The benefit of holding over long periods is that it will capture the general trend without being concerned with shorter term variance and day-to-day price fluctuations. The more you trade in and out, the more variance you expose yourself to in the day-to-day price movements and the medium term trends. The longer your time frame for holding, the smoother those price movements get, and you get the average of whatever the long term trend is. If you were an early adopter, the long term trend has been hugely positive, even though at any point there are constant small and medium (and even large) crashes. If you were trading daily, you might increase your gains by correctly guessing what way the market will move and catching it up and down, but far more likely you're inefficiently capturing the long term average upward movement by being out of the market for some of those times or guessing wrong some of the time.
If you use just a small percentage of your capital (no more than 3-5%) for day trading, you are likely to fare a lot better than by simple holding even if the long-term trend is in your favor (which is not set in stone, mind you). All financial markets are famous for their extreme volatility (obviously, that depends on your point of reference), so if you just buy and sell at a certain interval (like 2-3% of price change), you will hit it regardless of your trading skills. In this fashion, there is no need for guessing as you can stick to a more direct approach.
If the price breaks out of your trading range, you can either switch to a holding mode and let the profits grow in the usual way, thus getting back where you would be with no day trading involved, or start the cycle anew by buying back what you have sold on the way up (some part of that amount).
This presupposes you can efficiently move in and out of markets and call every reversal in momentum correctly, which isn't possible. If anyone could do this, it would break the market and there would be consistent billionaires minted from this approach. The fact is this this can't be reliably done. Even the best hedge funds that employ the smartest PhD analysts and deploy the most sophisticated modeling algorithms lose to something as basic as the S&P over long stretches of time. The longer the time horizon, the more likely they are to lose as the more moves you make, the greater the variance you expose yourself to. Every time you're wrong about where the market is going and have to adjust your approach, you've lost efficiency you would have gained by just holding.
Obviously, you didn't read what I wrote. Or read but didn't understand. You don't need to move in and out of the market using some obscure strategy or plan, sophisticated or not. Forget about it. You just sell and buy (but don't forget to sell at a profit, of course), and you will ride the wave sooner or later on its own, purely statistically. Ultimately, it all comes down to buying low and selling high, no matter how sophisticated or complex your approach to trading is. But in this very case you use the simplest possible strategy, if that could be called strategy at all. You just place your sell order a few %% higher than the price you bought at, then again add a few %% for the next sell order, and so on, selling in small amounts. You may say that it is stupid and unsophisticated but it works as long as it works for long-term holding.
The only caveat is that you should keep a keen eye on how much you allocate for day trading. If you allocate too much, then you will miss real growth (if it ever comes about). When you run out of the allocated capital, you repeat the procedure by buying up what you have sold at current prices and then proceed to sell in fractions again (though not necessarily exactly the same amount).
Do you for some reason not understand that "buy" means
move into the market and "sell" means
move out of the market? If you don't understand such a basic concept, you probably should feel self-conscious about the sophistication of the advice you're hocking.
Just to recap here, every time you buy and sell bitcoin, you're moving in and out of the market. Every move you make in a market opens you up to inefficiency, which you're catching on both sides (up and down, IN and OUT) every time you're not perfectly calling a peak or valley. There are people who tried to beat the buy and hold mentality and they have invariably failed. Warren Buffet famously challenged any hedge fund to outperform the S&P 500 over a ten year period in a million dollar bet, and only one hedge fund trader was confident enough to take the bet. He lost by a landslide, because statistically speaking, you cannot outperform the market over long periods of time by actively trading, and Warren Buffet knew this and preyed on the ignorance of people who didn't. The steep decline in the number of actively managed hedge funds over the last 20 years is due to the fact that investors are learning this now too on a large scale. Those very few who do outperform the overall market in the short term are what statisticians would call
lucky, and they revert to the mean before too long. The fact that you're losing efficiency by actively trading is supported by the fact that nobody can do it over the long term.