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Topic: point of maximum pain - page 3. (Read 12474 times)

sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
April 11, 2014, 05:55:01 AM

All-in-one solution is more suited to the KISS principle than having to deal with a few different solutions each performing only one function. From a user's perspective, that is. Of course, many users only need just one function, namely, money transfer and that's it. Well, to each his own.
anu
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1001
RepuX - Enterprise Blockchain Protocol
April 11, 2014, 05:52:14 AM
Well, Bitcoin protocol can't do decentralized exchange at this point,

This is not part of the Bitcoin protocol, right. And it should not. But I am going to release a distributed exchange Fiat<->BTC within a few days:
https://github.com/zeroreserve/ZeroReserve
Not sure why you say it should not.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/KISS_principle
sr. member
Activity: 560
Merit: 250
April 11, 2014, 05:51:21 AM
NXT = USD 2.0

No idea what you're talking about. Only please don't raise the issue of distribution, it'd be utterly stupid, as NXT has better distribution than bitcoin now. Research the latest stats.

Agreed.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
April 11, 2014, 05:50:17 AM
#99
Well, Bitcoin protocol can't do decentralized exchange at this point,

This is not part of the Bitcoin protocol, right. And it should not. But I am going to release a distributed exchange Fiat<->BTC within a few days:
https://github.com/zeroreserve/ZeroReserve

Not sure why you say it should not.

Good for you, the more solutions, the better.
anu
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1001
RepuX - Enterprise Blockchain Protocol
April 11, 2014, 05:45:25 AM
#98
Well, Bitcoin protocol can't do decentralized exchange at this point,

This is not part of the Bitcoin protocol, right. And it should not. But I am going to release a distributed exchange Fiat<->BTC within a few days:
https://github.com/zeroreserve/ZeroReserve
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
April 11, 2014, 05:42:32 AM
#97
Bitcoin is not written in any particular language. Bitcoin is a protocol. The Satoshi implementation IS NOT Bitcoin. Slightly tweaking that protocol does not make it something truely new IMHO. NXT is a knockoff.

Well, Bitcoin protocol can't do decentralized exchange at this point, but NXT can. NXT can transfer funds just like Bitcoin + other new things that Bitcoin can't do. If you call something a knockoff just because the basic function is the same, well, then Bitcoin is a knockoff of traditional money transfer systems, and those are a knockoff of cowry shells that ancient people used to trade. But we all know that the main advantage of Bitcoin is it's decentralized (cowry shells were decentralized too by the way). Well, now you have a decentralized exchange in NXT, something that hasn't been done before and that Bitcoin doesn't have. That's far from slightly tweaking the protocol.
anu
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1001
RepuX - Enterprise Blockchain Protocol
April 11, 2014, 05:36:00 AM
#96
I am aware that there is NXT that is written from scratch in a completely different language

Bitcoin is not written in any particular language. Bitcoin is a protocol. The Satoshi implementation IS NOT Bitcoin. Slightly tweaking that protocol does not make it something truely new IMHO. NXT is a knockoff.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1010
he who has the gold makes the rules
April 11, 2014, 05:35:31 AM
#95
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
April 11, 2014, 05:29:50 AM
#94
NXT = USD 2.0

No idea what you're talking about. Only please don't raise the issue of distribution, it'd be utterly stupid, as NXT has better distribution than bitcoin now. Research the latest stats.
sr. member
Activity: 249
Merit: 250
April 11, 2014, 05:18:25 AM
#93
But I must admit, that bitcoin is overvalued versus other altcoins,

You are aware that:

  • There is no alt coin that is not a knockoff of Bitcoin? The only other design of P2P payment that exists is Ripple / Hawala. And that is a couple 1000 years old.
  • Bitcoin has the network effects? People invest in Bitcoin businesses, not in Foobar-Coin businesses. Why? Because people invest in Bitcoin businesses.

There is a good chance that in the 22. century, Bitcoin will be called the most important invention of the 21st. Calling it "overvalued" seems a bit short sighted.

I am aware that there is NXT that is written from scratch in a completely different language and has many more features than Bitcoin, so you should catch up on learning the crypto currency scene. Not meant to insult, but to raise awareness. Other alts are more or less a knockoff of bitcoin, that's true.

Network effect, I agree to some extent. But we all know how network effects on the internet is not something set in stone (netscape, myspace examples). The next 1-2 years will show who is short sighted. Keeping all eggs in one basket is never a wise idea.

NXT = USD 2.0
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
April 11, 2014, 05:14:20 AM
#92
But I must admit, that bitcoin is overvalued versus other altcoins,

You are aware that:

  • There is no alt coin that is not a knockoff of Bitcoin? The only other design of P2P payment that exists is Ripple / Hawala. And that is a couple 1000 years old.
  • Bitcoin has the network effects? People invest in Bitcoin businesses, not in Foobar-Coin businesses. Why? Because people invest in Bitcoin businesses.

There is a good chance that in the 22. century, Bitcoin will be called the most important invention of the 21st. Calling it "overvalued" seems a bit short sighted.

I am aware that there is NXT that is written from scratch in a completely different language and has many more features than Bitcoin, so you should catch up on learning the crypto currency scene. Not meant to insult, but to raise awareness. Other alts are more or less a knockoff of bitcoin, that's true.

