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Topic: [OFFICIAL]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading - page 126. (Read 723861 times)

mjr
full member
Activity: 194
Merit: 100
Well, I personally like the FRR (I'm lazy...), it was already changed from its previous iteration and surely can be tweaked even more. I wonder which factors to still use other than the current swaps in use to make it react even faster? Weighted average of the fixed price swaps of just the last 24h? 1h? 12h?

After all, the FRR was already "accelerated" significantly after traders complained that the old calculation (which was something like the last 13 days of FRR + current swap rates or so) went down too slow after a spike in demand, making their positions expensive. Since positions now can be comfortably swap their swaps, maybe a move in the opposite direction could be better? Make FRR react slower again?

I wouldn't mind that much if it were going away, then I'd have to invest a day or so to audit, customize + deploy a bot and that's it.

Yes, that is what I don't understand, why don't more people just write a bot? It is very simple to do, and it can ensure that your funds are always being used. There are many people who would simply take whatever the best rate requested, because anything > nothing. I'm thinking of writing a bot just to see how well it would work, and what sort of return I could get compared to using the FRR. I personally agree with you though, and I have always been fine with just using the FRR, and I feel like this discussion has been railroaded by people who want to fundamentally change the products we offer. There has even been suggestions to shut down the entire swap market, let bitfinex pick a rate, and then all funds receive the weighted average of the returns or something. I appreciate the effort some put in, but that is in no way going to happen. So, I appreciate your perspective, and the fact that you have seen the evolution of the FRR over time, and understand its purpose. Hopefully, the latest tweak will make it more useful.
mjr
full member
Activity: 194
Merit: 100
...~25% YEARLY is considered LOW  WTF!?!
Until the market crashes is a way that Bitfinex didn't fathom or that the swap engine cannot keep up with and you lose half your principle.  Everyone seems to forget that bit.

That is the point of a free market. You get to decide at what rate you will take on a certain level of risk, which you also have to quantify. This is exactly why a fund doesn't work, but a market does. I think that our track record at protecting swap providers continues to grow stronger, and as we are growing, it makes sense that people are starting to trust us with more of their money. I think that USD swaps are a pretty great value, even at their current rates, but that is just my opinion.
Yes, but a free market does not have de facto, system forced price point does it?  Something you have steadfastly refused to fully address.  This 'market' is controlled in the same manner that Fed exerts control; by adjusting rate of the single largest pool of money available.  The Fed has the Discount Rate and Bitfinex has the FRR.

I'm not going to debate this anymore.  You originally ask for ideas on how to improve the FRR.  The general conclusion was to best way to fix it was to remove it. It was not the answer Bitfinex wanted.  If I look at the situation from your point of view I can see the somewhat perverse logic in it.  The FRR serves Bitfinex well and hopefully soothes some guilt you have about the treatment of the leveraged traders. 

So be it, the FRR is not going to go away, but, I would ask for some intellectual honesty on Bitfinex's part and quit trying to portray the swap market as even remotely 'free'.

I currently can see an offer, and a bid. The FRR is not remotely close to the bid. It is in no way standing in front of the 61 offers that are currently in front of it, AND not being taken.

"The general conclusion was to best way to fix it was to remove it."

You are the only one who has concluded this. I, personally, think that statement makes no sense. You could say "The way to improve THE SWAP MARKET is to get rid of the FRR.", but you cannot say "The way to improve the FRR is to remove it." That is not an improvement to the FRR, the FRR no longer exists, therefore it cannot be improved.

Again, you are arguing that to improve the swap market, we should follow your suggestion. While appreciated, we never asked that question. We asked how to improve the FRR, and forgive me if I look for answers to that question.
mjr
full member
Activity: 194
Merit: 100
Can we please agree though, because this is basic, that you cannot "improve" something, by making it not exist anymore?

Seriously ? No I do not agree.
As a doctor would you rather have a sick patient with a disease that you are able to control rather than a healthy patient ? I guess maybe it makes sense because you can get more money from the patient, is that maybe what you meant ?

OK, I have a sick patient, I should kill him so he is no longer sick? Or should I treat his disease? That is the analogy here. We said "The calculation of the FRR is not optimal, how can we improve it". People have suggested getting rid of it. That is not improving the FRR, that is "killing the patient".
mjr
full member
Activity: 194
Merit: 100
USD swap demand goes up if the price goes down ("BTC are getting cheaper, let's buy more, TO DA MOON!") and it goes up if the price goes up ("It's_happening.gif"), it only seems to go down if the price doesn't change a lot over several days. Basing a rate on the price delta of the last 15 minutes is not going to model demand easily I'm afraid.

