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Topic: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 177 bets / 54% / 2,45 Av Odd / +45,02u - page 3. (Read 2708 times)

full member
Activity: 223
Merit: 100
Moneyline:
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,96
That moneyline was killed by C. J. McCollum. He hits a clutch shot with 3 seconds left in the clock. Really a bad night for us Dallas backers, I should have bet on the point spread though.

It could be a perfect day...I modified the selection of the O/U tips so from yesterday I expect an higher winning percentage. Stay tuned!
hero member
Activity: 1050
Merit: 529
Student Coin
Moneyline:
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,96
That moneyline was killed by C. J. McCollum. He hits a clutch shot with 3 seconds left in the clock. Really a bad night for us Dallas backers, I should have bet on the point spread though.
full member
Activity: 223
Merit: 100
Moneyline:
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,96

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Houston Rockets – Over 224
Dallas Mavericks - Over 206

Sorry for the late post.
full member
Activity: 223
Merit: 100
Today, we have:
Moneyline:
LA Lakers @ 3,00 WIN (easy win)
Washington Wizards @ 1,91 LOSS (what a match..)
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,85 LOSS (easy loss Cheesy)
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 1,85 LOSS (loss for 2 points)
Memphis Grizzlies @ 2,22 WIN
Chicago Bulls @ 2,15 WIN


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Indiana Pacers - Over 212,5 LOSS
Washington Wizards - Under 219,5 LOSS
Atlanta Hawks - Over 199 WIN
Minnesota Timberwolves - Under 206 LOSS
Memphis Grizzlies - Under 203 WIN


Good Luck!

Yesterday balance: ML = +1,37u and O/U = -1u
Probably, I've to select better the U/O predictions, because after 34 tips I'm in perfect parity: 17W and 17L. So, I'll work on it!
full member
Activity: 223
Merit: 100
Today, we have:
Moneyline:
LA Lakers @ 3,00
Washington Wizards @ 1,91
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,85
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 1,85
Memphis Grizzlies @ 2,22
Chicago Bulls @ 2,15


Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Indiana Pacers - Over 212,5
Washington Wizards - Under 219,5
Atlanta Hawks - Over 199
Minnesota Timberwolves - Under 206
Memphis Grizzlies - Under 203

Good Luck!
full member
Activity: 223
Merit: 100
In conclusion, yesterday we have a return of -0,65 units, due to bad predictions on O/U.
Today, we have onlye one match with 2 predictions:
Moneyline:
Toronto Raptors AH -7,5 @ 2,06 WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Toronto Raptors - Under 216 WIN


Two wins in the Toronto's match Wink
See you tomorrow for new tips!
full member
Activity: 223
Merit: 100
New predictions:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,30 WIN
Indiana Pacers @ 1,55 WIN
Washington Wizards @ 1,30 WIN
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,04 LOSS
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,93 WIN
San Antonio Spurs@ 1,17 WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanda Hawks - Over 209 LOSS
Washington Wizards - Under 218,5 WIN
Miami Heat - Under 207,5 LOSS
Phoenix Suns - Under 219 LOSS


Good luck to all!


In conclusion, yesterday we have a return of -0,65 units, due to bad predictions on O/U.
Today, we have onlye one match with 2 predictions:
Moneyline:
Toronto Raptors AH -7,5 @ 2,06

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Toronto Raptors - Under 216
hero member
Activity: 2856
Merit: 667
New predictions:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,30
Indiana Pacers @ 1,55
Washington Wizards @ 1,30
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,04
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,93
San Antonio Spurs@ 1,17

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanda Hawks - Over 209
Washington Wizards - Under 218,5
Miami Heat - Under 207,5
Phoenix Suns - Under 219


Good luck to all!

Way to turn it around yesterday. I should of picked those o/u yesterday instead of straight ML if I wanted to get anything with the games that I played.

I like the Hawks and Pacers picks with over on those games.
I picked Pacers yesterday and it was my only win along with Orlando winning.
I got fooled with the Phoenix game on both of my parlays with the kings choking it and Booker pulling his head out of his arse finally just when I bet against them. Cheesy
His moneyline bet almost are perfect aside from the timberwolves bet, while on the over/under, I guess you have only predicted 1 game out of 4. That will sum up to a losing night if I am not mistaken. I usually check your thread but I don't follow all your predictions, but despite of that, I know you will bounce back tomorrow.
hero member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1012
New predictions:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,30
Indiana Pacers @ 1,55
Washington Wizards @ 1,30
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,04
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,93
San Antonio Spurs@ 1,17

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanda Hawks - Over 209
Washington Wizards - Under 218,5
Miami Heat - Under 207,5
Phoenix Suns - Under 219


Good luck to all!

Way to turn it around yesterday. I should of picked those o/u yesterday instead of straight ML if I wanted to get anything with the games that I played.

