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Topic: Setting up new diff thread Dec 6 to Dec 20 picks closed. - page 7. (Read 9190 times)

hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
i kind of heard also something about sp50...
actually there was silence(because they sign an non-disclosure agreement) and no denying Grin
legendary
Activity: 3654
Merit: 8909
https://bpip.org
to be able to go to 215 then to 148 can only mean a huge farm or two farms.

My Chinese ghost city filled with old gear and  a second unknown farm of sp50s ?

Variance Grin
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
★ BitClave ICO: 15/09/17 ★
+13.1 = cakir

Let's get some optimistic about this time Smiley (I hope it won't rise %20+...)
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Dec   6 ---157
Dec   7 ---149   + 5
Dec   8 ---171   +27
Dec   9----174   +30
Dec 10----212   +68
Dec 11
Dec 12
Dec 13
Dec 14
Dec 15

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+18.25%)

Bitcoin Difficulty:   79,102,380,900
Estimated Next Difficulty:   93,538,750,120 (+18.25%)
Adjust time:   After 1202 Blocks, About 7.1 days
Hashrate(?):   721,254,046 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 8.5 minutes
3 blocks: 25.5 minutes
6 blocks: 51.0 minutes
Updated:   

we dropped off a lot today from the smoking crazy hot 212 block number


https://blockchain.info/blocks

387886 (Main Chain)   2015-12-11 16:28:17

387782 (Main Chain)   2015-12-11 00:00:05

105 blocks in 16 hours and 50 minutes  we should be  101  so we are at a   148 block pace.


to be able to go to 215 then to 148 can only mean a huge farm or two farms.

My Chinese ghost city filled with old gear and  a second unknown farm of sp50s ?


price at coinbase 439
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
I can't believe you're not going to let me create a whole bunch of alt accounts and post here to increase my chances!!!  That's so unfair!!!  /sarcasm.

Hey I am still offering them a chance win the usb stick  so far none of them have given me a  mailing address. Wink
legendary
Activity: 1344
Merit: 1024
Mine at Jonny's Pool
I can't believe you're not going to let me create a whole bunch of alt accounts and post here to increase my chances!!!  That's so unfair!!!  /sarcasm.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
+20.7 radiumsoup

(not sure if by "new" people you mean new to bitcointalk or new to these threads, so if it's "no new folks to this thread", then sorry for intruding - seems like a fun game, though, even if it's a bit depressing at this level)
 

you are okay  these were 3 new forum members with less then a week on site.
legendary
Activity: 1150
Merit: 1004
It's not too late to pick.

However it is too late for ROI, apparently. Especially for us poor schlubs who bought batch 1 S7s for 8 BTC each  Shocked

Isn't that a good thing however? You only paid around $1800 but you started mining in Oct when the difficulty was still slightly lower and now all your coins are worth more.

It was better buying the miner in Sept for $1800 then today for $1650.

I'm talking about ROI in raw BTC terms, not fiat. It was already a pretty big risk that brand new B1 S7s would make back their cost in BTC. With the insane difficulty rise it's a lot less likely.

Sure if I look at the fiat value of BTC mined so far from my S7s, I'm about halfway to ROI (if the price holds). But in the end I would have been better off buying BTC at October prices instead of hardware.

With this game you're either speculating on the difficulty or the price. My BTC ROI calculations were based on a reasonable historic difficulty times 2. Boy was I off this time...

If the price holds, it looks like I'll be selling BTC instead of holding, in order to get back ROI.
sr. member
Activity: 356
Merit: 255
+20.7 radiumsoup

(not sure if by "new" people you mean new to bitcointalk or new to these threads, so if it's "no new folks to this thread", then sorry for intruding - seems like a fun game, though, even if it's a bit depressing at this level)
hero member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1000
+18.7 = Tmdz

Analysis:  big time megafarm went online, maybe multiple branches but it seems as the hast was synchronized and dumped at the same time, possibly to give them that lead time.  Hash spiked and now the chart is moving sideways, I expect minimal movement at this time but btc went up to 435 so this hash can definitely stay at current prices.  My pick is an effort to sneak into the mid 18's
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
mmh, with the recent diff jump, i'm tempted for a crazy number, but i'll stay low, 16.4 for me

vortexz has that pick I gave you 16.5
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'

+10.0   = mavericklm
+10.1 = edonkey
+10.2 = needmoney
+11.8 = flikflak
+12.1 =  zebedee

+12.3 = philipma1957
+12.5  = Notlist3d
+12.7 = indiemax
+12.8  =radnom------new---can not win btc prize>>> All three must contact with proof of address for usb prize before 1200th block
+12.9  =Forumgeiq---new-- can not win btc prize>>>>"    "        "        "         "      "      "     "       "    "     "       "          "         "

