Pages:
Author

Topic: The future of Bitcoin is illegal - page 9. (Read 20070 times)

legendary
Activity: 3108
Merit: 1531
yes
October 07, 2012, 02:43:28 PM
#66
Someone else mentioned this type of thing earlier and I wanted to comment. Very cool thinking and it appeals to me a lot. Is anyone actually trying to put this into action?

Insofar I am aware, mobile payments in those areas is developing (e.g., payment by SMS).

In my opinion, we need some more years for the back lands to sufficiently upgrade on mobile networking (internet) and devices (smartphones) before we may expect BTC to lift off in those areas of the world. This element of time can hardly be considered as a blockade for BTC, because the more spread out the use of BTC is at that time, the better it will gain traction in less developed areas of the world.

In terms of mobile payments, we could use progress on speedy payment confirmation and a mobile BTC client that is lightweight and data-thin. I am yet to make/receive my first mobile Android BTC payment....  Cry

hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
October 07, 2012, 02:40:50 PM
#65
I'd add gain control of their own wealth to that list.  With infinite QE happening as we speak, keeping cash around is folly.  Not everyone involved in bitcoin is trying to circumvent laws and regulations, in the same way that not all people who hoard gold are trying to do so. 

You're correct in reminding the OP about Bitcoin's function as a store of value, but bear in mind, to the OP's point, that in many countries on this planet, gaining control of one's own wealth is actually illegal.  Prohibitions against metals ownership, currency exchanges, and currency transport exist in most countries in varying degrees, and are specifically designed to disable people's ability to preserve and move their wealth.  And so, to the extent that Bitcoin is used to protect savings (which I agree with you, it is), it's potentially yet another bullet on the OP's "illegal uses" list, as opposed to the "legal uses" list.   Most countries (including USA in 1933) have, at least once, made wealth preservation strategies illegal, and will likely do so again as the worldwide ponzi economy continues to deteriorate.

full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
October 07, 2012, 02:40:33 PM
#64

Sorry you didn’t convince me. I still think you’re lying. You supposedly bought into btc for $1000 at a time when you could have spent that amount on equipment and mined more solo at 50 coins a block than you could have afforded to buy.

The businesses are all around you do your own research.  https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Trade

I notice you conveniently missed arguing against speculation because there is no argument against it.


Haha, I wasn't trying to convince you, but I think it's quite rude to call me a liar considering you clearly have no idea what you are talking about. Luckily I don't care what you think.

I had a look at that list and I didn't see anything worth a fuck that either isn't an exchange or doesn't deal mainly in cash with BTC transactions offered as a little thing on the side. If I am missing something feel free to point it out.

A currency can't survive on speculation alone, at some point you have to exchange it for goods or services.
donator
Activity: 1464
Merit: 1047
I outlived my lifetime membership:)
October 07, 2012, 02:25:28 PM
#63
Another good use was pointed out in the excellent TEDx talk (https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/tedx-bitcoin-seasteading-and-3d-printing-how-technology-moves-society-115555):
the ultra poor -- those who have no means of establishing financial arrangements with banks and have no safe place to store their money -- could use Bitcoin not only as a bank but also as a global payment system.  

Someone else mentioned this type of thing earlier and I wanted to comment. Very cool thinking and it appeals to me a lot. Is anyone actually trying to put this into action?



Not that I'm aware of...I mean, not directly.  A cheap Ellet would go a long way Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1016
Strength in numbers
October 07, 2012, 02:19:44 PM
#62
Quote from: nobbynobbynoob link=topic=116937.msg1253003#msg1253003

Prohibition -> reduction in supply (supply curve shifted leftward) -> higher market price

Econ 101!

Supply is fixed. You only need to concern yourself with demand. Publicity is possible, but whether this boosts or reduces demand is not obvious.
The number of coins in existence is fixed. But that doesn't mean that the supply is fixed. Supply refers to the amount of coins that sellers are willing to part with at a given price.  If it were illegal to transact with or sell bitcoins, I don't see many current holders simply deleting their wallets.  But they might be less willing to sell their coins if doing so exposed them to the risk of criminal sanctions.  So presumably the supply curve would be shifted to the right.  On the other hand, the demand curve would presumably shift to the left.  So the ultimate effect on price is not immediately obvious.  My guess is that the effect on demand would be greater than the effect on supply so I'd expect a price drop.  That's the opposite of what you see with the prohibition of illicit drugs where the effects on supply dominate the effects on demand.  The prohibition of illicit drugs does relatively little to deter users, but it does make sellers demand a fairly substantial risk premium.

The legitimacy boost of "This is a thing that worries us" is global and any actual cracking down would be local. We'll never really know the exact effect even if it happens because it will probably happen in response to a period of rapid increase in interest.

