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Topic: Over 70BTC bet that Bitcoin will be $10,000 by end of 2014 (Read 13633 times)

legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1000
http://bitbet.us/bet/635/1btc-10-000-usd/

Which side do you think is right?

It's tough to predict so early, but I'm quite sure it won't be $10,000 for at least a few years.
Wow, talk about idiocity.

The bet was made in march.

A valid question at that time, considering that Bitcoin recently came from a 10x rise in less than 2 months and BTC acceptance was increasing
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
No way, i i'm on the no side too. Maybe in some years but after this action seems it'll go down but not that high.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
$10.000 end of year 2014 it's impossible.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1000
So who wins these 70 BTC once OP loses in a couple weeks? us?

The OP was just pointing out the bet not making it..?
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 255
http://bitbet.us/bet/635/1btc-10-000-usd/

Which side do you think is right?

It's tough to predict so early, but I'm quite sure it won't be $10,000 for at least a few years.
Wow, talk about idiocity.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
10,000 is much more crazy, obviously it not gonna happen,even stand at the 1,000.
legendary
Activity: 2184
Merit: 1014
Bitdice is scam scam scammmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
Good profit for opposite bettors...
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1252
So who wins these 70 BTC once OP loses in a couple weeks? us?
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 1115
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Well this was a long bet but resolved early
Makes sense doubt we could do something that crazy in a month.
Resolved: 3 days 20 hours ago (29-11-2014)

sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
AltoCenter.com
I am betting on BTC to stay steady for the rest of the year.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
of course not, maybe one day bitcoin price $10.000. hope so Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
But then he can sell them back ?   not impossible to move a price and make it worth it, they do this with options expiry and try to make the largest number of punters lose the most money.   They profit from expired unused options and yet still own the original commodity which can be dealt back into market fairly easily as the parties involved are primary market makers.  Possibly btc has less volume for these kinds of tricks

Yes he could, then it's slippage incurred moving the market vs payoff on bet. It might work, but in a market as volatile as BTC it's a hug risk. If you are the single person that moved the market 250fold then can you be sure that you are going to have enough buyers at sufficient bid to offload back to market?

I'd want a much bigger return on the wager, or I'd need to be in a position where I was quite happy to keep all the btc bought and be prepared to prop the price up until it found natural market support (which could be hella expensive) so I'd need to have billions in play money.

I'd need to be a bank, or the fed Wink
STT
legendary
Activity: 3878
Merit: 1411
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
But then he can sell them back ?   not impossible to move a price and make it worth it, they do this with options expiry and try to make the largest number of punters lose the most money.   They profit from expired unused options and yet still own the original commodity which can be dealt back into market fairly easily as the parties involved are primary market makers.  Possibly btc has less volume for these kinds of tricks
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 629

I don't know.  If he buys ONE coin at $10 500.- on an exchange, isn't the price at that moment going to spike to $10 500,- for an instant ?
He didn't say HOW LONG the price had to remain above $10 000.-, did he ?  Is 10 milliseconds enough ?

After all, he will have to spend $ 10 500.-, but he will win the bet with 70 coins, which is good for 26 000.- at the current price, isn't it ?



yes. to do that though, he will have to first buy *all* the coins on that exchange that are less than that (BTC-e in this case as per bet conditions)

yes, you're right...
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
Poor guy Sad

Lost 70 BTC + the humiliation of being so wrong Sad

I don't know.  If he buys ONE coin at $10 500.- on an exchange, isn't the price at that moment going to spike to $10 500,- for an instant ?
He didn't say HOW LONG the price had to remain above $10 000.-, did he ?  Is 10 milliseconds enough ?

After all, he will have to spend $ 10 500.-, but he will win the bet with 70 coins, which is good for 26 000.- at the current price, isn't it ?



yes. to do that though, he will have to first buy *all* the coins on that exchange that are less than that (BTC-e in this case as per bet conditions)
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 629
Poor guy Sad

Lost 70 BTC + the humiliation of being so wrong Sad

I don't know.  If he buys ONE coin at $10 500.- on an exchange, isn't the price at that moment going to spike to $10 500,- for an instant ?
He didn't say HOW LONG the price had to remain above $10 000.-, did he ?  Is 10 milliseconds enough ?

After all, he will have to spend $ 10 500.-, but he will win the bet with 70 coins, which is good for 26 000.- at the current price, isn't it ?

sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 254
Poor guy Sad

Lost 70 BTC + the humiliation of being so wrong Sad

Still plenty of time left.  I'm cautiously optimistic Cool

legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
...
Given these odds betting YES is completely retarded and betting NO is likely best.

...so guess which side of that bet i'm on Wink
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 501
Poor guy Sad

Lost 70 BTC + the humiliation of being so wrong Sad
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