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Topic: Next Bitcoin Bull Run: Is It Tied to the Next Halving? (Read 570 times)

full member
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Predicting the price of Bitcoin is a difficult task and no one can be sure of it. The cryptocurrency market is truly volatile and unexpected, and there are diverse factors that affect price movements.

Focusing on accumulating more Bitcoin is a smart way to prepare for the future. Not only will it help you take advantage of future buying opportunities, but it will also increase the likelihood that you can benefit from the next bull run. However, remember that investing always carries a degree of risk, and risk management is an important part of your investment strategy.

We really need to be patient when approaching the cryptocurrency market. Avoiding being affected by negative news or short-term changes and focusing on your long-term strategy is the best way to weather these swings in the market.
legendary
Activity: 2590
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Even if I would say it’s not but for the past bull runs, they actually happened after every bitcoin halving so perhaps bitcoin bull run is really tied to its bitcoin halving. The exact reason why we should never miss to prepare our bitcoin portfolio for the next bull run that is bound to happen hopefully by 2025 after the expected bitcoin halving next year. This time, bitcoin price is expected to reach its new all time high and should exceed the btc price of $68k. Seeing bitcoin price is moving positively, then hopefully it will end up with a new 6 digit price that everyone is waiting for.

Based on what has happened in the past, it can be seen that there is a very strong correlation between the halving and the price increase of the market. So, it is not wrong to say that the price increase of the market is somewhat dependent and tied to the halving. But in the next bull run since we don't have a crystal ball to predict the future, it's hard to say what, and what we can do is hope history repeats itself. But it's all guesswork, history may or may not repeat itself, so don't be too subjective with our predictions.
hero member
Activity: 1442
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Even if I would say it’s not but for the past bull runs, they actually happened after every bitcoin halving so perhaps bitcoin bull run is really tied to its bitcoin halving.
Bitcoin halving will make short term shocks in block rewards as well as income for Bitcoin miners but they will adapt to it and in past halvings, price grew well after that so miner income won't be affected too much by halve of block reward.

However, we must know one more thing, income of Bitcoin miners should come from transaction fees which come from their transaction confirmation for Bitcoin users. Block rewards were not designed to be main source of Bitcoin miner income.

Same here as I have also search every possible reason for the market to fall this drastically over a space of 12hours. This dump has caused many naive investor to panic because they all perceived that since we are heading close to the halving that Bitcoin will only push up but the sudden dip has surprise everyone but notwithstanding it can be still seen as a positive effect because we can use this medium to actually buy more Bitcoin.
When you search, you will find news and some information which will be released on media to officially explain why the market moves like that. They are not real reasons and you will realize it when you have been in this market long enough. Market manipulators direct the market into their favorite directions and plans. After they completed their plans, they will release news for you but in fact they all prepared those news before market crash. They only wait for a right time to release news which satisfies your curiosity and angry after losing money in the market.
hero member
Activity: 2324
Merit: 562
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The media often uses confusing terms or mix them up in order to create controversy and that is what they are doing here, when it comes to the stock market a drop of 5% in a single day is a complete catastrophe and that is enough to be called a crash, however as we know the volatility of bitcoin is much higher and a 10% drop is something we have seen many times on the past, just as we have seen a 10% rise many times as well, but by using the standards of the stock market with bitcoin they can create a sensational news and scare the weak hands even further.

