A bit thin today on New Year's eve, but here's a simple parlay:
100 units at Sportsbet on Kawasaki Frontale, Bilbao/Sociedad Over 1.5 goals, Osasuna @5.74.
Very slim pickings today but I have a high stake bet on Bilbao vs. Sociedad both to score @2.21 without any boosts. If that is not a value odds than I don't know what is. I was expecting something in range 1.8-1.9 but maybe bookies know something we don't.
Kawasaki is playing super football this year and no team managed to find answers how to keep them from scoring a few goals. That will be my next bet in case first one is success. If it isn't I am stopping for this year. Another year finished in the green which I consider a big success after I was almost 40k$ in the red during summer. Esports helped me a lot towards pulling the year back in the green and I expect to bet more on them in the next year as well.
All the best in New Year @buwa and many green tickets
Agreed, BTTS very good pickings but I'm not trying for over 1.5 goals instead, for about 1.8x odds, less value, but in case one side is having an off day. I've actually been having good bets in Asian markets too (Japan and AFC) but I tend to just do ML or max 2 legs parlays there.
Overall, actually, my Europe picks minus tournaments have been taking a battering over the past few months. Picks from this thread are in green, but that's from early season success... I think I've already made a loss in one or two books, so I'm not reupping there until the new season starts again haha.
Definitely helps that books gave good promos this Covid year. Freebets and promos aside though, I'm still a little bit on the positive side overall so I'm very happy if things continue as is. My aim always is to end seasons with profit and even use the profit to set aside new season bankroll so I continue to enjoy... the Bitcoin price rally is also hugely motivating!
Also got a number of longshot picks still alive (Real Madrid to win UCL, Liverpool to do the same, for example). Sociedad is still about 10/1 on a good day to win Europa.
Happy New Year to you Trofo, always appreciate the follows and comments! Green is a nice colour;)
I wonder what the most lucrative market is to bet on in relation to the odds you can get. It usually does well over 1.5 goals, but the problem is that the odds are actually just too low.
This often fluctuates around 1.35
yesterday Atletico won with 1-0, a goal was scored very early but they failed to make another one.
Trofo finds good BTTS odds recently. Form helps me decide value, and in this current pick 1.8 for over 1.5 goals is good enough for me. I generally never add a pick that's below 1.5x, and only is it helps me boost a pick I'm confident off... 1.35x is probably the max lowest I go for a "sure thing" but both Liverpool and Barca have shown me the folly of those;)