Topic: Next Bitcoin Bull Run: Is It Tied to the Next Halving? - page 3. (Read 577 times)
As history may repeat itself, and so it does what happens every after bitcoin halving. Although I believe bull run does not only rely in bitcoin halving, as there are a lot of factors that will contribute to make it happen, but I also cannot change the fact that in every bitcoin halving, bitcoin bull run will definitely follow. So perhaps these two events are certainly connected to each other, but it also does not mean that if there’s no bitcoin halving happening, bull run will never be possible at all.
It's really hard to predict what will happen after the next halving, but I believe that most people here are expecting a new bull run, given that such events have historically led to increases in the past years. This might happens shortly after the halving or could take some time.
I'm really curious about what will exactly happens, but for now I'm focusing on holding onto as much Bitcoin as I can and trying to not spend a lot. I'm just waiting a new ATH which really could be reached in 2024.
I'm really curious about what will exactly happens, but for now I'm focusing on holding onto as much Bitcoin as I can and trying to not spend a lot. I'm just waiting a new ATH which really could be reached in 2024.
Logic would tell me that there isn't much bitcoin left to mine, what about 2 million last time I checked. So as a supply side it's already there. So I would expect a slightly muted response over other halving. Fomo leading to a false bull.
I will happily give my BTC and haircut at that time and take peoples money
I will happily give my BTC and haircut at that time and take peoples money
We're almost at 19.5M, so only 1.5 left to go.
What is a false bull? A bull run is when the price keeps going up. It doesn't have to break the last ATH, or it can go over it by a bit. The importance of a bull run is that the price keeps going up, with every subsequent correction ending with a higher low. This is pretty much the whole history of bitcoin, where in 2018, after the bull run, the price went to 3k, but in the next bear market of 2022 we made it only to 15k. In the long run we are in a bull market!
Short-term, it's enough for the price to stay above 25k, bounce back and hit something higher than 32k for us to officially be in a bull run. It's that simple!
The concepts of "Halving" and "Bullrun" are indeed interconnected. While I'm not harboring grand expectations, as this realm veers into speculative terrain, I would certainly find delight if the prices do surge, given that I've retained a modest stash of Bitcoin up until this point. Conversely, a price dip wouldn't perturb me, as the Bitcoin holdings I possess are distinct from my primary financial stability.
Nonetheless, I hold a conviction that Bitcoin is poised for a Bullrun akin to previous halving cycles. It usually takes around a year after a halving event for Bitcoin to reach its peak. While I may not wield the mantle of a technical analysis maestro, this four-year cycle seems to have held true over time.
Nonetheless, I hold a conviction that Bitcoin is poised for a Bullrun akin to previous halving cycles. It usually takes around a year after a halving event for Bitcoin to reach its peak. While I may not wield the mantle of a technical analysis maestro, this four-year cycle seems to have held true over time.
Logic would tell me that there isn't much bitcoin left to mine, what about 2 million last time I checked. So as a supply side it's already there. So I would expect a slightly muted response over other halving. Fomo leading to a false bull.
I will happily give my BTC and haircut at that time and take peoples money
I will happily give my BTC and haircut at that time and take peoples money
Your comment sound like an anti bitcoin in person, many people have thought about this when we just had the last Bull run and guess what, we had an incredible run that we have long had in this space, people profited and some left and the journey continue from there until we hit a milestone of $58K, This time around, do you know where will be heading this time? Technically, not an assurance but we are going to have a Bull run whether they like it or not because the miners can't be sustainable with 3.125 BTC to maintain their business and while you are away to give your BTC, you will buy them at a high price because it's becoming deflationary every day in supply and the demand will continue to increase.
When you are going for a haircut, please take me along, I will like to shave my beards, too much eye on BTC and no time to trim them.
The halving mechanism does more than maintain scarcity; it showcases the indisputable superiority of Bitcoin over traditional fiat currencies. The problem with traditional financial systems? Inflation! Central banks print money on a whim. But Bitcoin? It's math. Immutable. Predictable.
To address your question, while past halvings have correlated with bull markets, attributing a direct causal link is intellectually lazy. Yes, the 2012 and 2016 halvings signaled surges in price, but correlation doesn’t imply causation. With our evolving financial ecosystem, there's a myriad of factors influencing Bitcoin's valuation.
Nonetheless, Bitcoin's fundamentals remain as robust as ever. Its scarcity, decentralized nature, and global acceptance reinforce its position as the prime candidate for a store of value in our increasingly digital world. Regardless of the halving's immediate impact, Bitcoin's long-term trajectory, in my educated opinion, is undoubtedly upward. The real question isn't whether Bitcoin will experience another bull run; it's when, and how high, will it soar!
To address your question, while past halvings have correlated with bull markets, attributing a direct causal link is intellectually lazy. Yes, the 2012 and 2016 halvings signaled surges in price, but correlation doesn’t imply causation. With our evolving financial ecosystem, there's a myriad of factors influencing Bitcoin's valuation.
