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Topic: Top 20 days for Bitcoin - page 138. (Read 108168 times)

hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
January 22, 2013, 09:58:24 PM
#3
Interesting, what assumptions would you say are being made with this model? E.g., Why should price be modeled as the log of the rank?
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1077
January 22, 2013, 08:51:46 PM
#2
Going a bit more in-depth, we have the king effect clearly seen in Bitcoin prices:


The king effect means that when Bitcoin goes back up above $30, it will either continue to rise before a sizable collapse, or collapse immediately. For example, all of the following are plausible scenarios:

  • Price remains below ~$25, with stability
  • Price rises above ~$25, then quickly collapses below ~$25, with some stability
  • Price rises above ~$25, then continues rising to around $40 before returning to the $25 to $30 level, with little stability
  • Price rises above ~$25, then continues rising to far above $25 before collapsing but remaining above $25, with almost no stability

The king effect means that it is unlikely we will see both new highs and stability. One has to go.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1077
January 22, 2013, 08:19:04 PM
#1
1. 2011-06-09 W. Avg: 29.58
2. 2011-06-08 W. Avg: 27.25
3. 2011-06-10 W. Avg: 24.67
4. 2011-06-13 W. Avg: 20.11
5. 2011-06-07 W. Avg: 19.90
6. 2011-06-15 W. Avg: 19.68
7. 2011-06-14 W. Avg: 19.25
8. 2011-06-16 W. Avg: 18.86
9. 2011-06-06 W. Avg: 18.46
10. 2011-06-19 W. Avg: 17.77
11. 2011-06-11 W. Avg: 17.61
12. 2011-06-05 W. Avg: 17.32
13. 2013-01-22 W. Avg: 17.15
14. 2011-06-27 W. Avg: 17.01
15. 2011-06-28 W. Avg: 16.93
16. 2011-06-29 W. Avg: 16.88
17. 2011-06-30 W. Avg: 16.51
18. 2011-06-04 W. Avg: 16.41
19. 2013-01-21 W. Avg: 16.38
20. 2011-06-12 W. Avg: 16.21

(w. avgs rounded to 5 decimal places (mBTC) or 2 decimal places (BTC), Mt. Gox USD data before June 10, 2013; Bitstamp USD data after June 10, 2013)

Every one of the entries is in June 2011 except for the two previous days, which now rank 13th and 19th. I have a feeling that we'll break top ten soon.
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