The DogCoin will be more than the market value of NXT.
NXT is really a 2nd generation ? Why weaker than DogCoin.
This is temporary. Dilution based valuation of DOGE/NXT would be around 34 (34 billion DOGE vs 1 billion NXT), currently it is trading at about 40. This means that even with NXT in beta and most of its features not out yet and only NRS as client, it is still at a premium over pure dilution valuation.
DOGE has all the tech is will ever get, its feature set is static. However, it is at alltime high against NXT due to its having sponsored jamaican bobsled team for olympics. Traders are buying in anticipation and my guess is that after the olympics, the ratio will drop to the more "historical" 50:1 ratio. Not that there is much history as both NXT and DOGE markets are relatively new, especially NXT with bter. DOGE is benefiting from the network effect, it is getting more popular because it is popular. This is a positive feedback loop and should continue to benefit DOGE long after the olympics.
Even in these very early days for NXT, it is trading above dilution parity against the hottest crypto in the market. Only 5 of the top 50 cryptos have gained in the last 24 hours, only DOGE in the top 16
As NXT matures and gets all the promised features, it is expected that it will trade at significant premiums to the dilution valuation against NXT. How high is anybody's guess. With all the upcoming marketing, new client(s), transparent forging, asset exchange, etc., I would not be surprised at a 10:1 premium over dilution valuation, but all that will take time.
Now that the initial influx from Chinese customers of bter has run its course, NXT market price is consolidating at much lower volumes. Just prior to bter listing, NXT was doing this low volume consolidating at half the current price. It seems that with more people able to purchase NXT, the equilibrium point has significantly increased. It could continue to go down for a bit, but considering that we are more than double just several days ago, this could just be a nice buying opportunity.
James