It is already seen by many as a way to get around laws, so it might not be hurt much by a law. Though you do lose the plausible deniability that you could be doing something legal with it if just owning it is illegal.
sr. member
Activity: 342
Merit: 250
October 07, 2012, 02:05:58 PM
#61
Quote from: nobbynobbynoob link=topic=116937.msg1253003#msg1253003

Prohibition -> reduction in supply (supply curve shifted leftward) -> higher market price

Econ 101!

Supply is fixed. You only need to concern yourself with demand. Publicity is possible, but whether this boosts or reduces demand is not obvious.
The number of coins in existence is fixed. But that doesn't mean that the supply is fixed. Supply refers to the amount of coins that sellers are willing to part with at a given price.  If it were illegal to transact with or sell bitcoins, I don't see many current holders simply deleting their wallets.  But they might be less willing to sell their coins if doing so exposed them to the risk of criminal sanctions.  So presumably the supply curve would be shifted to the right.  On the other hand, the demand curve would presumably shift to the left.  So the ultimate effect on price is not immediately obvious.  My guess is that the effect on demand would be greater than the effect on supply so I'd expect a price drop.  That's the opposite of what you see with the prohibition of illicit drugs where the effects on supply dominate the effects on demand.  The prohibition of illicit drugs does relatively little to deter users, but it does make sellers demand a fairly substantial risk premium.
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
October 07, 2012, 01:56:10 PM
#60
One final note: You shouldn’t make stupid claims if you want to effectively sway others. “I sold a lot of coins last summer, and I made over $100,000 clear profit from an initial $1000 investment, and that was from only about half of the coins I bought for that $1000.” This is false unless you bought into btc well below a dollar (like mining with a cpu era) which you couldn’t have done since “last summer” or you have been playing the market which means in either case you shouldn’t need to be told all of this. It just makes you look like a liar and hurts your case.

This paragraph is baffling. My big profit came from coins I sold last summer. I didn't buy them last summer. At no point did I say that I bought them last summer. I did indeed buy into BTC when the price was a fraction of a dollar.

As for the rest, I thought your post was very well written, if slightly zealous, but I don't think anything you have said has any impact on my argument. You speak in rousing terms about young intelligent people getting together to start Bitcoin businesses. Where are they? Where are the successful Bitcoin businesses that aren't exchanges or money movers of some kind? The fact that the only legitimate successful businesses are in the business of moving Bitcoins from national currencies and back merely serves to underline the fundamentally auxiliary nature of Bitcoin.

Another good use was pointed out in the excellent TEDx talk (https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/tedx-bitcoin-seasteading-and-3d-printing-how-technology-moves-society-115555):
the ultra poor -- those who have no means of establishing financial arrangements with banks and have no safe place to store their money -- could use Bitcoin not only as a bank but also as a global payment system.  

Someone else mentioned this type of thing earlier and I wanted to comment. Very cool thinking and it appeals to me a lot. Is anyone actually trying to put this into action?

donator
Activity: 1464
Merit: 1047
I outlived my lifetime membership:)
October 07, 2012, 01:54:20 PM
#59
What, technically, can be done to centralize Bitcoin? I mean, I can see how one could centralize the addition of new features, but, you can undo what's been done.  Bitcoin is Bitcoin...it's not like it can just suddenly become this completely non-anonymous, heavily fee based network via a central authority...everyone running the software would have to agree...
legendary
Activity: 2142
Merit: 1010
Newbie
October 07, 2012, 01:44:06 PM
#58

If Bitcoin loses his decentralization it still will be valuable.
donator
Activity: 1464
Merit: 1047
I outlived my lifetime membership:)
October 07, 2012, 01:32:55 PM
#57
Another good use was pointed out in the excellent TEDx talk (https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/tedx-bitcoin-seasteading-and-3d-printing-how-technology-moves-society-115555):
the ultra poor -- those who have no means of establishing financial arrangements with banks and have no safe place to store their money -- could use Bitcoin not only as a bank but also as a global payment system. 

No doubt the cash like aspects of Bitcoin do encourage cash like use, especially in the same illegal ways cash is used; but to fail to see the global, society changing differences Bitcoin has from cash I think is short sighted.  Bitcoin is a bit more than drugs, porn, and guns.
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
October 07, 2012, 12:45:05 PM
#56

I'd add gain control of their own wealth to that list.  With infinite QE happening as we speak, keeping cash around is folly.  Not everyone involved in bitcoin is trying to circumvent laws and regulations, in the same way that not all people who hoard gold are trying to do so. 


Fiat money is designed to fail when not pegged to the value of something else. The value of the dollar was separated from the gold standard in 1971. How long does it have?


