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Topic: Price of gold manipulation - page 11. (Read 17926 times)

full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
January 19, 2014, 01:36:59 PM
#24


Well im sorry but someone of us is incredibly stupid. You didnt give ANY arguments to support your statement that gold is not manipulated. I at least told something meanigful why YES it MIGHT or NO it is NOT, you didnt give any... I really dont understand posts likes yours, since they only bring confusion to the people..

The cognitive dissonance is impressive in its way. You can actually see Jeff Christian telling you clearly that there's 100 times as much "paper gold" as there is physical gold out there, and people prefer to believe that the gold market isn't manipulated.

Quote
People say, and you heard it today, there is not that much physical metal out there, and there isn't. But in the "physical market," as the market uses that term, there is much more metal than that. There is a hundred times what there is.

I can understand not wanting to see that every financial market is a travesty, and I can understand paid shills, lol.
full member
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January 19, 2014, 01:27:56 PM
#23
I'm very skeptical. People talk about manipulation, but I haven't seen anyone show concrete evidence of manipulation, or even describe how the manipulation is done.
http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/sites/default/files/users/u2/gold-overnight-vsdaily-price_0.jpg

That's just a graph showing an increasing short position over 11 years. It proves nothing.

No, it shows nothing in regard to the short position. What it shows is your profit if you had simply bought and held gold, versus your profit if you had sold every morning, bought every evening. There is no better proof of manipulation that the massive outperformance of this technique, because you're frontrunning the manipulation. If you do the opposite (buy in the morning, sell in the evening), you'd have actually managed to have lost money despite the fact that gold went from 250 bucks to 1900 bucks. You may prefer not to believe that the price of gold is manipulated, but that's another issue. The lynchpin of the financial system is the dollar, so interest rates are manipulated via derivatives (which measure in the quadrillions, and over three quarters of that market is in interest rate swaps), and so is gold, because these are the 2 things central to setting the value of the fiat US dollar.
full member
Activity: 140
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January 19, 2014, 10:17:03 AM
#22
So and what do you think about the physical to paper gold ratio about 69...?

Isnt it due to the futures trading...? Because if comex sells gold futures its clear and understandable that it simply wont have all the physical gold in its vaults...??

Yep, that would be about it.  Most actual physical trade is out of London.  Much of what you read about gold price manipulation is generated from people with ideological reasons to say so and a penchant for fantasy.  That's not to say everything is false, but a nugget of truth is embellished and morphed into a far bigger "theory".  At the end of the day, it would be very hard to manipulate gold prices more than a few %, there's too many interested parties and too much information freely available.  Example, registered stock, owners etc publicly available.  Its not the price being  manipulated, the information is.  Anyone claiming $5k, $15k has no basis for that analysis, they are just trying to pump the price because they hold and wish the price to go that high.  I could make a perfectly sound case for current gold being grossly overvalued (in brief, if its a hedge against inflation, price has far outpaced inflation and priced in another decade or more)

Before its used as a counter example, LIBOR rates where manipulated fractions of a % for gains or cut loses on daily movements, not wholesale shifts of the market over medium or long term.
Treasury rates, Sup-Prime Mortgage rates, USD/CNY exchange rate, Gold price until 1971, Greek bond interest rate until 2010,...
sr. member
Activity: 245
Merit: 250
January 19, 2014, 09:48:25 AM
#21
So and what do you think about the physical to paper gold ratio about 69...?

Isnt it due to the futures trading...? Because if comex sells gold futures its clear and understandable that it simply wont have all the physical gold in its vaults...??

Yep, that would be about it.  Most actual physical trade is out of London.  Much of what you read about gold price manipulation is generated from people with ideological reasons to say so and a penchant for fantasy.  That's not to say everything is false, but a nugget of truth is embellished and morphed into a far bigger "theory".  At the end of the day, it would be very hard to manipulate gold prices more than a few %, there's too many interested parties and too much information freely available.  Example, registered stock, owners etc publicly available.  Its not the price being  manipulated, the information is.  Anyone claiming $5k, $15k has no basis for that analysis, they are just trying to pump the price because they hold and wish the price to go that high.  I could make a perfectly sound case for current gold being grossly overvalued (in brief, if its a hedge against inflation, price has far outpaced inflation and priced in another decade or more)

Before its used as a counter example, LIBOR rates where manipulated fractions of a % for gains or cut loses on daily movements, not wholesale shifts of the market over medium or long term.
sr. member
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January 19, 2014, 09:40:49 AM
#20
There is no such thing as a "manipulation".