I'm still more in favour of keeping FRR as is and rather changing defaults or introducing more strict rules (e.g. FRR can only be set for 3 day durations max. so fixed rate swaps have more space to discover prices?). Also it might be interesting to know how FRR would look like if 30 day FRR is based on 30 day fixed rate swaps, 10 day FRR on 10 day fixed rate etc.
Swap demand does not go up simply because the Bitcoin price goes down.  It goes up in anticipation that the price will go up, which is (presumably) more likely when the price is down. Traders are only borrowing the funds and with that the bitcoins that they 'buy'.  The only way to make money with swaps not to hold the bitcoins, but to sell them for more at a later date. The 'TO DA MOON!' people are using their own funds.

The swap rate goes down when the price is stagnate due to lenders undercutting the FRR trying to get their money into the hands of the few traders willing to take it or replacing currently existing swaps for cheaper ones.

When the price plummets, the swap rate doesn't drop, it evaporates.  Traders close their positions and return the money to the swap pool. In effect, the rate goes negative.  Traders are choosing to lose money now so they don't lose much more money later.  The swap can be 'sold' by the trader simply by closing it, they do not need to find a 'buyer'.

The 2, 5, 10 day swap rate would be interesting to look at.  I reasons don't think it would work is that 1) swap duration is one sided, a trader can close it at will and is not required to carry it for it's full term and 2) a trader can jump from swap to swap without closing their position and with no penalty.

The price Delta might not work, but without the will of Bitfinex to explore it we will never know.

"1) swap duration is one sided, a trader can close it at will and is not required to carry it for it's full term and 2) a trader can jump from swap to swap without closing their position and with no penalty."

This is why they are paying you...they want the right to use your funds to enable a position, and they want the right to close that position early. In exchange, you get the rate that you select, or you can get a variable rate based on a metric that we provide. So, swap provider receives his agreed upon rate, trader gets the option to enter a position, but not the obligation to do so. If the possibility of early closure is very annoying, the rate should be higher to reflect this.

Basically, there is typically X demand for swaps, and Y supply. a situation where X is greater than Y is not usual. So, given the entire pool of funds in Y, if you want YOUR swap to be taken with a higher probability, you should price it lower. This "undercutting" thing is basic price discovery.
Currently there is around 1.2 million in requested swaps at rates lower than currently offered. The current "spread" is 0.0752% by 0.0806%, the FRR is 0.0844%, pretty far from the highest rate someone has offered to pay. I also notice that the shorter the term, the higher the rate demanded and the lower the rate offered, which is interesting.

I still feel like people aren't understanding the purpose of this market, to enable margin trading. It doesn't exist in a vacuum to enable passive investors to generate good returns, though I think that is a by product. So, it seems that many people want a "savings account", and while it is possible to try and use the deposit account this way, via the FRR and autolend, you will not do as well as someone who is actively managing their positions. You will have funds sitting unused, as is currently the case with the over 3 million USD offered at the FRR. So basically, the more you put in the more you can get out, but only in the context of what the market is willing to bear.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
If you do the multiplication so that you see, in USD, how much each market is trading, it is easy to see what most people are trading. That is why BTC/USD are automatically returned, and other balances are only returned if necessary.

I'll try to put DRK and LTC and see what happens then, thanks!
mjr
full member
Activity: 194
Merit: 100
Hey MJR, care to address the issue I posted earlier about your API?

I think I may have figured this out...

Do you have a balance in DRK/LTC/TH1? The call to balances will only return those assets in which you have a balance.

Hope that helps

Thank you for your prompt response,

I do not have any balance yet: 0 BTC, 0 USD, 0 DRK ecc.. so that is not the issue and, if I may, it is wrong and resource-wasteful to not send balance if "there is no balance".

This is the answer I am getting right now:
[{"type":"deposit","currency":"btc","amount":"0.0","available":"0.0"},
 {"type":"deposit","currency":"usd","amount":"0.0","available":"0.0"},
 {"type":"trading","currency":"btc","amount":"0.0","available":"0.0"},
 {"type":"trading","currency":"usd","amount":"0.0","available":"0.0"},
 {"type":"exchange","currency":"btc","amount":"0.0","available":"0.0"},
 {"type":"exchange","currency":"usd","amount":"0.0","available":"0.0"}]

IMHO you only need to add the appropriate queries to your database for DRK, LBC, TH1 and add the results to the JSON accordingly.

