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Topic: Next Bitcoin Bull Run: Is It Tied to the Next Halving? - page 4. (Read 528 times)

legendary
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If we learn the history of Bitcoin bullrun and Bitcoin halving, both of them are closely related. Every time Bitcoin halving happened, it triggered the new Bitcoin ATH. We already saw the same scheme from the first bullrun in 2013 until the latest bullrun in 2021. If we looked the bullrun history, Bitcoin halving always has a big role to trigger it happening. So, it makes sense if people think that Bitcoin halving will determine the next bullrun as well. However, the demand on the market doesn't only depend on the Bitcoin halving, there are also many other factors. It is not impossible if someday that the halving may not bring significant effect anymore due to some factors. Its hype may be reduced someday, or there is a big issue on crypto that can bring bigger impact on the demand. So, we must always have a plan if an unpredictable thing to happen. Don't only rely on the Bitcoin halving!  Wink

full member
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So, what are your thoughts? Do you believe that the next Bitcoin bull run is likely to follow the upcoming halving, or do you think the market has evolved beyond such a simple pattern? Are there any other indicators or factors that you're closely watching? Let's share our insights and engage in a constructive discussion on this fascinating topic.
Indeed, usually, after Bitcoin has halved, the price of Bitcoin will rise and experience a bull run a few months after the halving. This happened several bullrun cycles ago. And I'm sure many people are still speculating and hoping for that, namely Bitcoin will experience a bullrun after halving later, like previous cycles, which will be followed by an increase in altcoins in the bullish era.

However, again, no one can give a 100% accurate prediction. It could be that this cycle will change because the mined Bitcoins are also decreasing. And now many factors affect the market. So this might happen again, maybe not. But then again, I personally really hope this cycle will happen again.
hero member
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Every bitcoin halving leaves an impact to all bitcoin investors. And because of the realization that every bitcoin halving makes the market more bullish and profitable, then people will definitely put in mind that whenever there’s bitcoin halving, the next bitcoin bull run will also set to happen. However, we should never close our mind to the possibility that the opposite thing will also happen. As long as the market remains unpredictable, we can never guarantee that the same thing will always happen when bitcoin halving is around.
hero member
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So, what are your thoughts? Do you believe that the next Bitcoin bull run is likely to follow the upcoming halving,
The halving is talked about a lot and every one keeping bitcoins now has big hopes for that time. The general hope is not the next bitcoin bull run exactly, but what the prices will be after the halving. There is a hope that there will be a rise in price after the halving even if it does not set a new highest price. If many positive events favoring bitcoin happens just before the halving, it can trigger a bull run, if positive events also happen just after the halving, I think a bull run can also be triggered. I may be wrong, but this is what I think.
We cant really be able to avoid nor really blame out each person in the community would really be having those kind of high hopes about on the bull run after that halving event of Bitcoin. This is been

known to be that most relevant event or situation that do happen on this crypto space knowing that it is really that pertaining about Bitcoins halving, supply or block rewards had been lessen into half
and if the recognition and demand would really be that increasing even more then it would really be just that normal that value would increase too. In fact, we have seen on what are the things that happened on previous halvings on which it is really that able to kick in that bull run which coins increasing out and reach their new all time highs.