When you want to buy an asset, there is only one real price, and that is the money you are going to give to get the stuff delivered to you.
When you want to sell an asset, there is only one real price, and that is the money someone is going to give you to get your stuff.

It applies to gold, oil, bitcoins, real estate, stocks, vegetables, ...

Those price are not "manipulated" because they cannot be. Money is spent, and asset is delivered.

In between there is a very large number of "paper assets" that are traded, and that is some very specific cases reflect the price of the real asset. Contracts, promises, option, you name them. They are not real assets. There were never supposed to be. Sometimes the price of those assets will stick to the price of the real asset (especially when the asset can be electronically delivered, like stocks or bitcoins). Most of the time they will not.

So what is the price of gold ?
Don't look at the comex market. They do not sell gold. They sell promises.
Look at the places where you can buy real gold and put it in your own vault immediatly.
And also look at the places where you can sell the gold you have. Not the place where you can sell someone else's promise to deliver gold. Only sell physical gold.
That is the real price.

Is it manipulated ? No. You don't have to sell if the price is not right to you. You don't have to buy either.

I will not answer the implicit question "is it the right time to buy or sell gold now ?" because I don't know.

Yet I can answer the question "is it a good idea to buy or sell paper gold now ?" because the answer is obviously "no" except if you have a real good reason to do so (because for instance you manage a gold mine, an electronic industry that needs gold, and so on)



Well im sorry but someone of us is incredibly stupid. You didnt give ANY arguments to support your statement that gold is not manipulated. I at least told something meanigful why YES it MIGHT or NO it is NOT, you didnt give any... I really dont understand posts likes yours, since they only bring confusion to the people... Ill take it by points:

1)
There is no such thing as a "manipulation".

When you want to buy an asset, there is only one real price, and that is the money you are going to give to get the stuff delivered to you.
When you want to sell an asset, there is only one real price, and that is the money someone is going to give you to get your stuff.

Well ehm... the price is made by several banks each day (twice a day), i think its called the "London fix", as far as i know, its only paper agrements, but this is the place the majority of physical bullion sellers take their price from , so no... paper gold market DOES set the price even for the physical... OF COURSE (!). You didnt know that :-(? You dont understand the mechanism...? I was in a coin shop, and the were monitors on the london fix price, according to the price they were selling the gold... You really dont undestand this? How old are you for god sake!?

Those price are not "manipulated" because they cannot be. Money is spent, and asset is delivered.

Oh... Oh my... :-(... Well first of all, the price is set in the london fix "deal", which is somehow connected to the COMEX market, where "paper gold" is traded, and even when you can make a call for physical delivery of gold, the majority doesnt and they simply "hold" and trade the gold in the form of "paper certificates" (or something), so no, the gold isnt physically delivered the majority of the time. I dont know the correct price manipulation technic but you surelly didnt prove that it isnt there even with this statement, its like fractional reserve banking, the have X ounzes of physical gold, but they MIGHT trade XXX ounzes of gold (x times higher then what they physically have or even might be able to deliver in future (in future contracts)). And since the majority doesnt need/want to hold physical, the hold only paper claims... Well i can give you Thousand of paper claims that i own BILIONS of $ and that i will give you billions of dollars, even though i dont have them :-), but hey, you got your paper claim...I really dont know what you wanted to say with this sentence. You dont understand the mechanism? So let mi put it this way your wrote the prices CANNOT be manipulated, well then OMG they might be quite EASILY manipulated... The questions is, are they? (and no, they really can be, the possibiliti exists, you lied).

Is it manipulated ? No. You don't have to sell if the price is not right to you. You don't have to buy either.


