Topic: Record High Margin Debt With Most Traders Betting Against This Market - page 5. (Read 6381 times)
June 08, 2015, 06:50:42 PM
Because FED is going to raise the interest rate, no one except bitcoin can fight FED
June 08, 2015, 12:52:56 PM
Well, if this continues it could be the beginning of the correction I was talking about the other day. First test of the 200-day MA and then maybe 1900.
June 05, 2015, 11:54:20 AM
BTW, Finviz now has included BTC in its Forex section
June 05, 2015, 11:47:07 AM
I think they want to test the 200-day moving average, which they haven´t really touched since last year and before that well not for years. It´s currently at 2050 or so in the S&P. It would be a very natural correction and not necessarily indicative of any imminent crash. Maybe it´ll drop to say 1900 for a breather.
June 05, 2015, 11:03:37 AM
No one can precisely predict the time of bubble burst. There are still many ppl who are buying up and ignoring the looming risk. They are attracted by the profit.
Trying to predict when the bubble will burst is a recipe for disaster. When you recognize a bubble, it's time to get out. That doesn't mean that you have to exit the market completely. You would definately want to get out of you cyclical stocks though. Especially if a large chunk of their shares are held by institutional investors.
All bubbles eventually burst and its a pretty good idea to have a good cash position when it finally bottoms out to take advantage all the bargains available. So a partial liquidation of one's position wouldn't be a bad idea.
Just hanging on and riding the bubble looking at the long term won't help either. All that will do is erase a decades worth of gains like it did in 2008.
June 05, 2015, 07:35:07 AM
No one can precisely predict the time of bubble burst. There are still many ppl who are buying up and ignoring the looming risk. They are attracted by the profit.
Don't fight the fed, they have very deep pockets. The money in those very deep pockets might be imaginary, but as long as everyone is happy to keep on investing all of the newly printed money in the world into the markets, the prices will keep going up.It will come tumbling down, but I wouldn't care to guess when. I think we might see 2500 on the S&P before we see 1500 again.
June 05, 2015, 04:01:24 AM
No one can precisely predict the time of bubble burst. There are still many ppl who are buying up and ignoring the looming risk. They are attracted by the profit.
June 05, 2015, 12:23:05 AM
Yeah OROBTC, I actually picked the wrong chart and the wrong time frame. This one below is much better. It does look a bit ominous doesn´t it?
June 04, 2015, 11:23:18 PM
...
galdur
You likely know that the S&P 500 blasted through its "Double Top" over the past four years.
finviz apparently does not go far enough back to show that double top (at least as visibly as I have seen other longer-term S&P 500 charts), but the weekly chart DOES show the S&P 500 doubling over the past four years. Checking their monthly chart shows a muted "second top".
I hold stocks (and am concerned...), but am well diversified into hard assets, etc. Stocks (as well as most US real estate) have typically done well over a longer time frame.
"A perfect storm". Nicely put. It is coming.
galdur
You likely know that the S&P 500 blasted through its "Double Top" over the past four years.
finviz apparently does not go far enough back to show that double top (at least as visibly as I have seen other longer-term S&P 500 charts), but the weekly chart DOES show the S&P 500 doubling over the past four years. Checking their monthly chart shows a muted "second top".
I hold stocks (and am concerned...), but am well diversified into hard assets, etc. Stocks (as well as most US real estate) have typically done well over a longer time frame.
"A perfect storm". Nicely put. It is coming.
June 04, 2015, 11:03:28 PM
I guess it was at the moon six months ago and hasn´t moved much since then.
June 04, 2015, 10:19:14 PM
Its a perfect storm.
You have market participants who have borrowed to record levels in order to own stocks, totally leveraged up, yet the majority of traders are increasing their bets that this market is going to fall-and soon.
Below is an options statistics sheet of (NYSEARCA:SPY) SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, from today 6-2-15.
... more
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/29482055-gregory-mannarino/4058646-record-high-margin-debt-with-most-traders-betting-against-this-market
You have market participants who have borrowed to record levels in order to own stocks, totally leveraged up, yet the majority of traders are increasing their bets that this market is going to fall-and soon.
Below is an options statistics sheet of (NYSEARCA:SPY) SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, from today 6-2-15.
... more
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/29482055-gregory-mannarino/4058646-record-high-margin-debt-with-most-traders-betting-against-this-market
And this is why moon is in order!
June 04, 2015, 10:18:16 PM
Its a perfect storm.
You have market participants who have borrowed to record levels in order to own stocks, totally leveraged up, yet the majority of traders are increasing their bets that this market is going to fall-and soon.
Below is an options statistics sheet of (NYSEARCA:SPY) SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, from today 6-2-15.
... more
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/29482055-gregory-mannarino/4058646-record-high-margin-debt-with-most-traders-betting-against-this-market
You have market participants who have borrowed to record levels in order to own stocks, totally leveraged up, yet the majority of traders are increasing their bets that this market is going to fall-and soon.
Below is an options statistics sheet of (NYSEARCA:SPY) SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, from today 6-2-15.
... more
http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/29482055-gregory-mannarino/4058646-record-high-margin-debt-with-most-traders-betting-against-this-market
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