NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 177 bets / 54% / 2,45 Av Odd / +45,02u - page 4.

Pricelezz

member

Activity: 100

Merit: 10

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 31, 2017, 10:42:08 AM

After 6 days and 45 bets (ML and O/U) this is my profit graph (fixed base bet = 10):

I don't think that it's only luck, the model seems to work good (even if something can be improved).

First: Thanks that you share your picks with us! I am following your thread for a while now

Why is the x axis only going to 31?

Is the base bet 10€ for every single bet?

My third question is, are you betting in parley or on singles?

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

For tonight there are few interesting matches:
Moneyline:
Washington Wizards @ 1,29WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 4,00LOSS
Sacramento Kings @ 7,29LOSS
LA Lakers @ 2,22WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
San Antonio Spurs - Over 211,5LOSS

Good luck guys!

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

After 6 days and 45 bets (ML and O/U) this is my profit graph (fixed base bet = 10):

I don't think that it's only luck, the model seems to work good (even if something can be improved).

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 30, 2017, 11:26:17 AM

For tonight there are few interesting matches:
Moneyline:
Philadelphia 76ers @ 2,01 WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Miami Heat - Under 217,5 WIN
Dallas Mavericks - Over 208,5 LOSS
Phoenix Suns - Over 209,5 WIN

Good luck!

3 wins out of 4, not bad Wink

You can follow me also on TWITTER: https://twitter.com/crazytipster_

Ipwich

hero member

Activity: 1050

Merit: 529

Student Coin

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 30, 2017, 11:26:17 AM

For tonight there are few interesting matches:
Moneyline:
Philadelphia 76ers @ 2,01

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Miami Heat - Under 217,5
Dallas Mavericks - Over 208,5
Phoenix Suns - Over 209,5

Good luck!

I will tail on your prediction, good luck to us tonight.

vella85

hero member

Activity: 1862

Merit: 590

Last night's results were crazy congrats op on your wins. I missed last night's tips as I forgot to check in here lol but I'll be putting some money on tonight's picks and hopefully they end like last night most of them winning tips. Good luck and let's hope the winning form continues tonight.

Fredomago

legendary

Activity: 2996

Merit: 1054

Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 30, 2017, 11:26:17 AM

For tonight there are few interesting matches:
Moneyline:
Philadelphia 76ers @ 2,01

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Miami Heat - Under 217,5
Dallas Mavericks - Over 208,5
Phoenix Suns - Over 209,5

Good luck!

Well i will monitor this mate as i seen you really make a good assessment with those picks that you are placing here if lucks permit me and if ill be able to get some btc i will also try betting with you over/under picks it seems that you are really good with that area.

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

For tonight there are few interesting matches:
Moneyline:
Philadelphia 76ers @ 2,01

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Miami Heat - Under 217,5
Dallas Mavericks - Over 208,5
Phoenix Suns - Over 209,5

Good luck!

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

Quote from: ralle14 on January 30, 2017, 09:47:04 AM

Nice wins I want to ask if how many units you put on each pick and how big is a unit for you? I'll be watching this thread to follow you starting today.

Until now, I didn't add the stake but every tip is considered with 1 unit as amount betted. For instance, if I used for my picks a unit of 0.01btc, I would receive 0.24btc for the ML bets and 0.05btc for Over/Under bets.

ralle14

legendary

Activity: 3374

Merit: 1922

Shuffle.com

Nice wins I want to ask if how many units you put on each pick and how big is a unit for you? I'll be watching this thread to follow you starting today.

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 29, 2017, 12:39:09 PM

Let's start with today's matches:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,37 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans @ 1,90 LOSS
Orlando Magic @ 4,94 WIN
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,59 LOSS
Dallas Maversicks @ 8,57 WIN (only for brave betters Cheesy

)
GSW @ 1,25WIN

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanta Hawks - Under 211 LOSS
Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 219,5 WIN
New Orleans Pelicans - Under 220,5 WIN
Toronto Raptors - Over 208,5 WIN
San Antonio Spurs - Over 197 WIN
Portland Trail Blazers - Under 230,5WIN

Good luck guys!

