I'm not a close or personal friend to any of the people involved, but my account was legit and I received 50% of my BTC back and none of my USD (had more in BTC anyway). I'm hoping during the liquidation process, they recognize those of us who did have our accounts approved as legit. Anyone know how things like this work?
Although claims are submitted early in the process (usually within a month of the liquidator being appointed), they're not usually formally validated until the liquidator has recovered funds and is ready to disburse them. This is to save on liquidator's fees. The liquidator will check any claims against the company's records. Disputed claims cannot be paid so if there is a dispute about the amount owed, agreement on the value of the claim needs to be reached with the liquidator.
One important point to note is that users will need to give the liquidator their real life details in order to make a claim. The claim form is standardised and very short. You can submit your supporting evidence with your claim but it's not necessary to do so - the form asks you to describe the evidence you have, though.
The increase in the price of BTC since Bitcoinica ceased operating may mean that there are now sufficient funds to meet the claims if the liquidator values BTC still owed at ~USD 5 as Bitcoinica did when they began the refund process. If there are insufficient funds to meet all claims and claw back is not appropriate or viable, it's possible that some people who have already received a partial payment will have their claims subordinated - ie, they will receive no further payments until all users have received a payment of at least the same proportion (in egregious cases of inappropriate preferential payment, a claim can be made totally subordinate and not eligible for payment until all other claims have been paid in full) .
Although the liquidator should have a good idea of what funds will be available quite early on, the state of the financial records could be an issue - the liquidator must satisfy himself that they were reconstructed fairly and accurately.
One thing which could slow the process down is a finding of personal liability on the part of the principals and a decision by the liquidator to take legal action against them. This is not generally pursued unless there is a significant likelihood of legal action recovering substantial funds for the benefit of creditors.
Based on what Tihan has posted previously, Wendon is a secured creditor but will be waiving its right to be treated as such in the liquidation. They will also be entitled under NZ law to be treated as a preferential creditor due to their role in recovering and securing some of the funds which were lost in the MtGox intrusion, but Tihan has not yet indicated whether they will be claiming that status. The tone of Tihan's posts regarding the liquidation strongly suggests that he views the liquidation as the means to return user funds and that other means may be used to pursue Wendon's claims.