Media always confuses the investors by their own words,we should get divert by the media.When you had steady plan,you can proceed without any hesitation.When some drop in the price of bitcoin,the media will portrait it in high way and then the panic seller and newbie will cash out from the bitcoin.This automatically creates some less demand for the bitcoin,the market will continue to move maximum to the 10% percentage change to the current value.So media plays huge role in investments.
hero member
Activity: 2856
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Even if I would say it’s not but for the past bull runs, they actually happened after every bitcoin halving so perhaps bitcoin bull run is really tied to its bitcoin halving. The exact reason why we should never miss to prepare our bitcoin portfolio for the next bull run that is bound to happen hopefully by 2025 after the expected bitcoin halving next year. This time, bitcoin price is expected to reach its new all time high and should exceed the btc price of $68k. Seeing bitcoin price is moving positively, then hopefully it will end up with a new 6 digit price that everyone is waiting for.
legendary
Activity: 2534
Merit: 1338
Well, isn't it just like the mainstream to misuse a term like "crash"? To throw around words without understanding their weight? It's down 10%, not 90%—let's get our facts straight! A mere hiccup for something as resilient and dominant as bitcoin. And as for the altcoins? Who cares? They merely follow the king, Bitcoin. Why? Because Bitcoin leads and the rest just tag along. Now, the Evergrande collapse and the SpaceX sale are distractions. Don't connect dots that aren't there
The media often uses confusing terms or mix them up in order to create controversy and that is what they are doing here, when it comes to the stock market a drop of 5% in a single day is a complete catastrophe and that is enough to be called a crash, however as we know the volatility of bitcoin is much higher and a 10% drop is something we have seen many times on the past, just as we have seen a 10% rise many times as well, but by using the standards of the stock market with bitcoin they can create a sensational news and scare the weak hands even further.
sr. member
Activity: 546
Merit: 342
We can't be sure of the next bull run. Right now the market have crashed. This is completely expected and we can expect this to continue for some time period before making a bounce in the market. For now the discussion will get started, what was the reason behind the crash of the market. For now Elon Musk owned SpaceX selling a huge part of bitcoin holding is termed to be the reason. Lets see what all the other news getting added in connection with the drop in the price of bitcoin. For all who have been waiting for buying could concentrate on the market to make an entry at the right time.
The market has crashed? What market are you talking about? Bitcoin? Or Evergrande's stock market? Because one just lost 4-5% and the other one has gone to zero so I guess, or better, I hope, you are talking about Evergrande, that has nothing to do with bitcoin nor the halving. Or, if you are actually talking about bitcoin then you are either trolling or fudding because no one would ever say that bitcoin, in this moment, has crashed.

He was wrong to use the word "crash" for what was happening with bitcoin.  but I think he means that the market is being heavily dumped as bitcoin is down more than 10%, and all altcoins are also down 10%-15% in a short time.  And the dumped market is really a surprise as we don't have any remarkable information that caused it and even the collapse of Evergrande was not the cause.  I also tried looking for some news about the Spacex bitcoin sale or the Evergrande demise, but I didn't find any connection to the market being dumped.
Same here as I have also search every possible reason for the market to fall this drastically over a space of 12hours. This dump has caused many naive investor to panic because they all perceived that since we are heading close to the halving that Bitcoin will only push up but the sudden dip has surprise everyone but notwithstanding it can be still seen as a positive effect because we can use this medium to actually buy more Bitcoin.
hero member
Activity: 1316
Merit: 561
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
We can't be sure of the next bull run. Right now the market have crashed. This is completely expected and we can expect this to continue for some time period before making a bounce in the market. For now the discussion will get started, what was the reason behind the crash of the market. For now Elon Musk owned SpaceX selling a huge part of bitcoin holding is termed to be the reason. Lets see what all the other news getting added in connection with the drop in the price of bitcoin. For all who have been waiting for buying could concentrate on the market to make an entry at the right time.
The market has crashed? What market are you talking about? Bitcoin? Or Evergrande's stock market? Because one just lost 4-5% and the other one has gone to zero so I guess, or better, I hope, you are talking about Evergrande, that has nothing to do with bitcoin nor the halving. Or, if you are actually talking about bitcoin then you are either trolling or fudding because no one would ever say that bitcoin, in this moment, has crashed.

He was wrong to use the word "crash" for what was happening with bitcoin.  but I think he means that the market is being heavily dumped as bitcoin is down more than 10%, and all altcoins are also down 10%-15% in a short time.  And the dumped market is really a surprise as we don't have any remarkable information that caused it and even the collapse of Evergrande was not the cause.  I also tried looking for some news about the Spacex bitcoin sale or the Evergrande demise, but I didn't find any connection to the market being dumped.
Well, isn't it just like the mainstream to misuse a term like "crash"? To throw around words without understanding their weight? It's down 10%, not 90%—let's get our facts straight! A mere hiccup for something as resilient and dominant as bitcoin. And as for the altcoins? Who cares? They merely follow the king, Bitcoin. Why? Because Bitcoin leads and the rest just tag along. Now, the Evergrande collapse and the SpaceX sale are distractions. Don't connect dots that aren't there
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 513
DGbet.fun - Crypto Sportsbook
We can't be sure of the next bull run. Right now the market have crashed. This is completely expected and we can expect this to continue for some time period before making a bounce in the market. For now the discussion will get started, what was the reason behind the crash of the market. For now Elon Musk owned SpaceX selling a huge part of bitcoin holding is termed to be the reason. Lets see what all the other news getting added in connection with the drop in the price of bitcoin. For all who have been waiting for buying could concentrate on the market to make an entry at the right time.
The market has crashed? What market are you talking about? Bitcoin? Or Evergrande's stock market? Because one just lost 4-5% and the other one has gone to zero so I guess, or better, I hope, you are talking about Evergrande, that has nothing to do with bitcoin nor the halving. Or, if you are actually talking about bitcoin then you are either trolling or fudding because no one would ever say that bitcoin, in this moment, has crashed.