Network effect, I agree to some extent. But we all know how network effects on the internet is not something set in stone (netscape, myspace examples). The next 1-2 years will show who is short sighted. Keeping all eggs in one basket is never a wise idea.
anu
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1001
RepuX - Enterprise Blockchain Protocol
April 11, 2014, 05:06:56 AM
#91
But I must admit, that bitcoin is overvalued versus other altcoins,

You are aware that:

  • There is no alt coin that is not a knockoff of Bitcoin? The only other design of P2P payment that exists is Ripple / Hawala. And that is a couple 1000 years old.
  • Bitcoin has the network effects? People invest in Bitcoin businesses, not in Foobar-Coin businesses. Why? Because people invest in Bitcoin businesses.

There is a good chance that in the 22. century, Bitcoin will be called the most important invention of the 21st. Calling it "overvalued" seems a bit short sighted.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
April 11, 2014, 04:33:13 AM
#90
Would you care to share an unemotional logical explanation? Tell me why Bitcoin is worth 5 rather than 3 billion dollars, and why the marke will react to one different than the other?
Not trying to be an asshole but everyone here seems to base their analysis on market cycles which is basically an aggregation of human emotion and psychology throughout that cycle, you just put a number on it...

Bitcoin is not worth 5 or even 3 billion. The market cap is irrelevant, because if all bitcoins were sold at once, it'd drop to $10 or about that and that would bring its total cap to $200 mln at most. Same logic applies to any company's stock, so market cap calculations should be taken with a grain of salt.

But with each cycle of appreciation new money pours into bitcoin and although a lot of it is just looking for quick profits and withdraws when the price drops, some of it stays. These people who stay maintain a long-term look on it. They also don't chase the market, they buy at technical mid-term and long-term bottoms. If you buy at technical bottoms and fundamentals haven't changed (and they haven't), then your future pain will not be as bad as if you chased the price at the peak. That is kinda obvious.

But I must admit, that bitcoin is overvalued versus other altcoins, so some diversification is advisable. I posted my view on diversification here if you're interested.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
April 11, 2014, 04:13:42 AM
#89
Would you care to share an unemotional logical explanation? Tell me why Bitcoin is worth 5 rather than 3 billion dollars, and why the marke will react to one different than the other?
Not trying to be an asshole but everyone here seems to base their analysis on market cycles which is basically an aggregation of human emotion and psychology throughout that cycle, you just put a number on it...

I think you got it right. Bitcoin doesnt have an intrinsic value. It will be what people will lead it to be. So if nobody want it anymore, it could go as low as 1$.
You cannot elaborate a logical price to target. Adoption is what drives the price. Fear and Euphorie add some fun to the game. But overall, you have to follow the adoption rate.
sr. member
Activity: 1078
Merit: 254
April 11, 2014, 04:08:03 AM
#88

Definitely not. We're there if you have given up and would have serious doubts about buying more even if you had the funds.

More pain to come.

ok, but that would be around $200. I seriously doubt we could go down there.

Would you care to share an unemotional logical explanation? Tell me why Bitcoin is worth 5 rather than 3 billion dollars, and why the marke will react to one different than the other?
Not trying to be an asshole but everyone here seems to base their analysis on market cycles which is basically an aggregation of human emotion and psychology throughout that cycle, you just put a number on it...
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
April 11, 2014, 01:02:23 AM
#87

Definitely not. We're there if you have given up and would have serious doubts about buying more even if you had the funds.

More pain to come.

ok, but that would be around $200. I seriously doubt we could go down there.
donator
Activity: 1419
Merit: 1015
April 11, 2014, 12:25:03 AM
#86
I dont know if the same economics apply to ASICs, lets say people panic sell ASICs and they are at a bargain price right now(1$), I would only buy if I feel that they could stay energy competitive for quite some time until the price bounces back so that I will be able to profit from a net energy POV, by the time it peaks again and mining becomes super profitable you will have much more energy efficient ASICs out there pushing the difficultly up, and you out of the market. and I think the market realizes this

Very well-put. I hadn't considered that.

Along those lines, there were some European GPU miners selling out first in 2011 (around August), mostly due to higher electricity costs. Also, there was ~1 week where I was mining at a loss technically with GPUs in 2011. I suppose it might come down to if these ASIC farms that are running and selling coin are also hoarding fiat. If so, it's possible that instead of selling when we approach the bottom, they'll do like I (and I assume others) did and instead actually spend money to buy coin.

I still think the people most fanatical about Bitcoin are the miners. They are the ones that didn't purchase coin under some crazy assumption that the price would inflate forever, instead they are very well-grounded in the financial aspects and I have to believe that as the price continues to fall, they'll eventually hoard more than they sell. Especially if second-generation ASICs are just around the corner.

Anyway, good point, I guess we'll see how it plays out.
full member
Activity: 197
Merit: 100
April 10, 2014, 08:42:01 PM
#85
Not planning to sell, but definitely starting to feel the "Consolation Prize" pain...
legendary
Activity: 1153
Merit: 1012
April 10, 2014, 04:54:00 PM
#84
@OP,

are we there yet? Smiley

Because I feel just greed, but this greed is painful, because I temporarily ran out of fiat to buy moar, so yeah I feel pain, but not the kind of pain you're referring to Smiley

Definitely not. We're there if you have given up and would have serious doubts about buying more even if you had the funds.

More pain to come.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
April 10, 2014, 04:49:18 PM
#83
@OP,

are we there yet? Smiley

Because I feel just greed, but this greed is painful, because I temporarily ran out of fiat to buy moar, so yeah I feel pain, but not the kind of pain you're referring to Smiley
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