Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 40.

buwaytress

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Quote from: Trofo on November 24, 2020, 10:24:26 AM

One of the least interesting offers in Champions League ever. I always have at least 6/8 games I want to bent on every single CL day but today all the games are meh and odds are even worse. I feel like I am forcing it big time but I played one treble.

I chose both to score on Barca game @1.7, should be an easy bet to win for reasons you mentioned above and Barca can score one goal even if they are playing with juniors.
Then I went with Dortumnd -1.5 @1.9, hopefully Haland wants to build his CL stats a bit
PSG to win @1.7, seems to me this is the time for revenge and if they loose they are basically out of CL which would be a big hit for them

I really ought not to bet tonight but urgh I went ahead and put 2 more parlays for today (actually, games already started so can't make those bets now, not that anyone follows me haha) have very high confidence in Sevilla, Lazio, Chelsea. One will probably disappoint me but anyway.

Haaland will score, don't know if his team will provide good service though, but that man is a machine. PSG should also win, but not sure about must-win games these days.

All in all, yeah a tepid 4th Match Day it looks on the cards.

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress on November 24, 2020, 08:59:50 AM

Champions League and I'm definitely going to put a parlay down but will update later to see which legs.

For now, a single bet against Barca -- yes, they've had a perfect start but are resting key players plus also have injuries, so Dynamo Kiev will want to draw blood at home.

100 units at Sportsbet on Dinamo Kiev to WIN vs Barca @5.18. Betcoin odds: 4.90

One of the least interesting offers in Champions League ever. I always have at least 6/8 games I want to bent on every single CL day but today all the games are meh and odds are even worse. I feel like I am forcing it big time but I played one treble.

I chose both to score on Barca game @1.7, should be an easy bet to win for reasons you mentioned above and Barca can score one goal even if they are playing with juniors.
Then I went with Dortumnd -1.5 @1.9, hopefully Haland wants to build his CL stats a bit
PSG to win @1.7, seems to me this is the time for revenge and if they loose they are basically out of CL which would be a big hit for them

buwaytress

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Walcott took the lead, but they couldn't weather the Wolves storm. They'll see this as a precious point, though, Saints, til the Ings returns!

Champions League and I'm definitely going to put a parlay down but will update later to see which legs.

For now, a single bet against Barca -- yes, they've had a perfect start but are resting key players plus also have injuries, so Dynamo Kiev will want to draw blood at home.

100 units at Sportsbet on Dinamo Kiev to WIN vs Barca @5.18. Betcoin odds: 4.90

Units advantage: 28

My bad, I thought I put these picks here but the 2 games already started. Oh well:)
Chelsea, Sevilla, Lazio+PSG, AFC Bournemouth tonight @13.31. Bet ID: 5fbd06903d30de4ff7aa899d
Chelsea, Sevilla, Lazio+AEK Athens, Liverpool (vs Brighton this weekend) @13.05. Bet ID: 5fbb58e82add6d69a8f0022d

No units advantage, forgot to check and matches started. Shouldn't count, but not too late to make live =p

Edit again: WHOA Chelsea Sevilla won in injury time! It's a sign!
Istanbul Basaksehir to WIN at Manchester United @12.23. Betcoin odds: 11.00!

Total units advantgae: 123+28 = 151

Running advantage after 118 bets: +8,074 (+151)
All-time cumulative: +45,059
Running units after 114 bets (22W|92L): +6,908 (-100)

buwaytress

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Liverpool was meant to be the toughest leg according to the odds, but that 3-0 win was a really nice way to wrap up that parlay with a solid win. I actually put them on a separate 3-game win streak parlay too, so happy for that.

Shall we go back to being cautious with a single?

100 units at Sportsbet on Southampton to WIN @3.42. Betcoin odds: 3.30

Units advantage: 12

Running advantage after 114 bets: +7,923 (+12)
All-time cumulative: +44,908
Running units after 113 bets (22W|91L): +7,008 (+1596)

buwaytress

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Funny that United actually manage to win (yet another penalty that was actually allowed for a retake, by the way) and Barca didn't. That's the story of betting on big teams in this Covid-19 season! You think I'd learn my lesson on 5-legs, but since we actually HAD some luck this season:

100 units at Sportsbet on Wuhan/Liverpool/Everton/Sociedad Roma @16.96. Betcoin odds: 15.68

Total units advantage: 128

Running advantage after 113 bets: +7,911 (+128)
All-time cumulative: +44,896
Running units after 112 bets (21W|91L): +5,412 (-200)

buwaytress

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Ah Mbappe scored, if he had only gotten that goal it would have been a hattrick and Monaco no way back. As it is, clambering back from two goals down and then getting a penalty plus PSG man sent off, wonderful news. Also picked Monaco for my Sportsbet Multi Master, so hooray for me!

