Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 41. (Read 38849 times)

^ reminds me how I made an entire successful campaign just betting on Daniel Sturridge to score (those days the odds were always about 2/1) and just martingaling if I lost. Haven't tried it this season but maybe time to try on Bobby Firmino;)

Anyway. Won 1 parlay and lost everything else, whoops.

No bets today, I don't have time and I can't see anything that strikes me as worthy, but just to have a clean calculation:

Running advantage after 35 bets: +4,202
All-time cumulative: +41,173
Running units after 35 bets (7W|28L): +2,082 (+500)

International fortnight coming up!

Yesterday I had my favourite bomber to score, and he did, well Hoffenheim has lost 2:1, but my bet is green 
I will bet on Andrej Kramaric to score for the whole Bundesliga season

Today I have Inter and Leicester as well on my ticket as a double

Damn. Didn't win the Leeds one, it very easily could have gone on to become a win though, but I'm happy City dropped even more points now. 3 games into the season and they're already 8 points behind everton haha (yeah game in hand but still!).

Anyway, so far so good. 2/5 on day before's parlay, 1/4 on yesterday's one. Should we triple down on Wolves and double down on Leicester? Why not?

Levante UD - Real Madrid. Real WIN @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.51
Lazio Roma - Inter Milano. Inter WIN @2.21. Betcoin odds: 2.22
Leicester City FC - West Ham United FC. Foxes WIN @1.67. Betcoin odds: 1.68
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC - Fulham FC. Wolves WIN @1.71. Betcoin odds: 1.70
Brentford FC - Preston North End. Brentford WIN @1.70. Betcoin odds: 1.70
100 units parlay, insured + boosted at Sportsbet @17.45. Betcoin parlay: 16.28
Bet ID: 5f798c19d9fb3de0d372aa02

Odds advantage: 117

Jesus Leicester. What a way to bomb.
Putting it again now on Spurs/Pool:

Aston Villa FC - Liverpool FC. Pool WIN @1.56. Betcoin odds: 1.48
Manchester United FC - Tottenham Hotspur FC. Spurs WIN @3.65. Betcoin odds: 3.62
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @5.69. Betcoin parlay: 5.36
Bet ID: 5f79bd1e38e6c043298e6c47

Odds advantage: 33

Total odds advantage: 150

Yup, me and my bad brain on dates. I swore yesterday was 3 October and then only looking for the match realised I screwed myself up. Sorry about Berlin Mainz =)

I thought I added a parlay to yesterday's post, 1 leg already played so too late but I did Bournemouth+Everton+Leicester+Wolves+Liverpool 1H at 188/10.

Anyway today isn't really straightforward but let's have a go: Steve's Multi Magic at Sportsbet Chelsea/Southampton/Arsenal/Wolves @7.00. Betcoin parlay: 6.2
Bet ID: 5f76cc9dc071be198fd5a8d6

Odds advantage: 80

Then well, we all want City to lose again haha. I caught this at really good value too I think. 100 units at Fairlay on Leeds to WIN vs Manchester City @12.14. Sportsbet boosted: 7.8

Odds advantage: 434

Total odds advantage: 514

it's tomorrow, not today 
today we have Union Berlin and FSV Mainz and I'm going for a BetBuilder Union+both to score @3.60

^ Yeah Sportsbet was down for me too but seems to have fixed itself today!

Simple parlay in Bundesliga today, Koln to beat Gladbach for a slight upset, and then, surely Bremen can beat new boys?

1. FC Cologne - Borussia Monchengladbach. Koln WIN @4.41. Betcoin odds: 4.1
Werder Bremen - Arminia Bielefeld. Bremen WIN @2.16. Betcoin odds: 2.16
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @9.53. Betcoin parlay: 8.93
Bet ID: 5f76c11bd9fb3d2666720d40

Odds advantage: 60

  oh, that's why I can't place any bets.... I'm trying to place a ticket for 2 hours from now 
I'll just wait them to fix that problem

Yeah, big ouchie for me. Serves me right for thinking Atletico would surprise us for the second time in a row. Well, they did, by not surprising us haha.

Anyway. Sportsbet down so I'll miss out on 5-legs today. Let's go simple for Liverpool, Barca and AC Milan!

100 units at Betcoin @4.48. No odds advantage

And upset of the day 100 units on Fairlay on Maccabi Haifa to WIN vs Spurs @14.87. Betcoin odds: 14.49

Odds advantage: 38

Udinese just sucked today 
it's good that I had Atalanta and Inter on a separate ticket, but my main one was almost the same as yours.... simply can't believe it...

^ And so did Chelski in the end. Spurs handicap was an option but this just cements the opinion that Chelsea's star-studded team still need a LOT of work if they can't even pick apart a second-rate Spurs. Mourinho will savour this draw-penalty-win. Classic Jose in the end.

Costly victory for Valencia though. All those yellows, tired legs, and almost allowed the game to draw.

Going for another stupid 5-leg. Insurance gets me addicted.