This is why it is really that normal that people or the community would really be having that high hopes and anticipation for this upcoming event. Now that the market isnt really that moving
that much then we are already that in a hurry on days on approaching the halving event so that we do really able to have at least that big movement in price which is something that it is really
absent as of this moment which we are already moving sideways for too long.
full member
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So, what are your thoughts? Do you believe that the next Bitcoin bull run is likely to follow the upcoming halving,
The halving is talked about a lot and every one keeping bitcoins now has big hopes for that time. The general hope is not the next bitcoin bull run exactly, but what the prices will be after the halving. There is a hope that there will be a rise in price after the halving even if it does not set a new highest price. If many positive events favoring bitcoin happens just before the halving, it can trigger a bull run, if positive events also happen just after the halving, I think a bull run can also be triggered. I may be wrong, but this is what I think.
legendary
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I think the halving happenstance has become  a psychological play on the market to the point that investors now align its occurrence with bull rally. Past results have shown that Bitcoin has had favourable results around those periods that coincided with its halving and after them. So, it won't be wrong to conclude that halving has been responsible for the heightened prices we've seen Bitcoin attain to its numerous All Time High. I expect the incoming halving in 2024 to also give us something in that same light that will see the market through another ATH. I sincerely hope we don't see anything similar to what Litecoin did after its halving a few days ago. We expected price to shoot up but it slumped, disappointedly.
full member
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Most of the Bitcoin mining has beeb completed. Near about 93% has been completed. So in future there will be crisis when it will fylly completed mining. Then Bitcoin price will go moon there has no doubt. But that near future i am not seeing any news about bull session. I think in next year a little bull session we will saw. Q1/Q2 of 2024 bull market will start i think. But it will not go new ATH that time. I think for new ATH and touch $100k we have to wait 2025. Then bitcoin price will hit $100k i think.
hero member
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This is like a speculation, so in this effects you can not on your own predict accurately the future bitcoin in next two to three months, what I want you to understand concerning bitcoin bullrun is that we don't know the actual time such can happen, because whatever everyone is predicting concerning the future of bitcoin is just an assumption is not something we can depends on, their is every tendency that bitcoin price can rise or fall today, but and it can be determined base on the demands and supply..actually we are expecting bitcoin to be bullish next year 2024 because it should be the next halving but it can change drastically because bitcoin value is not permanent.
hero member
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I’m definitely one of those who believe that the next bitcoin bull run will only happen right after bitcoin halving has taken its place. But of course, the possible price increase effect will only happen several months after bitcoin halving because that’s what I’ve been observed from those previous bull runs. Although this is still a prediction as no one holds what the future will bring, but looking back it’s history and if there are chances that history repeats, then the same old pattern will set to happen again.
hero member
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Most of the time when the bitcoin halving happens, the price of bitcoins also rises up to the point it creates a new ATH but that's not always the case because last time we needed to wait for about a year to see the massive result of the price increase which was the best scenario we could ever see in the crypto market and to be honest, there's no wrong if the bull runs won't gonna happen just after the bitcoin halving because we know that certainly, the price will go up once again just like what happened in the past 10+ years of bitcoin's history in the halving times.
legendary
Activity: 2492
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93% of all bitcoins have already been mined, and each next halving has 50% less effect on reduction of block reward, so obviously we can't expect bull runs to be synchronised with halvings forever. But I imagine the next halving (expected April/May 2024) will still be the catalyst for the next rally, even simply because of the psychological factor. If everyone expects something to happen, it could create the "self fulfilling prophecy" scenario. And, of course, 50% less selling pressure from the miners will also have a positive impact.

This is most likely the future of the bull runs caused by the halving, the halving is becoming less and less significant as miners are becoming more reliant on the fees they get from each block they mine, however it is to be expected that a residual effect will still last for a very long time and after each halving there is a moderate increase in price, even if this is not justified anymore as speculators will push the price up high enough for retail traders to notice and join the movement.
hero member
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Not exactly that the bull run is programmed or tied to Bitcoin's halving, but rather the psychological part of it on investors that Bitcoin gets cut into halves and the inflation rate reduced, instigating the buying pressure that brings about a bull market thereafter.
We may get or may not get the usual super bull run, where we do see crazy price movement because of diminishing returns, an example is seen from the previous bull market where almost everyone was expecting the price to go way high $100k-$250k per BTC.
sr. member
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So, what are your thoughts? Do you believe that the next Bitcoin bull run is likely to follow the upcoming halving, or do you think the market has evolved beyond such a simple pattern? Are there any other indicators or factors that you're closely watching? Let's share our insights and engage in a constructive discussion on this fascinating topic.
I can not agree more with you about halving and my personal views about bull run is. After Halving Bull run 100% comes because in halving the supply reduced by half through miner but the demand still increasing which means the demand will take over supply which will increase the price of BTC. But, you asked about other factors which in my sight are only Fundamental Factors.

Like the ETFs and other good news like release of new exchanges which will boost BTC to reach new ATH. I just read a topic you can read it too in my post history that where OP was concerned about lesser interest rate which helped BTC in the last bull run to reach new ATH. And he said this time the interest rate is not less so how and which factor will help BTC to make New ATH along with the halving event.

And my answer was same which is ETFs.
legendary
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Technically speaking, Bitcoin bull run has something relation with halving. If we look at the chart, we can see that after the halving which is happens only every 4 years the price increases drastically to the upside with huge volume. Maybe there's a lot of investors who waits for this to take the opportunity to buy and to profit in the future.
Aside from that, I still believe that bull run can possibly happen without Bitcoin halving.

I love how people like to speak "technically" when speculating on price, commenting on correlation, and joyfully wrapping conveniently-picked cherries into a happy bundle of causation.

If we look at the chart, we can see that after the halving, we also have a leap year. We also have major global economic events in between.