I don't understand, it is a waste of resources to NOT include balances that you do not currently have? By adding a new query, this uses less resources? If you do have LTC, DRK, or TH1, you will receive those balances when you use the "balances" API call. If you do not have those balances, you can simply fill them in yourself with "0.0".

Here are the volumes for the last 30 days:

782339.31 BTC
1061895.98 LTC
104072.32 DRK
1121.72 TH1

If you do the multiplication so that you see, in USD, how much each market is trading, it is easy to see what most people are trading. That is why BTC/USD are automatically returned, and other balances are only returned if necessary.
newbie
Activity: 47
Merit: 0
USD swap demand goes up if the price goes down ("BTC are getting cheaper, let's buy more, TO DA MOON!") and it goes up if the price goes up ("It's_happening.gif"), it only seems to go down if the price doesn't change a lot over several days. Basing a rate on the price delta of the last 15 minutes is not going to model demand easily I'm afraid.

I'm still more in favour of keeping FRR as is and rather changing defaults or introducing more strict rules (e.g. FRR can only be set for 3 day durations max. so fixed rate swaps have more space to discover prices?). Also it might be interesting to know how FRR would look like if 30 day FRR is based on 30 day fixed rate swaps, 10 day FRR on 10 day fixed rate etc.
Swap demand does not go up simply because the Bitcoin price goes down.  It goes up in anticipation that the price will go up, which is (presumably) more likely when the price is down. Traders are only borrowing the funds and with that the bitcoins that they 'buy'.  The only way to make money with swaps not to hold the bitcoins, but to sell them for more at a later date. The 'TO DA MOON!' people are using their own funds.

The swap rate goes down when the price is stagnate due to lenders undercutting the FRR trying to get their money into the hands of the few traders willing to take it or replacing currently existing swaps for cheaper ones.

When the price plummets, the swap rate doesn't drop, it evaporates.  Traders close their positions and return the money to the swap pool. In effect, the rate goes negative.  Traders are choosing to lose money now so they don't lose much more money later.  The swap can be 'sold' by the trader simply by closing it, they do not need to find a 'buyer'.

The 2, 5, 10 day swap rate would be interesting to look at.  I reasons don't think it would work is that 1) swap duration is one sided, a trader can close it at will and is not required to carry it for it's full term and 2) a trader can jump from swap to swap without closing their position and with no penalty.

The price Delta might not work, but without the will of Bitfinex to explore it we will never know.
full member
Activity: 167
Merit: 100
Can we please agree though, because this is basic, that you cannot "improve" something, by making it not exist anymore?

Seriously ? No I do not agree.
As a doctor would you rather have a sick patient with a disease that you are able to control rather than a healthy patient ? I guess maybe it makes sense because you can get more money from the patient, is that maybe what you meant ?
newbie
Activity: 47
Merit: 0
...~25% YEARLY is considered LOW  WTF!?!
Until the market crashes is a way that Bitfinex didn't fathom or that the swap engine cannot keep up with and you lose half your principle.  Everyone seems to forget that bit.

That is the point of a free market. You get to decide at what rate you will take on a certain level of risk, which you also have to quantify. This is exactly why a fund doesn't work, but a market does. I think that our track record at protecting swap providers continues to grow stronger, and as we are growing, it makes sense that people are starting to trust us with more of their money. I think that USD swaps are a pretty great value, even at their current rates, but that is just my opinion.
Yes, but a free market does not have de facto, system forced price point does it?  Something you have steadfastly refused to fully address.  This 'market' is controlled in the same manner that Fed exerts control; by adjusting rate of the single largest pool of money available.  The Fed has the Discount Rate and Bitfinex has the FRR.

I'm not going to debate this anymore.  You originally ask for ideas on how to improve the FRR.  The general conclusion was to best way to fix it was to remove it. It was not the answer Bitfinex wanted.  If I look at the situation from your point of view I can see the somewhat perverse logic in it.  The FRR serves Bitfinex well and hopefully soothes some guilt you have about the treatment of the leveraged traders. 

So be it, the FRR is not going to go away, but, I would ask for some intellectual honesty on Bitfinex's part and quit trying to portray the swap market as even remotely 'free'.

I'll address the rest of what you said in a later post. Can we please agree though, because this is basic, that you cannot "improve" something, by making it not exist anymore?
This isn't going to end well, but I'll play for a while.

Let's see how 'basic' we can get this; adequately resolve the following and I will agree to your statement.

