Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 158. (Read 97274 times)

UFC event is starting soon so you are now safe to transition from watching UCL to real fighting
Co-main event is looking great for me and this should be main event, after Pena dropped out because of injury.
Nunes is total favorite and I think she will do it quickly with KO, but I just don't like anything about her.
Oliveira has a big chance to come back after losing from Islam Makhachev and I think he learned some lessons from that fight.
Dariush is very good fighter, but slight reach advantage and better skills should be in favor of Oliveira.

Here are some of my predictions for main card:

Amanda Nunes  KO-TKO win.
Charles Oliveira win by submission.
Adam Fugitt
Dan Ige
Marc-Andre Barriault

For, I think Amanda Nunes wants a challenge and Julianna Peña is not cut for her anymore many don't really want a rematch again many want a different fighter to fight Amanda Nunes and for me, any fighter in that division will be bulldozed by Nunes raw strength, if only Kayla Harrison was on UFC or even Larissa Pacheco I think those two would be a match for the strength of Amanda Nunes, but surely maybe there is a fighter in the bottom rank that could likely be a match for her,


Beneil Dariush looks really tired, but maybe it is just his expression, and after that face-off, he leaves immediately I think he will surely ready something or feeling something and wants to leave early, or maybe you are right, and because Charles Oliveira looks happy and lively while shaking hands with Dariush I really think he is in his calm demeanor as always, but if you are right then the aggressive explosiveness of Oliveira will be very much viable in this fight and it is a good choice for me in taking the underdog Charles Oliveira,

Check out how Dariush and Olivera looked during weight-ins. Oliveira cut more than needed and looked smiling, but Dariush was perfectly in limit of lightweight, but looked imho exhausted. If he is too much dehydrated, then he is in big troubles in a fight against an aggressive fighter that always pushes forward. It looks more and more that fight is not going to go full distance.

My picks for the UFC 289

Amanda Nunes VS Irene Aldana

The stake odds for this fight are 1.31 for Nunes and 3.50 for Aldana, this matchup might be very one-sided but again if Irene Aldana can pull an upset just like what Alexa Grasso has done this will be the 4th belt to Mexico, I really doubted that could happen, Amanda Nunes is well-rounded when it comes to stand-up I think Irene Aldana is slightly in advantage because of her boxing, but again Nunes can 1 hit KO Aldana and if the going gets tough on the standing she can definitely switch it to the ground and punish Aldana on the ground, so for me, I am going with Amanda Nunes,

Charles Oliveira VS Beneil Dariush

The stake odds for this fight are 2.24 for Oliveira and 1.66 for Dariush, so surprise for the odds are on Beneil Dariush's side, but for this fight, Beneil Dariush will always go with the most convenient way and is more on a technical approach, but Charles Oliveira is a more exciting fighter than Dariush but because both are very well knowledgeable in the BJJ department I think I will give it to both fighters but for me, if it comes with the stand-up striking I am going with Charles Oliveira so for this fight my pick is Charles Oliveira,

Mike Malott VS Adam Fugitt

The stake odds for this fight are 1.46 for Malott and 2.75 for Fugitt, For this fight for me Malott is more exciting to watch than Fugitt, and right now I think Mike Malott has upped his game in every fight he was on, surely both fighters are well rounded both can finish the fight with a stand-up striking and in the ground but for me Mike Malott just got the edge for me so my pick is Mike Malott,

Here are the recorded weigh in vids and face...  Your last chance to check how the fighters look before placing your bets.    It's nice to see everybody nailing their respective weight cuts and looking good at the same time.

UFC 289:  Weigh In Highlights
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zNFQWl86Msg

UFC 289:  Face Off
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GNqua_NhZZw

Amanda Nunes (135) vs Irene Aldana (135)
Charles Oliveira (154) vs Beneil Dariush (156)
Adam Fugitt (170.75) vs Mike Malott (169.5)
Dan Ige (145.5) vs Nate Landwehr (144.25)
Eryk Anders (184.75) vs Marc-Andre Barriault (185)
Chris Curtis (185.25) vs Nassourdine Imavov (185.5)
Jasmine Jasudavicius (125.25) vs Miranda Maverick (125.5)
Aori Qileng (135) vs Aiemann Zahabi (135.75)
Blake Bilder (145.5) vs Kyle Nelson (145)
David Dvorak (125.5) vs Stephen Erceg (125.5)
Diana Belbita (114.5) vs Maria Oliveira (115.5)

Last couple of vids for Embedded.  I liked this series for some reason.  There's something about Dariush that you like to watch.  He's just cool and whatever.  One of my favorite fighters in the roster.  Too bad I got the other guy to win.  Lol.

