While history can never be exactly the same, it does frequently rhyme, therefore this does not mean that we should dismiss it entirely. The past, present, and future must all be balanced, and we must pay attention to both the past and the present as well as the future.
Based on a very long time experience of trading, I've heard a lot of bullshits about it and my advice to any trader who cares to take it is that they should stop listening to myths in the market. Myths can only be responsible for such an expectation as the market is dynamic, it will never continue to follow an exact pattern in the name of some history or a particular month's cycle. Bitcoin in particular, it's still very young, which is what is deceiving so many people. Bitcoin has not lived to celebrate its silver jubilee (25 years) yet, let alone its golden jubilee (50 years). It is until it achieves all these and even more that certain conditions/characteristics would be ascertained of it, and this is when people would know that most of their assumptions about the coin are just nonsense.
There is no exception in the financial market, markets don't follow historical patterns over and over again, and Bitcoin can't be an exception to this. It was still better when the whales and a few sectional people were controlling the market and had a strong say over it where all that they hinted on social media was what the coin would do. No, that was then, Bitcoin has now been inculcated into the mainstream of the financial market and the implication is that it would rather follow better the right market dynamics without some sectional people manipulating it and forcing it to form some kind of cycle and pattern.
Personally, I am not surprised as things unfold this time, and I've seen a lot that preached how Bitcoin would behave before halving simply because it happened in the past, but what we are seeing is so much different from what had happened in the past. This is an asset, and a lot of factors could drive the price of the asset up or down, we should not always believe that one particular theory must always be obeyed. If it's so, then the neutrality and dynamism of the market would be deprived.