OMG!!! Do you really mean that...Have you been drinking, or dont i understand that, or am i that brilliant to be the only one th realize that :-D! You are kidding me! So the fact that you can willingly sell and or buy, or not, its the indicator that theres no manipulation :-D!?!!?!? Omg im so much disapointed by the bitcoin community :-(. This simply isnt a sign, you will have to belive me. If its manipulated and you dont know about it, then yeah, surrelly, you think the current price is the REAL price made by the free market discovery "method", so why not sell or buy if you wante and belive the price is "correct"...

What exactly did you wanted to say with this thread? Because you didnt say anything, even when you thought you brought up something, you didnt, and you just made confusion.
So for example the situation with german gold... you see this all as a "hoax" and thus it wont have any impact on the future price of gold...?
sr. member
Activity: 742
Merit: 250
January 19, 2014, 07:39:39 AM
#19
So and what do you think about the physical to paper gold ratio about 69...?

Isnt it due to the futures trading...? Because if comex sells gold futures its clear and understandable that it simply wont have all the physical gold in its vaults...??
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
January 19, 2014, 05:52:47 AM
#18
Quote
The Royal Bank of India reports that the ratio of paper claims to gold exceed the amount of gold available for delivery by 93:1.

which I haven't been able to verify. Anyone?

from the horse's mouth:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0NAL0C6BO-4

(i used to run a scrap gold business, hence my interest in this thread : )

Quote
The CFTC, when it did its most recent report on silver, used the term that we use, "the physical market." We use that term as did the CFTC in that report to talk about the OTC market -- in other words, forwards, OTC options, physical metal, and everything else. People say, and you heard it today, there is not that much physical metal out there, and there isn't. But in the "physical market," as the market uses that term, there is much more metal than that. There is a hundred times what there is. If I look at the large short positions on the Comex, my question is: Where are the other shorts being hedged? Because the short position that I believe the bullion banks use to hedge their physicals is larger than their short position on the Comex, and the answer is that they hedge it in the OTC market in London.


Christian confirms what many analysts and GATA have been alleging -- that there is not much REAL physical metal -- but testifies that there is actually 100 times the REAL physical metal being sold based on the much more "loose" definition of what "physical" means to the bullion banks.

http://www.gata.org/node/8478
full member
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January 19, 2014, 05:50:20 AM
#17
I'm very skeptical. People talk about manipulation, but I haven't seen anyone show concrete evidence of manipulation, or even describe how the manipulation is done.

here you go:

http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/sites/default/files/users/u2/gold-overnight-vsdaily-price_0.jpg
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
January 19, 2014, 05:48:06 AM
#16
There is manipulation going on there without a doubt. If you've been watching silver, you know this.

Agreed.  Now, how do we game the manipulation? 


if you want to be part of the problem, you sell contracts when the comex opens, and buy when it closes. you massively outperform gold by performing this action mindlessly on a daily basis. it is the best proof of manipulation that there is. check out www.gata.org for good info on the hows and whys of gold manipulation. it is slowly becoming mainstream, bloomberg had a piece a few days on ago about the blatantly obvious price manipulation that has been happening on the comex for decades now.
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
January 19, 2014, 12:04:30 AM
#15
Given that the central banks of the world pretty openly collaborated to manipulate the price of Gold back in the 60's, one can only assume that if it suited them they would be manipulating the price now.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Gold_Pool
sr. member
Activity: 299
Merit: 253
January 18, 2014, 11:37:40 PM
#14
Thanks for the thread, I am wondering the same. Just a while ago I stumbled across some well presented material of why the gold price must inevitably explode, only to find out the presenter runs an online gold shop.. So I don't know what to believe.

So, then read this: http://goo.gl/eDpC6H
Thanks for sharing. It contains this piece:
Quote
The Royal Bank of India reports that the ratio of paper claims to gold exceed the amount of gold available for delivery by 93:1.
which I haven't been able to verify. Anyone?
hero member
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January 18, 2014, 04:55:01 PM
#13
I'm very skeptical. People talk about manipulation, but I haven't seen anyone show concrete evidence of manipulation, or even describe how the manipulation is done.
So, then read this: http://goo.gl/eDpC6H
(orginal source is here: www.paulcraigroberts.org)

That article is all speculation. It contains no evidence.

