NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 177 bets / 54% / 2,45 Av Odd / +45,02u - page 5.

vella85

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Activity: 1862

Merit: 590

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 28, 2017, 07:40:44 AM

27/01/2016
Sacramento Kings @ 2,59 LOSS (they lead all the time, and they lost at overtime Angry

)
Orlando Magic @ 4,06 LOSS (bad game for magics)
New York Knicks @ 2,00 WIN
Miami Heat @ 3,87 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 3,15 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,28 LOSS (lost for 5 point, damned Harden and its 51 points Angry

)
Portland Trail Blazers @ 1,90 WIN

Not bad tonight.... Cheesy

(If you have bet usign asian handicaps, you will probably get 6 over 7.)

Pretty good result last night mate and even though the Kings let you down you were still able to turn out a profit for the night which is the most important thing when it comes to betting on sports. I agree people should take the spreads if they are worried about betting at the money line. Asian handicaps are most likely the best choice like you said but as I use DirectBet I'll just bet on the points spreads.

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

Here we have new predictions:

Sacramento Kings @ 3,70
Miami Heat @ 2,48
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,94
Denver Nuggets @ 2,34
Memphis Grizzlies @ 3,52

I'm glad to introduce a new prediction model on Over/Under bets, these are the points predictions:
GSW vs LA Clippers - Over 224
Phoenix vs Denver - Under 231
Utah vs Memphis - Over 189,5

Good luck to all guys!

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

Results until now:

N. Bets 19
Balance   +7,65 units
Perc Win   57,89%
Av Odd   2,88
Av Winning Odd   2,42
Av Losing Odd   3,53

vennali

legendary

Activity: 2338

Merit: 1081

#SWGT CERTIK Audited

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 28, 2017, 07:40:44 AM

27/01/2016
Sacramento Kings @ 2,59 LOSS (they lead all the time, and they lost at overtime Angry

)
Orlando Magic @ 4,06 LOSS (bad game for magics)
New York Knicks @ 2,00 WIN
Miami Heat @ 3,87 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 3,15 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,28 LOSS (lost for 5 point, damned Harden and its 51 points Angry

)
Portland Trail Blazers @ 1,90 WIN

Not bad tonight.... Cheesy

(If you have bet usign asian handicaps, you will probably get 6 over 7.)

Harden went crazy last night. He scored 51 points, 13 rebounds, 13 assists, 2 steals and a block. That was regular season MVP worthy performance. It cannot get any better than this with such a complete performance. Great bet on Pelicans to win over San Antonio Spurs. I would have never guessed it.

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

27/01/2016
Sacramento Kings @ 2,59 LOSS (they lead all the time, and they lost at overtime Angry

)
Orlando Magic @ 4,06 LOSS (bad game for magics)
New York Knicks @ 2,00 WIN
Miami Heat @ 3,87 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 3,15 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,28 LOSS (lost for 5 point, damned Harden and its 51 points Angry

)
Portland Trail Blazers @ 1,90 WIN

Not bad tonight.... Cheesy

(If you have bet usign asian handicaps, you will probably get 6 over 7.)

vella85

hero member

Activity: 1862

Merit: 590

Even though last night was a loss overall you are still in profit. I took your tips last night but with the dogs I went with them to cover the spread and got 1 from 2 as the Mavericks were unable to cover the spread but the Lakers did as they were +12.5 I'll be putting bets on your tips again tonight as everyone has a bad day betting on sports so hopefully tonight that turns around.

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63 LOSS
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67 LOSS
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33 WIN
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87LOSS

For tonight:
27/01/2016
Sacramento Kings @ 2,59
Orlando Magic @ 4,06
New York Knicks @ 2,00
Miami Heat @ 3,87
New Orleans Pelicans @ 3,15
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,28
Portland Trail Blazers @ 1,90

I modified a bit my model, let's see!

ingiltere

legendary

Activity: 2982

Merit: 1485

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 26, 2017, 02:57:40 PM

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Minnesota was favorite odd-wise but they lost the game.
Dallas and Lakers weren't favorites and they lost the game as expected.
You only won 1 of your 4 picks which is also heavy favorite with 1.33 odds. Denver beat Phoenix at home as expected. I feel like your Philly prediction on first day was pure luck.

NorrisK

legendary

Activity: 1946

Merit: 1007

Nice run on your first attempt!

If it seems to be working, maybe it will be possible to manually add modifiers for injured or missing key players etc.

Caladonian

hero member

Activity: 1302

Merit: 540

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 26, 2017, 06:00:46 AM

Cleveland Cavaliers @ 1,10 LOSS (I was not sure in adding this pick, the model gave me a good confidence but too low considering the odd)
Houston Rockets @ 1,57 LOSS
Miami Heat @ 1,66 WIN
Golden State Warriors @ 1,16 WIN
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,80 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 6,38 WIN
Oklahoma City Thunder @ 1,84 WIN
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,56 WIN

SUMMARY:
6 W - 2 L - 2,08 Average ODD

Dont you have any new one for today? It seems that folowing this pattern will going to allow us some wins, hope you can bring more of your tips so we can find some additional tips before we proceed in placing our bets good luck and more to come.

philiveyjr

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Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 26, 2017, 02:57:40 PM

Quote from: ingiltere on January 26, 2017, 06:46:41 AM

Cavs lost @ 1.10 but Philly won @ 6.38 that saved the day. You lost from the lowest odd and won from the highest. I still don't understand how you calculate outcomes, can you tell us more about which statistics you use to make this method?