UFC 289 Embedded:  Episode 5
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GusZvMFRL7E

UFC 289 Embedded:  Episode 6
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mPIuFpkEtPE

Good luck to all your bets!

Edit:  Last call to the Multi Master.

UFC 289 - Multi Master Challenge
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/sportsbetio-ufc-289-multi-master-challenge-saturday-10-june-5455206

We have the same prediction but not about the knockout.
I like Aldana's opportunity here and I am sure she will not let this go without a good fight. So I think it will end with a decision but with two bloody ladies on camera.
Oh, and I remember that Alexa Grasso versus Valentina Shevchenko fight, I think I won x7 betting for her on that match just to win (I actually forgot to bet for a submission or a TKO/KO). It was spot on, and I think it will also happen here in Nunes versus Aldana fight. I just really doubt the KO but I think I will add it up to my bet after I read your post.
@3.70 for Irene Aldana to win.
@8.00 for KO/TKO
@16.00 for submission (sweet)
@8.20 for decision (hmmm)

Girl Issues. Just kidding.
The hate is there, she said she is weak (Julianna) and the fighting skills are not for a champion. That trilogy should really happen but what if Nunes is defeated in this fight against Aldana? Will they still continue the rematch or retirement will be in the process? Because she said it, it came from her, she can retire if somebody else is holding the belt as long as it's not Pena.

For me it was a draw, and it should end in a draw like I said Islam Makhachev is crushing the stand-up if you watch the fight closely Alexander Volkanovski was pretty much surprised about it, while Makhachev was surprised on the ground defense of Volkanovski that is why this fight was pretty much interesting, but the judge has likely made a point on Islam Makhachev's stand-up domination against Volkanovski that is why Islam Makhachev won the fight,

---

Now here are my picks and prediction for the fight tomorrow,

Amanda Nunes(1.33) VS Irene Aldana(3.70)

Super underdog odds for Aldana, likely seeing her be beaten by Nunes, it is just not fair but surely Irene Aldana has no choice she wants a title shot and likely wants to try it, but she is a boxer, if he doesn't have a great takedown defense this is going to be a dominant win for Amanda Nunes, but if Amanda Nunes is not fighting smart here she could likely eat Aldana's striking, but Amanda Nunes is very well rounded, so for this fight my pick is Amanda Nunes,

Charles Oliveira(2.35) VS Beneil Dariush(1.68)

Charles Oliveira for me is the most entertaining to watch than Beneil Dariush both fighters had a solid ground game, but Oliveira will surely go inside the cage with some entertainment value he will likely do some kicks great with his striking and great knowledge in the BJJ department, while Beneil Dariush would likely want to go on a route where there is a convenient to what he would do, likely he is a more technical fighter, and will likely wait for an opening, but Charles Oliveira will not wait for that he will be aggressive towards Dariush, for this fight my pick is Charles Oliveira,

Mike Malott(1.49) VS Adam Fugitt(2.85)

For me Mike Malott is a great fighter, he got a lot of entertaining fights that could go with knockout and submission, but man this kid is really entertaining to watch, while I see Adam Fugitt doesn't stand a chance against Malott, this is going to be a bias prediction for me because I really like how Mike Malott fight, for this match he will likely dominate this one, so my pick is Mike Malott,

Look at those kitties! 


Yes! Charles Oliveira was very aggressive in that fight maybe he is looking at the fight between Islam Makhachev to Adriano Martins as being aggressive like that and wish some punch would connect to knockout Makhachev fast, but that fight with Adriano Martins is really hard to recreate and Islam Makhachev is just we Tad back then so 1 punch was the only thing that Adriano Martins need but Charles Oliveira is just hopeful that his being aggressive can land against Makhachev which is not very effective to the Makhachev now,


After seeing your post I searched the news and I was shocked to see it this might be the mentality that I am talking about for Irene Aldana to win this fight, or this could be a chance for Aldana to be champion, I really think that Amanda Nunes is likely ready to retire, of this could be a trap for Aldana so she would think that Nunes has a weak mindset to retire for me I am not changing what I think I think this could be the last fight for Nunes and it is a right time to retire with a perfect record so Irene Aldana can not underestimate a motivated Nunes,


Aldana will need the smarts of Peña in order to make the right decision if she is going to push something it should be at a given right time, is Amanda Nunes would likely do some mistakes on her part I think Aldana will need to capitalize on this and initiate the finishing blow for Amanda Nunes,

I think that Volkanovski beat Islam or in worst case, I would say it was draw but officially, Islam won the fight, c'mon. At the end of the fight, Volkanovski was on top of Islam, punching him on the face. That matters a lot!