Nonetheless, Bitcoin's fundamentals remain as robust as ever. Its scarcity, decentralized nature, and global acceptance reinforce its position as the prime candidate for a store of value in our increasingly digital world. Regardless of the halving's immediate impact, Bitcoin's long-term trajectory, in my educated opinion, is undoubtedly upward. The real question isn't whether Bitcoin will experience another bull run; it's when, and how high, will it soar!
All things actually must have a connection between one another. Whether it's Halving, the global economy, technological advances, cultural shifts to more practical things or modernization and so on. Everything has its own role which if linked will be connected to one another. Likewise about the next bitcoin bull market, it must be related to all of that and of course it is also related to the halving in it. And actually apart from the Halving, now we can also see how rapidly the number of wallets collecting bitcoins is growing. Which means that more and more people are investing for the long term in bitcoin. Even in some countries they buy bitcoins to save the value of their assets because the fiat they hold is eroded by high inflation so exchanging it into bitcoins is a way out for them. The point is the adoption rate of bitcoin itself will be the trigger for the price increase. In the past, maybe the adoption of bitcoin was only glimpsed by small players, but now more institutions are also interested and continue to accumulate bitcoin.
Logic would tell me that there isn't much bitcoin left to mine, what about 2 million last time I checked. So as a supply side it's already there. So I would expect a slightly muted response over other halving. Fomo leading to a false bull.
I will happily give my BTC and haircut at that time and take peoples money
I will happily give my BTC and haircut at that time and take peoples money
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In subjects or topics like this, I've always been of the opinion that bull runs are not tied to Bitcoin halving, and that the fact that we have always experienced a bull season during every bitcoin halving season is not an indication that such thing is established and will continue like that forever, NO, I've always said it that, at some point in time, Bitcoin halving will come and go normally and the price of bitcoin will not move upward an inch, at this time, it simply means the market have matured and bull runs are no longer triggered by simple things like halving.
But then, the thing now is that we really can not tell when the market have matured to that level where halving is no longer a catalyst for bitcoin to move up in price, maybe the market is matured now, maybe the market is not yet matured but will in the future, no body can really tell, only when the halving comes and goes, what happens will tell if bull runs have moved away from bitcoin halving or not, meanwhile, we should never forget to only invest as much as we can afford to lose, most especially, if you are investing in Altcoins.
But then, the thing now is that we really can not tell when the market have matured to that level where halving is no longer a catalyst for bitcoin to move up in price, maybe the market is matured now, maybe the market is not yet matured but will in the future, no body can really tell, only when the halving comes and goes, what happens will tell if bull runs have moved away from bitcoin halving or not, meanwhile, we should never forget to only invest as much as we can afford to lose, most especially, if you are investing in Altcoins.
Historically, yes. But this is by no means a conclusion to convince people to invest like crazy. Assuming history will repeat itself isn't an excuse not to spend a few bitcoins today if it's necessary. If you see bitcoin as a benefit over profit, then you won't pay attention to the price to own it.
There's already 3 halvings and I think it's already a safe conclusion that most bull runs will follow. If you're spending bitcoin for something that needs immediate attention then you need to start making more ways to make money at the least because if you're investing in bitcoin and you're lacking money for your daily expenses then you need to get your priorities straight. It's rare to see a person that's going to be preferring benefit over profit nowadays, those who spend their bitcoins most of the time still prioritizes profit. 
There's no strong evidence that Bitcoin bull markets are causally related to halving events. There haven't been enough of those to count as statistically significant, and there is a lot of vagueness that makes the hypothesis very hard to test. For instance, how much time should pass after halving for the bull run to still count as related to it? Can it start earlier and still count? How fast should the price be rising and over which periods of time? Do temporary setbacks count as counter-evidence? If so, how big they should be, and how long should they last to count as evidence toward refuting the claim that halving is related to bull runs?
As everyone does their own thing and many don't ponder these questions at all, that makes it hard to answer whether bull runs are tied to halving events.
I expect the bull market to hit in the second half of 2024, but to me, that's not based on halving.
As everyone does their own thing and many don't ponder these questions at all, that makes it hard to answer whether bull runs are tied to halving events.
I expect the bull market to hit in the second half of 2024, but to me, that's not based on halving.
There’s no guarantee that halving would be the reason for another Bitcoin bull run. It may be a catalyst in my opinion and insight, but it’s better to expect the unexpected.
Last 2020 halving, BTC hasn’t really picked up for months until December where suddenly it pumped to as much as $30k.
The following year, it was mostly Elon boy who hyped the entire crypto market by being a DOGE fanatic and bought a bunch of BTCs that made the price skyrocket to almost $70k before it came crashing due to China crackdown.
Despite the uncertainties, we always have to be ready for some unexpected circumstances and “surprises” along the way.
Last 2020 halving, BTC hasn’t really picked up for months until December where suddenly it pumped to as much as $30k.
The following year, it was mostly Elon boy who hyped the entire crypto market by being a DOGE fanatic and bought a bunch of BTCs that made the price skyrocket to almost $70k before it came crashing due to China crackdown.
Despite the uncertainties, we always have to be ready for some unexpected circumstances and “surprises” along the way.
