallas MavericksGame: Dallas Mavericks -9.5 1.933 (-107)

3 Nov 8:05pmBasketball - NBASacramento Kings v Denver NuggetsGame: Sacramento Kings ML 3.391 (+239)

win2 Nov 2:40pmBasketball - NBASacramento Kings v Los Angeles ClippersGame: Sacramento Kings +9.51.897 (-111)
win2 Nov 5:05pmBasketball - NBAToronto Raptors v Miami HeatGame: Miami Heat -21.924 (-108)
lose2 Nov 6:35pmBasketball - NBACharlotte Hornets v New York KnicksGame: New York Knicks -3.51.924 (-108)
win2 Nov 8:05pmBasketball - NBAGolden State Warriors v Portland Trail BlazersGame: Golden State Warriors ML2.306 (+131)
win2 Nov 3:05pmFootball - NFLSt. Louis Rams v San Francisco 49ersGame: St. Louis Rams +10.51.880 (-114)
win2 Nov 3:25pmFootball - NFLOakland Raiders v Seattle SeahawksGame: Oakland Raiders +13.51.850 (-118)


come on melo, make 1 more freethrow and i sweep this parlay for 56 x orignal bet

11/3

3 Nov 7:05pmBasketball - NBANew Orleans Pelicans v Memphis GrizzliesGame: New Orleans Pelicans +4.51.882 (-113)
Pending3 Nov 8:05pmBasketball - NBASacramento Kings v Denver NuggetsGame: Sacramento Kings +71.924 (-108)
Pending3 Nov 9:35pmBasketball - NBAUtah Jazz v Los Angeles ClippersGame: under 205.51.924 (-108)

took kings ML but didn't broad cast

still a bit fuming about clippers on sleep mode vs OKC and rudy gay going off for 40 pts vs a tough portland team.  Those 2 games probably costed me 60 units for some of my unbroadcasted bets/parlays.

11/2

2 Nov 8:05pmBasketball - NBAGolden State Warriors v Portland Trail BlazersGame: Golden State Warriors ML 2.306 (+131)

Pending2 Nov 2:35pmBasketball - NBASacramento Kings v Los Angeles Clippers1st Quarter: under 52 1.866 (-115)

2 Nov 6:35pmBasketball - NBACharlotte Hornets v New York KnicksGame: New York Knicks -3.5 1.924 (-108)

2 Nov 5:05pmBasketball - NBAToronto Raptors v Miami HeatGame: Miami Heat -2 1.924 (-108)

2 Nov 2:40pmBasketball - NBASacramento Kings v Los Angeles ClippersGame: Sacramento Kings +9.5 1.897 (-111)

and under 197 1.897 (-111) for mia v tor



Had a tough night last night. didnt expect some of the young teams to be THAT flatfooted in back to backs but a few of my unbroadcast picks did okay.

such as these: win1 Nov 7:05pmBasketball - NBADenver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder1st Quarter: under 481.850 (-118)0.020000.01700 or win1 Nov 6:05pmBasketball - NBADallas Mavericks v New Orleans PelicansGame: Dallas Mavericks +11.857 (-117)

As much as chairmanMeow is probably an 11 year old raging online to try and make himself look like a badass, he is right in that you should assume they're 1 unit each unless otherwise stated.

11/1


Game: Toronto Raptors -5.5

Game: Milwaukee Bucks +9

Brooklyn Nets v Detroit Pistons1st Quarter: under 49.5

Game: Denver Nuggets -4.5

Game: Charlotte Hornets -3

Game: Milwaukee Bucks +9

Phoenix Suns v Utah JazzGame: Phoenix Suns -2

Wow refs decided to not call any hacks and tackles against the Cavs strong drives.  Game should be cavs up 10+ right now.  Thats the thing i hate about this, you really have absolutely no clue how refs will react and how much they will favor the home team.  That is one thing u just can't factor in.  Game tied right now 27 sec left.


Doesn't matter.  Ball don't lie.  Cavs win.

last time i can reply to you as you are too fucking stupid to comprehend sentences.

All i said was, if someone does not post a unit amount then all you should care about is the winning percentage and assume its flat bet.  If they have a good winning percentage then you know how much money you can make FLAT BETTING YOU FUCKING MORON.

Yes, if they post a fucking unit amount then sure you look at the unit totals more than the winning percentage.

JESUS. FUCKING. CHRIST.

I honestly do not understand how you can be this fucking stupid

Yeah all it takes is quoting my plays and its set in stone.

Sigh. Who is the idiot? You can have a high betting win percentage and a negative profit. This is why how many units are important and why you can't just assume. 1 unit may be common but people gamble different. At the end of the day, I would rather be up in BTC then down with a higher win percentage.

How am I wrong here? Since I'm the idiot, please explain.

for anyone else looking for his plays for tonight

31 Oct 9:05pmBasketball - NBAPortland Trail Blazers v Sacramento KingsGame: Portland Trail Blazers -5  1.942 (-106)

Pending31 Oct 7:35pmBasketball - NBAPhiladelphia 76ers v Milwaukee BucksGame: Milwaukee Bucks -8.5  1.942 (-106)

31 Oct 6:05pmBasketball - NBAMemphis Grizzlies v Indiana PacersGame: Memphis Grizzlies -6  1.952 (-105)

31 Oct 9:05pmBasketball - NBASan Antonio Spurs v Phoenix SunsGame: San Antonio Spurs -1  1.952 (-105)

as well as cleveland ML

Now you can rest assured he wont be changing his plays since he cant change my post . . . . pretty easy thing to do if you ask me.

No just something I thought of out of no where lol.  Because a friend was arguing about Lakers with me and spewing a whole bunch of BS logic.

You're a fucking idiot.  I dont know what else to tell you.  You are literally too god damn stupid to understand simple common sense. 

Its common knowledge in sports betting picks (when people post plays) that if they dont post a unit amount all bets are 1 unit.

You keep repeating this nonsense that is absolutely irrelevant about wanting to know how much profit they are up.  Listen, if someone never posts a unit amount then you should not give a fuck about their "profit" All you should care about is their winning percentage. Jesus fucks sake man.  You really are something else