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Topic: This rally is a pirate bubble - page 2. (Read 8670 times)

legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1121
August 07, 2012, 11:19:24 PM
#67
So, in one moment Pirate is doomed above $10 - then he's just fine until we hit $13, or is it $20? Wait, I read on this forum that Pirate controls BTC prices, so there's no way they'd be trading so high... oh wait...

This stuff is so hilariously contradictory I can't even begin to laugh enough.
full member
Activity: 206
Merit: 100
August 07, 2012, 09:55:07 PM
#66
There is no cut and dried liability if you can't prove wrongdoing. From a hypothetical Pirate's perspective, the outcomes are indistinguishable, so might as do the one that allows squirling away wealth.
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
August 07, 2012, 08:13:11 PM
#65
ArcticMine: Yeah, no. Honestly, if he's happy with pissing people off anyway, and contemplates a lawsuit, it's better to just squirrel the money away and blame default on "hackers" or thieving "business partners" that cannot be disproved.

The difference is between a very clear cut and dry liability and one that may take years and an army of lawyers to figure out if a liability even exists.
full member
Activity: 206
Merit: 100
August 07, 2012, 08:01:18 PM
#64
ArcticMine: Yeah, no. Honestly, if he's happy with pissing people off anyway, and contemplates a lawsuit, it's better to just squirrel the money away and blame default on "hackers" or thieving "business partners" that cannot be disproved.
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
August 07, 2012, 07:41:02 PM
#63
i think if pirate returned everyones coins

Where would these coins come from? After interest payouts that already happened?

If he is short he would have to buy from the rest of us. Who knows I might even sell him just a few  Wink. The latter of course depends on the price. Of course there may be also those that are buying in order to profit from a Pirate short squeeze, so in that sense the rally could also be due to Pirate.
Why would he buy fresh coins to pay depositors back?
If he was going to default he'd just up and leave.

I am assuming this is not going to be a simple grab the cash and run or classic Ponzi type default. Pirate is a lot more sophisticated than many in the "anti-pirate" camp give him credit for. Something along the lines of what I mentioned in your other thread https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.1084866 on the other hand may well be what happens.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
August 07, 2012, 06:47:23 PM
#62
I wonder if pirate is the US government trying to buy up as many BTC as possible. They can afford to pay out 7% with their fiat.

Let me be the first to have the honor to welcome you to the halls of this forum, kind Sir!

LOL...thanks...I think.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
August 07, 2012, 06:47:00 PM
#61
If he was going to default he'd just up and leave.

It would make much more sense, if he's really scamming people, to sell of a little at a time and stretch it out as long as possible. It doesn't crash the market and it doesn't look that suspicious.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 250
August 07, 2012, 06:08:56 PM
#60
i think if pirate returned everyones coins

Where would these coins come from? After interest payouts that already happened?

If he is short he would have to buy from the rest of us. Who knows I might even sell him just a few  Wink. The latter of course depends on the price. Of course there may be also those that are buying in order to profit from a Pirate short squeeze, so in that sense the rally could also be due to Pirate.
Why would he buy fresh coins to pay depositors back?
If he was going to default he'd just up and leave.
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
August 07, 2012, 02:49:33 PM
#59
i think if pirate returned everyones coins

Where would these coins come from? After interest payouts that already happened?

If he is short he would have to buy from the rest of us. Who knows I might even sell him just a few  Wink. The latter of course depends on the price. Of course there may be also those that are buying in order to profit from a Pirate short squeeze, so in that sense the rally could also be due to Pirate.
legendary
Activity: 3066
Merit: 1147
The revolution will be monetized!
August 07, 2012, 10:43:44 AM
#58
...Everyone is buying BTC to get in on pirate's scheme, pirate passthroughs, and other pirate like "lending" schemes. ...
I have never used these services, I don't even understand them and yet I have been buying recently.
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1015
August 07, 2012, 10:07:24 AM
#57
It's virtually impossible not to see all the threads pointing out how likely this is to be a scam, yet Usagi decided to stop selling NYAN.C, which is at the moment essentially a fund of passtroughs, because it was selling too well -and he was afraid too many would blame him for losing their money, I guess. It was one of the most surreal post I have ever read, a share issuer mad at how well his shares were selling
usagi found out what all of the PPT issuers have known for months, but have neglected to tell anybody: Pirate's deposits are growing more than 7% per week.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 250
August 07, 2012, 06:49:52 AM
#56

So in theory he can run this ponzi for ~1 more year then pack his bags and disappear ? 
Sigh, I hate slow burn drama's.
Not necessarily.
At the moment every week the vast majority of his interest payments get immediately reinvested - in addition to people providing extra new investment.