He was wrong to use the word "crash" for what was happening with bitcoin.  but I think he means that the market is being heavily dumped as bitcoin is down more than 10%, and all altcoins are also down 10%-15% in a short time.  And the dumped market is really a surprise as we don't have any remarkable information that caused it and even the collapse of Evergrande was not the cause.  I also tried looking for some news about the Spacex bitcoin sale or the Evergrande demise, but I didn't find any connection to the market being dumped.
sr. member
Activity: 938
Merit: 292
Not exactly that the bull run is programmed or tied to Bitcoin's halving, but rather the psychological part of it on investors that Bitcoin gets cut into halves and the inflation rate reduced, instigating the buying pressure that brings about a bull market thereafter.
We may get or may not get the usual super bull run, where we do see crazy price movement because of diminishing returns, an example is seen from the previous bull market where almost everyone was expecting the price to go way high $100k-$250k per BTC.

I don't think anything programming is attached to the bullrun but is it generally speculated that after halving comes bull run because and that has been so over the we years and I don not think there would be any difference from the previous this time. Although it might likely not not go beyond the last all time high but the price is expected to grow or bull than its current state when it's time for the halving.

Although all these are just speculations from different quarters but I believe the notion has already been there long before now and whenever it gets to that point, the demand for Bitcoin surges and that alone makes the price for Bitcoin surges higher than it was.

So therefore, I have no doubt the next bull run will be different from other previous ones that have already occurred.

It's safe to follow the trend, as typically after the halving, the price of Bitcoin rises. The next halving is scheduled for April 25, 2024. It might be a good idea to start accumulating Bitcoin next year, as Bitcoin's price is currently not at its lowest. Although the price has stabilized in the range of $29k to $30k, there's a possibility that it could still drop before the next bull run occurs. Timing is crucial if we're aiming for significant profits, not this year but the next, because halving usually brings positive news.

However, if you're a short-term trader, no specific date or year is important, as the market is volatile. You can trade on any given date.

Of course timing is crucial when it comes to Bitcoin investment and doing it now would put you on the  right track. As it is currently, now is the right time to accumulate more Bitcoin as the price is on the lower side. While we approach the halving next year there is always uncertainty which would trigger market actions either on the buying side or the selling side either way, both work for the good of price action as the demand and other factors would definitely come in play. Just like you have said, surely we are looking forward to seeing and hearing the good news come halving next year.
It is unpredictable when Bitcoin will be bullish. According to the previous Bitcoin price pattern and the upcoming halving, there is quite a possibility that the price of Bitcoin will rise. As miners in halving will get less mining rewards, Bitcoin price may see a big bullish movement. Although there is no guarantee that it will exceed All time high price. However, after 4 years, the price of Bitcoin can increase significantly due to the halving algorithm of Bitcoin. So in 2024 and 2025 we will see a big bullish movement in Bitcoin price.
full member
Activity: 618
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Not exactly that the bull run is programmed or tied to Bitcoin's halving, but rather the psychological part of it on investors that Bitcoin gets cut into halves and the inflation rate reduced, instigating the buying pressure that brings about a bull market thereafter.
We may get or may not get the usual super bull run, where we do see crazy price movement because of diminishing returns, an example is seen from the previous bull market where almost everyone was expecting the price to go way high $100k-$250k per BTC.

I don't think anything programming is attached to the bullrun but is it generally speculated that after halving comes bull run because and that has been so over the we years and I don not think there would be any difference from the previous this time. Although it might likely not not go beyond the last all time high but the price is expected to grow or bull than its current state when it's time for the halving.

Although all these are just speculations from different quarters but I believe the notion has already been there long before now and whenever it gets to that point, the demand for Bitcoin surges and that alone makes the price for Bitcoin surges higher than it was.