You have a hole in your tire.  What is the best way to improve it?
full member
Activity: 136
Merit: 100
On further reflection, the key problem with the FRR is that taking a swap at FRR doesn't increase the rate. With so much of the market being FRR swaps that means ignoring the effect of a lot of demand for funding because it gets absorbed into the unresponsive FRR monolith and then isn't included in the rate calculations. I'm thinking it needs a rate-setting mechanism that would continue to function well (and respond to changes in supply/demand) even if everyone were using FRR exclusively, because to a first order approximation that's what the orderbook of offers actually looks like. Relying on the rates of fixed-rate swaps to set the variable rate with that imbalance present is just producing stupid results.

But of course, devising that independent rate-setting mechanism is prone to exactly the kind of difficulty that a market solution is supposed to avoid; it means effectively "picking" an arbitrary rate rather than letting supply/demand sort it out for you, and is liable to end up with magic numbers scattered through the calculation and a methodology that tries but fails to estimate/approximate the market answer... as we've seen with several of the suggestions.

That's why "Fuck it, just rip it out" is so appealing; it completely eliminates the question of how to pick a rate by removing the need to do so. But if there must be an auto-rate for the passive lenders (and that's fair enough from Bitfinex' perspective I guess; there's lots of them and they provide a lot of the funding) it needs to have it's own mechanism to adapt the rate to market conditions without relying on a hokey half-baked measure like averaging the other active swaps.
legendary
Activity: 2618
Merit: 1007
I was wondering, what if the FRR used a Delta (the math definition, not the Bitfinex)?  Bitfinex could take the last 15 min Bitcoin price range and matched it to the price change and volume of the historical Bitcoin price data.  The time frame would then be cross referenced to the historical swap data.  The historical rate change would then be used as the basis for modifying, not determining the FRR rate.  If the Bitcoin price is changing, the swap rate would change in a historically predictable way.  If done properly, the rate change could only be gamed by the traders and only to the existent that it agrees with history.

The FRR would rise and fall much more quickly than now but it would stabilize much faster.  It would be a trailing indicator but also be based on past market performance.  I think everyone knows the perils of using the past to predict the future but this method would isolate itself slightly since it is using the near instantaneous (15 minute) price change to determine the corresponding historical swap rate change from a point in time disregarding the surrounding historical market tread.  It couldn't be worse than the current FRR calculation which is based on the most simplistic (and statistically meaningless ) 'average' available.

USD swap demand goes up if the price goes down ("BTC are getting cheaper, let's buy more, TO DA MOON!") and it goes up if the price goes up ("It's_happening.gif"), it only seems to go down if the price doesn't change a lot over several days. Basing a rate on the price delta of the last 15 minutes is not going to model demand easily I'm afraid.

I'm still more in favour of keeping FRR as is and rather changing defaults or introducing more strict rules (e.g. FRR can only be set for 3 day durations max. so fixed rate swaps have more space to discover prices?). Also it might be interesting to know how FRR would look like if 30 day FRR is based on 30 day fixed rate swaps, 10 day FRR on 10 day fixed rate etc.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
Hey MJR, care to address the issue I posted earlier about your API?

I think I may have figured this out...

Do you have a balance in DRK/LTC/TH1? The call to balances will only return those assets in which you have a balance.

Hope that helps

Thank you for your prompt response,

I do not have any balance yet: 0 BTC, 0 USD, 0 DRK ecc.. so that is not the issue and, if I may, it is wrong and resource-wasteful to not send balance if "there is no balance".

This is the answer I am getting right now:
[{"type":"deposit","currency":"btc","amount":"0.0","available":"0.0"},
 {"type":"deposit","currency":"usd","amount":"0.0","available":"0.0"},
 {"type":"trading","currency":"btc","amount":"0.0","available":"0.0"},
 {"type":"trading","currency":"usd","amount":"0.0","available":"0.0"},
 {"type":"exchange","currency":"btc","amount":"0.0","available":"0.0"},
 {"type":"exchange","currency":"usd","amount":"0.0","available":"0.0"}]

IMHO you only need to add the appropriate queries to your database for DRK, LBC, TH1 and add the results to the JSON accordingly.
member
Activity: 65
Merit: 10

Seems like these are the common issue of Bitfinex support.
As I said before, if you don't enough people to handle this, why not hire more people to make us feel that your are really care about your customers ??

Just so you know, we get hundreds of emails a day. Sometimes one may slip through the cracks, but it is pretty rare overall. Remember, however, that every person who emails support without first posting about it here, and then is satisfied and doesn't write a post saying that his issue was solved satisfactorily make up the vast majority of support emails.