In addition, there's a lot of smoke and mirrors surrounding things like the size of the exposure people have to BS&T, I tried to start a discussion on it last week (so all the numbers are presumably even higher now):
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=98225.0;topicseen
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
August 07, 2012, 06:37:58 AM
#55
investigators suspect madoff was fraudulant from the 1960s and he never missed an interest payment
for 39 years

It's virtually impossible not to see all the threads pointing out how likely this is to be a scam, yet Usagi decided to stop selling NYAN.C, which is at the moment essentially a fund of passtroughs, because it was selling too well -and he was afraid too many would blame him for losing their money, I guess. It was one of the most surreal post I have ever read, a share issuer mad at how well his shares were selling

Sold out already, anymore on the way?

I'm thinking about it. It's just that people are gravitating towards pirate and high risk and they are going to lose a lot of money like this.

Please, for your own sake, I've stopped sale of NYAN.C as it was selling over 5x faster than A or B. Sure, pirate is popular, but people for your own sake stop buying so much pirate. You're going to lose your money.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Wat
August 07, 2012, 06:36:22 AM
#54
Pirate = CIA and they are using btc to fund their black ops and pay their spies so they dont have to explain to the public where the money is going.  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1000
Si vis pacem, para bellum
August 07, 2012, 06:23:20 AM
#53
investigators suspect madoff was fraudulant from the 1960s and he never missed an interest payment
for 39 years
mem
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 501
Herp Derp PTY LTD
August 07, 2012, 06:20:14 AM
#52
I have to somewhat agree with the OP. With pirate's BTCST in place if you bought 10k bitcoins at $5 and you invested 100% of that with pirate you would have 20k bitcoins by now.

I believe much of the ramp could (not necessarily is) but could be a biproduct of people wanting to buy btc low and as the USD price rises not only do they get more bitcoins but each bitcoin is worth more USD.

Unsustainable in my opinion.

Just my take...

someone on another thread calculated that they would need $10,000 a month to retire comfortabley on

they then calculated that by giving pirate 379 BTC the compounding interest in a very short time would equal retirement

if thats not crazy enough for you ,heres another one :

if pirate continues to pay this interest for about 18 months he will have paid out moe than all the bitcoins in the world INCLUDING the ones that havent been mined yet and wont be mined for years 


So in theory he can run this ponzi for ~1 more year then pack his bags and disappear ? 
Sigh, I hate slow burn drama's.
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1000
Si vis pacem, para bellum
August 07, 2012, 05:38:50 AM
#51
I have to somewhat agree with the OP. With pirate's BTCST in place if you bought 10k bitcoins at $5 and you invested 100% of that with pirate you would have 20k bitcoins by now.

I believe much of the ramp could (not necessarily is) but could be a biproduct of people wanting to buy btc low and as the USD price rises not only do they get more bitcoins but each bitcoin is worth more USD.

Unsustainable in my opinion.

Just my take...

someone on another thread calculated that they would need $10,000 a month to retire comfortabley on

they then calculated that by giving pirate 379 BTC the compounding interest in a very short time would equal retirement

if thats not crazy enough for you ,heres another one :

if pirate continues to pay this interest for about 18 months he will have paid out moe than all the bitcoins in the world INCLUDING the ones that havent been mined yet and wont be mined for years 
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1473
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
August 06, 2012, 09:03:46 PM
#50
We will have many chuckles when the music stops and only one chair left.

+1 I can't see how this whole pyramid scheme can unwind itself in such a way that NO ONE gets burned.


I've got my popcorn ready. I think we will see much much drama concerning pirate etc. in the next 6 to 12 months if not sooner.
legendary
Activity: 2072
Merit: 1001
August 06, 2012, 08:55:52 PM
#49
We will have many chuckles when the music stops and only one chair left.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1473
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
August 06, 2012, 06:19:08 PM
#48
I have to somewhat agree with the OP. With pirate's BTCST in place if you bought 10k bitcoins at $5 and you invested 100% of that with pirate you would have 20k bitcoins by now.

I believe much of the ramp could (not necessarily is) but could be a biproduct of people wanting to buy btc low and as the USD price rises not only do they get more bitcoins but each bitcoin is worth more USD.

Unsustainable in my opinion.

Just my take...
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