So therefore, I have no doubt the next bull run will be different from other previous ones that have already occurred.

It's safe to follow the trend, as typically after the halving, the price of Bitcoin rises. The next halving is scheduled for April 25, 2024. It might be a good idea to start accumulating Bitcoin next year, as Bitcoin's price is currently not at its lowest. Although the price has stabilized in the range of $29k to $30k, there's a possibility that it could still drop before the next bull run occurs. Timing is crucial if we're aiming for significant profits, not this year but the next, because halving usually brings positive news.

However, if you're a short-term trader, no specific date or year is important, as the market is volatile. You can trade on any given date.

Of course timing is crucial when it comes to Bitcoin investment and doing it now would put you on the  right track. As it is currently, now is the right time to accumulate more Bitcoin as the price is on the lower side. While we approach the halving next year there is always uncertainty which would trigger market actions either on the buying side or the selling side either way, both work for the good of price action as the demand and other factors would definitely come in play. Just like you have said, surely we are looking forward to seeing and hearing the good news come halving next year.

It is an important date even for those traders who already have experience in analyzing bullish and bearish movements, it is known that these people dedicate their time to obtain profits in this way and although they can prepare plays to increase their personal assets at any time, they recognize It is in these times when opportunities cannot be missed, in an event like the one that is just a few months away, which is not so common and repetitive, merchants or people looking for an investment with bitcoin can afford to losing such an important occasion, that is why they encourage preparation with their actions, accumulating bitcoin as far as they can, many of us are excited by the impact that the halving will produce, and this is because this event is expected to come with results favorable for this currency, changing the bearish outlook.
legendary
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Most of the time when the bitcoin halving happens, the price of bitcoins also rises up to the point it creates a new ATH but that's not always the case because last time we needed to wait for about a year to see the massive result of the price increase which was the best scenario we could ever see in the crypto market
The point is that halving are almost always followed by a bullrun and a new ATH, the historical patterns have shown it already so I wouldn't say most of the time but "always". Yes, it might take a year last time but isn't that a good thing? That's a grace period for everyone to get more bitcoin while the ATH isn't there yet if I say so myself. Regarding the question in the title though, I don't think that it's tied but it's surely a cause, the difficulty of mining increases which makes the increase in supply of bitcoin much more scarce.
For me, the bull run will start months before the Bitcoin block halving event not after or during.
So for me, history repeats itself. I am hoping a bull run will start this year or the first quarter of next year, as long as it is before the Bitcoin block halving event.
sr. member
Activity: 1554
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Most of the time when the bitcoin halving happens, the price of bitcoins also rises up to the point it creates a new ATH but that's not always the case because last time we needed to wait for about a year to see the massive result of the price increase which was the best scenario we could ever see in the crypto market
The point is that halving are almost always followed by a bullrun and a new ATH, the historical patterns have shown it already so I wouldn't say most of the time but "always". Yes, it might take a year last time but isn't that a good thing? That's a grace period for everyone to get more bitcoin while the ATH isn't there yet if I say so myself. Regarding the question in the title though, I don't think that it's tied but it's surely a cause, the difficulty of mining increases which makes the increase in supply of bitcoin much more scarce.
legendary
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We can't be sure of the next bull run. Right now the market have crashed. This is completely expected and we can expect this to continue for some time period before making a bounce in the market. For now the discussion will get started, what was the reason behind the crash of the market. For now Elon Musk owned SpaceX selling a huge part of bitcoin holding is termed to be the reason. Lets see what all the other news getting added in connection with the drop in the price of bitcoin. For all who have been waiting for buying could concentrate on the market to make an entry at the right time.
The market has crashed? What market are you talking about? Bitcoin? Or Evergrande's stock market? Because one just lost 4-5% and the other one has gone to zero so I guess, or better, I hope, you are talking about Evergrande, that has nothing to do with bitcoin nor the halving. Or, if you are actually talking about bitcoin then you are either trolling or fudding because no one would ever say that bitcoin, in this moment, has crashed.
legendary
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We can't be sure of the next bull run. Right now the market have crashed. This is completely expected and we can expect this to continue for some time period before making a bounce in the market. For now the discussion will get started, what was the reason behind the crash of the market. For now Elon Musk owned SpaceX selling a huge part of bitcoin holding is termed to be the reason. Lets see what all the other news getting added in connection with the drop in the price of bitcoin. For all who have been waiting for buying could concentrate on the market to make an entry at the right time.
hero member
Activity: 1750
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One thing that you have to understand when it comes to bitcoin price predictions is that, not all bull runs are halvings, but all halvings are bull runs.