We are looking into the two people who said that they haven't received a response.

By the way, if you post here, the more details (without posting sensitive information) the better...


Seems there are many emails "slip through the cracks".

Hello,
I have an account with Bitfinex.com and was using Bluestacks with Google authenticator. But I have a hard drive crash and need to have the 2 FA reset. So I can log back in and make some trades. I did contact support a couple days ago. Any help would be greatly appreciated!
Regards,
Brian

I'm waiting for a response from support about my request for a refund due to TH1 market manipulation.  Original email was sent on Oct 15 (Subject: "Money lost due to TH1 contract design").

I encourage people who didn't get soon response from Bitfinex support send your email again and again in case your email "slip through the cracks".

Ok, why I thought support services of a company like Bitfinex become so important for all of us as their customers?

That is because it is the only way we can contact them in case of any issues/emergency, especially when we put lots of our money into Bitfinex.

p.s. To be fair, anyway, mjr (josh?) is the best PR so far even as I can recollect he is the second one....

member
Activity: 77
Merit: 13
Can we please agree though, because this is basic, that you cannot "improve" something, by making it not exist anymore?

That really depends what your criteria for improvement are. If your goal is to enable efficient price discovery, and if FRR swaps are an active hindrance to efficient price discovery (compared to fixed-rate only), then removing the ability to offer FRR swaps would be an improvement to the situation. Whether that counts as an "improvement to the FRR" or not isn't really relevant.
legendary
Activity: 1868
Merit: 1023
I'm waiting for a response from support about my request for a refund due to TH1 market manipulation.  Original email was sent on Oct 15 (Subject: "Money lost due to TH1 contract design").
legendary
Activity: 1121
Merit: 1003
Hello,
I have an account with Bitfinex.com and was using Bluestacks with Google authenticator. But I have a hard drive crash and need to have the 2 FA reset. So I can log back in and make some trades. I did contact support a couple days ago. Any help would be greatly appreciated!
Regards,
Brian

okay, since there isn't
Same here, email sent a week ago --> no answer yet

Any update about this?

I asked specifically if you guys could provide some more info? I don't even have the email address to search for your email. That being said, support has said they do not have any backlog.

okay, I provided a pretty good summary above and since there doesn't sound like a backlog.
My email was titled "lost Google authenticator key". I'll be glad to provide any details in regards to my account and trading activity.
Thanks for your time,
Brian

mjr
full member
Activity: 194
Merit: 100
Same here, email sent a week ago --> no answer yet

Any update about this?

I asked specifically if you guys could provide some more info? I don't even have the email address to search for your email. That being said, support has said they do not have any backlog.
mjr
full member
Activity: 194
Merit: 100
...~25% YEARLY is considered LOW  WTF!?!
Until the market crashes is a way that Bitfinex didn't fathom or that the swap engine cannot keep up with and you lose half your principle.  Everyone seems to forget that bit.

That is the point of a free market. You get to decide at what rate you will take on a certain level of risk, which you also have to quantify. This is exactly why a fund doesn't work, but a market does. I think that our track record at protecting swap providers continues to grow stronger, and as we are growing, it makes sense that people are starting to trust us with more of their money. I think that USD swaps are a pretty great value, even at their current rates, but that is just my opinion.
Yes, but a free market does not have de facto, system forced price point does it?  Something you have steadfastly refused to fully address.  This 'market' is controlled in the same manner that Fed exerts control; by adjusting rate of the single largest pool of money available.  The Fed has the Discount Rate and Bitfinex has the FRR.

I'm not going to debate this anymore.  You originally ask for ideas on how to improve the FRR.  The general conclusion was to best way to fix it was to remove it. It was not the answer Bitfinex wanted.  If I look at the situation from your point of view I can see the somewhat perverse logic in it.  The FRR serves Bitfinex well and hopefully soothes some guilt you have about the treatment of the leveraged traders. 

So be it, the FRR is not going to go away, but, I would ask for some intellectual honesty on Bitfinex's part and quit trying to portray the swap market as even remotely 'free'.

I'll address the rest of what you said in a later post. Can we please agree though, because this is basic, that you cannot "improve" something, by making it not exist anymore?
newbie
Activity: 26
Merit: 0
Same here, email sent a week ago --> no answer yet

Any update about this?
full member
Activity: 136
Merit: 100
what does the "Notify" button do on the "Swaps Currently provided"  catalogue?

It'll send you an email when the swap is paid pack (completely or partially). Useful if your email client or phone has an alert attached, so it can prompt you to check on your swaps and make a new offer.
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