4/6 for Moneyline and 5/6 for Under/Over: +24,82 units for Moneyline and +5 units for Under/Over

If I helped you in making some money, send me a tip. It will help me to continue working on predictions: 1PMt1YawEdZ4M8TpvGKMY9iNjsTbEuQgoD.

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

Thanks guys for the support!

Did you enjoy the Dallas Mavericks winning tip at 8,57? Cheesy

Viscore

hero member

Activity: 3178

Merit: 661

Live with peace and enjoy life!

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 29, 2017, 12:39:09 PM

Let's start with today's matches:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,37
New Orleans Pelicans @ 1,90
Orlando Magic @ 4,94
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,59
Dallas Maversicks @ 8,57 (only for brave betters Cheesy

)
GSW @ 1,25

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanta Hawks - Under 211
Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 219,5
New Orleans Pelicans - Under 220,5
Toronto Raptors - Over 208,5
San Antonio Spurs - Over 197
Portland Trail Blazers - Under 230,5

Good luck guys!

You have an impressive record tonight mate, you almost hit perfect your over/under bets. This is something that you should continue to do, I'll be watching this like the other sports enthusiast. I like it because you choose to bet on NBA games, it's my game too.

shintosai

hero member

Activity: 756

Merit: 500

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 29, 2017, 12:39:09 PM

Let's start with today's matches:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,37
New Orleans Pelicans @ 1,90
Orlando Magic @ 4,94
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,59
Dallas Maversicks @ 8,57 (only for brave betters Cheesy

)
GSW @ 1,25

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanta Hawks - Under 211
Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 219,5
New Orleans Pelicans - Under 220,5
Toronto Raptors - Over 208,5
San Antonio Spurs - Over 197
Portland Trail Blazers - Under 230,5

Good luck guys!

this mavericks odd is really tempting if the twist of nba will work we will be lucky but i think little amount of btc would be okay trying to make a good earnings good luck mate.

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

Let's start with today's matches:
Moneyline:
Atlanta Hawks @ 1,37
New Orleans Pelicans @ 1,90
Orlando Magic @ 4,94
Philadelphia 76ers @ 3,59
Dallas Maversicks @ 8,57 (only for brave betters Cheesy

)
GSW @ 1,25

Over/Under (odd around 2,00):
Atlanta Hawks - Under 211
Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 219,5
New Orleans Pelicans - Under 220,5
Toronto Raptors - Over 208,5
San Antonio Spurs - Over 197
Portland Trail Blazers - Under 230,5

Good luck guys!

Crazy rider89

full member

Activity: 223

Merit: 100

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 28, 2017, 11:58:58 AM

Here we have new predictions:

Sacramento Kings @ 3,70 WIN
Miami Heat @ 2,48 WIN
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,94 LOSS
Denver Nuggets @ 2,34 WIN
Memphis Grizzlies @ 3,52WIN

I'm glad to introduce a new prediction model on Over/Under bets, these are the points predictions:
GSW vs LA Clippers - Over 224 - 2,00 WIN
Phoenix vs Denver - Under 231- 2,00 LOSS
Utah vs Memphis - Over 189,5 - 2,00 WIN

Good luck to all guys!

Another great night fellas!
I don't know if it is working or I'm just (very) lucky Cheesy

Summary, moneyline:
N. Bets 24
Balance   +14,69 Units
Perc Win   62,50%
Av ODD   2,87
Av Winning Odd   2,58
Av Losing Odd   3,35

Over/Under:
N. Bets 3
Balance   +1 Unit
Perc Win   66,67%
Av ODD   2
Av Winning Odd   2
Av Losing Odd   2

shanem

legendary

Activity: 1344

Merit: 1000

Quote from: vella85 on January 28, 2017, 11:01:34 PM

Quote from: Ipwich on January 28, 2017, 10:47:05 PM

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 28, 2017, 11:58:58 AM

Here we have new predictions:

Sacramento Kings @ 3,70
Miami Heat @ 2,48
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,94
Denver Nuggets @ 2,34
Memphis Grizzlies @ 3,52

I'm glad to introduce a new prediction model on Over/Under bets, these are the points predictions:
GSW vs LA Clippers - Over 224
Phoenix vs Denver - Under 231
Utah vs Memphis - Over 189,5

Good luck to all guys!