There is plenty of points to suspicious trades. besides, he seems to be quite knowledgeable (argument from authority). And it's all very reasonable unless you are totally paralyzed by "normality bias".

From wikipedia
Quote
Paul Craig Roberts (born April 3, 1939) is an American economist and a columnist for Creators Syndicate. He served as an Assistant Secretary of the Treasury in the Reagan Administration and was noted as a co-founder of Reaganomics.[1] He is a former editor and columnist for the Wall Street Journal, Business Week, and Scripps Howard News Service. He has testified before congressional committees on 30 occasions on issues of economic policy.
hero member
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January 18, 2014, 04:49:31 PM
#12
There is manipulation going on there without a doubt. If you've been watching silver, you know this.

Agreed.  Now, how do we game the manipulation? 


Should be easy enough, get the word out.

hero member
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January 18, 2014, 04:37:37 PM
#11
I'm very skeptical. People talk about manipulation, but I haven't seen anyone show concrete evidence of manipulation, or even describe how the manipulation is done.

So, then read this: http://goo.gl/eDpC6H

(orginal source is here: www.paulcraigroberts.org)
sr. member
Activity: 742
Merit: 250
January 18, 2014, 12:53:08 PM
#10
Also what do you think about the argument that comex doesnt have all the physical gold it sells? As far as i know comex sells (only?) gold futures? So if you buy gold future you cannot have it physical yet... theres no conspiracy in this as far as i understand it...? Or do they pretend to sell also physical gold (that they have, but in reality they dont)? As far as i know comex sells futures?
sr. member
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January 18, 2014, 12:51:17 PM
#9
Yeah i heard about silver manipulation aswell... But dont know too much about this... What is the predicted future price of silver? On gold its somehwere between 5 000-15000 Oz. Heard even 50 000 per Oz :-). What about silver price?
sr. member
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January 18, 2014, 12:49:34 PM
#8
i don't about all these, but yes i think manipulation is going on..

1. Yes only seller tells about manipulation but they are the smaller ones. The bigger ones don't that. They simply trade. And why do you think these seller would want to get higher prices, they are making profit from the margin in buy and sell price, not from the prices going high. That would be around the same at low prices, i think margin will be lower at high prices. So, its not in there favor.
a
2. Yes its been up for decades, but only now people have started noticing it. So, now is the turning point.

3. See there will be people against it and there will be people in favor. This happens all the time, i am in favor.
4. In my opinion there won't be a sudden jump in its value in normal market condition. Like you wake up next day and it just reached the moon. The sudden jump will accompany with some kind of economic/market collapse. And fear in the people will drive the value exponentially.


Well the 1st point is just totall nonsense :-(... I cant belive you can write such a thing... (because when someone can be so wrong in one thing, what about the other things...)...
Who are please the "bigger ones"? Thne sellers would like to make an atmosphere of belive in manipulation so people would be buying more gold today, more gold sold, more profit made... Margin will be in absolute numbers the same if not bigger, the higher the price the more they can tak in profit, the higher the price, the more demand there is, the more demand, the more theyll sell, the more they sell the more they make...

The only good point is the reminder that companies make profit on margin (spread).
legendary
Activity: 1596
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Sine secretum non libertas
January 18, 2014, 12:49:00 PM
#7
There is manipulation going on there without a doubt. If you've been watching silver, you know this.

Agreed.  Now, how do we game the manipulation? 
copper member
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January 18, 2014, 12:46:39 PM
#6
Related...

I've watched the silver prices much more closely than gold. There is manipulation going on there without a doubt. If you've been watching silver, you know this. The regular spikes in London and NY are far too many to be coincidence.

But, I've not compiled that information. You have only to look at the charts over time to see it. It's pretty obvious.
sr. member
Activity: 448
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January 18, 2014, 11:56:43 AM
#5
The thing with the bitcoin was that it was owned by very small no. of people and those people believed in it. Thus they were able to make other believe and that rocketed the price. In future when it will be owned by masses such a exponential growth will not be possible. Really i dont believe in saying it will go to 10000 this year... 
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