Since the whole conversation took place on telegram, it is quite hard to find evidence without looking at the chat log.
But elmanchez himself confirmed, that this was his account:
@elmanchez, did you contact the OP on Telegram, and are you Telegram user @hookgo?
IMO it is more than just suspicious, that
- He was involved in the linked scam by sending an address he does not possess to some random person
- He suggested hip3r to register on this forum to have another channel for his (hip3r's) business. They allegedly met on another crypto forum. But afterwards hip3r refers OP to elmanchez. This doesn't make sense
- He lied about previous deals with hip3r by claiming they already made deals. hip3r on the other hand was denying that.
- He contacted Lucius via PM and asked him whether he wants to trade PP for BTC, without them both ever having deal nor Lucius asking for such a deal somewhere
While there is no evidence that he intentionally scammed the other person in the linked thread, and no evidence that he indeed tried to scam OP, the are enough signs to assume that he indeed actively tries to scam others.
The same applies to all these new ponzis. There is no concrete evidence, that they are not paying 100% daily. But there are enough signs to believe that this is a scam.
If there were some unassailable evidence, both a type #1 and type #3 flag would be appropriate. However, i agree with you that this is not the case here.
I'd even go farther and would say to not use telegram at all.
Deleting message from the other parties chatlog is retarded.
There are better messengers available.
Either Signal (which uses old ID's in from of a mobile number), that's probably not what people want to use on the internet or Threema (which costs a few bucks), which people are not ready to pay because they are extremely cheap and don't want to spend 2-3$ for a secure communication application.