Bitcoin has value in itself
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
October 07, 2012, 11:52:49 AM
#55
There is only one reason for a normal person to want a Bitcoin - to break rules, laws, and regulations.

That's not stated as an opinion. It's stated as a fact. And it's inflammatory. It's like me going to a Chevy forum and posting, "There is only one reason to own a Chevy, so you can get pulled out of the mud by a Ford."


Hahaha. You've misunderstood me. The Ford comment is a criticism of a Chevy. I'm not criticizing Bitcoin, quite the opposite. I am sorry you thought my comment was a derogatory one about something you feel strongly about. It wasn't. It was pointing out a strength, not a weakness. It's a shame you don't see it that way.

Besides, you stated yourself that you own Bitcoins. So are you normal? Do you only want to break rules, laws, and regulations? Oh right, you are the talented one that is making bank off of the scofflaws. Oh wait, now people have two reasons to use Bitcoin! Or maybe you didn't pay taxes on your alleged earnings, which would put you back in category one?

I don't think anyone who is currently involved in Bitcoins is normal by definition. It is a very, very niche thing that most people are completely unaware of. To even be aware of Bitcoins is unusual.

I'm not under the misapprehension that my Bitcoin profits are a reflection of any talent. I took a gamble with a thousand bucks and got very lucky indeed. The same with future profits.

I also don't really see hoarding Bitcoins in the hope of them raising in value as a "use"

I paid every penny I owed in taxes as I do with all the money I earn on investments, I have no idea why you are even floating the possibility that I might not have.


You also make several other inflammatory (trollish) statements:

There's nothing other than drugs to spend them on.
You can't buy anything with Bitcoin, and 90% of Bitcoin investments are a scam.
I'm suggesting that only those who wish to break a law, rule or regulation have a good reason to use bitcoin.

And I'm sure I can find more.


I said those things because I believe them, not to inflame your sensibilities. I don't have any interest or motive for getting you all riled up, and to be honest I'm surprised things have gone that way.


Guess what. I don't own Bitcoins in order to break laws. I don't use them to purchase drugs. And I've never been scammed using Bitcoins. So when I see these statements presented as fact, on a forum dedicated to Bitcoin, the only conclusion that I can come to is that you are a troll.


What exactly do you use them for?

Now, perhaps you are trying to have some legitimate discussion here. If so, perhaps you would have more success by being less inflammatory towards Bitcoin enthusiasts?

I'm not quite at the level of involvement to call myself a Bitcoin enthusiast myself, but I do have nothing but good things to say about them. I'm sorry that you are so pissed off by me stating that the vast majority of Bitcoin investment vehicles have turned out to be scams, and that there isn't anything to buy with them (other than drugs) that couldn't be bought more simply, with less risk of fraud and more easily with whatever the local currency is. If you find that inflammatory, it is a shame, because to me those are incontrovertible facts and putting your fingers in your ears and shouting "TROLL" isn't going to change that. For me a discussion takes place around the facts, not in denial of them.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Manateeeeeeees
October 07, 2012, 11:44:53 AM
#54
There is only one reason for a normal person to want a Bitcoin - to break rules, laws, and regulations. This is the future of Bitcoin, this is what will drive the price up, and I think this is what we should all be focusing on.
That is a bold assumption. It's like saying the only reason to enrich uranium is to build nuclear weapons.
Bitcoin has no intrinsic purpose - just properties. It's up to the people to use it for different things.

I think it's wrong to promote illegal activities to increase the value of bitcoin. The only exception is when the illegal is ethically pleasing.

Thus I am fixing this for you:
There is only one a reason for a normal person to want a Bitcoin - to overcome rules, laws, and regulations.
I'd add gain control of their own wealth to that list.  With infinite QE happening as we speak, keeping cash around is folly.  Not everyone involved in bitcoin is trying to circumvent laws and regulations, in the same way that not all people who hoard gold are trying to do so. 
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
October 07, 2012, 11:18:30 AM
#53
Like many of you, I hold a substantial number of Bitcoins. I am interested in seeing the value of those coins go up vs. the USD so that I can sell my coins for USD in future. For me, there's no other reason to have them.

I actually think that the more able members of our society have a duty to help the weaker members, so I don't have any weird libertarian fantasies. I'm just in it for the money. The actual, folding, bank account, Visa card money.

So how can we push the price of Bitcoin up so that we can sell our coins for more? As everyone knows, in order to increase prices we need to spike demand. So why would anyone want a Bitcoin?

