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Topic: Nights Watch by Afrikoin - page 98. (Read 303310 times)

hero member
Activity: 665
Merit: 500
March 14, 2017, 06:36:12 AM
Afrikoin, you think that a hard fork will happen anytime soon?
Will we get a warning before just like ETF so we prepare to get our funds out?
If I were you, would you cash out at $1290-1300?

sell now.
you should have sold last week

IMho

I hope you don't joke, because I am a vivid follower of yours and I am following you with blind eyes.


Never sell all. Like Vinny says have a core position you never touch.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
March 14, 2017, 06:16:26 AM
Afrikoin, you think that a hard fork will happen anytime soon?
Will we get a warning before just like ETF so we prepare to get our funds out?
If I were you, would you cash out at $1290-1300?

sell now.
you should have sold last week

IMho

I hope you don't joke, because I am a vivid follower of yours and I am following you with blind eyes.
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
March 14, 2017, 06:11:52 AM
Afrikoin, you think that a hard fork will happen anytime soon?
Will we get a warning before just like ETF so we prepare to get our funds out?
If I were you, would you cash out at $1290-1300?

sell now.
you should have sold last week

IMho
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
March 14, 2017, 04:38:43 AM
Afrikoin, you think that a hard fork will happen anytime soon?
Will we get a warning before just like ETF so we prepare to get our funds out?
If I were you, would you cash out at $1290-1300?
zby
legendary
Activity: 1592
Merit: 1001
March 14, 2017, 03:20:25 AM
The simplest explanation for the delays is that the matching algo at kraken is crap - probably O(n^2). We have seen it at MtGox, on big load it was just stuck (one time it was stuck I think for more than an hour).
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
March 14, 2017, 12:42:38 AM
sr. member
Activity: 812
Merit: 250
A Blockchain Mobile Operator With Token Rewards
March 14, 2017, 12:34:52 AM
with the ETH ETC chain split, the combined value of your coins was greater than the value before the split.

its different with bitcoin, but not that much.

I do see how a 50/50 split would mean ~500-600$ for Core and BU Coins but thats not the end of the world

anyway i think a 90 / 10 split is more likely, this wont mean more then a 10% drop for bitcoin, but STILL you'll have these extra CoreCoins as a consolation prize.
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
March 14, 2017, 12:27:10 AM

^^^^ Agreed, scaling will probably kick BTC back down to Afrikoins $900.

So far, Afrikoin was 100% accurate, the thing I don't understand is, hows possible to scale down to $900 and then head back to 3K within few months?

If Segwit + HF camps collide,

Kiss $900 goodbye

Kiss $800 goodbye

Kiss $700 goodbye

Hellooooo nurse! ($512)

Really though.

If $1163 top on December 2013 to $162 bottom was A

and $162 bottom to March 2017 $1350 high is B

Than a C sharp impulsive 5 wave down will follow

Now, C's are sharp, so it will happen fast. It is possible to hit a bottom and start going up again by end of year

But this will move the 3k target by some months.

Targets do not change, just the time it takes to get there



On a side note, these are *if* HF spooks the market scenarios

** adding caveats to keep out trolls
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
March 14, 2017, 12:21:40 AM
To all those who are sure an intermediate drop or even a reversal is not possible: please explain how scaling will be resolved smoothly? Seems to me the best-case scenarios for this chronic problem are thin on the ground.

The TA in this thread seems to go quite nicely with the rate at which the percentage of Bitcoin Unlimited blocks are increasing.

When will the scaling happen? Do we have a firm time frame?

No, not really.

The problem is multi-faceted.

1. Scaling must happen soon to allow more transactions than the current 3 or 4 per second. The "mempool" (backlog of transactions to process on the blockchain) is frequently ballooning in size, causing increasing delays (anything up to a couple of days has been reported) and increasing transaction fees, at rates no-one thinks is safe.

2. Until recently it was more or less taken for granted among many that the Bitcoin Core team proposal to solve scaling, known as "Segwit", would be adopted willingly by miners and therefore activate. A threshold of 95% of mining power has to adopt Segwit for it to activate. This threshold now appears to have been hopelessly ambitious; Segwit adoption among miners has plateaued at around 25% for several months now.

3. There is another proposal on the table - "Bitcoin Unlimited". Taking a very different approach - some say the original intention of Satoshi - to the problem (not going to try to brief on the technicalities here), Bitcoin Unlimited appears to fast be gaining traction. As of recently Unlimited adoption has overtaken Segwit at speed. Check here: https://coin.dance/blocks

4. If Bitcoin Unlimited really gains enough traction for miners to be confident enough to begin using the scaling features it provides, there is a distinct possibility that this may split the Bitcoin chain, something that has been unthinkable until now. At any rate, there are a lot of claims that the software and the effects of its scaling features on the network have not been tested enough.


Thank you!

