People might be wondering if there will be a massive sell off when the price of bitcoin approaches the bubble values of this spring. Here's what I think:
I happen to be one of the unfortunate, who bought into bitcoin during the spring bubble.
This was after watching the price almost double during one week, and trying to quickly study bitcoin and understand how everything works. Finally I decided that I can't wait any longer. I just had to get some coins or face the possibility of life long regret. The day I put in my buy order, was actually the highest peak day!
Then the crash happened. Luckily the order took half a day to execute and I got my bitcoins for "only" 180 dollars/coin.
My thoughts were pretty much "God damn it, I knew it was too good to be true! I will never ever try something like this again. I should have known better."
Despite my negative feelings, I kept checking out bitcoin every once in while, considering if I should maybe accept the loss in order to avoid even bigger losses in the future.
When the price climbed all the way up to 150 I was thinking "wohoo, soon I can end this nightmare without making a loss!". Then it fell again.
Fast forward to this day. During the last months bitcoin has intrigued me more and more. I have kept a close eye on the BTC course. I keep reading these forums daily. I talk to people about bitcoin. Bitcoin has started to represent hope for me.
And something has changed. I'm not looking forward to sell my bitcoins in order to just break even anymore. After all the trouble and heartache I've been through with bitcoins, I simply won't settle anymore for any small profit. If I get double the price I paid originally, I might consider selling. But if that would be the case, it would be so bullish that I'm not sure if I could let them go. So it's actually quite hard to see myself selling my bitcoins now.
My point is simply this: I bought into the bubble, was looking for an exit for months, but wouldn't take the exit anymore without
significant gains.
There might be many bubble buyers who are having a similar kind of change of heart. And this new feeling is quite bullish I have to say.