When Silk Road became popular last year, everyone saw how it pushed up the price of Bitcoin. I haven't actually seen many people on this forum acknowledge the fact that Silk Road is driving the Bitcoin economy. There's simply not much else to buy with Bitcoins, and unless you are a currency speculator or a Bitcoin devotee there is no other reason to turn your government backed cash into Bitcoins.

I sold a lot of coins last summer, and I made over $100,000 clear profit from an initial $1000 investment, and that was from only about half of the coins I bought for that $1000. I still have the rest. I am sure a lot of you cashed out too, for even bigger profits.

I am sure that the increase in price that I profited so much from is down, mostly, to demand spurred on by Silk Road.

There is only one reason for a normal person to want a Bitcoin - to break rules, laws, and regulations. This is the future of Bitcoin, this is what will drive the price up, and I think this is what we should all be focusing on.

I'd be interested to hear people's thoughts and ideas about this. I think that gambling in the USA is an untapped market but there may be other laws that we can help people break with Bitcoin too.

Bold my emphasis. A very large proportion of the world's population do not have a FICO score let alone a good one, credit cards or even a bank account. They are in fact the world's poor, and for them Bitcoin may well be the only alternative to cash or paying usurious service charges. So unless one criminalizes poverty there is a huge legal market for Bitcoin.

By the way online purchase is a horrible model for illegal drugs, particularly the highly addictive ones. How many heroin addicts are going to wait two weeks to get their fix in the mail? No they will buy from the local dealer for cash and go into the nearest dark alley to shoot up. Ditto for crack meth etc.
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
October 07, 2012, 09:37:38 AM
#52



Hahaha. I am good with dollars, thanks. You can buy things with dollars, plus invest them in legitimate things. You can't buy anything with Bitcoin, and 90% of Bitcoin investments are a scam.

Did you know you can buy gold directly with bitcoin? (https://bitcoin.org.uk/forums/topic/384-new-bitcoin-for-gold-exchange)





Why would someone go to the hassle of converting USD into Bitcoin when they could go on amazon and buy any of that instantly with their credit card?


Because Bitcoin is an investment, one bitcoin will probably continue to buy more Amazon stuff because of that. Have you heard of the Gartner Hype Cycle?





If you want food or to pay your mortgage/rent, you still need to turn it into government backed currency.



plouf // Jun 29, 2011 at 2:25 pm

I paid my rent in bitcoins today.



This is the information era.
donator
Activity: 980
Merit: 1000
October 07, 2012, 09:31:12 AM
#51
As for the conclusion illegal->price raise, there is no solid evidence to back it up, just some wild speculation.

Prohibition -> reduction in supply (supply curve shifted leftward) -> higher market price

Econ 101!

Wild speculation passed as fact 101.

The exact effects in supply and demand are extremely unpredictable.
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
October 07, 2012, 09:20:23 AM
#50
Hi Charlie, I'm trying to understand your first point more clearly, in one paragraph you post about the more able members helping the weaker members, but following that you are stating a clear desire to push the price up to sell for more for personal profit. (almost sounds like a pump-and-dump)

Hi. I was talking about society as a whole. The point that I was trying to make is that I don't have a political agenda for using Bitcoin. I don't really see trying to get the price up as anyway similar to a pump and dump.
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
October 07, 2012, 09:16:58 AM
#49
Quote from: nobbynobbynoob link=topic=116937.msg1253003#msg1253003

Prohibition -> reduction in supply (supply curve shifted leftward) -> higher market price

Econ 101!

Supply is fixed. You only need to concern yourself with demand. Publicity is possible, but whether this boosts or reduces demand is not obvious.

I think this:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=77151.0;all


Will bring worldwide publicity to BTC if it is done correctly.
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
October 07, 2012, 09:11:48 AM
#48
Troll thread attracts trolls, film at 11.

I'm not sure why you think this is a troll thread. Because I hold opinions that are different to the majority of people here? Tough shit man. If you want Bitcoin to be a currency to be widely adopted, you're going to have to accept that it's not a social club for people who all think the same. I'm happy to respect your opinions if you want to chime in. To be honest I think you are the one trolling, because you are doing nothing to contribute to the discussion. Feel free to contribute intelligently and prove me wrong.

That goes for the other guy who posted just to accuse myself and others of being trolls too.
legendary
Activity: 3108
Merit: 1531
yes
October 07, 2012, 09:09:55 AM
#47
What is illegal? As people start distrusting govt-backed "money" they will figure out that govt-backed "laws" are no different. They are just arbitrary abstractions imposed on them against their will. Or do you suggest that governments these days have highest approval ratings in history? No, they don't.

we are witnessing the end of the relevance of the nation state in real time, take notes kids, its fascinating stuff.

Bitcoin's consequences could be mind boggling.
Pages:
Jump to: