It appears to be a strong year for bitcoin. Despite some significant fud from Luna, FTX, Binance, and Mt. Gox, we are still close to the $30k level which is significant. I am not confident that bitcoin will be around $40k by the end of the year. I think the market will continue its movement sideways until the first ETF approval deadline in January 2024.
Betting that any ETF will cause a change in price may not be wise. It is true that we do not have deadlines for this year, but there is no guarantee that it will be approved in January.
The price of $30,000 seems strong and the momentum is not enough to break through, but we still have 3 months and several times to meet the resistance level, one of which I think we will succeed in. Therefore, it is most likely that we will test 31,800 before the end of the year, and from there it will be determined whether we will see 40,000 or whether the price will continue its sideways movement.
But if we drop below 26,700, there will be a double bottom pattern, meaning we will touch $17,000 again, but I think the possibility is $40-$41k.