Given the massive influx of people into BTC and the amount of media attention it has received in the last two weeks I predict BTC will hit $200 by April 9th and $300 by April 15th if the current trend continues.
If you look at the massive rise in Google searches for BTC along with the BTC client download increase and the 60,000 new accounts at Mt. Gox last month I believe the upward exponential trend will continue for at least two more weeks. There is a lot of capital right now waiting to flood into BTC.
Right now the wall at $300.00 is 44.88K BTC. So that's 44,880 BTC x $300 = $13,464,000.00
60,000 new accounts last month x $1,000 per new account = $60,000,000.00.
BTC is way under valued!
Small Red Horizontal Lines = Previous flash crash bottoms.
Black Trend Lines = 1 set for upper values, 1 set for flash crash bottom values.
Gray Trend Lines = Attempt at exponential trend line increase.
Green Dot = Price prediction point for $200 and $300.
Historically big price increases tend to occur on Mondays and Tuesdays after deposits clear from the weekend which is why I pick the 9th and 15th.
Please forgive the crudeness of the chart. Bears, what say you? Tell me why it wont happen?
I think this is quite doable. This uptrend started at a base around $10. So, it wouldn't be different than the run from $1.00 to about $35.00 in mid 2011. The larger dollar amount needed to make the purchases can easily be compensated by a greater base of interest and further energized with the more positive press/publicity today versus 2011. To confirm the greater interest, just show that there are 10 times as many wallet holders today as there were during the 2011 surge. However, I think this surge will have more holding power because of the apparently better press, signs of legitimacy and a seemingly broader growing interest.
Late entry: Going by this chart
http://blockchain.info/charts/my-wallet-n-users, which only goes back to about April 2012, I see approximately 4,000 wallets versus the current 185,000 wallets. If this is proportionate to interested bitcoin users, then you meet your x30 wallet users to reach $300. In fact, you have at least x46 (I think it safe to assume fewer users wouldhave been online in mid 2011 - no data was found that far back). Does that mean it will at least surge to $460? Who knows.