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Topic: New 14nm miners??????? - page 2. (Read 5991 times)

full member
Activity: 121
Merit: 100
August 31, 2014, 08:02:27 PM
#49
The only way anyone except Intel is making 14nm bitcoin ASICs is if they pay a shit load of money to Intel.

or to someone....14nm is a pretty significant scaling hurdle as we are starting to build chips with components that are only a few atoms across

http://www.extremetech.com/computing/97469-is-14nm-the-end-of-the-road-for-silicon-lithography
hero member
Activity: 575
Merit: 500
August 31, 2014, 06:49:59 PM
#48
The only way anyone except Intel is making 14nm bitcoin ASICs is if they pay a shit load of money to Intel.

TBH, Intel is barely making stuff on 14nm ;P
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1004
August 31, 2014, 10:15:05 AM
#47
The only way anyone except Intel is making 14nm bitcoin ASICs is if they pay a shit load of money to Intel.
legendary
Activity: 1281
Merit: 1000
☑ ♟ ☐ ♚
August 31, 2014, 01:46:20 AM
#46
This is still way out there in time.   Assuming it all goes well chips are not available until May, 2015.   Systems would be after that.    You have a long time for your happy dance.   Does seem a lot more possible though.

I meant, BlackArrow, or any other bitcoinASIC-company, wont be able to produce 14nm-chips in years. Come on.
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 510
August 30, 2014, 11:40:46 PM
#45
The only way BA is making 14nm ASICs is if they make 28nm stuff and cut it in 1/2 with a Ginsu knife.

Their track record speaks volumes.  Anybody jumping on that is just funding their shadiness.
Strangely I'm not surprised to hear that. 
DrG
legendary
Activity: 2086
Merit: 1035
August 30, 2014, 10:20:19 PM
#44
The only way BA is making 14nm ASICs is if they make 28nm stuff and cut it in 1/2 with a Ginsu knife.

Their track record speaks volumes.  Anybody jumping on that is just funding their shadiness.
sr. member
Activity: 285
Merit: 250
August 30, 2014, 10:13:33 PM
#43
Black arrow have bad records right? Not worth to risk.
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 510
August 30, 2014, 08:44:17 PM
#42
This is still way out there in time.   Assuming it all goes well chips are not available until May, 2015.   Systems would be after that.    You have a long time for your happy dance.   Does seem a lot more possible though.
legendary
Activity: 1281
Merit: 1000
☑ ♟ ☐ ♚
DrG
legendary
Activity: 2086
Merit: 1035
July 18, 2014, 11:45:10 PM
#40
Moore's law is approaching it's end.  We won't keep seeing leaps in transistor reduction.  Switching to graphene or some other exotic manufacturing might be the future.

But for what seems an eternity in the Bitcoin world, the next 1-2 years will still see more efficient miners released.
Agreed.  Seriously doubt asic miniaturization will slow down within the next 18-24 months, then after that I suspect we will see a slew of optimization techniques that carry this trend on for another 6-12 months easy.  Of course, all of this is largely contingent upon the bitcoin price continuing it's upward trend.

I believe ALToids was saying the opposite of what you're saying.  CPUs have pretty much reached a wall.

ASICs for Bitcoin still have an efficient jump to 20nm, but 14nm will be cost prohibitive because all the foundries will have other orders.  This won't be for another year - which in Bitcoin terms is like 25 years from now.
Actually the jump to 14nm is more that just a cost problem.  A lot of redesign has to be done to gain the full benefits.   Probably much more than a year yet.   

When producing a batch run of 100k chips, the 500K spent on 5 full time engineers is nothing compared to the $20 million needed for the run.  You are right that to optimize 14nm a LOT of work needs to be done, but most ASIC companies aren't really optimizing their current 20/28nm offerings.  That's why Bitfury was able to do so well on the efficiency end even with a higher node.
full member
Activity: 153
Merit: 100
July 18, 2014, 10:29:55 AM
#39
http://igg.me/p/822701/x

What do you guys think?  Legit or scam?

If this is real it could mean that difficulty would go up even more and our old miners would become obselete even faster.

Scam, avoid at all cost
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 510
July 18, 2014, 04:33:28 AM
#38
Moore's law is approaching it's end.  We won't keep seeing leaps in transistor reduction.  Switching to graphene or some other exotic manufacturing might be the future.

But for what seems an eternity in the Bitcoin world, the next 1-2 years will still see more efficient miners released.
Agreed.  Seriously doubt asic miniaturization will slow down within the next 18-24 months, then after that I suspect we will see a slew of optimization techniques that carry this trend on for another 6-12 months easy.  Of course, all of this is largely contingent upon the bitcoin price continuing it's upward trend.

I believe ALToids was saying the opposite of what you're saying.  CPUs have pretty much reached a wall.

ASICs for Bitcoin still have an efficient jump to 20nm, but 14nm will be cost prohibitive because all the foundries will have other orders.  This won't be for another year - which in Bitcoin terms is like 25 years from now.
Actually the jump to 14nm is more that just a cost problem.  A lot of redesign has to be done to gain the full benefits.   Probably much more than a year yet.   
DrG
legendary
Activity: 2086
Merit: 1035
July 18, 2014, 04:03:06 AM
#37
Moore's law is approaching it's end.  We won't keep seeing leaps in transistor reduction.  Switching to graphene or some other exotic manufacturing might be the future.

But for what seems an eternity in the Bitcoin world, the next 1-2 years will still see more efficient miners released.
Agreed.  Seriously doubt asic miniaturization will slow down within the next 18-24 months, then after that I suspect we will see a slew of optimization techniques that carry this trend on for another 6-12 months easy.  Of course, all of this is largely contingent upon the bitcoin price continuing it's upward trend.

I believe ALToids was saying the opposite of what you're saying.  CPUs have pretty much reached a wall.

ASICs for Bitcoin still have an efficient jump to 20nm, but 14nm will be cost prohibitive because all the foundries will have other orders.  This won't be for another year - which in Bitcoin terms is like 25 years from now.
hero member
Activity: 871
Merit: 505
Founder of Incakoin
July 18, 2014, 02:51:32 AM
#36
As for the original post, scam.

It's one of those "flexible funding" Indiegogo projects, which means "even if we don't get funded, we keep your money".

bump!
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
★☆★ 777Coin - The Exciting Bitco
July 15, 2014, 08:51:53 PM
#35
Moore's law is approaching it's end.  We won't keep seeing leaps in transistor reduction.  Switching to graphene or some other exotic manufacturing might be the future.

But for what seems an eternity in the Bitcoin world, the next 1-2 years will still see more efficient miners released.
Agreed.  Seriously doubt asic miniaturization will slow down within the next 18-24 months, then after that I suspect we will see a slew of optimization techniques that carry this trend on for another 6-12 months easy.  Of course, all of this is largely contingent upon the bitcoin price continuing it's upward trend.
hero member
Activity: 873
Merit: 1007
July 15, 2014, 04:07:41 AM
#34
Well either the power becomes a major factor or if the growth is slow then the 2016 halving will stop it.

Yup, once the halving happens it will be a whole new game.   

Do we know when exactly when halving will occur at this rate?

The next halving will occur at the 420,000 th block, which will be found at around Aug 2016 according to http://bitcoinclock.com/.

It will stay at August if there's no growth in the network.  If there's a decrease in the difficulty it will get pushed back, if increase it moves up.  It will probably be sometime between May and June 2016.
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
July 15, 2014, 01:09:11 AM
#33
As for the original post, scam.

It's one of those "flexible funding" Indiegogo projects, which means "even if we don't get funded, we keep your money".
hero member
Activity: 662
Merit: 500
July 13, 2014, 04:05:21 AM
#32
Well either the power becomes a major factor or if the growth is slow then the 2016 halving will stop it.

Yup, once the halving happens it will be a whole new game.   

Do we know when exactly when halving will occur at this rate?

The next halving will occur at the 420,000 th block, which will be found at around Aug 2016 according to http://bitcoinclock.com/.
hero member
Activity: 662
Merit: 500
July 13, 2014, 04:03:04 AM
#31
Moore's law is approaching it's end.  We won't keep seeing leaps in transistor reduction.

Exactly. The Quantum tunneling effect will eventually kick in. Smiley

Switching to graphene or some other exotic manufacturing might be the future.

Something like this http://spectrum.ieee.org/semiconductors/devices/the-tunneling-transistor ?
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 510
July 13, 2014, 03:55:20 AM
#30
14nm is coming to intel, it might take awhile before 14nm used for ASIC.
Actually it is Intel currently producing 14nm chips.  However, you are correct it may be some time before we see 14nm ASICs.
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