Please feel free to come back and share your opinion on the hard fork

I am glad to see someone else with a level head on the matter. You know, a lot of bitcoiners are permabulls and do not like the reality of any bearish news or bearish TA. Always in denial


Have you been following this thread for a while?


I ask because my TA has always made room for a possible surprise leg down and the hard fork (or possible HF) was my main reason for absurdly suppressed prices. You know, like $300 on the poll above



legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
March 14, 2017, 12:16:59 AM

^^^^ Agreed, scaling will probably kick BTC back down to Afrikoins $900.

So far, Afrikoin was 100% accurate, the thing I don't understand is, hows possible to scale down to $900 and then head back to 3K within few months?

Afrikoin,

few minutes ago, the well respected Vinny Lingham, said on his Twitter account that he short off his BTC position due to Hard-Fock coming. He even noted that things will end so badly for BTC that the -ceiling of it's price will be 800$ the maximum. Do you think the same? Should we short now before we hit below $800? He also re-think of his previous tweets and said that we might have to give a bye-bye kiss to the 3K prediction by end of 2017.

lol!

i said this a long time ago. been saying this for a while. Hard fork is a HUGE risk, just like with Ethereum. The risk of it will depress price too. So any increase in BU hard fork drama is bearish.

And i remember i said it to you

and posted it here

Vinnie and his ilk have been underestimating the possibility of a hard fork. He put down as a remote possibility. Very remote, unlikely.

If what you say is true (i will check his tweets), this is his way of backing out of his initial call of a minimum $800.

If the hard fork happens, or this drama escalates and we have to compromise on a hard fork + segwit or something else,

$512 is an easy target to hit from $700- $800

even down to $300. where there is a sweet ascending trendline


This is why i added the poll above using $300, because there is a rising trendline crossing this point

This below was a great, prescient article from November 2016

How will Segwit affect the price of bitcoin

https://medium.com/@michaelkimani/how-will-segwit-affect-the-price-of-bitcoin-b58d7c29cd9a










Guys, just read my posts please

I never type out anything here that i have not thought about
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
March 13, 2017, 11:58:35 PM

I also loose with open order at 875$... Time to go back in the game it was already >1100$.

My bad to have follow this thread.

This thread is a medium term - long term TA mostly

A bit for short term, sometimes

Not sure what your trading strategy is, but i promise if you leave that order open at $875 it will get filled soon
legendary
Activity: 947
Merit: 1008
central banking = outdated protocol
March 13, 2017, 11:46:11 PM

I also loose with open order at 875$... Time to go back in the game it was already >1100$.

My bad to have follow this thread.

Following the thread is a good idea as it is TA information freely given. Taking responsibility for your own actions is an even better idea.
hero member
Activity: 1022
Merit: 725
March 13, 2017, 10:26:49 PM

I also loose with open order at 875$... Time to go back in the game it was already >1100$.

My bad to have follow this thread.
hero member
Activity: 744
Merit: 500
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
March 13, 2017, 02:42:27 PM
Good, now i can sleep peacefully tonight.
hero member
Activity: 744
Merit: 500
March 13, 2017, 02:14:02 PM
Afrikoin,

few minutes ago, the well respected Vinny Lingham, said on his Twitter account that he short off his BTC position due to Hard-Fock coming. He even noted that things will end so badly for BTC that the -ceiling of it's price will be 800$ the maximum. Do you think the same? Should we short now before we hit below $800? He also re-think of his previous tweets and said that we might have to give a bye-bye kiss to the 3K prediction by end of 2017.

Link?

Poor shannen is in agony and now only sees bearish news everywhere.

Vinny never said he sold his BTC. On the contrary, we calls to hodl BTC!

Here is the link: https://twitter.com/VinnyLingham/status/841333023446454272
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
March 13, 2017, 02:03:07 PM
Afrikoin,

few minutes ago, the well respected Vinny Lingham, said on his Twitter account that he short off his BTC position due to Hard-Fock coming. He even noted that things will end so badly for BTC that the -ceiling of it's price will be 800$ the maximum. Do you think the same? Should we short now before we hit below $800? He also re-think of his previous tweets and said that we might have to give a bye-bye kiss to the 3K prediction by end of 2017.

Link?
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
March 13, 2017, 01:59:06 PM
One of Bitcoin's Big Funds is Selling Ahead of the ETF Decision

http://www.coindesk.com/one-bitcoins-biggest-funds-selling-ahead-etf-decision/

wonder wether they got back in 8-)

I doubt they sold to be buying back in at more or less the same price.
newbie
Activity: 30
Merit: 0
March 13, 2017, 01:17:14 PM
His statements in regard to a hard fork are an if-scenario. He's not stating it as being imminent, though he is concerned about the higher risk in the probability of one. His larger warning is actually in regards to the alt pumping going on right now and the imminent crash and fall out.
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