+13.0  = Valkir

+13.2 = Lauda
+13.3 = Tupsu
+14.2 = 64dimensions
+14.7 = Biodom
+14.8 = jonnybravo0311
+14.9 = Last of the V8s
+15.0 = HerbPean
+15.1 = psy0----------------new--can not win btc prize>>> "    "      "         "         "          "       "     "       "         "    "         "
+16.0 = adaseb
+16.1 = sloopy
+16.4 = vortexz
+16.5 = amph ------------gave  you this number as vortexz was ahead of you
+17.2  = d57heinz

+17.7 = Chris_Sabian
+17.8 = ingiltere
+18.4 = VirosaGITS
+18.5 = UfoRia
+18.6 = dukeneptun
+18.8 = Swordsoffreedom
+20.0 = Kexkey

+21.4 = keystroke

+21.5 = wpt1wpt1
+21.7 = ezeminer
+25.5 =  goxed











okay people 3 new members  all joined the forum  this month  they are marked above.  suchmoon and I have decided what to do with prize btc and prize compac usb.

I realize the prize is very good so new names are to be expected  but I will track and make adjustments if this pattern turns excessive  in fact I am inclined to not let any more new members pick this adjustment.
  The three in can stay in but no more new members is looking like it may happen here.  Since suchmoon pays the btc I will defer to him on allowing the 3 new members to stay and have a shot.

 If he does not want them in I will drop them off. We have mentioned in more then one of these giveaways that a rush of new accounts would call for action.    NO New members will not be accepted in this contest they will need at least one month old sign up and decent  posting.


I have put down how those three new accounts will be handled.  AND no more new accounts
For now I will wait to see what suchmoon wants to do with the three.

And I am banning any more new members from this point on during this adjustment period.

No more for this adjustment.  

legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1000
+18.6 = dukeneptun

Great for fast confirmations but bad for poor miners. I'm happy both difficulty and BTC price rise, though.
tss
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
if we jump 20% every adjustment the price HAS to go up at some point.  



Actually it doesn't. Look what happened in 2014. There were 20% diff jumps and 20% BTC price falls.



this is true.. but it was very overpriced by market standpoint then.. profit was very high then.. price was higher then and difficulty was less.
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1723
if we jump 20% every adjustment the price HAS to go up at some point.  



Actually it doesn't. Look what happened in 2014. There were 20% diff jumps and 20% BTC price falls.

tss
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
wow.. crazy jump today.  almost 20 % at some point.. i really hope this is not a sign of what's to come. 
feeling there's a real separation between the retail bought equipment prices and insider/miner pricing and we are about to see the network effect of such.
the arms race seems to be in full effect till halving.. who knows what will happen then. 
on a brighter note, if we jump 20% every adjustment the price HAS to go up at some point. 

please lets keep all the noobs off this contest.  with such high reward the scammers and farmers will find and destroy this game soon enough.  it is worth much more than their usual scams.
legendary
Activity: 2884
Merit: 1115
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
+18.8 = Swordsoffreedom


Estimated Next Difficulty:    93,403,235,071 (+18.08%)
Adjust time:    After 1260 Blocks, About 7.5 days

If the difficulty keeps rising like this I might need to start purchasing more coins as this is a strong indicator

Dec 06 2015    79,102,380,900    8.77%    566,236,898 GH/s
Nov 24 2015    72,722,780,643    10.44%    520,569,941 GH/s
Nov 11 2015    65,848,255,180    5.77%    471,360,171 GH/s
Oct 29 2015    62,253,982,450    2.25%    445,631,364 GH/s
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
Just something to think about for when the price really starts moving up. The hash rate is going to be unbelievable.

The halving ETA keeps moving closer and closer : 2016-07-21 12:10:50 UTC (31 weeks, 6 days, 12 hours, 40 minutes)

Network capacity is more as well as more space is available due to a larger number of blocks per fixed time period.

I see halving in early july.  I am not sure who's hash this is. if sp tech put the sp 50 batch out .  they may have been this bump

I think what we have is a coincidence of events. The second wave of the price rise has been underway for a Month now and it has become obvious that any old  ASIC based Miner will make money. That has coincided with new releases, S7 and Avalon6 and I sure SP50 & Bitfury will also be having an impact.

A race has been on to get any and everything mining to make the most of the current price and the period of time between now and the Halving. Just looking at one Pool BW.COM which for Months was running at a steady 30PH now it is touching 50PH.


Rich
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1723
It's not too late to pick.

However it is too late for ROI, apparently. Especially for us poor schlubs who bought batch 1 S7s for 8 BTC each  Shocked

Isn't that a good thing however? You only paid around $1800 but you started mining in Oct when the difficulty was still slightly lower and now all your coins are worth more.

It was better buying the miner in Sept for $1800 then today for $1650.

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