- Ripple will, at the same time, move a certain volume of business from one monopoly to another controlled environment; this will not help in the medium or long run
Ripple is not a centrally controlled environment. It is a distributed exchange.
- it may turn out to be an interregnum and have a limited lifespan once people realise that REAL open and P2P-distributed systems are superior
Ripple is a peer-to-peer, distributed exchange and the only one of it's kind, that actually works. Not sure how you get much more "real" than that.
- it may harbour Crypto-illiterate users for some time to come (just like Windoze or AOL continue to appeal to dumb users in droves today), but we don't actually need them to move forward anyway
Let's hope so. They are the masses and you can't have mass adoption of crypto, without the masses.
- Ripple will try to "rule the world" and maybe try to limit real Cryptos one way or the other (just as Apple are increasingly showing their real face by censoring-away Cryptos because of their vested interest in some ridiculous iTunes payment system); both won't do any good in the long run to the respective malfeasants but still have a potential to make life miserable for the rest of us (nothing new here)
Ripple is decentralized so they only way for it to "rule the world" is if the majority of the people on the planet choose the network. Even still, this is like saying http or SMTP "rule the world".
- because of its partly-centralised built, it will be subjected to regulatory requirements more than Bitcoin
What does that even mean. Ripple is regulatory friendly because A. anonymity is not a design goal of Ripple and B. Transactions and all IOU's issued on the network can be tracked in the distributed ledger. Thus making it easier for regulators to reconcile a gateways solvency and track bad actors.
- Ripple will turn out to be just another kind of "currency" in a world of competing currencies (now a reality, just a dream a very short time ago). Everyone truly **understanding** competing currencies, free markets, and competition need not worry about this; also, bear in mind that, beyond just the 1.5bn or so of us, the rest of the world (roughly 6.5bn) will tend to vote with their feet for truly open and decentralised Crypto coins.
Ripple is not a currency. It is a protocol for money, just as SMTP is a protocol for email. Ripple contains an internal currency known as ripples or XRP to prevent spam and make cross-currency transactions smoother. But ripples were not created to be a speculative commodity like most math-based currencies, as stability in a currency is more valuable than volatility due to speculation. The success of Ripple is not determined by the value of the internal currency.
Testing Ripple, yes, why not -- but it should not be taken for a substitute for Bitcoin or other Crypto coins, only kind of complementing it in a few ways.
Ripple compliments all currencies in many ways by providing the value web. Allowing people to send value, the same way we now send information. With Ripple, people can use any currency they choose and the recipient can receive that payment in any currency they choose. All in seconds and for free. Ripple lets you and I trade peer-to-peer for anything of value, without a central clearing house or central exchange.
I get Ripple can be a lot to swallow at first but you're still only scratching the surface and that's causing some real false presumptions about Ripple. I recommend starting here:
https://ripple.com/ripple_primer.pdf Enjoy.