Historically, yes. But this is by no means a conclusion to convince people to invest like crazy. Assuming history will repeat itself isn't an excuse not to spend a few bitcoins today if it's necessary. If you see bitcoin as a benefit over profit, then you won't pay attention to the price to own it.
Every bitcoin halving leaves an impact to all bitcoin investors. And because of the realization that every bitcoin halving makes the market more bullish and profitable, then people will definitely put in mind that whenever there’s bitcoin halving, the next bitcoin bull run will also set to happen. However, we should never close our mind to the possibility that the opposite thing will also happen. As long as the market remains unpredictable, we can never guarantee that the same thing will always happen when bitcoin halving is around.
There is nothing wrong with people expecting bitcoin to increase in price every time the havling approaches because the past has shown us that. But the future is unpredictable, and there is no guarantee that history will always repeat itself. So let's just expect what we want but always prepare ourselves with a plan for the worst case scenario. If history doesn't repeat itself and bitcoin goes up as history has proven, what do we do next? We should all be prepared for that scenario instead of being subjective that bitcoin will always go up after the halving.
It is really tied to the next halving because Bitcoin is getting rarer to mine at that time, meaning it is more valuable. That is why there is a rally on it. In the past halving, this was really the cycle, which is why a lot of people and holders right now are already accumulating bitcoin for their own good. But again, the market is always mysterious, and we don't know if it will reach its ATH again next halving.
Not always and instantly but Coin Halving definitely reducing bitcoin supply, using the basic economy when supply is decreasing but the demand is still and even increasing the price should be raising. All that being said with the current market, politic and economic condition in the world, I doubt the bitcoin halving will lead to a new ATH, I still think bitcoin will finally make a bull run, but new ATH is quite difficult to achieve.
Since the beginning of 2023 till now, the Bitcoin market has increased rather than decreased, so considering the positive side of the market, it can be expected that the Bitcoin market will be in a very good position in 2024. Bitcoin investors are holding onto their investments in anticipation of better things in 2024, and those with more money to invest are increasing their investments. At the moment the market position is from 29 thousand dollars to 30 thousand dollars, it will not be a difficult equation to go from this situation to 50 thousand dollars in the Bitcoin market within a year. If there is no bad news in the market then the market will go to a good state within 24 years.
As it is based on speculation, it is unpredictable. No one can tell but from previous events or occurrences in the past of bitcoin halving, there has been a surge in bitcoin price immediately after bitcoin halving so it would not be a surprise if such should happen this time but still yet, nobody knows if the reverse would be the case. Moreover, there are several factors driving the Bitcoin market, and if they come into play the next halving would be of big significant effect on the crypto community would would further drive the demand for bitcoin as the price surges high above the last ATH.
We cannot predict exactly where bitcoin will go and can only guess.And many people have been wrong in guessing or giving their predictions because bitcoin's movements are now wilder.
But it is true that after a halving, there will usually be a spike in the price of bitcoin, which will be the moment to sell it at a high price.
So we can only presume that the next halving could trigger the bitcoin price to skyrocket and even surpass the last ATH price.
If that does happen, we can certainly make huge profits from bitcoin but that's only for people who already own a lot of bitcoin.
Having a dip today provides more opportunities for us to place a buy order at a lower price than yesterday and hope that the price will touch our order price.
Whales will definitely always benefit at every moment but we can also follow whales to be able to benefit as well as them.
We only need to analyze market conditions and determine attitudes that are in accordance with what is happening in the market.
But we shouldn't rush or even panic if something happens in the market and we must remember that our target is to make profits in the long term.
Bitcoin's next bull market will begin when Bitcoin halves. We've seen Bitcoin halve every time it's had a bull market before and then the market goes up. After each halving the Bitcoin market has grown a lot and turned from a bear market to a straight sire market. So we will see the next bull market in 2024 probably when Bitcoin will halve and the market will be in a good place. Since Bitcoin halving happens every four years, we may see this as the fourth halving of Bitcoin in 2024. And when this halving basically happens, Bitcoin's bull market will start and Bitcoin's price will rise again to its all-time high.
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Hey fellow crypto enthusiasts,
I hope everyone is doing well and staying excited about the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies! Lately, I've been pondering a question that I'm sure many of us have on our minds: when can we expect the next Bitcoin bull run? Could it potentially coincide with the next Bitcoin halving? Let's dive into this intriguing topic and share our thoughts.
I hope everyone is doing well and staying excited about the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies! Lately, I've been pondering a question that I'm sure many of us have on our minds: when can we expect the next Bitcoin bull run? Could it potentially coincide with the next Bitcoin halving? Let's dive into this intriguing topic and share our thoughts.
From history, the last all-time high of Bitcoin happened a year after the Bitcoin halving, so it was a year after the Bitcoin halving before the bull market really kicked in. Although the price of Bitcoin was very low in 2020, after the halving, the price began to go up gradually until the end of the year. I know that we can't accurately predict the movement of the Bitcoin price, so I can't say for sure that history will repeat itself again; it might happen in another form, but I am thinking that the bull market can start after the Bitcoin halving, although we might likely experience some bullish movement in price before the end of this year. I think the real bull market might happen in 2025.
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