Here are two picks for today:
Chelsea, Villa, Sevilla, BVB, City-Spurs BTTS @15.42. Betcoin odds: 13.95

I got a nice freebet from Sportsbet too for a promo quiz (yay!) so that goes on United-Barca WIN @3.91. Betcoin odds: 3.50
Bet ID: 5fb8e8a92add6d97a7ef7931

Total units advantage: 188

Running advantage after 112 bets: +7,783 (+188)
All-time cumulative: +44,768
Running units after 110 bets (21W|89L): +5,612 (+385)

buwaytress

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Bummer for Sydney, who actually took the lead and protected it all the way to 60th minute. But you can't be defending against top clubs, my boys. Ended 1-2, and no joy from AFC CL this season.

Monaco are slowly improving in Ligue 1 while PSG have been shaky, can we count on injuries and tiredness from international duty to give us a Monaco home win? 100 units at Sportsbet @4.85. Betcoin: 4.45

Units advantage: 40

Running advantage after 110 bets: +7,595 (+40)
All-time cumulative: +44,580
Running units after 109 bets (20W|89L): +5,227 (-100)

buwaytress

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They did pull a goal back, but you can't end the half 2 goals down. We have another Aussie-Chinese team meetup in the AFC tournament again, and I'm backing the antipodean team once more, let's do a padded parlay with Women's UCL shall we?

100 units at Sportsbet on SydneyFC, Valarenga IF (women's) to WIN @5.25 . Betcoin odds: 5.20

Units advantage: 5

Running advantage after 109 bets: +7,555 (+5)
All-time cumulative: +44,540
Running units after 108 bets (20W|88L): +5,327 (-100)

buwaytress

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Yup, what a mess it was for Germany. But maybe this just means better value bets on them the next time. Oh well =)

Live bet on Perth Glory here in AFC to come back from a goal down @7.38. They were good for me in past AFC and counting on them again. 100 units at Sportsbet. Betcoin odds: 6.90

Units advantage: 48

Running advantage after 108 bets: +7,550 (+48)
All-time cumulative: +44,535
Running units after 107 bets (20W|87L): +5,427 (-100)

big_daddy

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Spain demolished Germany Shocked

I had Germany on my ticket as well Angry

6 goals and a clean sheet... wow

buwaytress

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That Austria win saved us all in the end, how nice. Sportsbet keeps giving back, and that freebet that comes along if you win is even crazier!

Anyway, I have a small parlay today (for now). Germany to win as the slight underdogs, and France to get the result they need.

100 units parlay at Sportsbet on Germany, France @4.91. Betcoin parlay: 4.61

Units advantage: 30

Running advantage after 107 bets: +7,492 (+30)
All-time cumulative: +44,487
Running units after 106 bets (20W|86L): +5,527 (+420)

buwaytress

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Yikes. So many losses and draws. Still got 2 parlays alive, but they're each needed 3 games to win.

I'll put in only 1 parlay today
100 units at Sportsbet on Wales, Czech, Italy, Guinea, Senegal HT @21.10. Betcoin odds: 19.80

Units advantage: 130

Running advantage after 106 bets: +7,462 (+130)
All-time cumulative: +44,457
Running units after 103 bets (19W|84L): +5,107 (-2000)

buwaytress

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Aye, goddammit, Qatar drew, as the underdogs, should have taken them with a small handicap and we'd have won easily. But still, insurance lets me bet it again today, so I'm not at all upset (I'm lying, I hate missing these parlays by 1). Strong showing from the rest but here we go, Nations League!

Keeping the freebet, using my insurance again first:

Malta, Gibraltar, Spain, Albania, Montenegro @24.41. Betcoin odds: 22.98
Bet ID: 5fafcff76f8965e939591394

Malta, Albania, North Macedonia, Austria @7.20. Betcoin odds: 6.80
Bet ID: 5fad8b74ea636d5c14ccbbcf

Edit: The night is young, shall we use up the freebet from insurance on: Saudi, Mexico, Georgia, Albania, Belarus @26.31. Betcoin odds: 24.60
Bet ID: 5fafd0556f8965a46b5913af

Edit: Add in please, France+Croatia parlay @9.08. Betcoin odds: 8.78
Bet ID: 5fb007896f89652f0d5921b0

Total units advantage: 183 + 201 = 384

Running advantage after 103 bets: +7,131 (+183)
All-time cumulative: +44,126
Running units after 101 bets (19W|82L): +5,307 (-0)

buwaytress

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Minutes away from winning, we were, and yes, we know Scotland love defending a lead but their height problems at the back is going to cost them if they keep insisting to defend corners like that against taller Europeans haha.

