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Topic: The Barry Silbert segwit2x agreement with >80% miner support. - page 22. (Read 120014 times)

legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1080
What in the hell is going to happen to BTC on august and should I just put all my money into altcoins pending it

I something bad happens to bitcoin, altcoins are the least safe place to get hide. Haven't you figured that out yet? In a bull market, altcoins (certain) are making the most money, in a bear market it is the opposite. If you have concerns, stay with FIAT. No altcoin is safe.


You are correct mindrust - and there is wide-spread faulty logic that alts are going to be a safe haven in the event that there is some kind of bitcoin demise.

Probably the odds of such a bet is less than 20% - even though there a lot of folks taking that bet, as if it were a lot more favorable, such as 80%

Alts are not safe. Bitcoin will be the canary in the mine. If bitcoin proves to the clueless masses that a decentralized form of money cannot work due to social dynamics and essentially human psychology than do you think they will continue to have faith in these altcoins that operate on the same basic principles of dynamic social co-operation as bitcoin? I doubt they will. Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency and it will be held as a reference point. Eliminating the "human psychology" risk from any structure built by humans and used by them is going to take a genius of epic proportions. Maybe in the future when we'll have AI this AI will hopefully be nice enough to build for us a cryptocurrency or at the very least manage it, cause everything we humans do is messy and we're bound to fuck it up somehow, someway, and sometime.

The other thing we must keep in mind is that the only reason some of these altcoins exist is because the entry into the btc sphere is so expensive - ie some people just cannot afford to grab a stake in btc. If btc tanks the average Joe is going to be thinking "well shit, if this bullshit can happen with bitcoin the same thing can happen with my shitcoin too! I better sell right away before I lose my entire life savings that I invested in this shitcoin in the hope that I will be a billionaire!"

So in a more verbose way I am just basically agreeing with you guys on this one - altcoins are not a safe haven if the bitcoin titanic crashes into an iceberg.
hero member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 552
Retired IRCX God
OK, the takeaway is:
BTC = all of crypto
Core = all of BTC
Got it.
 Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1002
***

Fragmentation is bad. It should be avoided if at all possible. To paraphrase a cliche, can't we all just agree and get along?!  Cheesy Cheesy

Whole crypo is driving on myth that crypto = BTC and BTC is driving party.
Whole value and commercial part of BTC is 21m HARD cap that people can not create more.
Fi you spilt BTC and you will have 21m then you create new 21m... and you will keep printing like central banks then
whole point of BTC as 21m currecy is worth piece of shit.

That what ETH is doing wil kick their asses later.
I think that we shuld go for drivechains and give those big blockers to be big blocks if they want and think that will help them.
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 11105
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
What in the hell is going to happen to BTC on august and should I just put all my money into altcoins pending it

I something bad happens to bitcoin, altcoins are the least safe place to get hide. Haven't you figured that out yet? In a bull market, altcoins (certain) are making the most money, in a bear market it is the opposite. If you have concerns, stay with FIAT. No altcoin is safe.


You are correct mindrust - and there is wide-spread faulty logic that alts are going to be a safe haven in the event that there is some kind of bitcoin demise.

Probably the odds of such a bet is less than 20% - even though there a lot of folks taking that bet, as if it were a lot more favorable, such as 80%
hero member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 552
Retired IRCX God
... "high decorated best coders of the world solo elite devs" in bitcoins center....
Can we stick to actual facts for the remainder of the thread?  Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2442
What in the hell is going to happen to BTC on august and should I just put all my money into altcoins pending it

If something bad happens to bitcoin, altcoins are the least safe place to get hide. Haven't you figured that out yet? In a bull market, altcoins (certain) are making the most money, in a bear market it is the opposite. If you have concerns, stay with FIAT. No altcoin is safe.

hero member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 552
Retired IRCX God
What in the hell is going to happen to BTC on august and should I just put all my money into altcoins pending it
It's 2017, how do you not already have $ in alts?  Huh

Stop that- alts have a lot of hash, but no power!
All commodities have exactly the value that people place on them. There are more 2+k diamonds in the world than there are people.
Only a fool takes a pass on getting free $


