Topic: New Diff thread Mar 8 to Mar 22. - page 8. (Read 8432 times)

would be nice to see it get over 300 a coin

Will be interesting time waiting on next gen gear.  New S5 price seems like it will help keep difficulty low.   

Also BTC price moving up slowly which is nice.  Maybe a few good months for miners.

I'll take -1.26 to -1.50%

-0.76 to -1.00

I'll take -1.51 to -1.75

I can be hopeful. 

sounds good

That would be sooooooooooo Epic as well as my 4-20

Will select 0 as usual

Thanks - I will keep doing it as long as I have the spare time, and add new data as well. I'm pretty confident that the difficulty estimate was off due to the fact that we switched to daylight saving time in the US on Sunday morning, and it was not accounting for the jump from 1:59 a.m. to 3:00 a.m. on Sunday morning. It just assumed that no blocks were solved the entire hour that ordinarily would have been there, and adjusted the estimate downward by about the same amount I ended up being off. I manually corrected for the hour, and it would have predicted 1.54% but for the daylight saving bug, much closer to the 1.59% actual increase.

Remember the estimate is pretty 'dumb' at this point, it only tells you what difficulty would be if all blocks were solved at the same pace as the blocks that were already solved so far this round. Thus, it becomes more accurate as the round moves on.

This link should always go to the current difficulty period: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g

Please let me know if you have any thoughts or suggestions.

After a cursory glance over what's been taken so far, I'll take +4.26% to +4.50% (assuming that one's still open).

I would agree this is an ideal situation for the home miners to continue, for now anyway

As for current diff  numbers here goes:

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty   (+1.58%)



Bitcoin Difficulty:   47,427,554,951
Estimated Next Difficulty:   48,176,028,050 (+1.58%)
Adjust time:   After 1908 Blocks, About 13.2 days
Hashrate(?):   340,487,161 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.8 minutes
6 blocks: 59.5 minutes
Updated:   8:50 (2.4 minutes ago)


http://btc.blockr.io/charts

march 8

155 blocks  vs 144 normal    but most of them were made on the last adjustment


http://bitcoincharts.com/  (+0.49%)


Blocks   346860
Total BTC   13.922M
 
Difficulty   47427554951
Estimated   47662803147 in 1908 blks
 
Network total   339076.716 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.99 / 601 s


As to what happens short term only avalon 4.1 is selling decent gear,
 but it is a bit costly due to the premium it puts on quiet running.

Sp-tech has some sp31's left to sell at 2075 plus shipping.

and MegaBigPower is still buying used gear.

 https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/megabigpower-opens-buyback-for-unprofitable-bitcoin-miners-976450


No one Knows when KNC or Bitfury will deploy there new super gear.

No one knows if some superplayer will build completely off the grid.

AsicMiner's Fried Cat is still missing.----Not sure about this.

Lastly price is 279 usd.

what does all that info point to?  Well it is a spec thread lets spec.

I still push the idea that both KNC and BitFury do not need to expand very much.  If their gear is really good simple replacement of current  hashpower  with better more efficient gear
and very little expansion works for them.

It also ends the endless upward spiral of  network hash power  wells slows it.
My continued mining depends on this idea.
I know the economics of that works. I don't know if the bigger players will go along with it.
Last adjustment is a perfect example of what I want to happen

Very slow diff jump under 2%
A good price jump over 10%

Frankly I think the builders are trying to manipulate the hash power supply to make this continue to happen.
    I like this idea. I really hope for these patterns to carry on.

I'd like -1.76 to -2.00 please.

I think with Spondoolies out of stock on most of their hardware, Bitmain also not selling tons, there's just not enough supply to deploy to push the hash rate up significantly.  Also it's going to start warming up soon, maybe not in time for this adjustment, which will tip a lot of the marginal miners with expensive power into the red.

I'm starting to agree with diff under 50 through to May.

+3,51 to 3,75%

going for two in a row

My guess is +0.76 - 1.00%

Thanks again suchmoon for continuing this promo 

I'll go with +0.26 to +0.5 this time :-)

Too slow again, so +3.26 to +3.50 please.