Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev - page 139.

Trofo

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Quote from: ralle14 on September 25, 2021, 11:41:08 PM

Quote from: icopress on September 25, 2021, 05:34:22 PM

Guys, I need advice ... with Usyk's victory over Joshua today, I was one step away from a major victory, and I have high hopes for Tottenham. I am seriously thinking about what would be insured, but I can not decide how best to do this so that in any case, stay with Bitcoins.

With only Tottenham to win the best way to hedge both parlay is to take Arsenal +0.5 or Arsenal/Draw (double chance) and it'll cut a portion of your profits since Arsenal is the slight favs in this matchup.

In the first parlay the expected payout is around $770~ and the odds on Arsenal/Draw is at 1.33 so the optimal bet size would be around $560(BTC.013~). In this scenario you'll walk away with a $150(BTC.0035) profit no matter what happens.

In the second parlay the expected payout is around $3600 and with the given odds the optimal bet size is around $2750(BTC.065~). Your expected profit in this parlay is around $800(BTC.019) basically you have to bet a lot on the other side.

That is prudent advice and probably something that should be done, but it is not something I would do. I would place bet on the mentioned choice on some much smaller amount, maybe something that would just double my initial stakes. Then I would hope for Spurs to score first and used that opportunity to hedge more by placing a bigger bet on 1x.

That being said I would have never put Spurs victory on those tickets. I am expecting Arsenal to win today.

Also, don't you have option to cash out those tickets? If you do, why not cashing out one of them and leting the other ride. Choose which one based on amount of belief you have in Spurs. I would cash out both since I consider them shit, but I also expected Chelsea to win yesterday.

ralle14

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Quote from: icopress on September 25, 2021, 05:34:22 PM

Guys, I need advice ... with Usyk's victory over Joshua today, I was one step away from a major victory, and I have high hopes for Tottenham. I am seriously thinking about what would be insured, but I can not decide how best to do this so that in any case, stay with Bitcoins.

With only Tottenham to win the best way to hedge both parlay is to take Arsenal +0.5 or Arsenal/Draw (double chance) and it'll cut a portion of your profits since Arsenal is the slight favs in this matchup.

In the first parlay the expected payout is around $770~ and the odds on Arsenal/Draw is at 1.33 so the optimal bet size would be around $560(BTC.013~). In this scenario you'll walk away with a $150(BTC.0035) profit no matter what happens.

In the second parlay the expected payout is around $3600 and with the given odds the optimal bet size is around $2750(BTC.065~). Your expected profit in this parlay is around $800(BTC.019) basically you have to bet a lot on the other side.

icopress

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light_warrior ... 🕯️

Guys, I need advice ... with Usyk's victory over Joshua today, I was one step away from a major victory, and I have high hopes for Tottenham. I am seriously thinking about what would be insured, but I can not decide how best to do this so that in any case, stay with Bitcoins.

ralle14

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Only 2 weeks in the promo and the prize is already more than BTC.01 at this rate I think we might break the previous prize distribution that reached around BTC.02 ,after the weekend i'm expecting the participants to hit 90 at the minimum.

Also here's the daily specials lined up for today. The fantasy special seems tempting but i'll have to preserve my bankroll for now.

https://sportsbet.io/sports/sportsbet-specials/matches/today

buwaytress

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Quote from: arallmuus on September 24, 2021, 02:54:48 PM

That would be way easier because there is an autobet feature on roulette. My highest loss so far from playing with 0.2 mbtc stake is 1.8 mbtc after playing 25 times. One day before that, I won around 1.6 mbtc so everything is pretty much around break even for me. Well best of luck to you mate, keep wagering those 5 mbtc Tongue

Yeah I think I more or less broke even until the last couple of days, when I lost more than I should have on BJ. But yeah, I'm going to try and keep half of my bets on roulette (25 spins maybe at 0.1 mbtc to make 2.5mtbc) and the rest on 25 hands of BJ. Maybe reduce it even more, but like today I started roulette with a big bet and hit 0 haha.

The problem for me is weekends like today, and particular days when I can't be online or at least, not on a casino;)

GL to all of you! 96 of us left now and the leaderboard won't update til Monday. Hope we see 80 people by then hahaha!

arallmuus

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 24, 2021, 01:56:16 AM

Quote from: arallmuus on September 23, 2021, 11:59:01 AM

How about switching to 0.2 mbtc base bet instead and ditch all the side bet? That would be 25 times and probably around 20-25 minutes of playing. So far I have been using this strat for over a week and Im pretty much break even so far or probably on a slim profit. The variance is getting higher the longer we play so yeah 0.2 mbtc seems to be a proper bet so far atleast me

I would have gone for 0.5 mbtc base bet if I had alot more balance lol

Yeah, that would mean taking 25 hands only, but probably still too short for too big. I'm thinking of sticking to my standard 0.1 but aim to also complete half of the wager on roulette, I figure 0.05 mbtc on black/red each takes care of half the time while waiting for blackjack hands to settle. Since it's just wagering anyway, no need to think, easier to multitask.

