Lately, I've been using a simple strategy in sports betting by spotting lines that are overvalued or undervalued, which could easily attract public bets.
Isn't this the same as contrarian Indicators where your bets are against the public? Quote
Based on my record, I've had some success using this strategy. I realize that looking at stats alone to determine which team is better will not work. As gamblers, we have to do what others are not doing. A typical gambler will just look at the stats to determine the better team; they don't complicate things or consider other factors, which sometimes leads them to fall into traps.
It's good that you have records on this strategy and that you can conclude that it works. So if anyone is looking for something new to try out, they can just use this as evidence. And truly, a gambler has to do what others aren't willing to do, it will require thorough research and it takes a lot of time that's why I think most of us just look at the stats and then place our bets.Quote
So, guys, this is just my personal observation. Tell me if I'm overthinking, if I'm wrong about this, or if this really is the key to winning.
This doesn't look like over thinking to me. How can you be wrong about it when you have your records. What I will added is that one must be flexible about this too. If there research turns out to be that spotting overvalued or undervalued lines may not work, then they should place their bets based off on what works which is their findings. 
