Everywhere in Europa are strongly increasing numbers of infections like in Spain, France, Germany or Croatia. Many areas are once again being declared risk areas. Will this be the last wave and if not, will it bring the economy to its knees with unforeseeable consequences to the world?
The drastic increase in the number of infected people has primarily appeared in countries that have almost completely opened up due to tourism - and here we can take the examples of Spain or Croatia. The number of people entering and leaving these countries is an ideal factor for the spread of the virus, and on the example of Croatia we can see that the second wave is almost twice as strong as the first with approximately 200 new cases every day.
The following infographic clearly shows what happens when you go from a full lockdown to a full opening.
When the flow of people in these countries decreases (and the tourist season is coming to an end), I believe that the number of infected people will also decrease. It is especially important to note that the largest percentage of newly infected are young people who became infected in nightclubs, which in my opinion is something that should have been absolutely banned. However, the good news is that the number of deaths is very small, and that several vaccines are already in the final stages of testing and could be applied this year.
As far as I know, no country will go into complete lockdown anymore - unless the situation worsens drastically, which I doubt again because now we still know what we are dealing with and the availability of protective equipment is much better than in the first wave.