I like the Hawks and Pacers picks with over on those games.
I picked Pacers yesterday and it was my only win along with Orlando winning.
I got fooled with the Phoenix game on both of my parlays with the kings choking it and Booker pulling his head out of his arse finally just when I bet against them. Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 540
New predictions:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,30
Indiana Pacers @ 1,55
Washington Wizards @ 1,30
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,04
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,93
San Antonio Spurs@ 1,17

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanda Hawks - Over 209
Washington Wizards - Under 218,5
Miami Heat - Under 207,5
Phoenix Suns - Under 219


Good luck to all!

Your money line seems interesting as we see those previous results when favored teams are keep on winning again and not allowing the handicap be covered, i guess bettors are also trying to try something and that why bookies needs to adjust. Lets see if making a small bet with parlay using your tips. Good luck and thank you for sharing.
full member
Activity: 223
Merit: 100
New predictions:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,30
Indiana Pacers @ 1,55
Washington Wizards @ 1,30
Minnesota Timberwolves @ 2,04
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,93
San Antonio Spurs@ 1,17

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanda Hawks - Over 209
Washington Wizards - Under 218,5
Miami Heat - Under 207,5
Phoenix Suns - Under 219


Good luck to all!
full member
Activity: 223
Merit: 100
Not lucky at all....
Today's predictions:
Moneyline:
Memphis Grizzlies @ 2,04 LOSS
Dallas Mavericks @ 2,63 WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Orlando Magic - Under 210 WIN
Detroit Pistons - Over 212 WIN
Houston Rockets - Under 224,5 LOSS
Sacramento Kings - Under 219 WIN


Let's restart winning!

Good results, Grizzlies lead all the 4th quarter, except the last 2 minutes....Rockets reached OVER only on Overtime (208 points in regular time)Sad Sad Sad
Let's continue in this way!
hero member
Activity: 1050
Merit: 529
Student Coin
I like the under for the Pistons and Grizzlies to win over the Thunder.
I think these two games are good enough to start getting back to winning ways as before betting on these NBA games.
I guess this game will went the other way, the trend now is under but as this game goes, there will be a lot of fouls due to a close game. The 2nd half will dictate the total points of this game, I think there's a possibility that this game will go to overtime and will hit the over 204.5. Just saying!
hero member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1012
I like the under for the Pistons and Grizzlies to win over the Thunder.
I think these two games are good enough to start getting back to winning ways as before betting on these NBA games.
full member
Activity: 223
Merit: 100
Not lucky at all....
Today's predictions:
Moneyline:
Memphis Grizzlies @ 2,04
Dallas Mavericks @ 2,63

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Orlando Magic - Under 210
Detroit Pistons - Over 212
Houston Rockets - Under 224,5
Sacramento Kings - Under 219


Let's restart winning!
full member
Activity: 223
Merit: 100
ATTENTION, there was an error, U/O tips are:
Wizards under 219
Rockets over 226
LA Clippers under 228,5

Sorry for the mistake, good luck!
legendary
Activity: 2996
Merit: 1054
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Two days of hell  Cry
But we still maintain a ROI of 50%  Shocked

I've modified again a little bit the model, let's continue our test!

Moneyline:
LA Clippers @ 4,13

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Washington Wizards - Under 217,5
Houston Rockets - Over 226,5
Phoenix Suns - Under 226


Hoping a little bit of luck Cheesy
Yeah i think its better to try under/over now since the favored team now really playing big and its not easy to make some luck even trying to bet with handicap ill be following this thread mate lets see how your assessment will be lucky. Good luck
full member
Activity: 223
Merit: 100
Two days of hell  Cry
But we still maintain a ROI of 50%  Shocked

I've modified again a little bit the model, let's continue our test!

Moneyline:
LA Clippers @ 4,13

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Washington Wizards - Under 217,5
Houston Rockets - Over 226,5
Phoenix Suns - Under 226


Hoping a little bit of luck Cheesy
full member
Activity: 223
Merit: 100
Sorry guys...This was an hard work day....
I'll put today's tips and tomorrow I'll update stats and results (yesterday was a bad day, -1,5units Sad ):

Moneyline:
Orlando Magic @ 2,15 LOSS
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,38 LOSS
Denver Nuggets @ 2,35 LOSS
Phoenix Suns @ 2,27 LOSS
Milwaukee Bucks @ 3,65 LOSS

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 215,5 LOSS
Boston Celtis - Over 215 LOSS
Miami Heat - Under 205 LOSS
Utah Jazz - Under 198,5 WIN

Good luck guys!
hero member
Activity: 1358
Merit: 509
First: Thanks that you share your picks with us! I am following your thread for a while now Smiley

Why is the x axis only going to 31? Smiley

Is the base bet 10€ for every single bet?

My third question is, are you betting in parley or on singles?

This thread shows that all his bets on singles... If you took the time to go through it...
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