That would be way easier because there is an autobet feature on roulette. My highest loss so far from playing with 0.2 mbtc stake is 1.8 mbtc after playing 25 times. One day before that, I won around 1.6 mbtc so everything is pretty much around break even for me. Well best of luck to you mate, keep wagering those 5 mbtc Tongue

Quote from: buwaytress on September 24, 2021, 01:56:16 AM

those days when you simply don't have time you're tempted to blast one big fat 5 mbtc wager and that's a lot of money to just lose in one hand.

Yeah, I used to do that as well. For the first few days of this contest, I wager 2.5 mbtc each on red and black on roulette because I feel its kinda wasting my time to play 50 rounds of blackjack of 0.1 mbtc stake but yeah ever since I increased the stake, its way fast enough to suit my schedule

Trofo

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Quote from: leea-1334 on September 24, 2021, 07:54:11 AM

It is interesting to read about all of this discussion on live casino promo,,, Trofo you dropped out quickly but at least you got the first step reward:)

For me I have been using roulette 100% for all my wagering on Live Casino and it is taking even less then 15 minutes of my time. Longer if I want to catch losses but so far, most of my days are break even or even just a tiny bit loss because I always play to catch loss.

After the reward yesterday won 1.5 so I am now back in profit and that amount can last me at least 5 bad days but if going at the rate, probably more like 20 days.

No I did not, I dropped out a day before first reward

But I would have lost it anyway since free spins never work out for me.

As I said my only problem with the promo was that feeling that I have to do it every day and I had really crazy week. Than I played 5 mBTC on red or black while walking to the toilet to take the leak, 2 days in a row. Won one, lost one so break even but that is not something I wanted to do more often. I tried playing on both red/black once and got 3 zeros in 10 runs so that was out of question for me.

My local bookie has similar promos but they give you 2 jokers per months, meaning you can miss 2 days and still be in the running for the prize. Good thing Sportsbet is giving us so many different promos so there is something for everybody.

leea-1334

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It is interesting to read about all of this discussion on live casino promo,,, Trofo you dropped out quickly but at least you got the first step reward:)

For me I have been using roulette 100% for all my wagering on Live Casino and it is taking even less then 15 minutes of my time. Longer if I want to catch losses but so far, most of my days are break even or even just a tiny bit loss because I always play to catch loss.

After the reward yesterday won 1.5 so I am now back in profit and that amount can last me at least 5 bad days but if going at the rate, probably more like 20 days.

buwaytress

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Quote from: arallmuus on September 23, 2021, 11:59:01 AM

How about switching to 0.2 mbtc base bet instead and ditch all the side bet? That would be 25 times and probably around 20-25 minutes of playing. So far I have been using this strat for over a week and Im pretty much break even so far or probably on a slim profit. The variance is getting higher the longer we play so yeah 0.2 mbtc seems to be a proper bet so far atleast me

I would have gone for 0.5 mbtc base bet if I had alot more balance lol

Yeah, that would mean taking 25 hands only, but probably still too short for too big. I'm thinking of sticking to my standard 0.1 but aim to also complete half of the wager on roulette, I figure 0.05 mbtc on black/red each takes care of half the time while waiting for blackjack hands to settle. Since it's just wagering anyway, no need to think, easier to multitask.

If I keep the way I have been, I'm going to lose a lot of money and time, just need to discipline myself -- like Trofo said though, those days when you simply don't have time you're tempted to blast one big fat 5 mbtc wager and that's a lot of money to just lose in one hand.

arallmuus

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Quote from: Trofo on September 23, 2021, 01:56:14 PM

JK, of course, I dropped out because it was getting to the point that I felt obligation to squeeze enough casino time to fulfill requirements and then wagering way too much on single roulette spins when lacking time.

Yeah and not to mention that the overall prize is only 1 btc so even if we are left with around 40 players in the end, that will be 0.025 btc each and this contest will be running for approximately for 4 months so that gives around 0.0002 btc everyday for average 30 minutes daily of playing live game with 0.1 mbtc stake per round ( faster with higher stake )

I intended to play a little bit longer in this contest and see how it goes. Probably will stop at some point if Im bored with it, so far so good and I had some good time chatting with some pretty dealer lol

Trofo

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I decided to drop from Live Casino Hero so you guys can get more money

JK, of course, I dropped out because it was getting to the point that I felt obligation to squeeze enough casino time to fulfill requirements and then wagering way too much on single roulette spins when lacking time. Worked good on some days terrible on others. I even think I was left with some profit in the end so not bad.