In word underrated, I mean, other fighters don't prioritize it the way Chechnya guys do. Dustin Poirier is a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt but can you compare his wrestling to Chechnya fighters? Who showed you real good wrestling skills other than Chechnya guys? Most of the time we see boxing and leg kicks, we rarely see wrestling with other UFC fighters. I don't say it's bad, no, I prefer to watch boxing and leg kicks over wrestling but all I'm saying is that, it's fact, wrestling pays back better.

Yes, Aldana still has a small chance that he could have if he could do it.
Julianna Pena at that time was very smart, she could make Nunes make mistakes so that she could turn a small chance to win into a big opportunity until she finally beat Nunes and became the champion title holder.
But if you look at Aldana and Julianna Pena, they are very different and Nunes can definitely beat Aldana more easily than beating Julianna Pena.
If Julianna Pena is not injured and it is her who will fight for the title against Nunes then there is still a high possibility that the title will move back into her hands.

Does this answer during an interview imply that Amanda Nunes might retire after this fight? Does it also imply that she does not care if she loses her championship if the opponent is not Julianna Peña? This type of mental attitude from a champion is not good.

Aldana might also be underestimated for this fight very much similar to how sexy kitty Alexa Grasso was underestimated vs. Valentina. My prediction, we will witness another Mexican lady become a UFC champion. Aldana will win with a knockout on round 3 hehehe.



Her 12-fight, six-year unbeaten streak had been broken, and there was certainly nothing left for her to prove after she had reigned as a simultaneous two-division UFC champion. In fact, Nunes had beaten every single woman who’d ever held UFC gold at either bantamweight or featherweight.

Then a harsh realization washed over Nunes like a cold bucket of water, and she immediately changed her mind.

"I decided to not retire, because if I retire, I leave my belt with Julianna,” Nunes said during UFC 289 media day. “No way. No way. It can be with somebody else, but with Julianna, no."

Source https://www.mmafighting.com/2023/6/7/23753218/amanda-nunes-considered-retirement-but-couldnt-stomach-leaving-with-julianna-pena-as-champ

How can you say that wrestling is underrated in the UFC? That sounds really funny to me. By this time almost all fighters in the UFC have been practicing wrestling for their ground game. They know that without Wrestling one would not be at the top level of a UFC fighter.

In the Lightweight division, fighters like Charles, Dustin, Justin, Dariush, Gamrot, Arman, Tony, and pretty much everyone in the Top 15 don't take wrestling for granted. They are all wrestlers. Dustin, Justin, Dariush are boxers who are also very good at their wrestling.

And then you say that they prioritize boxing? Bro seriously? The fighters train with their fighting style, namely standing fight or ground fight BUT they keep learning other fighting styles to add to their skillset.


Make Charles to be the champion and then that match will become a deal. That is if The Great still chooses to get the double champ tittle.  

Charles Oliveira definitely throws out the word technical in that fight and net the punching does the talking which is not a good idea for Islam Makhachev because a great technical battle will always prove that it will win than just throwing down your all like nothing ever matters, and so Makhachev take him to the ground it was a bittersweet failure for Oliveira, probably the most questionable fight he takes because his fighting style is very much different,


Well, Islam Makhachev has proven that he got striking  a technical one even and he proves it when he fights Oliveira but one thing is for certain, he will always go down to his roots and that is wrestling, and so the fight ended with a submission on Oliveira, which shows the power of Makhachev,

If Oliveira would fight Volkanovski there is no question Volkanovski is just greater of a technical striker than Makhachev but Makhachev strike Volkanovski which is surprising for Volkanovski, and Wrestling is not an issue with the ground defense of Volkanovski that is more surprising to Makhachev for me if I could judge the fight I will make is a draw,

All  I thought years ago was that Khabib becomes that good in wrestling is because he started wrestling his bear when he was still a kid. So many of those martial art practice aren't applicable in MMA. But they are supposed to be mixed to fight in UFC.

Oliveira must win again and I hope he wins because the man deserves a lot of chances.