P.S. I do think (purely arbitrarily) that we'll continue a cycle post-halving but with increasingly lower amplitudes each cycle, to a certain point it may no longer qualify as a bull run
sr. member
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As it is based on speculation, it is unpredictable. No one can tell but from previous events or occurrences in the past of bitcoin halving, there has been a surge in bitcoin price immediately after bitcoin halving so it would not be a surprise if such should happen this time but still yet, nobody knows if the reverse would be the case. Moreover, there are several factors driving the Bitcoin market, and if they come into play the next halving would be of big significant effect on the crypto community would would further drive the demand for bitcoin as the price surges high above the last ATH.
We cannot predict exactly where bitcoin will go and can only guess.
And many people have been wrong in guessing or giving their predictions because bitcoin's movements are now wilder.
But it is true that after a halving, there will usually be a spike in the price of bitcoin, which will be the moment to sell it at a high price.
So we can only presume that the next halving could trigger the bitcoin price to skyrocket and even surpass the last ATH price.
If that does happen, we can certainly make huge profits from bitcoin but that's only for people who already own a lot of bitcoin.
ATH can occur at any time of the year as long as there are driving market forces and these forces are factors for which Bitcoin thrive on. It is true during Bitcoin halving, Bitcoin price increases with a good price resulting to ATH but we pray minners do not self so as not to have side effects on the  Bitcoin. But one thing I know is that whales are the most beneficiaries of this whole thing because they have good volume of Bitcoin in their possession and at such would be very much in the right position to collect profit.
hero member
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Technically speaking, Bitcoin bull run has something relation with halving. If we look at the chart, we can see that after the halving which is happens only every 4 years the price increases drastically to the upside with huge volume. Maybe there's a lot of investors who waits for this to take the opportunity to buy and to profit in the future.
Aside from that, I still believe that bull run can possibly happen without Bitcoin halving.

Halving is always the catalyst for the pump because the miner will get less Bitcoin to mine after halving which means they will lessen their sell pressure. But since only few Bitcoin already left to mine, I think Bitcoin Halving should be technically negligible since miners is just mining less compared before and their sell pressure will not gonna give huge impact. I think Bitcoin Halving is now becomes a symbol for hype for all crypto trader because of its benefits in the past since everyone looks on the chart.

But if we think about the technical perspective. Bitcoin halving now should be less effective compared before since only few Bitcoin left to mine while the difficulty is increasing.
hero member
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So, what are your thoughts? Do you believe that the next Bitcoin bull run is likely to follow the upcoming halving, or do you think the market has evolved beyond such a simple pattern?

If you truly understand the reason for halving then maybe this question could have not come in place, the simple idea i want to give here is that, the more we attain each successful halving is the reward on bitcoin reduced by half and we keep getting closer to the remaining blocks to be mined, while the more the value of bitcoin increases through this, the market demands increases while the supply is reduced thereby increasing it value, this is part of the reasons that orchestrates the bullrun after halving has taken place.
sr. member
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Technically speaking, Bitcoin bull run has something relation with halving. If we look at the chart, we can see that after the halving which is happens only every 4 years the price increases drastically to the upside with huge volume. Maybe there's a lot of investors who waits for this to take the opportunity to buy and to profit in the future.
Aside from that, I still believe that bull run can possibly happen without Bitcoin halving.
hero member
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Hey fellow crypto enthusiasts,

I hope everyone is doing well and staying excited about the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies! Lately, I've been pondering a question that I'm sure many of us have on our minds: when can we expect the next Bitcoin bull run? Could it potentially coincide with the next Bitcoin halving? Let's dive into this intriguing topic and share our thoughts.
This is not the first time this has been discussed in this year. The bitcoin bull will start from the second quarter of the year 2024 after the halving in late this year and early next year. The bull is expected to occure next year or the upper year of 2025. The Preliminary bull market be next while the main bull market is 2025. The bull and the halving had not meet at the same time so the coincidence is not possible. It is better for you to acquire more bitcoin before the halving even starts. And after the halving is the bull market your hand.
hero member
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As it is based on speculation, it is unpredictable. No one can tell but from previous events or occurrences in the past of bitcoin halving, there has been a surge in bitcoin price immediately after bitcoin halving so it would not be a surprise if such should happen this time but still yet, nobody knows if the reverse would be the case. Moreover, there are several factors driving the Bitcoin market, and if they come into play the next halving would be of big significant effect on the crypto community would would further drive the demand for bitcoin as the price surges high above the last ATH.
We cannot predict exactly where bitcoin will go and can only guess.
And many people have been wrong in guessing or giving their predictions because bitcoin's movements are now wilder.
But it is true that after a halving, there will usually be a spike in the price of bitcoin, which will be the moment to sell it at a high price.
So we can only presume that the next halving could trigger the bitcoin price to skyrocket and even surpass the last ATH price.
If that does happen, we can certainly make huge profits from bitcoin but that's only for people who already own a lot of bitcoin.
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