P.S. - The viewpoint of Bitcoin's solo elitism will lead to Bitcoin being left behind someday. Wink
sr. member
Activity: 546
Merit: 257
Have you found the Yellow Sign?
What in the hell is going to happen to BTC on august and should I just put all my money into altcoins pending it
It's 2017, how do you not already have $ in alts?  Huh

I do, but should I just take all my BTC and put it into ETH/XMR/DASH pending august 1st and beyond?
hero member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 552
Retired IRCX God
What in the hell is going to happen to BTC on august and should I just put all my money into altcoins pending it
It's 2017, how do you not already have $ in alts?  Huh
sr. member
Activity: 546
Merit: 257
Have you found the Yellow Sign?
What in the hell is going to happen to BTC on august and should I just put all my money into altcoins pending it
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1080
If there is a HF, prepare for two versions and no it won't be like ETH and ETC, it will be much messier...

Secret meetings and miners getting butthurt over UASF, sound like good reasons to go ahead with UASF to me.

Infact let's have a UASF version and a secret cartel HF version and see which one ends up at < $10 Smiley

Fragmentation is bad. It should be avoided if at all possible. To paraphrase a cliche, can't we all just agree and get along?!  Cheesy Cheesy

Not when the interests of the parties are at radical conflict, sir... :/

Fair enough, but both parties could end up losing a great deal to satisfy their conflict. It's a question of how badly do you want to get your way. August 1'st is fast approaching!
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 11
If there is a HF, prepare for two versions and no it won't be like ETH and ETC, it will be much messier...

Secret meetings and miners getting butthurt over UASF, sound like good reasons to go ahead with UASF to me.

Infact let's have a UASF version and a secret cartel HF version and see which one ends up at < $10 Smiley

Fragmentation is bad. It should be avoided if at all possible. To paraphrase a cliche, can't we all just agree and get along?!  Cheesy Cheesy

Not when the interests of the parties are at radical conflict, sir... :/
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1080
If there is a HF, prepare for two versions and no it won't be like ETH and ETC, it will be much messier...

Secret meetings and miners getting butthurt over UASF, sound like good reasons to go ahead with UASF to me.

Infact let's have a UASF version and a secret cartel HF version and see which one ends up at < $10 Smiley

Fragmentation is bad. It should be avoided if at all possible. To paraphrase a cliche, can't we all just agree and get along?!  Cheesy Cheesy
newbie
Activity: 14
Merit: 0
If there is a HF, prepare for two versions and no it won't be like ETH and ETC, it will be much messier...

Secret meetings and miners getting butthurt over UASF, sound like good reasons to go ahead with UASF to me.

Infact let's have a UASF version and a secret cartel HF version and see which one ends up at < $10 Smiley
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 11105
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
.... So when ComputerGenie began to make various arguments in that regard, I did not recognize or understand that he was making a kind of existential argument that in the end is irrelevant.  

In other words, who gives a ratt's ass if LN is part of bitcoin or not.  LN seems to provide quite a bit of functionality, as described in the FAQ linked article (above) and LN may or may not be used in the future (likely that it will be used), and I am not sure exactly what the speculation is, about LN taking away from bitcoin...
And therein lies the main problems:

  • You read what you want to read, not what's on the screen in front of you.

  • You misread the multiple times that I said I'm all for LN (as it's intended to be used).
  • You can't grasp that this thread is about Bitcoin.
  • You can't grasp that, in a conversation about Bitcoin, things that are not the Bitcoin protocol don't matter to the Bitcoin protocol.
  • You can't grasp that LN isn't part of Bitcoin, LN has no relevance to the Bitcoin protocol, and LN has no useful place in this conversation.

If you are a friend, rather than a foe, as you seem to imply, then you certainly are lacking in some of your explanatory abilities.   and therein lies a significant communication problem.     Tongue

Furthermore, I don't give too many fucks about whether or not LN falls in some kind of existential definition that you seem to want to describe when I understand that LN is intended to be sufficiently connected to bitcoin in order to facilitate bitcoin's functionality and therefore utility... so in that regard, even if LN is not technically an existential part of bitcoin, it still seems to play a pretty meaningful roll in various future possibilities of bitcoin - and especially connected with the segwit part of the segwit2x that is being discussed in this thread... so maybe there is some stretch in terms of topicality - yet I don't seem to be way off of the mark to be involving myself in such LN discussions within this thread.