To be honest, the real reason why these Dagestan guys are unbeatable is that they are superior in wrestling. In the rest part of the world of UFC, wrestling is very underrated and everyone prioritizes boxing but they don't understand that they aren't Mike Tyson or Floyd Mayweather, they don't workout like these guys and when you aren't on that level, you shouldn't underestimate wrestler.
I really hope that there will be a rematch between Oliveira vs Makhachev and Volkanovski vs Makhacev. Btw, Oliveira vs Volkanovski would be a great match too!

^  That's prolly because one fighter accepts that he's a tad chinny and the other fighter does not.  

If I decide to bet on the match up, I'd have Oliveira to win tho.  I think their evenly matched, their also both chinny and since it's a 50 - 50 match up, I'll go for slight value with the underdog.

Anyway my lottery ticket for the week is a straight up 10 leg parlay.  Lol.  Maria Oliveria vs Belbita DGTD, Dvorak to win, Bilder vs Nelson DGTD, Aori to win, Imavov to win, Barriualt to win, Ige to win, Malott vs Fugitt DGTD, Oliveira vs Dariush DGTD and Nunes to win.  10 bucks to win around 480.  Lol.  

I didn't include Maverick vs Jasudavicius for a reason.  I think that's gonna be an upset and could finish early.  Not that confident...  Just a hunch.

UFC 289:  Pre Fight Press Conference
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_zhbXFV3xAE

UFC 289 Embedded:  Episode 4
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LaEBAghJCBQ

Coming later...

UFC 289:  Live Weigh In Show
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xz2yTFk766U

UFC 289:  Ceremonial Weigh In
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b2NhFFXYgG8

 


Makhachev won because Oliveira, as usually, pushed forward openly and eat damage in order to get a better position for his BJJ attack. Oliveira started with that flying knee and instantly received a hook, then got choked. If there were Beneil on Makhachev place, he would not throw a hook, but rather step aside or block. That is the usual tactics of Beneil - avoid damage, contact and search for a tactical advantage to shoot a single leg takedown and develop further attack till submission. Beneil imho is slow on action, to cautions to make something.

I also see David as a good choice and maybe I will put my full pick later aswell, and David Dvořák has a balanced KO and submission win than Steve Erceg maybe I really don't feel him that much but judging from their movements, I see David Dvorak has a lot of tools to counter Steve Erceg from his ground game with his own ground counter, and his strength is also there so for me David Dvorak could win this, while Miranda Maverick and Jasmine Jasudavicius, for this I see Maverick on the edge and might dominate the fight against Jasmine Jasudavicius,

Sure thing we can analyze what could happen with the fight and this is a good thing because we can watch some of the fighters pass fights so we could have some idea of what may have happened between the fight, I think Preliminary Cards are very easy to predict and even going with the underdog may get a possible win,

we will have very interesting fights, I am watching some to see which fight I will bet on, there is the fight of David against Steve in which I see david winning this fight, the odd for this fight is @1.37 so if I add it to a multibet bet it could be something much more advantageous, I can add Miranda's fight against Jasmine in which the favorite also has an odd of @1.37 which would give me an odd of @1.87 but I still see it as a small odd, so if I add with Amanda's fight against Irene will get an odd of @2.41 which would be an odd that would be worth making a bet, I want to combine it with another soccer game

as I need to take some time to calmly analyze these 3 fights, that's why I didn't rush to place a bet, but I already scheduled these 3 fights for me to analyze and place a bet, I see that the favorites in these 3 fights have a good advantage over their opponents and as it has a good odd, then it would be worth just placing a bet and everything becomes more interesting when I add another soccer game that I intend to bet on, I will soon have an odd of @3.41 anyway, I will post my bets here after the fights are over, I hope I can get it right because it would give me a profit

That is why I have said it was the only thing Aldana need in order to win which is impossible which means she doesn't have any chance at all, that mistake opening is at 10% but still a great chance than nothing, for Irene Aldana, Julianna Peña done it and have executed a rear naked choke maybe she can make it if Nunes is in a state of an emotional split with her wife, Amanda Nunes is 100% focus in doing this so we really don't see a chance for Irene Aldana,


This will be a great fight if the fight goes to the ground both fighters will surely know who really has the advanced BJJ but Charles Oliveira would likely want the fight to be on the ground, which is pretty much Oliveira can finish this with his striking actually I don't really see Beniel Dariush win against Charles Oliveira but there still a chance for Dariush if Oliveira doesn't have advance technique in BJJ then he can likely can get Oliveira in that but Seeing Islam Makhachev easily beaten Oliveira if Dariush have the advantage with BJJ likely he can win on the ground,