Did not even know there is Cricket blackjack. Damn they are hot for cricket on our favorite bookie. Too bad I can't relate.

arallmuus

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 22, 2021, 03:53:46 PM

Quote from: arallmuus on September 22, 2021, 01:03:07 PM

I see, the leaderboard is updated recently with everyone having 16 streak so far and currently there are 114 players left. Thats 3 player less from the last update assuming that I didnt count it wrong

I've been having a bad streak actually on BJ, even with safe play, but only because of bigger wagers on days I don't have time to play (50 0.1 mbtc hands is too long for most work days) and some chasing back has helped but also I'm going to need to switch to roulette more and more now to keep things spread out as we're barely 10% of the way haha.

How about switching to 0.2 mbtc base bet instead and ditch all the side bet? That would be 25 times and probably around 20-25 minutes of playing. So far I have been using this strat for over a week and Im pretty much break even so far or probably on a slim profit. The variance is getting higher the longer we play so yeah 0.2 mbtc seems to be a proper bet so far atleast me

I would have gone for 0.5 mbtc base bet if I had alot more balance lol

buwaytress

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Quote from: icopress on September 23, 2021, 09:33:46 AM

Quote from: buwaytress on September 23, 2021, 08:40:38 AM

Took yesterday's Cricket BJ but I don't take the blackjack there now with new rules as I have ZERO idea about what the scoring means either!

This is a rather sensitive topic of conversation ... Are you talking about soccer blackjack too, or just cricket? Since I, too, temporarily abandoned the idea to participate according to the new rules, I am still watching, but as evil after six busts we have two blackjacks. The most amazing thing is that if I joined, then with a high probability I would not have caught Blackjack, as usually when I place bets, everything happens exactly the opposite. Grin

I noticed I made a mistake: I meant to say I took yesterday's Cricket Special NOT Blackjack. Edited post now, sorry.

It's all cool man, don't worry. Discussions can get heated and uncomfortable when it comes to gambling and promos, I know! Soccer Blackjack is still something cool for me to play, and yeah, as I said, I'm still playing until I feel I've busted enough times. 1 hit allows you to take 20 busts, so, that hasn't happened yet Wink

But the comment above was referring to Cricket Blackjack, it's a special from the Sportsbet resident cricket tipster Brett Lee (ex Aussie cricketer and now Sportsbet ambassador). Same push/bust/win rules, but using some cricket scoring I have absolutely no clue about =) So I've taken them in the past but not any longer with new rules until the day I actually learn something about cricket...

icopress

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light_warrior ... 🕯️

Quote from: buwaytress on September 23, 2021, 08:40:38 AM

Took yesterday's Cricket BJ but I don't take the blackjack there now with new rules as I have ZERO idea about what the scoring means either!

This is a rather sensitive topic of conversation ... Are you talking about soccer blackjack too, or just cricket? Since I, too, temporarily abandoned the idea to participate according to the new rules, I am still watching, but as evil after six busts we have two blackjacks. The most amazing thing is that if I joined, then with a high probability I would not have caught Blackjack, as usually when I place bets, everything happens exactly the opposite. Grin

buwaytress

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Quote from: rdbase on September 23, 2021, 07:02:47 AM

This is for the blackjack competition correct @ralle14?
Congratulations to those who did take part in this event when buwaytress asked if I took part. I did not because it ran too long.
And with my luck in card games I declined since I would of ran out of funds even before it ended. Wink

Hope there were higher participation rewards offered if you did win more hands then the others on the leaderboard.

There is a new blackjack special this time but for cricket available:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/sportsbet-specials/daily-specials/cricket/mumbai-indians-kolkata-knight-riders-614b6bcac53794d44d7cd030

I haven't watched a match so I would be completely lost so I don't usually place bets on games/matches I have no prior knowledge on. Undecided

Nah, it's for Live Casino Hero, I just happened to use Blackjack to complete my wagers, but as mentioned above, going to need to switch to roulette more often as a 5 mbtc session for me at small stakes takes well over an hour, 3 to 4 dealers sometimes (each dealer has a 30-min sesh).

Took yesterday's Cricket BJ [edit: Special] but I don't take the blackjack there now with new rules as I have ZERO idea about what the scoring means either!

Edit: ralle: I got 1.6 mbtc from the same freebets. Put 30 bets on tie and got 4 (payout 8:1)!

rdbase

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This is for the blackjack competition correct @ralle14?
Congratulations to those who did take part in this event when buwaytress asked if I took part. I did not because it ran too long.
And with my luck in card games I declined since I would of ran out of funds even before it ended. Wink

Hope there were higher participation rewards offered if you did win more hands then the others on the leaderboard.

