I am not sure if I understood correctly that you misunderstood this question, but it seems like it. But I think the Shopify Rebellion - TSM game was the closest in regards to the odds and that is when those with a bit more knowledge about DOTA have a little advantage as they know what could make a decisive difference.
Oh my God you are right! I completely forgot that the question was who will leave the competition. I knew that when I was submitting my answers but forgot about it after. But now I'm surprised why some of you that know DOTA went with TSM. I was looking at the group stage and TSM finished their group at 2nd place while Shopify Rebellions finished their group at 4th place. That's why I went with them. I'm not that into DOTA to research deeper so I just went with the group placements.