Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 21.

buwaytress

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3-1 was the final scoreline, but Mozambique were really not going to win once they had a player sent off. World Cup's been precious with the goals, favourites winning or at the very least drawing, so we turn to Nations League tonight for a small squeeze on Spain getting it right again. Mbappe's probably got a goal in him but maybe it's time for La Roja to remind themselves it's rewarding to play their style again? Game starts in a few hours!

100 units at Sportsbet on a Betbuilder on Spain to WIN and 3+ corners for each team @4.83. Other odds: N/A

Running advantage after 61 bets: +6585 (+0)
All-time cumulative: +74,063
Running units after 60 bets (8W|52L): +3463 (-100)

buwaytress

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BTTS and win, but for the other team. Italy were never going to come back once Spain had the 2-goal lead, unlike the French last night who turned it on to win it in style.

Maybe we see a tougher fight in the World Cup tonight? Bottom of CAF Group D Mozambique actually pulled a surprise draw against leaders Ivory Coast. Shall we bank on them to get full points and throw the group wide open?

100 units on Mozambique to WIN against Cameroon @13.10. Other odds: 11.58
Units advantage: 152
Bet ID: 615ff7cfc4372859ed63851d

Running advantage after 60 bets: +6585 (+152)
All-time cumulative: +74,063
Running units after 59 bets (8W|51L): +3563 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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I know, dumb bet, absolute bonkers to put money on that, but let's call that penance paid for supporting Liverpool youngsters.

Nations League semi today, a cup that's every bit as worthless as Pandora papers but if we get a lot of goals flowing, and expect Italy to maintain their incredible unbeaten streak, we got some sweet odds.

100 units at Sportsbet on Italy to WIN and BTTS @5.40. Other odds: 5.12
Bet ID: 615d7330fd3194e21fb4bf3c
Units advantage: 28

Running advantage after 59 bets: +6433 (+28)
All-time cumulative: +73,911
Running units after 58 bets (8W|50L): +3663 (-100)

buwaytress

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Hey, can't win them all, Almeria did nick it, but conceded an equaliser earlier so we're out on that game.

Now Liverpool U21 are bottom of their table in the EFL trophy, and have been on 4-game losing streak but surely something has to give? I know it's a bit disrespectful to look down on Bolton at home, but they won't be playing their full team so maybe we get to see a scrappy victory.

100 units on Liverpool U21 to WIN vs Bolton Wanderers @5.73. Other odds: 5.50
Units advantage: 23
Bet ID: 615aede6c4372830d05f8151

Running advantage after 58 bets: +6405 (+28)
All-time cumulative: +73,883
Running units after 57 bets (8W|49L): +3763 (-100)

buwaytress

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Fabinho came so close to winning it for us, but in the end, it was a match that lived up to its billing and I have to begrudgingly agree the point each was probably what they deserved. But Salah, wow.

We lost the big bet, but also have Frankfurt to thank for a marvellous away win -- their first in 21 years! Still 3 leagues in the big 6 European have a "perfect" team -- England (Liverpool), Germany (Freiburg) and Spain (Villareal) but Italy have 3 (Napoli, AC Milan, Inter) -- of that, only Liverpool and Freiburg have not lost a game the entire season.

Great stuff!

Not sure I should bet on anything today but itchy fingers say:
100 units at Sportsbet on Almeria to WIN to nil @4.40. Other odds: 4.12
Bet ID: 615aaead80436b71e5af728b
Units advantage: 28

Running advantage after 57 bets: +6405 (+28)
All-time cumulative: +73,883
Running units after 56 bets (8W|48L): +3863 (-500+1737 = +1237)

buwaytress

legendary

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So. We almost had a win, but for VAR. Today, my team welcomes City to fortress Anfield so that's the only game I'm caring about today.

We've got a bit of a nice cushion on our balance thanks to Spartak Moscow, also, and we've had a good run on our big bets, so shall we take another risk? Of course Wink

500 units at Fairlay on Liverpool to WIN vs Man City @3.03. Other odds: 2.90
Units advantage: 13x5 = 65

Then, let's find a way for Bayern to get their blip? Sounds like an idiot blip but I feel the overconfidence oozing.
100 units on Eintracht Frankfurt to WIN vs Bayern Munich @18.37. Other odds: 16.60
Units advantage: 177

Running advantage after 56 bets: +6377 (+65+177=+242)
All-time cumulative: +73,855
Running units after 54 bets (7W|47L): +2626 (-100)

buwaytress

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Quote from: Trofo on October 02, 2021, 03:08:48 AM

Not today mate, sorry to disappoint you

If Everton was complete, than sure they would have a chance, but Everton without DCL and Richarlison, by far their 2 most dangerous attacking players should not be able to take even a point.