And, your existentialist claims regarding bitcoin seem to be attempts to avert meaningful discussions about relevant topics rather than any attempt to clarify and or resolve differences of understandings.... or even possibly technical knowledge deficiencies of some other posters... since you are claiming technical (and apparently existential) expertise.   Roll Eyes  NOT that it matters, but I am not very convinced about your proclaimed areas of expertise.   Wink
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 263
The devil is in the detail.
If you're saying the hashrate will be small on core's fork, this is precisely the issue - what chain will economic entities and SPV clients follow. It is possible to voluntarily and involuntarily follow a lower hashrate fork. Note I'm not arguing in favour of anything, just pointing out the facts.

Even with small hashrate, this chain wont work - expect orphaning with empty blocks to kill the small chain economically. Even doublespends could be a problem. This reminds me of Luke-jr attack with his pool to merged minined altcoins - Im pretty sure similar incentive is here as well. The same reason why BIP148 would not work.
Assuming they want to spare the hashrate indeed. If it's large enough, however, then it would be too expensive a venture for them to do. At this stage there's enough pool support for segwit2x to believe there isn't enough hashrate (15%) to sustain a fork separate from it in any meaningful way, especially since some of that 15% is not showing support for regular segwit and likely to jump to the bigger fork.

Still feels like a massive clusterfuck is going to happen.

Funny thing is, in some alternate universe SegWit activated without a fight and is north of 10k right now, while in another alternate universe bitcoin is in its death throws do to political fighting over blocksize/control and probably sub 200 on its way $10.

We'll probably fall somewhere between the two  Cheesy
-ck
legendary
Activity: 4088
Merit: 1631
Ruu \o/
If you're saying the hashrate will be small on core's fork, this is precisely the issue - what chain will economic entities and SPV clients follow. It is possible to voluntarily and involuntarily follow a lower hashrate fork. Note I'm not arguing in favour of anything, just pointing out the facts.

Even with small hashrate, this chain wont work - expect orphaning with empty blocks to kill the small chain economically. Even doublespends could be a problem. This reminds me of Luke-jr attack with his pool to merged minined altcoins - Im pretty sure similar incentive is here as well. The same reason why BIP148 would not work.
Assuming they want to spare the hashrate indeed. If it's large enough, however, then it would be too expensive a venture for them to do. At this stage there's enough pool support for segwit2x to believe there isn't enough hashrate (15%) to sustain a fork separate from it in any meaningful way, especially since some of that 15% is not showing support for regular segwit and likely to jump to the bigger fork.
sr. member
Activity: 276
Merit: 254
If you're saying the hashrate will be small on core's fork, this is precisely the issue - what chain will economic entities and SPV clients follow. It is possible to voluntarily and involuntarily follow a lower hashrate fork. Note I'm not arguing in favour of anything, just pointing out the facts.

Even with small hashrate, this chain wont work - expect orphaning with empty blocks to kill the small chain economically. Even doublespends could be a problem. This reminds me of Luke-jr attack with his pool to merged minined altcoins - Im pretty sure similar incentive is here as well. The same reason why BIP148 would not work.
-ck
legendary
Activity: 4088
Merit: 1631
Ruu \o/
The point is there wont be two working chains, so from this perspective arguing with "hijacked" or "replay attacks" is moot.
You're assuming there won't be two chains. Why? At this stage there's every reason to believe core will not support the 2MB hard fork component of segwit2x leading to two chains. If you're saying the hashrate will be small on core's fork, this is precisely the issue - what chain will economic entities and SPV clients follow. It is possible to voluntarily and involuntarily follow a lower hashrate fork. Note I'm not arguing in favour of anything, just pointing out the facts.
sr. member
Activity: 276
Merit: 254
The point is there wont be two working chains, so from this perspective arguing with "hijacked" or "replay attacks" is moot.
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