Was there even a good movie in 2021? I don't remember I watched any quality movies lately. Oscar awards lost its meaning long time ago. Seems to me they are trying to keep this tradition alive desperately. Since there aren't any decent movies, they are throwing the awards randomly now. Which means, you can't really come up with an educated guess.
Definitely, the Oscar has lost some kind of adequacy in general. After the Oscar for the fantastic "Avatar" film, I don't remember a single film that interested me at all, so that I realized that it was worthy of an award.
And the point here is rather that the cinema and Hollywood are gradually heading towards the crisis of the genre, interesting, let alone worthy films less and less. And lately, and in general one rubbish with computer special effects on the screens.