Bull runs can be made under different circumstances and different factors, it just so happens that one of the most common ways you could start one is by reducing the total block rewards by half when you mine in what we lovingly call the "Halving". There are other ways for bull runs to happen, but one thing's for sure, the hype and the added perceived scarcity of bitcoin after every halving causes it to rise drastically in value, and initiate a bull run.

Next halving, we can expect an upsurge in price just similar to the ones we've had in the past. We haven't seen anything remarkable yet, but that's only because we're not yet there. A few months before halving or so and we'd see people's anticipation well up in the form of price pumps.
sr. member
Activity: 728
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From my little research and findings bull run does not necessarily means that the price must surpass the last all time high but it definitely would surpass the initial price  to which it was before the bull run. So technically, it is best one accumulates enough Bitcoin as it is now at the lower price and doing that you already know that would yield some more big profit and Note this is not a financial advise.
While it is not a must to reach a new all time high for a movement to be called a bull run, it is necessary to instill confidence on the market, after all bitcoin went from 3k which was its lowest point during the previous bear market to 69k, now the bottom during this cycle was 15k, if bitcoin was unable to reach a new ATH this will raise some red flags, as it should be easier to reach 69k than in the past, and if the demand does not have the strenght to make the price that high then this could be a sign about the popularity of bitcoin declining.

I do not think confidence is lost in any ways as the market force pressure is still ok. What I just feel is the possibility of market manipulation by the whales to accumulate more ahead of the Bitcoin halving and if you check, the price is currently down and more purchase are recorded  on daily basis via exchanges and well known p2p platforms globally.
Bitcoin reaching all time high or not would not trigger any alarm as people are fully informed about Bitcoin volatility and market actions. So I do not see any possibility of Bitcoin decline in demand after halving irrespective of the fact of not surpassing previous all time high.
hero member
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We cannot deny that those previous bull runs have happened after those visible bitcoin halving so for me, it’s never bad to expect if the next bull run is also tied to the next bitcoin halving. History may repeat or will always repeat itself. However, knowing the market is still highly volatile and unpredictable, the best thing we can do for now is to prepare for the next bitcoin bull run. No need to time the market, we can always be profitable whenever we see good chances to make profits.
legendary
Activity: 3010
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No one knows when the next bull run will come. We can only prepare for its arrival by accumulating more Bitcoins from now on. It could be the bull run coming before or after the halving comes but it could be after a year of the halving then the bull run will come.

There is already a date for the anticipated bull run.  You can read above your reply on when it can possibly happen.

Quote
The next halving will affect the next bull run and there is a possibility that it will trigger the price to increase very much. Meanwhile, we can only check the indicators on the market to find out if there is a surge in demand and supply so that we can know or predict what will happen next.

I also think that the next halving will have a great effect on the bitcoin market trend.  Since the halving is known to be one of the catalysts of Bitcoin bull run, it is observed that Bitcoin bull run will happen after the Bitcoin halving.

Quote
So it's better to focus on collecting more Bitcoins for now because it will affect how much profit you can make in the next bull run. And don't panic if you read negative news on social media so you can make the most of the moment. We need to remain patient in waiting for the bull run to come.

I also agree that as an investor, we should be focused on accumulating Bitcoin while the market is at its bear market especially today when the Bitcoin market crashes to $27k.  This is one of the better day to DCA because bitcoin price goes down a bit than its usual $29k sideway trend.
hero member
Activity: 2716
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Next Bitcoin Bull Run: Is It Tied to the Next Halving?

No it is not and there is actually no significant connection between these two. In fact, miners will be the who gets affected on this as they will get their block reward cut into half again. So, it's gonna be a survival competition for them when this even occur, some might halt and some are upgrading to still maximize their earnings.
One of the main reason why we think bullrun is tied with the bitcoin halving is because of the history we had, that started late in 2017 (post halving) If I'm not mistaken, where bitcoin rose in an unprecedented fashion and everyone was not expecting for that rise, and then followed by the next halving which almost have the same outcome. Now for the 3rd straight halving people are still expecting the same. So, it is the people's perception on Bitcoin halving that could initiate a bullrun.
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