If I was picking an upset from PL I would opt for Southampon, they are at least whole and Chelsea has lost 2 in a row. Maybe there are some cracks in their confidence. Don't get me wrong I am expecting Chelsea to win 2:0 today but still judge that upset more likely.

Hey, VAR still needed to intervene to get United the point =p

So you were half right, but I was counting on two things here: Ole to make his usual tactical foolishness, and Rafa to rise to the occasion. Problem is I never forget how he engineered big wins when he was at Newcastle who, with all due respect, have not the squad strength of Everton even without the 2 you mentioned.

Martial scoring, who'd have imagine?

I put down Saints too, but not for this thread as wasn't in time and not able to compare or easily paste links til after I got home in evening. Fairlay gave me over 8/1. I've no idea if that's as good as other books, and usually at least make an effort to check but Trofo's advice good for me today Wink

But both gone, boohoo. Upset-free Saturday in the end.

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress on October 02, 2021, 02:18:11 AM

Today's easy. United didn't lose against Villareal but surely Everton have a chance?

Not today mate, sorry to disappoint you

If Everton was complete, than sure they would have a chance, but Everton without DCL and Richarlison, by far their 2 most dangerous attacking players should not be able to take even a point.

If I was picking an upset from PL I would opt for Southampon, they are at least whole and Chelsea has lost 2 in a row. Maybe there are some cracks in their confidence. Don't get me wrong I am expecting Chelsea to win 2:0 today but still judge that upset more likely.

buwaytress

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What else can I say about Napoli but that these are the types of teams you count on, with great form and irresistable goalscoring momentum. Then they lose at home to Spartak Moscow who're badly struggling themselves in the league.

But great calls, very happy with hitting 1 out of 3.

Today's easy. United didn't lose against Villareal but surely Everton have a chance?

100 units at Fairlay on Everton to WIN vs Man Utd @8.30. Other odds: 7.70
Units advantage: 60

Running advantage after 54 bets: +6135 (+60)
All-time cumulative: +73,613
Running units after 53 bets (7W|46L): +2726 (+1251)

buwaytress

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Tough about last night, missed out on 2 games including Bournemouth's very stale scoreless draw. Should have put in Juve's upset here instead on big bet, like PSG's 3/1 eh?

We are back to traditional upsets tonight. Spurs is tempting to go against but Kane loves his Euro goals, so we'll back some upstarts instead on 3 games. 100 units each on Fairlay:

Flora Talinn to WIN vs Partizan Belgrade @17.37. Other odds: 14.50
Spartak Moscow to WIN vs Napoli @15.51. Other odds: 13.90
Brondby to WIN vs Lyon @12.63. Other odds: 11.50
Total units advantage: 283+161+113 = 557

Running advantage after 53 bets: +6075 (+557)
All-time cumulative: +73,553
Running units after 50 bets (6W|44L): +1475 (-100)

buwaytress

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Some days it works out, some days it doesn't, and it didn't work out many times last season but we're on a good run with our big bets -- PSG was well worth their win yesterday -- and ended up being 3.23 but I'll keep the odds I added yesterday.

I'll come back later to smell some UCL picks but I like today's special on Sportsbet.

100 units on all EFL games tonight to have over 1.5 goals @7.50. Other odds (estimate): 5.58.
Units advantage: 92
(edit: wrong odds)

Running advantage after 50 bets: +5518 (+240)
All-time cumulative: +72,996
Running units after 49 bets (6W|43L): +1575 (-100 + 1060)

buwaytress

legendary

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So the Villa bet was too early, I did expect them to lead for most of the game, only for United to come back and draw. As it turned out, it was a late lead AND a penalty for United, that Fernandes somehow sent sky high. Terrible weekend for EPL football, all kinds of draws. So let's get a bit of salve from UCL tonight?

100 units boosted, insured at Sportsbet on Atletico Mineiro, Alajuelense, Leipzig HT, Ajax/Brugge Over 9.5 corners and Liverpool WIN @19.72. Other odds: 18.32

Units advantage: +140

Edit: We're doing SO badly I think it's time for another stupid big bet, so here we go with 500 units boosted to 3.12 on PSG to win vs Citeh! Other odds not sure but I think this is the best anywhere.

Running advantage after 49 bets: +5418 (+140)
All-time cumulative: +72,896
Running units after 47 bets (5W|42L): +615 (-100)

buwaytress

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We were almost there, weren't we? Barca are hopeless, can't score, can't find a reason to play. Might be useful to make them the next City in our underdog betting, though bookies have the same thoughts, so odds may not prove good value. Let's see.

Today, big games but I'm going to back Villa to at least lead by HT against United, who've been keeping their trend last season of falling behind first in every game.