Game 1: Udinese Calcio - Spezia Calcio. Udinese WIN @1.67. Betcoin odds: 1.66
Game 2: SD Huesca - Atletico Madrid. Over 2 @1.59. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Game 3: Real Madrid - Real Valladolid. Real HT WIN @1.70. Betcoin odds: 1.68
Game 4: Lazio Roma - Atalanta BC. Atalanta +0.5 @1.52. Betcoin odds: 1.54
Game 5: Benevento Calcio - Inter Milano. Inter HT WIN @1.82. Betcoin odds: 1.82
100 units boosted parlay at Sportsbet @13.36. Betcoin parlay: 12.51
Bet ID: 5f741f4eec86b8162178c5ab

Odds advantage: 85

And my traditional upset pick. Salzburg are a good, good team and yes they have been playing well, drew with Liverpool B-team pre season more like and won every game since but they stand on a lead and could trip up? 100 units at Fairlay on Maccabi Tel Aviv to WIN vs Salzburg @17.91. Sportsbet odds: 17.00

Odds advantage: 91

EDIT: Add Burnley to WIN vs Manchester City, because, why not? 100 units at Sportsbet @11.00. Fairlay: 10.38
Odds advantage: 62

Total odds advantage: 236

Honestly, I had a bad feeling that Valencia could ruin that ticket 

I would still have bet Spurs IF the odds were 10/1 or higher haha but no such luck. No interesting 10+ odds tonight either that I can see so yeah, that explains my idiotic 5-leg parlay, but let's see how it goes.

What do you think of Israeli teams tomorrow and Thursday night? Potential upsets over 10/1? I always fancy the way they play these ties, but yeah, all depends on lineups and form. Spurs have been unlucky with first team is all.


Same as me then, woohoo! Europe qualifiers so far generally big on favourites so yeah, hoping for more of the same!

was offline for 2 days 

I got Liverpool to win and both to score yesterday for my daily single, wuhu!

today I have Dyn. Kiev, Olympiakos and Real Sociedad to win on my ticket

This is the info I was missing. I forgot they are playing again on Thursday. Which gives them a game every 2 days when players are far from optimal form. Also agree that Chelsea has much more rotation players and no game on Thursday, this should be an easy one for Chelsea. Placing one bet now and maybe another one when line ups are confirmed.

Because Mou says he has to give up Carabao cup and yes, I know he could be playing mind games, but I suspect he's too worried about league position to risk all of his senior squad. And Thursday is Europa qualifiers you bet he needs to win that one more than tonight's clash.

Chelski on the other hand have lots of potential first-11 players to give starts to and no Thursday game to worry about.

Valencia are shocking. Not worth the team they were.

I see you played Chelsea on your ticket - why?

I am sure I am missing something but can't find any news. How is it possible that odds on Spurs are @5 against Chelsea? I was sure that you would rather pick Spurs for value bet here. Has Mou come out and said that only juniors will play? Really don't see the reason for odds like that.

Sociedad is my main pick tonight since Valencia is awful this season. Not sure about CL games, will go for both to score on some multi.

Well, at least I won back the 500 unit bet I lost against Chelsea (thanks Mane and Robbo). Tough win despite how it looked, Jota for the gloss, have to say I like what I'm seeing even if VVD isn't quite the rock he's been, blame the super high line!

Not certain about the games tonight but worth backing the Europe qualifiers, where the tight favourites have been doing well.

Real Sociedad - Valencia CF. Socieded WIN @1.60. Betcoin odds: 1.60
Tottenham Hotspur FC - Chelsea FC. Chelsea WIN @1.67. Betcoin odds: 1.66
AC Omonia Nicosia - Olympiacos Piraeus. Piraues WIN @1.80. Betcoin odds: 1.81
FC Dynamo Kiev - KAA Gent. Kiev WIN @1.88. Betcoin odds: 1.88
Getafe CF - Real Betis Balompie. Over 2 @1.81. Betcoin odds: 1.80
100 units boosted parlay at Sportsbet @17.51. Betcoin parlay: 16.27
Bet ID: 5f72d2db8ac389918ef242cb

Odds advantage: 124

First 2 legs lost. So we're out. I don't feel complete without a bet on Liverpool to ride. We did terrible with 500 units on the Chelsea HT. Can we do it with Arsenal? The gambler in me says yes.

500 units at Fairlay on Liverpool to lead against Arsenal at HT @2.01. Betcoin: 2.02

Hmm. As soon as I placed. odds changed. Oops. 2.08 right now.

Odds advantage: -1

What a day yesterday, I need to stop throwing away money won on impulse but hey, that's sort of why we're all here right?

Nice Leicester win. Such a pity that City keeps losing like this and bookies keep adjusting the odds. Can you believe it was not even 10/1 for Leicester?

Have edited all the info in yesterday's numbers.

Anyway, can't stay away from boosts and insures so:

Game 1: Liverpool FC - Arsenal FC. Pool WIN @1.53. Betcoin odds: 1.54
Game 2: Real Sociedad - Valencia CF. Sociedad WIN @1.67. Betcoin odds: 1.64
Game 3: Chongqing Lifan - Shanghai SIPG. Shanghai WIN @1.91. Betcoin odds: 1.92
Game 4: Tianjin Teda - Wuhan Zall FC. Wuhan WIN @1.93. Betcoin odds: 1.94
Game 5: Nordsjaelland - Lyngby BK. Nordsjaelland WIN @1.74. Betcoin odds: 1.72
100 units parlay at Sportsbet @17.54. Betcoin parlay: 16.18
Bet ID: 5f718770d621a42c1896de46

Odds advantage: 136

@Trofo: Indeed, Steve's MM is absolutely not my style of play BUT it's really always about value and boosted by 10-20% does make me feel good (plus, he's way over in profit actually, he should get 1/6 right at the current odds but he's already had 4 I can recall). You're right though, not sustainable. And Liverpool is always in it so it makes me also sentimental.

The 5-leg promo is definitely a killer I've won so many "freebets" and this season only won 1 so far (but hey, still positive too).

Anyway, I'm so happy Leicester result, putting in a Wolves/Juve/Barca parlay at 8.04 at FJ (only one I could do mobile on): bet ID 17827977

Updating all this tomorrow. Seems not possible to get my connections working.