Looks like your prediction will cash out again tonight, most of them are winning bets except the Milwaukee Bucks. But to be honest, you impressed me with your selection, your losing bet is not garbage, the Bucks rally to bring the game to OT but unfortunately they lose in OT. Good job bro!

Yeah things are looking really good at the moment with the Bucks the only team to let us down. A big hit on the Kings winning and also the Heat. And so far the Nuggets and Grizzlies are looking in good shape to also pull off wins and the over/under bets won one so far with the GSW/Clippers game easily going over and it looks like the Suns/Nuggets will go under but the Jazz/Grizzlies will be a close call and that's the one I put a bet on lol Anyway it will be another great result for you op.

Your predictions are really good. You only lost two games out of your 8 games. I am impressed you managed to pick two winners at high odds. Care to share your insights your picks for the games? I only bet on over points for NBA games.

vella85

hero member

Activity: 1862

Merit: 590

Quote from: Ipwich on January 28, 2017, 10:47:05 PM

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 28, 2017, 11:58:58 AM

Here we have new predictions:

Sacramento Kings @ 3,70
Miami Heat @ 2,48
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,94
Denver Nuggets @ 2,34
Memphis Grizzlies @ 3,52

I'm glad to introduce a new prediction model on Over/Under bets, these are the points predictions:
GSW vs LA Clippers - Over 224
Phoenix vs Denver - Under 231
Utah vs Memphis - Over 189,5

Good luck to all guys!

Looks like your prediction will cash out again tonight, most of them are winning bets except the Milwaukee Bucks. But to be honest, you impressed me with your selection, your losing bet is not garbage, the Bucks rally to bring the game to OT but unfortunately they lose in OT. Good job bro!

Yeah things are looking really good at the moment with the Bucks the only team to let us down. A big hit on the Kings winning and also the Heat. And so far the Nuggets and Grizzlies are looking in good shape to also pull off wins and the over/under bets won one so far with the GSW/Clippers game easily going over and it looks like the Suns/Nuggets will go under but the Jazz/Grizzlies will be a close call and that's the one I put a bet on lol Anyway it will be another great result for you op.

Ipwich

hero member

Activity: 1050

Merit: 529

Student Coin

Quote from: Crazy rider89 on January 28, 2017, 11:58:58 AM

Here we have new predictions:

Sacramento Kings @ 3,70
Miami Heat @ 2,48
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1,94
Denver Nuggets @ 2,34
Memphis Grizzlies @ 3,52

I'm glad to introduce a new prediction model on Over/Under bets, these are the points predictions:
GSW vs LA Clippers - Over 224
Phoenix vs Denver - Under 231
Utah vs Memphis - Over 189,5

Good luck to all guys!

Looks like your prediction will cash out again tonight, most of them are winning bets except the Milwaukee Bucks. But to be honest, you impressed me with your selection, your losing bet is not garbage, the Bucks rally to bring the game to OT but unfortunately they lose in OT. Good job bro!

rexxarofmoknathal

sr. member

Activity: 980

Merit: 260

Nice! Care to share what sort of approach you're using for this?

You should check these guys out : https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2017-nba-predictions/?ex_cid=rrpromo

FiveThirtyEight does a lot of reporting based off statistics and prediction models. They have an NBA prediction model that they go really in depth as to how they build. You could possibly take a look and see if you can implement any of their approaches to your own. It's also just a very interesting read, especially for those of you that are interested in this sort of stuff

Topic: NBA Statistical Methods for Predicting: 177 bets / 54% / 2,45 Av Odd / +45,02u - page 4. (Read 2720 times)