so yes, simply removing it still sounds like one of the best ideas floating around.
How did Raphael respond to the idea? Is this a possibility being seriously considered? I've been getting the impression that removing the FRR was Just Not Happening™
That "Just Not Happening™" is what mjr's "guidelines" have left us at but, and I hope I didn't/don't say too much, Raphael seems to be pushing into the direction of getting rid of the FRR which, as a coder, I can completely understand as it'd be the simplest modification technologically but with a huge impact otherwise.
A poll each user can change at will that gets averaged maybe? Traders would pick the lower rates, lenders the higher ones, like a one-sided market basically.
I see no incentive to vote honestly unless your vote controls (for lenders) whether your swaps are taken and (for traders) whether you're able to get swaps (which would seem to logically reduce back to a simple supply/demand market with no FRR present). If everyone just picks a number and then the rate is the average of those numbers and everyone gets that rate... then all the lenders will type in "1000000%" and all the traders will type in "0%" (in the same way that when sites show 'average review scores' you can maximise your impact by only ever voting for "0/10" or "10/10") and it will all just amount to "Which group contains more people?"
tl;dr : Any solution based around voting has to be robust against people trying to game the system, not to mention robust against people registering dozens (or thousands) of sock puppet accounts to vote for their side.
I was basing this on my (and your somewhat identical) idea of SwapLoad-based rates so yes, it would "logically reduce back to a simple supply/demand market" but not "with no FRR present". It would be a market with
only the FRR present (calculated using the average of the votes (NominalSwapRate) times the factor between swap offer and demand (SwapLoad).
I'm under the impression people are switching from trader to lender every now and then so defining the nominal rate using a poll should still maintain some volatility, probably even raise it to the current system. It boils down to your "Which group contains more people", yes, but isn't that some sort of market as well?
And sure the poll shouldn't allow votes of 100000%, it should be limited to a range from 0 to like 5% or so, everything above would be stealing from the traders. Yes, still some magic number involved but I think here's a sensible place to use one.
Oh and the sockpuppet-problem is easily solved by only letting verified accounts vote.
simply removing the FRR-option entirely for lenders and merely leaving it as a maximum for swap takers (traders on auto-pilot) and as an indicator on the swap- and stats-page?
Now
that is interesting. Am I reading this one correctly; kill the FRR as an actual lending rate, but give traders who want to go full-auto a tickbox saying "Only take swaps that are at a below-average rate"? That could be an effective way to soften (but not eliminate) the downward pressure exerted by the FRR - there would be an incentive to place offers below the calculated rate to gain access to a larger pool of traders willing to take your swap, but not so overwhelming an incentive as "There are 3 million dollars in the way, your swap will never be taken unless you put it below this rate".
That said, it doesn't really offer anything as a solution for the auto-
lenders. They're still kinda stuck... but as an active lender I don't have much good will towards that group; their interests are mildly opposed to mine so of course I'm going to advocate for "Fuck those guys" as a plan.
You got that right. Auto-lenders would somewhat die out under those conditions but they're the guys that brought us the FRR-problem in the first place so... well "Fuck those guys" fits perfectly