There is a new blackjack special this time but for cricket available:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/sportsbet-specials/daily-specials/cricket/mumbai-indians-kolkata-knight-riders-614b6bcac53794d44d7cd030

I haven't watched a match so I would be completely lost so I don't usually place bets on games/matches I have no prior knowledge on. Undecided

leea-1334

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Quote from: casperBGD on September 22, 2021, 08:27:36 AM

Quote from: leea-1334 on September 22, 2021, 08:03:58 AM

New 4-3-free and Bet-6 are up on the sportsbook. The Highlight match is involving my team against Arsenal, the big London derby which unfortunately feels like it is no longer as prestigious as it used to be now that Chelsea is by far the biggest and best London club at the moment.
~snip

isn't Arsenal almost always in 4-3-free challenge?
nevertheless, I do see Arsenal coming back to upper part of the table, and maybe even a win on weekend is an option, they had a harsh start, with gunning against City broken them apart, and international break made miracle for them, two wins in a row, and they are having good momentum to crash Tottenham, that is having two loses after break, six conceived goals and none scored

Chelsea is certainly top London team at the moment

No I do not think so,,, usually it is the biggest match of the week according to them.

This was the last EPL picks from 4-3-free:
Tottenham-Chelsea
Bayern-Barcelona
Leeds-Liverpool
Manchester City-Arsenal
Chelsea-Arsenal

So Arsenal made the first two but those were also the biggest matches of the week

And I totally agree with Arsenal assessment,,, even though as a Spurs fan we are of course happy to see them suffer, but now we have been losing back to back and our positions are almost equal now.

People forget Arsenal lost 3 times yes, but twice to the 2 favorites to win EPL.

ralle14

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What did you guys receive on the 15 day reward ?

While I was wagering for the daily requirement I got 30 free rounds on baccarat, each chip was at 0.05 mbtc, tried my best to win every round but I only walked away with 0.58 mbtc. Still not bad. Cheesy

buwaytress

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Quote from: arallmuus on September 22, 2021, 01:03:07 PM

I see, the leaderboard is updated recently with everyone having 16 streak so far and currently there are 114 players left. Thats 3 player less from the last update assuming that I didnt count it wrong

I've been having a bad streak actually on BJ, even with safe play, but only because of bigger wagers on days I don't have time to play (50 0.1 mbtc hands is too long for most work days) and some chasing back has helped but also I'm going to need to switch to roulette more and more now to keep things spread out as we're barely 10% of the way haha.

Quote from: arallmuus on September 22, 2021, 01:03:07 PM

Its looking good for this special bet. 4/5 matches that start at 5PM currently have over 1.5 goals , the other one has 1 goal at half time . Another 5 matches on 7PM though but its a pretty good start

Nantes took care of business in 55th minute, so the first 5 matches were all safe and dry with less than 2/3rds of game time gone. That was easy! Last week's average was >2.5 goals per game; there were 23 goals in the first 5 games, almost enough to keep the average if the remaining games were 0-0!

Stole all the goals from second batch though as they ended up getting to a slow start, only PSG-Metz ended 1-1 at HT, while Troyes and Lorient were the only others scoring one apiece by the same time.

3 games under 1.5, ended up being pretty far from hitting...

On the plus side, PSG won the game at the death after horrible reds from Metz haha... so I'm calling the 10/1 special SAFE and off to bed (woohoo), even though Real still have 2nd half to play. But they're leading 3-1. Surely Mallorca can't score 2 goals?

arallmuus

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Quote from: ralle14 on September 21, 2021, 01:16:06 AM

Quote from: arallmuus on September 20, 2021, 08:00:00 AM

-snip

Afaik it's automatically sent to us, I remember in the previous live casino hero I just receive a notification about the type of reward you'll get(mine used to be in the form of blackjack free chips).

I see, the leaderboard is updated recently with everyone having 16 streak so far and currently there are 114 players left. Thats 3 player less from the last update assuming that I didnt count it wrong

Quote from: buwaytress on September 22, 2021, 09:50:15 AM

I also took the Ligue 1 special at 11/1: Over 1.5 goals in all today's game. This one I have a good feeling about.

Its looking good for this special bet. 4/5 matches that start at 5PM currently have over 1.5 goals , the other one has 1 goal at half time . Another 5 matches on 7PM though but its a pretty good start

Edit : all first 5 matches ended up with over 1.5 goals, 5 more to go

Topic: Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev - page 139. (Read 64257 times)