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Good luck to all Cool

Lakers might have a hard tome if Julius Randle doesnt play tonight. Already D'Angelo Russel is out and if they plan to win against a healthy Utah Jazz squad, they need to have as many players available as possible. The other games seems plausible and OKC can be on and off depending on how Westbrook plays.

Crazy rider89

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Activity: 223

Merit: 100

Quote from: mOgliE on January 26, 2017, 04:08:29 PM

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 26, 2017, 02:57:40 PM

Quote from: ingiltere on January 26, 2017, 06:46:41 AM

Cavs lost @ 1.10 but Philly won @ 6.38 that saved the day. You lost from the lowest odd and won from the highest. I still don't understand how you calculate outcomes, can you tell us more about which statistics you use to make this method?

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Good luck to all Cool

Ahahah!
Careful if you get too much results right you gonna have a huge freaking fanbase here ^^
I'm keeping an eye on your thread too.
Don't disappoint us :p

I hope so! Cheesy

Crazy rider89

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Activity: 223

Merit: 100

Quote from: ingiltere on January 26, 2017, 03:34:46 PM

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 26, 2017, 02:57:40 PM

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:
26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Fair enough. I'll just follow you for picks then.
What about odds? Where do you find these high odds? I checked Dallas and it has 4.40 odds, you have 4.67. Lakers has 8.40 odds, you have 8.87. I might change to sportsbook you use.

I checked the odds just before posting on nitrogensports.eu Wink

mrdeposit

hero member

Activity: 1358

Merit: 509

Picks based on math, I like the idea. I will be following this thread.

vella85

hero member

Activity: 1862

Merit: 590

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 26, 2017, 06:00:46 AM

Cleveland Cavaliers @ 1,10 LOSS (I was not sure in adding this pick, the model gave me a good confidence but too low considering the odd)
Houston Rockets @ 1,57 LOSS
Miami Heat @ 1,66 WIN
Golden State Warriors @ 1,16 WIN
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,80 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 6,38 WIN
Oklahoma City Thunder @ 1,84 WIN
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,56 WIN

SUMMARY:
6 W - 2 L - 2,08 Average ODD

That was an epic win by the Philadelphia 76ers at those odds and it sure made up for the Cavs losing at 1.10 It's seems that your model for betting on the NBA does work however we must see if it is consistent over a long period of time. But you are off to a great start and hopefully it can continue tonight.

mOgliE

legendary

Activity: 1344

Merit: 1251

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 26, 2017, 02:57:40 PM

Quote from: ingiltere on January 26, 2017, 06:46:41 AM

Cavs lost @ 1.10 but Philly won @ 6.38 that saved the day. You lost from the lowest odd and won from the highest. I still don't understand how you calculate outcomes, can you tell us more about which statistics you use to make this method?

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Good luck to all Cool

Ahahah!
Careful if you get too much results right you gonna have a huge freaking fanbase here ^^
I'm keeping an eye on your thread too.
Don't disappoint us :p

ingiltere

legendary

Activity: 2982

Merit: 1485

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 26, 2017, 02:57:40 PM

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:
26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Fair enough. I'll just follow you for picks then.
What about odds? Where do you find these high odds? I checked Dallas and it has 4.40 odds, you have 4.67. Lakers has 8.40 odds, you have 8.87. I might change to sportsbook you use.

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

Quote from: ingiltere on January 26, 2017, 06:46:41 AM

Cavs lost @ 1.10 but Philly won @ 6.38 that saved the day. You lost from the lowest odd and won from the highest. I still don't understand how you calculate outcomes, can you tell us more about which statistics you use to make this method?

For now, I don't want to explain the techniques, we are talking about a model in costant evolution, maybe in the next future if it's going to work...

Tonight's predictions:

26/01/2016
Minnesota Timberlwolves @ 1,63
Dallas Mavericks @ 4,67
Denver Nuggets @ 1,33
Los Angeles Lakers @ 8,87

Good luck to all Cool

ingiltere

legendary

Activity: 2982

Merit: 1485

Cavs lost @ 1.10 but Philly won @ 6.38 that saved the day. You lost from the lowest odd and won from the highest. I still don't understand how you calculate outcomes, can you tell us more about which statistics you use to make this method?

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

Cleveland Cavaliers @ 1,10 LOSS (I was not sure in adding this pick, the model gave me a good confidence but too low considering the odd)
Houston Rockets @ 1,57 LOSS
Miami Heat @ 1,66 WIN
Golden State Warriors @ 1,16 WIN
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,80 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 6,38 WIN
Oklahoma City Thunder @ 1,84 WIN
Dallas Mavericks @ 1,56 WIN

SUMMARY:
6 W - 2 L - 2,08 Average ODD

Topic: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 177 bets / 54% / 2,45 Av Odd / +45,02u - page 5. (Read 2710 times)