Anyway, we do a nice AFCON/CONMEBOL/Friendly combo.

100 units at Sportsbet on Japan, Qatar, Chile, Nigeria HT, Morocco HT @23.77. Betcoin odds: 22.10
BET ID: 5fae2c65ea636d85e6ccd3db

Odds advantage: 167

Running advantage after 101 bets: +6,948 (+167)
All-time cumulative: +43,943
Running units after 100 bets (19W|81L): +5,307 (-100)

buwaytress

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Quote from: Trofo on November 12, 2020, 07:38:44 AM

Quote from: buwaytress on November 12, 2020, 02:22:25 AM

Scotland has been impressive of late, akin to Rangers performing really well in Europe, and as long as my boy Robbo plays, they have probably the best leftback in Europe now rampaging. Worth an upset at Fairlay.

You really hoping Robbo plays today? It seems to me Liverpool defenders are getting injured all over and he is at the moment only one from usual 4 still left standing. it is a bit morbid but if somebody offered me a good odds that Robbo gets of the pitch due to injury I would take them. Those sort of things have a habit to form unbelievable statistics.

If I was in Klopp shoes I would have placed him in glass bell somewhere inside Liverpool complex and leaked a story that he has covid

I'd probably do the same to be honest. Just when we thought it couldn't get worse, Gomez injured on international duty leaves us with probably 2 under23s in CB, Milner in Trent's position and only Robertson (but he could switch with our Greek stand in).

But he'll see equally as important that Robertson wants to qualify for Euro, and that would be a boost for his confidence and leadership too... could see he's already playing through pain and I'm sure a lot of quality players are just gritting their teeth and numbing out the tiredness. So he'll play for his life in this one.

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress on November 12, 2020, 02:22:25 AM

Scotland has been impressive of late, akin to Rangers performing really well in Europe, and as long as my boy Robbo plays, they have probably the best leftback in Europe now rampaging. Worth an upset at Fairlay.

You really hoping Robbo plays today? It seems to me Liverpool defenders are getting injured all over and he is at the moment only one from usual 4 still left standing. it is a bit morbid but if somebody offered me a good odds that Robbo gets of the pitch due to injury I would take them. Those sort of things have a habit to form unbelievable statistics.

If I was in Klopp shoes I would have placed him in glass bell somewhere inside Liverpool complex and leaked a story that he has covid

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buwaytress

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Wise to stay away from AFCON, lots of draws. Malta hammered even in a friendly, so they'll be favourites this weekend, and I'm already going to include them in a parlay.

Scotland has been impressive of late, akin to Rangers performing really well in Europe, and as long as my boy Robbo plays, they have probably the best leftback in Europe now rampaging. Worth an upset at Fairlay.

Scotland WIN against Serbia today @5.43. Betcoin odds: 5.20

Units advantage: 23

Running advantage after 100 bets: +6,781 (+23)
All-time cumulative: +43,776
Running units after 99 bets (19W|80L): +5,407 (-100)

buwaytress

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We actually backed the right underdog and would have won that parlay, but our beloved Hamburger conceded a goal in the last minute of injury time. That's what you get for doing bets in 2nd Bundesliga haha.

Simple underdog boosted bet today on Sportsbet: Liechtenstein to beat Malta @5.62. Betcoin odds: 5.20
Bet ID: 5fabb60de927323b53ec9ba0

Maybe a parlay later with AFCON!

Running advantage after 99 bets: +6,768 (+42)
All-time cumulative: +43,753
Running units after 98 bets (19W|79L): +5,507 (-100)

buwaytress

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Ah Liverpool. Could have lost it to de Bruyne, but could have won it ourselves too. Sad, but we snatched 3 big parlays in 2 days, so I'm not complaining!

Thin selections but an upset in FA Cup 1st round with a Hamburger win in 2nd Bundlesliga

100 units at Sportsbet on Oxford City and Hamburger to WIN @9.04. Betcoin odds: 8.90

Units advantage: +14

Running advantage after 98 bets: +6,726 (+14)
All-time cumulative: +43,711
Running units after 97 bets (19W|78L): +5,607 (+1,715)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 40. (Read 40105 times)