100 units at Fairlay on Villa to win HT vs Man Utd @7.13. Other odds: 6.20
Units advantage: 93

Come back later for a multi possibly =D

Running advantage after 47 bets: +5278 (+93)
All-time cumulative: +72,756
Running units after 46 bets (5W|41L): +715 (-100)

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Pretty cool day yesterday betting wise, but wouldn't have put any of them in this thread as most were actually not really value bets I'd say. Shame about Leeds and Everton, not for a lack of trying...

Hate to say this but Barcelona have never been more vulnerable this season, and Cadiz did already take 3 points from them last season while they still had Messi, so I think it's not a bad bet to take on the home team and parlay that with another Napoli shootout.

100 units on Cadiz and Napoli to WIN @11.98. Other odds: 11.34
Units advantage: 64

Running advantage after 46 bets: +5185 (+64)
All-time cumulative: +72,663
Running units after 45 bets (5W|40L): +815 (-100)

buwaytress

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OK, Spurs. Not good. Not at all. Had they just scored early though, we'd have had it all padded up by half time. Shall we put all our risk on Liverpool instead? They're likely to play B team tonight so it's going to be tough and odds aren't great, but Salah, Mane should come on at or midway through half time to rescue them if anything goes wrong.

Parlayed with tight ones from EFL cup and a Malaysian 2nd division "sure thing" if I read local news right heh.
100 units boosted, insured at Sportsbet on Liverpool, Leeds, Everton, Kuching FC and Liverpool HT (vs Brentford on weekend) @23.43. Other odds: 21.28
Units advantage: 215

Running advantage after 45 bets: +5121 (+215)
All-time cumulative: +72,599
Running units after 44 bets (5W|39L): +915 (-100)

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Didn't watch the game but stats show that City were really on the ropes without getting any shots on target until the death, while Saints actually had 2.

Another upset today on the cards, maybe Spurs know how to beat superior opponents, tie it with Liverpool next week at Brentford.

100 units at Sportsbet on Spurs and Liverpool to [email protected]. Other odds: 8.65
Units advantage: 27

Running advantage after 44 bets: +4906 (+27)
All-time cumulative: +72,384
Running units after 43 bets (5W|38L): +1,015 (-100)

buwaytress

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Goodbye Celta, Aspas just doesn't seem to be able to find it in him to shift gears up, hope Suarez does tonight. But instead of another acca, let's look for more City misery against Southampton, why not?

100 units at Fairlay on Saints to WIN vs City @20.10. Other odds: 18.50
Units advantage: 160

Running advantage after 43 bets: +4879 (+160)
All-time cumulative: +72,357
Running units after 42 bets (5W|37L): +1,115 (-100)

buwaytress

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Turned out to be pretty much one-sided in the end, but credit to the home team, they had their own chances and only fell 0-1. This means tastier odds on the away leg, I fancy their chances if the bookies don't;)

Leeds have got to win tonight, don't they? I think we can take them and a few other favs, and pin it in Liverpool to win the 1st half tomorrow? Boosts and insurance, why not?

100 units boosted, insured on Leeds, Hertha, Strasbourg, Celta and Liverpool (HT) WIN @20.48. Other odds: 19.76
Units advantage: 68

Running advantage after 42 bets: +4719 (+68)
All-time cumulative: +72,197
Running units after 41 bets (5W|36L): +1,215 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Hey, Atletico, what gives? 2 early shots on goal and then nothing haha. Oh well. Just glad Liverpool made it through. Should have just done a big fat single on the comeback huh?

Conference league and Europa tonight, I'm going to back this weird Estonian upstart to make another mark at home.

100 units on Flora Talinn to WIN vs Gent @9.80. Other odds: 10.50 (I pushed the button too fast).
Units advantage: -70

Running advantage after 41 bets: +4651 (-70)
All-time cumulative: +72,129
Running units after 40 bets (5W|35L): +1,315 (-100)

buwaytress

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Quote from: Trofo on September 15, 2021, 09:18:21 AM

Tough break for you yesterday.

Yeah, it couldn't have started off better. Could have wrapped this up so easily, but there we go. And now Salah missed his first ever penalty, ouch.

Liverpool trail to 2 quick-fire goals from Milan, so the smart thing to do would be to back them to go on and win, using a super boost for great odds above 31/10. Parlay that with a HT Atletico win?

100 units on Liverpool and Atletico Madrid to WIN (both live) @7.55. Other odds: 7.10
Units advantage: 45

Running advantage after 40 bets: +4721 (+45)
All-time cumulative: +72,199
Running units after 39 bets (5W|34L): +1,415 (-100)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 21. (Read 40042 times)